2015 home buyer survey

98
UNDERSTANDING CALIFORNIA HOME BUYERS Presented by Carmen Hirciag, MBA Senior Research Analyst

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The 2015 CALIFORNIA ASSOCATION OF REALTORS® Home Buyer Surveys look at buyers in greater detail. The Survey covers home buyer demographics, the types of homes purchased and preferences, the details of the buying experience from the buyer perspective, and many aspects concerning client and real estate agent interaction.

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  • UNDERSTANDING CALIFORNIA HOMEBUYERS

    Presented byCarmen Hirciag, MBASenior Research Analyst

  • Survey Methodology

    700 telephone interviews and 567 online surveys conducted inFebruary April 2015

    Respondents are home buyers who purchased a home Feb. 2014 Feb. 2015

  • THE BUYING EXPERIENCE

  • Residence Location

    Q. County of most recent home purchase?

    SoCal 54%

    NorCal 14%

    Other CA 32%

  • Distressed SalesContinue Decline

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Regular/Equity REO/Bank Owned Short

    Q. Was the home you recently bought a Regular Sale, REO/Bank Owned Property, Short Sale, or another type of sale?

  • Most Purchases are Single Family Homes

    Q. Was the home ?

    Single family87%

    Condo/townhouse 13%

  • Vacation/2nd Home Purchases Increase

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Primary residence Investment Vacation/2nd home

    Q What was the intended use of the property?

  • Listing Price Declines 7.9%YTY

    $0

    $50,000

    $100,000

    $150,000

    $200,000

    $250,000

    $300,000

    $350,000

    $400,000

    2013 2014 2015

    $355,000$380,000

    $350,000

    Median

    Q. What was the initial listing price of the home you purchased?

  • Sale/Listing Prices Equal

    $0

    $50,000

    $100,000

    $150,000

    $200,000

    $250,000

    $300,000

    $350,000

    Listing Purchase

    $350,000 $350,000

    Median

    Q. What was the price of the home you purchased?

  • Many Listing > Purchase Prices

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2013 2014 2015

    60%49% 44%

    4%

    5%28%

    36%45%

    28%

    Listing < Purchase

    Listing = Purchase

    Listing > Purchase

    Q. What was the initial listing price of the home you purchased?

    Q. What was the price of the home you purchased?

  • Many Homes are in the Suburbs

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    Rural

    Close to public transportation

    Within walking distance of supermarket

    Within walking distance ofshopping/restaurants/entertainment

    Urban

    Suburban

    15%

    26%

    26%

    28%

    34%

    40%

    Q. Please describe the location of the home. Select all that apply.

  • More Buyers Previously Lived with Parents

    49%38%

    50%59%

    47%

    48%54%

    38%

    40%

    39%

    3%7% 6%

    2%12%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Owned Rented Lived w/parents Other

    Q. What was the living arrangement immediately before your recent home purchase?

  • Buyers Spending LessTime Considering PurchaseBefore ContactingAgent

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Q. How many weeks did you consider buying a home before contacting a real estate agent? (Asked if agent was used)

    Average Weeks

  • Buyers Spending LessTime Investigating Homes &Neighborhoods BeforeContactingAgent

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Wee

    ks

    Q. How many weeks did you spend investigating homes and neighborhoods before contacting a real estate agent?

    Average Weeks

  • The Home Search is Longer than Its Ever Been

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Average Weeks

    Q. Once you found your agent, about how many weeks did you spend looking for a home with your agent? (Asked if agent was used)

  • Decrease in HomesViewed ReflectsTightInventory

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Q. How many different homes did you preview and visit with your agent prior to making a purchase?

    Median

  • Top 5 Reasons for Buying

    Desired better/other location

    Changed jobs/relocated

    Desired larger home

    To have a place to live

    Tired of renting

    8.4%

    11%

    12%

    14%

    15%

    Q. What were your main reasons for buying your home?

  • Buyers Didnt Purchase Sooner Because

    Q. Why didnt you buy a home sooner?

    Difficulty qualifying for mortgage

    Needed to sell current home

    Needed to save for down payment

    Waited to see when prices wouldstabilize

    Not many good housing options

    Waited until finances improved

    No real buying urgency

    5%

    8%

    12%

    13%

    13%

    21%

    22%

  • Most Buyers Feel their Home isWorth the Price Paid

    Yes 85%

    No, price toohigh 14%

    No, price toolow 1.4%

    Q. Do you feel the home you purchased is worth the price you paid?

  • Majority of Buyers Found Home throughAgent

    Open house

    For sale sign

    Website

    Agent

    0%20%

    40%60%

    8.5%

    11%

    18%

    55%

    Q. How did you find the home you purchased?

  • Buyers Plan to Keep Homes Longer

    Q. How long do you plan to keep the property?

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    2013 2014 2015

    6

    8.8

    20

    AverageYears

  • BuyersOptimisticAbout LongTerm Direction ofHome Prices

    67%

    24%

    7%

    3%

    71%

    13%

    11%

    4%

    Up

    Flat

    Unsure

    1 Year 5 Years

    Down

    Q Do you think home prices in the neighborhood where you purchased will go up, down, or stay flat in one year, in five years?

  • Fewer Buyers Believe PricesWill Rise in 5Years

    Q Do you think home prices in the neighborhood where you purchased will go up in one year, in five years?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Up in 1 Yr Up in 5 Yrs

  • Safety is Most Important in Choosing aNeighborhood

    Q Please rate the importance of the following in your decision to purchase a home in the neighborhood where youpurchased. (Scale 1-10, 1=not at all important, 10=extremely important)

    Category Rating

    Safety 8.3Walkability 6.5Quality of schools 6.1Entertainment/cultural activities nearby 5.9Short commute to work 5.6Great restaurants nearby 5.5

  • Ideal Neighborhood is Suburban & Pedestrian-oriented for Majority of Buyers

    Q 21. Please select which of the following characteristics describe your ideal neighborhood. Select all that apply.

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Ethnic

    Resort area

    Urban core (downtown)

    Urban pioneer (up & coming)

    Historic

    Rural

    Gated community

    Cul-de-sac

    Pedestrian-oriented (high walkability)

    Suburban

    5.6%

    11%

    12%

    15%

    17%

    19%

    21%

    21%

    21%

    34%

  • Majority of Buyers are Satisfied with Purchase

    Q Are you satisfied with the home you purchased or do you feel like you had to compromise?

    75%

    13%

    12%Satisfied

    Selectd best house givenlimited supply in desiredneighborhood

    Selected best house inaffordable neighborhood;prices too high inpreferred neighborhood

  • Technology Use

    27

  • Zillow & Realtor.com are Most UsefulWebsites inBuying Process

    10%

    10%

    13%

    17%

    33%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Q. What was the single most useful website that you visited during your home buying process?

    Agent

  • Realtor.com & Zillow Most UsefulWebsites

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Zillow realtor.com Brokerage Redfin

    Q. What was the single most useful website that you visited during your home buying process?

  • Most Buyers are Using Mobile Devices

    85%91%

    85%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2013 2014 2015

    Q. Did you use a mobile device in the home buying process?

  • 85% of Buyers Used Mobile Device in Buying Process

    95% Research homes

    28% Communicate

    20% Research neighborhoods

    14% Take photos of homes/amenities/neighborhoods

    13% Email

    10% Make calls

    Q. How did you use your mobile device in the home buying process? N = 1269

  • Zillow is Most Useful App

    Q. What was the most useful app that you used during the home buying process? N = 1269

  • Zillow Remains Most Useful App

    Q. What was the most useful app that you used during the home buying process?

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    2014 2015

    Zillow realtor.com Trulia

  • BuyersWho Found Home Online Found it onZillow or Redfin

    9.4%

    13%

    21%

    29%

    0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%

    Q. On which website did you find your home?

  • Zillow Remains #1Website where Buyers FoundHome

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    realtor.com Zillow Trulia Redfin

    Q. On which website did you find your home?

  • Social Media Use Declines

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    52%

    68%75% 77%

    35%

    Q. Did you use social media (such as Facebook, Twitter,YouTube, etc.) in your home buying process?

  • Social Media Used for Buying Info &Tips/Suggestions from Friends

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

    Agents' YouTube

    Agent's Facebook page

    Agent referrals

    Neighborhood info

    Buying tips, suggestions from friends

    Home buying info

    17%

    26%

    27%

    30%

    31%

    35%

    Q. How did you use social media (such as Facebook, Twitter,YouTube, etc.) in your home buying process?

  • 35% of Buyers Used Social Media in BuyingProcess

    Q. Which social media websites did you use during your home buying process?

  • Facebook RemainsTop Social Media Site forBuyers

    Q. Which social media websites did you use during your home buying process?

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    2014 2015

    Facebook YouTube Twitter Yelp

  • 64% of Buyers Didnt Search for Agent Ratings

    0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

    Trulia

    Yelp

    Zillow

    9.1%

    10%

    14%

    Q. On which agent rating sites did you search for your agents ratings?

  • 62% of Buyers Didnt Rate theirAgent Online

    0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

    Trulia

    Yelp

    Zillow

    8.5%

    10%

    14%

    Q. On which agent rating sites did you rate your agent?

  • Fewer BuyersGoogling theirAgent

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Q. Did you Google your agent?

  • Financing

  • More BuyersObtained Financing

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    100%94% 92% 96%

    91%

    74% 77%

    Q. Did you obtain financing for your home purchase?

  • Nearly Buyers Paid Cash

    Financing 77%

    Cash 23%

    Q. How did you pay for the home you purchased?

  • MostCash Buyers Used Personal Savings or Proceedsfrom Sale of Previous Residence

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

    Inheritance

    Sale of personal assets

    Borrowed/gifted

    Proceeds from sale/refi of anotherproperty

    Proceeds from sale of previousresidence

    Personal savings

    12%

    13%

    17%

    18%

    28%

    40%

    Q. If all cash, where did the funds come from? N = 367

  • Average Down Payment RemainsAbove 20%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Average

    Q. What was your down payment for the home purchased, in percent of the home value?

  • Most BuyersObtain Fixed Rate Loans

    Fixed 83%

    Adjustable 13%

    Other 1.1%

    Unsure 3.5%

    Q. What type of loan do you have?

  • Fixed Rate Loans Remain Majority

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    69%79% 84%

    93% 91% 92%83%

    31% 15%16%

    7% 8% 8%13%

    Fixed Adjustable Other Unsure

    Q. What type of loan do you have?

  • Loans are for 30Years

    0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

    100%

    20112012

    20132014

    2015

    85% 87%85% 86%

    75%

    15% 13% 15% 14%

    17%

    Unsure Other 15 Year 30 Year

    Q. What was the duration of your loan?

  • Buyers Have Less DifficultyWith Financing

    0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    8.1 8.5 8.0 8.5 8.6

    7.1

    4.1

    Average

    Q. Please rate how easy or difficult it was to obtain financing on a scale of 1 to 10 with 1 being very easy and 10 being very difficult.

  • MajorityThink Interest Rates Have Bottomed

    Yes 63%

    No 37%

    Q. Do you think mortgage interest rates have bottomed?

  • BUYER/AGENT RELATIONSHIP

  • More Buyers Used an Agent

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Q. Did you use a real estate agent in your home buying process?

  • Most Buyers FindAgents through Relationship/Contacts

    0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

    100%

    Relationships/Contacts Advertising Internet Other

    Q. How did you find your real estate agent?

  • Majority of Buyers Interviewed > 1 Agent

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    42%

    17%

    12%9%

    4%3% 3% 4% 3% 3%

    # of Agents Interviewed

    Q. How many agents did you interview prior to selecting the agent you used in your recent home purchase?

  • BuyersContinue Interviewing MultipleAgents

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    2.3 2.3 2.42.5 2.5 2.4

    2.8

    2.2

    1.8

    2.2

    3.2 3.1

    2.4

    Average

    Q. How many agents did you interview prior to selecting the agent you used in your recent home purchase?

  • Being Responsive is Important to Buyers inSelecting an Agent

    7%

    8%

    8%

    10%

    20%

    Knowledgeable/experienced

    Negotiating ability

    Trustworthy

    Previously used agent

    Seemed most reponsive

    Q. What was the single most important reason for selecting the agent that you used in your recent home purchase?.

  • Agents CommunicateAccording to BuyerPreference

    Telephone EmailText Message

    In PersonSocial media

    49%

    22%

    12% 13%

    2%

    52%

    21%

    12% 13%

    2%

    Preferred Actual

    Q. What was your preferred method of communicating with your agent?

    Q. How did your agent actually communicate with you?

  • 0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Q. What was the typical response time you expected from your agent to return any form of communication to you?

    Fewer Buyers Expect Instant Response fromAgents

  • Agent ResponseTime Meets Buyer Expectations

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Instantly Within 1 hr. Within 2 hrs. Within 4 hrs. Within 1business day

    26%

    37%

    11% 9.0%

    16%

    29%

    42%

    12%7%

    10%

    Expected Actual

    Q. What was the typical response time you expected from your agent to return any form of communication to you?

    Q. On average, what was the actual response time of your agent to return any form of communication to you?

  • Agent Satisfaction Ratings Improve-AverageRatingson1-5Scale-

    2014 2015

    Your real estate agents negotiating skills 3.4 4.3

    Overall process of finding a home 3.3 4.1

    Overall satisfaction with your real estate agent 3.3 4.4

    Q. Please rate your degree of satisfaction with the following aspects of your home buying experience on a scale of 1-5, where 1 is leastsatisfied and 5 is most satisfied.

  • Buyer Satisfaction Improves

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    4.5

    5

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Process of Finding a Home Satisfaction with Agent

    Q. Please rate your degree of satisfaction with the following aspects of your home buying experience on a scale of 1-5, where 1 is leastsatisfied and 5 is most satisfied.

  • Top 5 Reasons for SatisfactionWithAgent

    Q. Why do you have that level of satisfaction with your agent?

  • Reasons for DissatisfactionWithAgent

    Q. Why do you have that level of satisfaction with your agent?

  • Most BuyersWouldWork withAgentAgain

    88% 87%

    50%67% 61% 64%

    72%54% 60% 52%

    61%

    85%

    2% 3%

    4%

    3% 15% 13%11%

    11%12% 22%

    33%

    11%10% 10%

    46%30%

    25%22% 17%

    35% 28%26%

    6% 4%

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Unsure No Yes

    Q. Would you work with the same agent again?

  • Most BuyersWould RecommendAgent to Others

    Q. Would you recommend your agent to others?

    Yes 85%

    No 11%Unsure 4%

  • WHO IS THE 2014 BUYER?Demographics

  • TypicalCA Home Buyer

  • TypicalCA Household

  • Percent of First-time Buyers Rebounds20

    02

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    8% 7%

    15%

    25%25%

    19%19%

    38%

    46%43%

    54%

    42%

    12%

    40%

    Q. Was this your first home purchase?

  • Most Buyers have Not Experienced a DistressedSaleForeclosure 10%

    Short sale 12%

    Neither 78%

    Q. Have you ever gone through a foreclosure or short sale?

  • 79% of Distressed SalesOccurredAfter 2007

    Q. What year was the foreclosure or short sale?

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    before2008

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    #of

    Dis

    tres

    sed

    Sale

    s

    Year

  • More Repeat Buyers Previously UnderWater

    Q. Was the outstanding loan balance on your previous home higher than the sale price?

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    2013 2014 2015

    12%

    4%

    23%

  • Buyer Gender

    0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

    100%

    Male Female

    Q. What is your gender?

  • Majority of Buyers are Over 35

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%20

    0220

    0320

    0420

    0520

    0620

    07

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

    Q. What is your age?

  • BuyerAge Slightly Declines

    38 39 3940 41 39 39

    37 36 35 35 36

    4644

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Median Age

    Q. What is your age?

  • Majority of Buyers areWhite

    5%

    7%

    9%

    15%

    64%

    Other

    Black

    Asian

    Hispanic

    White

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    Q. How would you describe your ethnic background?

  • Majority of Buyers are Married

    married 70%

    Single 18%

    Other 12%

  • More than Half of Buyers haveCollege Degrees

    HighSchool

    SomeCollege

    4-YearCollege

    Grad

    GraduateSchool

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%35%

    16%

    28%

    33%

    22%

    Q. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

  • Majority of Buyers haveAnnual Household Income> $75K

    < $50,000

    $50-000-$74,999

    $75,000-$99,999

    $100,000-$149,999

    $150,000-$199,999

    $200,000 +

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

    18%

    22%

    18%

    19%

    7%

    16%

    Q. Which of the following categories best represents you total annual income from all sources?

  • SO WHAT?Key Conclusions & Opportunities

  • Buying Process Begins BeforeAgent isContacted

  • Safety is Most Important in Choosing aNeighborhood

    Q Please rate the importance of the following in your decision to purchase a home in the neighborhood where youpurchased. (Scale 1-10, 1=not at all important, 10=extremely important)

    Category Rating

    Safety 8.3Walkability 6.5Quality of schools 6.1Entertainment/cultural activities nearby 5.9Short commute to work 5.6Great restaurants nearby 5.5

  • Buyers Need MostAgentAssistance in Negotiating

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

    Determine comps

    Determine affordability

    Paperwork

    Price negotiation

    Find the right home

    Negotiate terms of sale

    11%

    12%

    15%

    18%

    22%

    25%

    Q. In which part(s) of the transaction did you need the most assistance from your agent?

  • Top 5 Reasons for Buying

    Desired better/other location

    Changed jobs/relocated

    Desired larger home

    To have a place to live

    Tired of renting

    8.4%

    11%

    12%

    14%

    15%

    Q. What were your main reasons for buying your home?

  • Communication

    Important to buyersin agent selection

    Responsive Trustworthy Negotiation skills Knowledge /

    experience

    Communicate better

    Respondimmediately

    Market skillseffectively

    Communicateaccording toclient preference

  • What BuyersWould ChangeAbout the HomeBuying Experience

    1. I would have a better market understanding (14%)

    2. Process would be faster & easier (9.1%)

    3. Id seek additional assistance with mortgage approval (7.5%)

    4. Agent would negotiate better (6.7%)

    5. Agent would respond faster (6.4%)

    Q. If there was one thing you could change about the home buying experience, what would it be?

  • Advice to Agents from Buyers

    Communicate better (17%)

    Communicate according to client preference (12%)

    Negotiate better (9.3%)

    Understand market better (9%)

    Respond faster (7.6%)

    Q. What advice would you give to real estate agents to improve the process or the level of service?

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