22 september 2011 final review 1 march final review fornebu, norway, 22 september 2011 significantly...
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22 September 2011
Final review
1
MARCH final reviewFornebu, Norway, 22 September 2011
Significantly lower the cost of converged broadband service delivery by establishing scalable multilink network architectures
Agenda
09:00-10:00 Presentation of summarised results, Focus on second half of the project, i.e., Deliverables D3.3, D3.4, D3.5, D4.2/D5.1, D5.2, and D7.6
10:00-10:45 DemonstrationsDeliverable D6.1
10:45-11:00 Coffee break
11:00-12:00 Questions and answers
12:00-13:00 Reviewer internal discussion
13:00-14:00 Lunch
22 September 2011
Final review
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Response to emails 20 SeptemberBeyond SoA at start of MARCH
• Scenarios business analyses, future broadband access market development, and forecasted consumer spending
• Methods for scheduling of application IP packets on multiple links for real time video applications using dynamic error correction, adaptive bit rate, and adaptive scalable video coding
• Radio resource management applicable for multilink
• Investigating and proposing multilink network architecture solutions for multipath gateway, multilink middleware, multilink connection manager, enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink, and roaming and multi-actor assured services
• Developed and demonstrated multilink network technical solutions, multilink-aware content provider application, and using IPTV applications handling multilink streams
Partner contributions
Largely as describe din the PD, with more details at the meeting
European dimension
Different skills needed. Mixed industry collaboration. Standardisation effort
New and enhanced products will be specified in more detail during the review
22 September 2011
Final review
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The economical scenarios analyses have evolved through collaboration between all partners and all WPs
WP 2 WP 4 WP 5 WP 7WP 6
Scenarios and actorsTechnology components
Feasible architectures
Cost elementsProved deployability
Feedback from workshops and presentations
Input from industry partnersCAPEX and OPEXWillingness to pay
Input from industry in different marketsMarket and service specific CAPEX and
OPEX and willingness to pay
Quantitative analyses of four scenarios derived from developed business models
Promoting multilink for continuous access to Campus 3D educational learning environment in Spain
Promoting multilink for security fleets communication management
Promoting the combination of WiMAX and satellite broadcast networks for bandwidth and N-play to rural areas of Spain
Broadband services combining mobile 3G and Wi-Fi
Deliverable D3.322 September 2011
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Final review
Example of a mediator providing broadband 3G and WiFI access
Business case assumptions
Provides gateway and terminal software only
Targets advanced private customers
Population of 5 000 000 and a mobile terminal penetration of 90%.
20% of the terminals can support more than one network interface in Year 0, with an increase of
5-20% the first years.
We attract 0.5% of the multilink terminals as customers.
ARPU is 3€ with an annual decrease
The net present value (NPV) is estimated to be 1 026 084.
This business case shows a positive cash flow already after 1 year.
Deliverable D3.322 September 2011
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Final review
Example of an operator providing broadband 3G and WiFI access
Business case assumptions
Customers with multilink terminals use multilink transparently controlled by the
operator
Increased revenue due to more customers (2-5%)
Invests in gateway and terminal software
Population of 5 000 000 and a mobile terminal penetration of 90%.
20% of the terminals can support more than one network interface in Year 0, with an
increase of 5-20% the first years.
This business case shows a positive cash flow already in year 1.
Deliverable D3.322 September 2011
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Final review
Fixed broadband Western European residential market
22 September 2011
Final review
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Penetration forecasts Busy hour traffic forecasts
Deliverable D3.4
Several high quality sources for traffic dataOwn developed forecast methods
Mobile broadband consumer and business market Western Europe
22 September 2011
Final review
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Penetration, large screen
Deliverable D3.4
Mobile data busy hour traffic Western Europe
22 September 2011
Final review
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Market development summary
• Busy hour total traffic forecasts during the busy hour; key information for planning and dimensioning of the networks
• Short-term and long-term traffic forecasts are crucial for long term network planning
• Long-term traffic forecasts for both fixed and mobile broadband data in the busy hour show an explosive growth.
o Mobile data traffic in 2015 increases 36 times the 2008 level and 16 times the 2009 level
o Fixed broadband traffic is estimated to be 19 times larger than the mobile broadband in 2009, while the proportion is reduced to 6 times larger in 2015
• However, it is important to underline that there are uncertainties in these forecasts
22 September 2011
Final review
11Deliverable D3.4
Growth in provisioning and consumption of digital content on Internet
High digital share:
• Music: large CD decrease, revenue catastrophe, hope: subscription models
• Games: smooth transformation to online, healthy online business
Low digital share – so far:
• Film: DVD decrease, some online streaming successes
• TV: linear still going strong, online is catch-up
Challenge: Sustainable business model for digital contentIn the long run: transformation to sustainable digital models
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable 3.5
Challenge for content industry – challenge for broadband networksBroadband network: How to position in mediator role between
end-user and content provider?
Suggestion 1 – MEDIATOR ROLE:
Two-sided market – sender party paysthe broadband network:
Pros Cons
•Sending party cares more about other side•End-user demand variety
• Empirically few examples of shifts
PlatformBroadband network
End-userContent and
service provider
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable 3.5
Challenge for content industry – challenge for broadband networks
Suggestion 2 – MEDIATOR ROLE:
The hypothesis is: Part of the spending categories, which the household now pay for, will in the future be partially substituted by use of services in the mobile and fixed broadband networks
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable 3.5
Household spending for content and telecommunication increase
We see the spending over time change between categories, but for some of the countries there is also a significant growth in total spending.
Example: Cultural services and entertainment , Norway
The table shows that all three categories for the Norwegian market have a very significant growth both from 2000 – 2005 and from 2005 to 2009. Probably there will be a similar in the period 2005 – 2009 in the Western European market.
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable 3.5
Substitution can happen, also in rural areasLower content spending in rural areas
Communication spending almost on urban level
CommunicationEntertainment
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable 3.5
Summary and further work
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable D3.5
Investigated multilink techniques
• Content adaption
• Bandwidth aggregation
• Service constraints optimisation
• Forward error correction over multiple connections
• Reliability and robustness/Reliability and security
• Inter-system network load balancing with QoS awareness
• Radio Resource Management (RRM)
• Multiple antenna techniques
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1 22 September 2011
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Final review
Network layer main multilink techniques
• Adaptive video coding
o Layered video on different links
o Frame types on different links
• Adaptive scheduling
o Consider latency, loss rate, link bandwidth
o Streaming and control traffic, priority handling
• Forward / Backward error checking and correction
o Considers different link loss rate
• Monitoring
o Passive and active end-to-end for each link
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1 22 September 2011
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Final review
Network layer techniques key benefits
• Increased throughput by sending independent information on several concurrent streams
• Increased reliability, e.g., by sending duplicate information on several concurrent streams
• Increased service continuity by dynamic and flexible access to different radio access networks
• Increased network utilisation by sharing the network load
o Supported by simulations and analytical modelling
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1 22 September 2011
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Final review
Radio access network layer main techniques and benefits
• Service capacity
o Selection an optimal link for each user
o Use multiple input multiple output (MIMO) technology
• Service reliability by using redundant links
o MIMO technology
• Increased quality of service (QoS)
o Load balancing including user QoS parameters
Deliverable D4.2/D5.1 22 September 2011
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Final review
Multilink network architecture• Identified deployment possibilities of MARCH
ML techniques into holistic architectural settings Considering ongoing standardisation Considering various multilink connectivity modes Proposing specific value propositions Investigating evolution paths
• More specifically, investigating and proposing solutions Multipath gateway Multilink middleware Multilink connection manager Enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink Roaming and multi-actor assured services
22 September 2011
22Deliverable D5.2Final review
2009-10-27
HLø
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Multilink connectivity modesConcurrent use of multiple links
App App
ML User Equipment
MLA MPG
MPG(Multipath Gateway)
Service FlowSplitting / Merging
Service flow split/merge
MLA
App
App
App
App
App
Multi TCP connections
Deliverable D5.2
MLA
2009-10-27
HLø
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Multilink connectivity modes Concurrent use of multiple links
App
Non-3GPP access
3GPP access
App
App
App
App
IP flow mobility (3GPP Rel. 10)
App PDN-GW(MLG)
App
3GPP MNOCore
• Seamless WLAN offload
• IP flow mobility between 3GPP and WLAN (DSMIPv6)
• Interactions with the Policy Control and ANDSF frameworks
Deliverable D5.2
ML User Equipment
ML Adaptor (MLA)
OS IP stack
Application
Link/Phy
MARCH Middleware
Multipath GW Content Server
MPG Function
Mapping the e2e IP stream onto
the IP tunnels OS IP stack
Link/Phy
Application
OS Socket API with link specific nw address
Virtual Socket API
NICNICNIC
Multipath Gateway ArchitectureIP – in – IP tunnels
Deliverable D5.2
Architecture – Enhanced Wi-Fi offload with multilink
21 September 2011
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User Equipment
OS IPStack
Application
Link/Phy
Wi-Fi3GPP
ApplicationApplication
NIAL
Conn Mgr
MPG
MPCF
IMS Client IMS Core
AppSrv
HSS/SPR
eANDSF
PDN-GW(MLGF)
MLPDP(ePCRF)
PEF
Policy Client
NIAL – Network Interface Abstraction LayerNI – Network Interface (Card)
MLPDP – ML Policy Decision PointPEF – Policy Enforcement FunctionHSS – Home Subscriber ServerSPR – Subscriber Profile Repository
Multilink Middleware
MPG
Holistic evolution of the user terminal is key!
Deliverable D5.2
AppSrv
AG
MLUE
CG (F)
CSMPGF
MLA
APAPAP(M)
MLPDP(ePCRF)
PEF
APAPAP(F)
PEFInternet
eANDSF
Partner HotSpot domain
CG
PCRF
PEF
Competing MNO domain
MNO partnering with HotSpot Network Operator
Inter-actor operation, potentially based onGSMA OneAPI
Deliverable D5.2
OnlineContent
Provider(Home area)
VisitedMNO(Core)Visited MNO(Access)
CG(M)
MLUE
MLA
APAPAP(M)
LRM
MLPDP(ePCRF)
PEF
AP(F)
LRM
VisitedeANDSF
HotspotPartner
domain / Premises
Transit (Hub) Internet NSP
HomeMNO
(Core)
CS
HSS
MPGF
MLCF
Point of Interconnect supporting
Assured service quality traffic terminationCf. EU project ETICS
Roaming multilink user
(3)
(1)
Service/Session Handler
Service/Session Handler
Service/Session Handler
(2)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
Roaming with multilink and Wi-Fi based local breakout
22 September 2011
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Final review
Deliverable D5.2
MARCH - Technical Exploitation beyond SoA
• Development of the scalable and modular multilink architecture
• Telvent - First multilink-aware content provider
• IPTV application to display multilink streams by Gravity
• Transparent multilink solution and mediator service are under development by Simula
• Multi access network solutions to be developed into future product lines by Lividi
• Video conference solution that exploits multiple networks simultaneously by Lividi
• New product: RMM server by RuggedCom
• Multilink techniques such as dynamic FEC, bandwidth aggregation, adaptive bit rate control and AVC codec by LiveU
Deliverable D7.6 22 September 2011
30
Final review
MARCH Economical Exploitation
• New N-play business models
• Business evaluations for different cases
• New market strategies and partner strategies
• IPTV live event application
• Developed products hopefully will generate significant impact on live broadcast market
• Standardisation of the developed results
o Contributions to 3GPP, IPSphere and TMForum on multilink combination of mobile and wireless local area network
Deliverable D7.6 22 September 2011
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Final review
22 September 2011
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Final review
MARCH Dissemination• MARCH publications
o Papers in journals: 8
o Papers in conference proceedings: 17
o Presentations at workshops and conferences: 10
• MARCH events and demonstrations
o MARCH workshop in Norway - Fornebu, Norway, 27th of October, 2009
o First MARCH international workshop - Ramat-Gan, Tel Aviv, Israel, 3rd of MARCH, 2010.
o MARCH live demonstration at Svalbard, Norway - MARCH multilink technology used to provide live video coverage from an excavation site of Predator X at Svalbard, 3 - 17 August 2010
Deliverable D7.6
MARCH Dissemination
• MARCH events and demonstrations
o Celtic-Plus Event 2011 - The MARCH consortium demonstrated the project's results on the Celtic-Plus Event 2011. Live coverage of this CELTIC Event was powered by LiveU - member of the MARCH Consortium - using the multilink technology
o Workshop on Broadband mobile access over heterogeneous networks for improved capacity, coverage, and quality of experiences
• Universities disseminated the results through their education activity
o PhD theses, MsC/BsC theses, etc.
• Website of the project was launched where all the public material is accessible
Deliverable D7.6 22 September 2011
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Final review