62nd plenary session of the conference of european statisticians seminar on migration statistics...

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62nd plenary session of the Conference of European Statisticians Seminar on migration statistics Session 2: “Methods to improve the measurement of migration” Session organisers: Rosstat and CIS-Stat Irina Zbarskaya CIS-Stat Paris, 10 April 2014

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Page 1: 62nd plenary session of the Conference of European Statisticians Seminar on migration statistics Session 2: “Methods to improve the measurement of migration”

62nd plenary session of the Conference of European Statisticians

Seminar on migration statistics

Session 2:“Methods to improve the measurement of migration”

Session organisers: Rosstat and CIS-Stat

Irina ZbarskayaCIS-Stat

Paris, 10 April 2014

Page 2: 62nd plenary session of the Conference of European Statisticians Seminar on migration statistics Session 2: “Methods to improve the measurement of migration”

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Contributions offered

Azerbaijan - “International migration statistics in Azerbaijan”;

Estonia and Finland - “Measuring cross border mobility between Estonia and Finland with mobile positioning datasets”;

Finland - “Improving emigration statistics in the future”;

Italy - “Integrating data for integrating migrants. A multisourse approach to migration statistics”;

Kyrgyzstan -”Migration statistics in Kyrgyzstan;

Mexico - “International migration in Mexico and its statistics”;

Norway - “Forecasting migration in official population projections using an econometric model”;

United Kingdom - “Improving local area estimates of international migration using administrative data”;

CIS-Stat - “Labour migration in the Commonwealth of Independent States region: challenges of and approaches to improving statistical information”;

Eurostat - “Filling the ’migration gaps’ – can research outcomes help us improve migration statistics?”

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AZERBAIJAN

State Migration Program has been approved

Unique Migratory and Information System "one-stop-shop principle" (UMIS)

Data exchange

State Migration Service State Border Service

State Statistical Committee Ministry of Internal Affairs Ministry of Justice

population censuses + sample surveys + currently data sources of migration +

administrative data + creation of the population register

Country paper

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ESTONIA and FINLAND

Cross border commuting using passive mobile positioning data

Estonia

FinlandVarious statistics to describe mobility:number of visitorsnumber of visitsnumber of daysnumber of nights

Visitors are divided: 1 day visitors 2 – 30 days visitors 31+ days visitors 183+ days visitors

According to the common definition (WTO), a visitor who is staying in other country for 183 days or more is considered a foreign labourer

Country paper

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FINLAND

Inter-Nordic agreement on population registration

before now

Migration document

Information between Nordic authorities is transferred in electronic form

How to improve emigration statistics in EU?

One solution would be to issue international ID to all persons in EU

The receiving countries could send this ID code to the country of departure

Country paper

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ITALY

The goal - developing a systemic approach to studying migration

ISTAT

Sample surveys Ministry of Interior - statistics on residence permits

Administrative data from the same source Administrative data from other sources

Surveys + Administrative data micro-data towards integration

Perspectives - migration within the Union: of EU citizens + of non-EU citizens

European system for monitoring of migration flows

“Governance of immigration on European level is only possible if based on shared definitions, metadata and figures”

Country paper

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Country paper

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MEXICOInternational migration:

a) the flow of Mexicans to the USA;b) the immigration of foreigners to Mexico;c) the transit of foreigners - mostly Central Americans – through Mexican territory to the USA;d) the voluntary and involuntary return of Mexican migrants to Mexico;е) the voluntary and involuntary return of Central Americans migrants to their countries of origin through and from Mexico;f) the cross-border labour flows between Guatemala and Mexico and with the USA.

System of statistical tools and analysis of migration processes

National Institute of National Institute of Center for U.S.Census Statistics and Geography Migration Migration Studies Bureau

-Censuses; -Survey on Migration -Model to estimate -Current Population -Survey on Migration at the Nothern at the Nothern Border transit migration Survey Border of Mexico; of Mexico through Mexico -Аmerican -National Survey of Occupation Community Survey and Employment;-National Survey of Demographic Dynamics

Country paper

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NORWAY

Forecasting gross immigration to Norway until 2100

Western countriesEastern EU members NORWAY

Rest of the world

Projected total immigration in the medium variant, including estimated prediction intervals

Country paper

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UNITED KINGDOM

The Migration Statistics Improvement Programme

“The new approach used administrative data sources to distribute the England and Wales immigration totals from the International Passenger Survey (IPS) directly to Local Authorities “

worker mapping each stream to the most

‘reason for migration’ relevant administrative sourcesIPS student which were used to distribute

immigrants to each local authority other

Data exchange

Department for Work and Pensions Home Office

ONS Department of Health Department of Business, Innovation and Skills Welsh Government

Higher Education Statistics Agency

Country paper

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EUROSTAT and CIS-STAT papers:

Cross-country comparisons gaps in mirror migration statistics. Reasons: different definitions of ‘immigrants’ and ‘emigrants’, different statistical coverage, differences in the statistical treatment of temporary migrants, lack of consistency in classifying migrants by country of origin/destination, differences between countries in the data sources and methods of collection used.

The number of immigrants from country A measured in destination country B can differ from the number of emigrants to country B measured in country of origin A.

Improving national/original migration statistics population size and structure What would be the status of information - statistics or estimates – in case of implementation of the data adjustment methods? Would it be relevant to use this adjusted data only for inter-countries comparisons or this adjusted data can be used for the “internal” purposes?

Single concept of “population” for international statistical purposes, including a common definition of “migration” and “labour migration” Migration statistics within of the economic or political associations

IO paper

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Conclusions

Diversity of migration flows and a high level of “latent” migration require compilation of information from statistical and administrative sources of data

Development of information technologies, including modern communications, creates new opportunities for migration measurement

Formation of economic and political unions of countries often reduces barriers for general and labour migration and thus influences migration statistics. Advantages of such unions do not reduce the problem of measuring migration, and new approaches to this problem solution are required

The ultimate accuracy in migration measurement demands maximum harmonisation of basic definitions related to population migration to address the need for comparative data across countries

Today the value of migration data is increasing in proceeding with population estimates and demographic forecasts

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Questions to countries

Azerbaijan Have you made any estimation on the total number of labour emigrants and labour immigrants to the country?

Estonia and Finland

 

Which key problems have been identified during implementation of mobile positioning data method for measuring cross border mobility between Estonia and Finland?

How these data correspond to the data on cross border mobility between these countries received from other sources of information?

Finland 

Which methods do you apply for evaluation of the quality of data on migration between the Nordic countries?

Italy Which security mechanisms are actually in use to secure privacy of personal data in population registers?

Which difficulties of legal nature have you identified while developing integrated system of information on migration based on multisource (administrative and statistical data) approach?

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Questions to countries

Kyrgyzstan

Mexico

 

The report contained a lot of interesting information about the characteristics of labour migrants. Do you have information about what is the average duration of their work abroad?

Information on which migration flows should be improved regarding its comprehensiveness?

Have you compared the results of surveys being implemented by INEGI and Census Bureau? In the paper you have mentioned that the number of the Mexican migrants is underestimated by 12.5%. Is this figure a result of comparison of INEGI and Census Bureau surveys?

Norway

 

How well does the model reflect existing tendencies in migration? Have you tested this model in retrospective review? If YES, please share the results of such a test.

United Kingdom

 

What were the challenges in combining survey data and administrative data to create local authorities level estimates of international migration?

How does the developed model take into account the number of emigrants from the country?

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Common questions

Combining administrative and statistical data enriches information on migration flows and migrants ' characteristics. What difficulties have you encountered combining data from these different sources?

Is it worth implementing methods of adjustment of national statistical data on migration when differences in mirror statistics between the “partner countries” are identified?

What would be the status of information - statistical data /estimation – in the event data adjustment methods were used? Would it be relevant to use this adjusted data only for inter-country comparison or could they be used for the purposes of official statistics in a given country?

Page 16: 62nd plenary session of the Conference of European Statisticians Seminar on migration statistics Session 2: “Methods to improve the measurement of migration”

Thank you

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