4q14 emea isg outsourcing index
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Global Outsourcing Index, slideshowTRANSCRIPT
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Hosted by: James Goodman Barclays Capital
19 January 2015
The EMEA ISG Outsourcing Index
Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2014
Market Data and Insights
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Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for EMEA commercial contracts.*
Welcome to the 4th Quarter & Full-Year Outsourcing Index Review
Bernd Schaefer Partner
John Keppel Partner & President
Dr. David Howie Partner
*Contracts with ACV ≥ €5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
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At a Glance
4Q GLOBAL MARKET ACV IS UP 27% Y/Y, SUPPORTED BY A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MEGA-RELATIONSHIP AWARDS
ALL REGIONS EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT 4Q DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH
AS WE FORECAST, 2014 ACV IS UP 16% WITH STRONG ITO GROWTH AND UNEVEN RESULTS IN BPO
EMEA IS UP 7% IN 2014 WITH DACH, UK AND FRANCE CONTRIBUTING TO GROWTH
AMERICAS HAS SOLID GAINS, UP 22% WITH STRENGTH IN FINANCIAL SERVICES AND BOTH ITO AND BPO
ASIA PACIFIC IS UP 45% OVER 2013 ON STRENGTH OF THE LARGEST MARKETS, ALTHOUGH ACV DID TAIL OFF IN THE SECOND HALF
Scorecard 4Q14 4Q Y/Y 4Q Q/Q ACV (€B)* Change Change
Global Market € 4.7 27% 25% New Scope € 2.5 1% 5% Restructurings € 2.2 77% 58% Mega-relationships € 1.3 354% 46% ITO € 3.3 13% 19% BPO € 1.4 80% 41% Americas € 1.7 43% 8% EMEA € 2.5 19% 34% Asia Pacific € 0.5 21% 49%
2014 Y/Y 2014 Y/Y ACV (€B)* Change Counts Change
€ 18.5 16% 1,218 4% € 11.2 16% 810 1% € 7.3 16% 408 9% € 4.9 53% 33 22% € 13.8 19% 880 3% € 4.7 8% 338 -7% € 6.6 22% 484 8% € 9.5 7% 588 -1% € 2.4 45% 146 11%
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Global Market 4Q14 ACV posts solid results, up 27% Y/Y with heightened activity in Restructurings. In 2014, ACV is up by double digits as we forecast on earlier calls.
4Q and Full-Year Broader Market ACV (€B)*
Global Market Size
Global Market Contract Award Trends
€88
€67
6,262
3,062
201413121110090807062005
Commercial Sector Outsourcing Market Size ($B)Active Contracts
4Q and Full-Year Broader Market Contract Counts
900 875 896 953 812 757 672 533 523 521
318 300 287 325 265 306
222 181 204 180
1,218 1,175 1,183 1,278
1,077 1,063 894
714 727 701
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
€ 13.8 € 12.3 € 14.6 € 13.2 € 13.8 € 11.7 € 12.7 € 9.6 € 9.9 € 10.8
€ 4.7 € 3.7
€ 4.3 € 5.7 € 4.5 € 5.8 € 4.0 € 5.0 € 3.7 € 4.5
€ 18.5 € 15.9
€ 18.9 € 18.9 € 18.3 € 17.5 € 16.7 € 14.6 € 13.6 € 15.3
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV Full-Year ACV
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4Q14 ACV up 19% Y/Y with growth supported by large contract awards. In 2014, ACV up modestly at 7% with increasing activity in the IT Infrastructure space.
EMEA 4Q and Full-Year Counts
EMEA Contract Award Trends
430 433 385 443 335 346 315 237 217 240
158 162 137
159 138 142
91 77 96 85
588 595 522
602
473 488 406
314 313 325
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
EMEA 4Q and Full-Year ACV (€B)*
EMEA Market Size EMEA Full-Year Segment Details ACV (€B)*
€45
€26
2,900
1,286
201413121110090807062005
Commercial Sector Outsourcing Market Size ($B)Active Contracts
€ 7.0 € 6.8 € 6.8 € 7.2 € 6.4 € 5.1 € 7.7
€ 4.7 € 3.9 € 5.4
€ 2.5 € 2.1 € 2.3 € 3.4
€ 2.8 € 3.3
€ 1.8
€ 2.0 € 1.9
€ 2.2
€ 9.5 € 8.9 € 9.1 € 10.6
€ 9.2 € 8.4
€ 9.5
€ 6.7 € 5.8
€ 7.6
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
€ 5.7
€ 3.8
€ 7.7
€ 1.8
€ 0
€ 2
€ 4
€ 6
€ 8
€ 10
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years2013 2014
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€ 2.2 € 1.8 € 1.7 € 1.5
€ 1.0 € 0.4 € 0.4 € 0.3 € 0.2 € -
€ 0.5 € 1.0 € 1.5 € 2.0 € 2.5 € 3.0 € 3.5
FinancialServices
Manufacturing Energy TravelTransport
Leisure
Telecom& Media
BusinessServices
ConsumerProducts & Goods
Retail Healthcare& Pharma
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years 2013 2014
€ 3.4
€ 1.7 € 1.3
€ 0.5 € 1.2
€ 0.8 € 0.3 € 0.3 € 0
€ 1
€ 2
€ 3
€ 4
€ 5
U.K. & Ireland DACH Nordics Benelux France SouthernEurope
Africa & MiddleEast
E. Europe &Russia
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years 2013 2014
France and U.K. post gains against 2013 results while Energy and Manufacturing markets show strength, both up 29% for the year.
EMEA Sub-regions Full-Year ACV (€B)*
EMEA Industry Full-Year ACV (€B)*
EMEA Contract Award Trends Detail
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Co. Revenues < €2 B Co. Revenues €2 -10 B
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in EMEA Large multinationals and providers with strong “home market” profiles lead both the Big 10 and Building 10 tiers.
Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
Co. Revenues > €10B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
Capita Carillion
Cognizant EVRY HCL
Infosys MITIE
Orange Business Services Tech Mahindra
Tieto
Accenture Atos BT
Capgemini CSC
Fujitsu HP
IBM TCS
T-Systems
Endava HH Global
Innovation Group Kelway
Kuehne & Nagel MAYKOR Mindtree
NextiraOne NNIT A/S
Xchanging
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
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4Q14 ACV up 43% Y/Y with growth supported by increasing Restructuring activity. In 2014, ACV is up 22% with moderate gains in ITO and strong advances in BPO.
Americas 4Q and Full-Year Counts
Americas Contract Award Trends
363 336 387 385 367 313 282 224 239 230
121 112 113 137 86
119 94
82 81 74
484 448 500 522
453 432 376
306 320 304
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
Americas 4Q and Full-Year ACV (€B)*
Americas Market Size Americas Full-Year Segment Details ACV (€B)*
€32 €35
2,558
1,453
201413121110090807062005
Commercial Sector Outsourcing Market Size ($B)Active Contracts
€ 4.9 € 4.2 € 5.6 € 4.7 € 6.3 € 5.0 € 3.8 € 3.6 € 5.0 € 4.8
€ 1.7 € 1.2
€ 1.5 € 1.9 € 0.9 € 1.9
€ 1.5 €2.3 € 1.4 € 1.6
€ 6.6 € 5.4
€ 7.1 € 6.5 € 7.2 € 6.8 € 5.3 € 5.9 € 6.5 € 6.5
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
€ 3.9
€2.7
€ 4.1
€ 2.5
€ 0
€ 1
€ 2
€ 3
€ 4
€ 5
€ 6
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years2013 2014
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€ 0.58
€ 0.34
€ 0.04 € 0.08 € 0.0
€ 0.2
€ 0.4
€ 0.6
€ 0.8
Canada Brazil Mexico Other LatAm
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years 2013 2014
€ 5.6
€ -
€ 2
€ 4
€ 6
€ 8
U.S.
€ 1.7
€ 0.9 € 0.8 € 0.7 € 0.4
€ 0.7 € 0.8 € 0.4 € 0.3
€ -
€ 0.5
€ 1.0
€ 1.5
€ 2.0
FinancialServices
Manufacturing Telecom& Media
Healthcare& Pharma
ConsumerProducts & Goods
BusinessServices
Energy Retail TravelTransport
Leisure
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years 2013 2014
In 2014, U.S. Market up 17% over a weaker 2013, with Canada and Brazil posting gains. Both Financial Services and Energy produce much stronger annual results.
Americas Sub-regions Full-Year ACV (€B)*
Americas Industry Full-Year ACV (€B)*
Americas Contract Award Trends Detail
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Co. Revenues < €2 B Co. Revenues €2 -10 B
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in the Americas Americas-based providers make up half of the Big 10 Sourcing Standouts. Providers with substantial offshore profiles lead in both the Building and Breakthrough tiers.
Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
Aon Hewitt CB Richard Ellis
CGI Cognizant
CompuCom Genpact
HCL Infosys
Teleperformance Wipro
Accenture Atos BT
Capgemini CSC Dell IBM
RR Donnelley TCS
Xerox
APAC Customer Service EXL
GardaWorld IGATE KPIT
Minacs Sitel
Sonda Syntel
TeleTech
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
Co. Revenues > €10B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
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ACV up 21% Y/Y as contracting counts soared, up nearly 50%. In 2014, ACV rises significantly, mostly on ITO activity.
Asia Pacific 4Q and Full-Year Counts
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends
107 106 124 125 110 98 75 72 67 51
39 26 37 29 41 45
37 22 27 21
146 132
161 154 151 143 112
94 94 72
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q Counts 4Q Counts
Asia Pacific 4Q and Full-Year ACV (€B)*
Asia Pacific Market Size Asia Pacific Full-Year Segment Details ACV (€B)*
€11.1
€6.2
804
323
201413121110090807062005
Commercial Sector Outsourcing Market Size ($B)Active Contracts
€ 1.9 € 1.2
€ 2.2 € 1.3 € 1.1
€ 1.6 € 1.2 € 1.3 € 1.0 € 0.6
€ 0.5
€ 0.4
€ 0.5
€ 0.5 € 0.8 € 0.6
€ 0.7 € 0.7
€ 0.3 € 0.6
€ 2.4
€ 1.6
€ 2.7
€ 1.8 € 1.9 € 2.3
€ 1.9 € 2.0
€ 1.3 € 1.3
201413121110090807062005
1Q to 3Q ACV 4Q ACV
€ 1.5
€ 0.9
€ 2.1
€ 0.3 € 0.0
€ 0.5
€ 1.0
€ 1.5
€ 2.0
€ 2.5
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years2013 2014
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€ 0.74 € 0.58 € 0.53
€ 0.30 € 0.20
€ 0.01 € 0.0 € 0.2 € 0.4 € 0.6 € 0.8 € 1.0 € 1.2 € 1.4
ANZ India and SouthAsia
Japan Greater China Southeast Asia South Korea
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years 2013 2014
€ 0.52 € 0.50 € 0.58
€ 0.33
€ 0.15 € 0.06 € 0.06 € 0.12
€ 0.04 € -
€ 0.2
€ 0.4
€ 0.6
€ 0.8
€ 1.0
FinancialServices
Telecom& Media
Manufacturing TravelTransport
Leisure
Energy BusinessServices
Healthcare& Pharma
ConsumerProducts & Goods
Retail
Range of Prior 3 Years Avg of Prior 3 Years 2013 2014
In 2014 most geographies in Asia Pacific exceed 2013’s performance, with strength in ANZ, India and Japan. Telecom and Manufacturing post major comebacks.
Asia Pacific Sub-regions Full-Year ACV (€B)*
Asia Pacific Industry Full-Year ACV (€B)*
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends Detail
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Co. Revenues < €2 B Co. Revenues €2 -10 B
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in Asia Pacific Several Japanese providers join the large multinationals in the Big 10 Sourcing Standouts list. Australian and India-based providers contribute greatly to the two smaller tiers.
Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
Co. Revenues > €10B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
Cognizant HCL
Infosys Orange Business Services
Singtel Optus Tech Mahindra
Transfield Services United Group Services
Unisys Wipro
Accenture BT
CSC Fujitsu Hitachi
HP IBM
Ricoh TCS
Telstra
ChinaSoft Hollysys Automation
Itron Kratos Defense & Security
NGA Human Resources Pactera Ramco
Redknee Solutions SITA WNS
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
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Special Topic for Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2014 CLOUD ADOPTION FORCES INFLECTION POINT IN MARKET
John Keppel Partner & President
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Indian-heritage+Niche Providers Hard charging
Growth Tower-based ITO
The Sourcing Industry is at an Inflection Point
Expect Restructurings in Next 2 Years Almost Half Infrastructure Related
Competitive Bids
Western-heritage Providers Traditional Leaders Tower-based ITO
Scale Cloud Providers Cloud Multisourcing; Workloads Go to Best Cloud Option
Providers must reinvent to succeed Shed outdated business models and adopt radically different strategies
IaaS Gets Real
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Get the focus right. … There is plenty of new space to play in.
Bought by smaller competitors
Must Move Fast and Invest
CATCH THE DIGITIZATION WAVE Driven by the Internet of Things
Realign to Market Opportunities
Focus on Applications &
Testing $ Government support
Consolidation
THE LEADER BOARD WILL CHANGE Bought out, bailed out or bow out
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4Q Broader Market ACV up on increases in activity and large awards All regions saw significant 4Q Y/Y growth ACV up double digits for the full year; both New and Restructured scope up Mature sourcing markets provide significant growth in Asia Pacific, moderate
gains in the Americas and a slight increase in EMEA ITO ACV saw 19% growth for 2014; BPO gains uneven against very weak 2013 Manufacturing and Energy post impressive annual growth
Expect a healthy industry going forward Comparisons for 1H15 will be challenging against 1H14 as 1Q and 2Q 2014
were ~€5 Billion quarters – difficult to match Sourcing industry sits at an inflection point with not only long-standing
Western-heritage providers facing off against Indian-heritage providers, but now cloud-based providers join the fray
4Q and Full-Year ISG Outsourcing Index Summary and Outlook
summary market
outlook market
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ISG insights serving providers and market analysts
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Partner +44 7789 771 665
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+44 1737 371523 [email protected]
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Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2014 APPENDIX: SCORE CARD FOR TCV
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The ISG Outsourcing Index has moved to ACV as the primary measure of the Broader Market. In transition, we will continue to provide a high-level TCV view of the market via a Scorecard analysis.
Fourth Quarter and Full-Year TCV Scorecard
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Scorecard 4Q14 4Q Y/Y 4Q Q/Q 2014 2014
TCV (€B)* Change Change TCV (€B)* Change
Global Market € 22.0 37% 20% € 83.7 20%
New Scope € 11.0 -6% -12% € 51.9 14%
Restructurings € 11.0 151% 87% € 31.8 30%
Mega-deals € 7.4 243% 89% € 19.5 66%
ITO € 15.5 38% 16% € 60.9 29%
BPO € 6.5 34% 31% € 22.8 0%
Americas € 7.7 76% -6% € 29.8 40%
EMEA € 12.0 18% 39% € 43.2 4%
Asia Pacific € 2.3 45% 49% € 10.7 48%
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