5 steps to wise oil investments
TRANSCRIPT
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Cole WhitneyMarch 2015“Gain knowledge though it cost you all … “
5 Steps to Wise Investments
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Welcome Attendees
CEO and CFOVP Corporate DevelopmentVP Asset
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Our Conversation Today for Next 10 Minutes
The Ask! Commit to Operator Benchmarking and Best Practices Deep Dive
1. Recap & Level Set on Business Opportunity2. Knowledge Asset Continuum for Wise Investments3. Q&A and Open Discussion
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Where are we on the Knowledge Asset Continuum for Wise Investments?
Reactive Proactive
Open Acreage
QualityAcreage
Enhanced Production
Best Practice Completion
Descriptive AnalyticsStep 1: Beat competitors to open acreage Descriptive AnalyticsFind mineral owners fast with DI Courthouse
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Step 2: Determine the best wells and causesin minutes versus months.
What Happened? Top 5 Oil Wells Performed Better
Why? Quality Acreage – Better Rock!
Look at Operator Benchmarking and Best
Practices for other reasons!
Base Line Performance
Diagnostic Analytics
Source: DI Analytics
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Step 3: Build an earth model to increase likelihood of economic wells in new sweet spots.
Predictive Analytics
Source: DI Analytics Consulting Practice
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Step 3: Drill with less risk to capital!How much would you pay DI for helping you realize 800K EUR in 3 years with
acreage grading?
Prescriptive Analytics
Source: DI Analytics
ROR 107%Shareholder Value Add 249,061$
Percent Gain 0.11%
Investment 23,300,000$ Contingency 4,000,000$ Can be reduced with "earth model"Market Cap 228,585,000$ Lease Purchase 3,000,000$ 6,000 Acres Grade C + D Eagle Ford Shale
Land Mgmt 1,500,000$ Land Legal, Land Man, Project ExpenseGross Revenue 52,000,000$ Brokers 400,000$ 1.5% FeeLOE (7,800,000)$ Drilling Program Cost 14,400,000$ Wells 5 Stages 32 Stage Cost 90,000$ Gross Margin 44,200,000$ Drill & Complete 2,880,000$ Per Well (Baker Hughes FracPoint)Net Revenue 33,150,000$ EUR @ 3 Years 800,000 Used to Match Option HorizonPV Net Revenue 24,906,086$ NRI 75%
LOE 15%Oil Price 65$ Blended Rate Over 3 Year Horizon
EPS Accretion 0.5339$ Option Years 3Forward P/E 9.18 Cost of Capital 10%Stock Price Impact 0.01$ Shares Outstanding 46,650,000
P/E 0Stock Price 4.90$
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=CRK 22-Jan-15
Financial Calculations E&P Inputs
Shareholder Calculations Shareholder Inputs
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Step 4: Optimize on best practices. Prescriptive Analytics
Grading 11bp Market Cap
Stages & Length
Proppant
Geo SteeringSpacing
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Step 5: Benchmark results like stock analysts! Descriptive Analytics
Peak Rate Deviation from Median
Acre
age
Gra
de in
Eag
le F
ord
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Our Conversation Today for Next 10 Minutes
The Ask! Commit to Operator Benchmarking and Best Practices to refine and deploy a fungible knowledge asset.
Recap & Level Set on Business Opportunity Knowledge Asset Continuum for Wise Investments3. Q&A and Open Discussion