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Meat Importers Council of the Americas 2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1

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Page 1: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Meat Importers Council of the Americas

2016 MICA CONFERENCE

26-28 th September

San Francisco, CA

SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS:

URUGUAY30/09/2016 1

Page 2: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

INAC – National Meat Institute

• Non profit organization – Budget from % of meat sales

• Not involved in commercial issues

• Improvement of conditions of meat sector + Advise toGovernment. Involves all meats

– Marketing and Promotion

– Quality control

– Certification

– Statistics

– Food safety in local supply chain from packer to consumer

– Promote Research30/09/2016 2

Page 3: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

National Meat Institute (1967)INAC

2 DELEGATES OF GOVERNMENT

PresidentSecretary of Agriculture

Vice-presidentSecretary of Industry

3 D

ELEG

ATE

S O

F FA

RM

ERS

3 D

ELEGA

TES OF PA

CK

ERS

APFMI

Page 4: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Uruguay: general information

•Per capita Income: 16.000 USD

•Currency: ??

•Inflation: 10% (slowly down)

•Unemployment: 7,5% (2015)

•Meat consumption: 100

kg/year16,000

50 kg

100 kg

•GDP: 53 billion USD

•Population: 3.300.000

•Life expectancy: 77 years

•Literacy: 97%

Page 5: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Yearly Average GDP Growth

30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 5

Page 6: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Top Export Products

30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 6

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

1 2 3

EXPORTS 2014 (Millions USD)

Soybeans

Beef and beefproducts

Cellulose Pulp

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

1 2 3

EXPORTS 2015 (Millions USD)

Beef and beef products

Soybeans

Cellulose Pulp

Page 7: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

TOTAL BEEF PRODUCTION (CW)

30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 7

2014 2015

Exports 365,000 67% 387,000 68%

Local Consumption

182,000 33% 179,000 32%

TOTAL 547,000 566,000

Page 8: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Uruguay: meat consumption (kg) and self-sufficiency (%)

TOTAL- 100 KG

Poultry- 20 kg (100%)

Sheep meat- 5 kg (100%)

Pigmeat- 20 kg (40 %)

Beef- 55 kg (100%)

Page 9: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Total Herd (thousands of heads)

30/09/2016 9

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

OVINE

BOVINE

Page 10: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Females thousands of heads - Bovine

30/09/2016 10

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Breeding cows

Total females

Page 11: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Land use other than cattle raising in natural grasslands (thousands of hectares)

30/09/2016 11

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Crops

Forestry

2.3 million hectares15 % of land “lost” for cattle production !!

SUSTAINABILITY!

Page 12: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Total heads slaughtered

30/09/2016 12

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Bovine

Ovine

Page 13: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

Slaughter/Packer Ownership 2016

30/09/2016 13

5,8%

6,0%

39,3%

8,0%

2016 (% of slaughter )

ORIGIN

41,9%Marfrig

21,4%

Minerva

11,9%

JBS -

Canelones6,0%BPU

8,0%San

Jacinto5,8%

Foresun

6,0%

Uruguayan

41,9%

Page 14: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

BEEF EXPORTS

30/09/2016 14

2014 = 365.000 MTONS

24% NAFTA

25% CHINA

15% EU

9% ISRAEL

9% MERCOSUR

17% ALL OTHERS

2015 = 387.000 MTONS + 6%

21% NAFTA

44% CHINA

13% EU

8% ISRAEL

4% MERCOSUR

12% ALL OTHERS

Page 15: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

USA – 2016 vs 2015 – by August 31 stMTONS CW

2015 2016 % CHANGE

NAFTA 61,965 60,337 -3 %

USA 54,937 46,266 -16%

CANADA 6,592 13,794 +109%

MEXICO 436 277 -36%

TOTAL FOR URUGUAY 255,500 272,500 +7%

30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 15

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

2015 2016

2015 - 2016 MONTHLY EXPORTS

USA TRQ BY AUGUST 31 – MTONS (SW)

2015 2016

13,978 (70%) 14,344 (72%)

Page 16: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES

• Cattle herd and production: Slow increase under actual conditions– Small changes in available land. No deforestation/Positive forestation

– Stable herd

– Gradual improvement in production efficiency

– Increase in production goes to international market

30/09/2016 16

Page 17: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES

• Give value to differential attributes:– INSTITUTIONAL

Sector proactive GOVERNANCE

INTEGRITY ENHANCEMENT (Consumer Trust)

– PRODUCTION SYSTEM• 90 % British Beef Breeds (Hereford/Angus)

• 100% life long individual traceability for cattle. Consumer trust, enhancedmonitoring and specialized certifications (Never Ever 3; USDA Process Verified)

• Open field production, mainly grass fed. USDA annual audits

• Fatty acid quantity, quality and balance Omega 3/Omega 6

• Hormones and antibiotics in food prohibited by law

30/09/2016 17

Page 18: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES

» United Nations General Assembly Elevates Antibiotic Resistance to Crisis Level…Sept 2016…

30/09/2016 18

Page 19: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES

– OTHER CONCERNS• Sustainability

• Animal Welfare

• Bone in lamb approval to USA

30/09/2016 19

Page 20: 2016 MICA CONFERENCE San Francisco, CA SUPPLY …2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1. ... Sector proactive

TIME FOR GOOD NEWS!!

30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 20

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SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES

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THANK YOU !!

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