outlineseminar.trendforce.com/tri/annualforecast2015/tw/ppt... · 2015. 10. 20. · industrial...
TRANSCRIPT
Oct. 15, 2015
Harrison PoIndustry Consulting Center, Industry Consultant
12 October 2015 | Page 2
TRI
Outline
12 October 2015 | Page 3
12 October 2015 | Page 4
3C
1010
3C3C Robot CellRobot Cell
Source 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 5
Industrial robot Service robot
ISO8373
4.0 …
…
…
…
…
Source 2015/06
12 October 2015 | Page 6
20254.0
2025 10
2025
2025
2025
2035
2049
Source 2015/06
12 October 2015 | Page 7
2025
5G
2025
Source 2015/06
12 October 2015 | Page 8
12 October 2015 | Page 9
(SCARA ) Parallel (Delta )
4~6 ) (6 ) 2~4
Fanuc Yaskawa OTCPanasonic KawasakiNachi Mitsubishi
ABB KUKA ComauStäubli UR
Hyundai Heavy
Siasun Effort GSK EstunSTEP Lerobot PandaKinger
EPSON Yamaha ToshibaMitsubishi Denso JanomeHirata IAI
Adept KUKA Stäubli
Robostar Dongbu Robot
Estun Lerobot ValiSentel Adtech BonmetFDRobot
Fanuc Yaskawa OTCPanasonic KawasakiNachi Mitsubishi
ABB Adept TreiBoost
Siasun Effort GSKWarsonco IncmanBonmet Vali
Yamaha Toshiba DensoJanome IAI
Robostar Dongbu Robot
Kinger(TCD)
Source 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 10
IFR 201526.4 2014 15%
2014
Source IFR 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 11
201498,900 2013 69,400 43%
…
Source IFR 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 12
2015 36,200 169,00049,500
2016 38,200 188,400 50,7002015 8,500 2016 10,100
2016
Source IFR 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 13
3C
4.0
Source IFR 2015/10
31,029(215,817 323,000)
2,094(15,591 23,800)
6,912(37,252 67,000)
1,266(8,564 18,300)
20,051(167,579 216,800)
57,096(132,784 614,200)
29,297(304,001 291,800)
24,721(156,110 279,000)
2,126(9,677 27,100)
3,657(20,337 41,600)
2,944(32,301 33,700)
2,312(28,091 29,500)
6,215(59,078 67,000)
1,533(8,097 18,200)
( * * ) 2013 2018
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1,414 1,149 1,1411,129 305 (2013 340
138
Source IFR 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 15
2013 36,600
2014 57,100 2013 56% 2015 201675,000 95,000
201531.3%
Source IFR 2015/ 10
12 October 2015 | Page 16
)
))
Source 2015/10
50%
35%
15%
12 October 2015 | Page 17
2 6 1 1
•PC Based PLC
RV
Source 2015/10
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2015105 YoY 15%
RV 55% 15%Fanuc ABB Yaskawa KUKA
Source 2015/10
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(SoftBank) Aldebaran Robotics121 Pepper
6 201 1,000 Pepper
Pepper 1,000
Source 2015/10
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Pepper2,600 Pepper
Pepper Pepper
Pepper
Pepper
Source 2015/10
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Weight 28Kg
Height 121cm
Width 48.5cmDepth 42.5cm
Speed 3km/hClimbing 1.5cm
10.1”Touch Display
Bumper Sensor 3
Gyro Sensor 2
RGB Camera 2
Head Touch Sensor 3
Sonar Sensor 2
Laser Sensor 6
Hand Touch Sensor 2
3D Sensor 1
Mic 4
Moving Parts
Li+ Battery 795Wh/30.0AhOperation Time 12+hrs (at Shop)
Pepper 20 mic12
Source 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 23
SoftBank Pepper
Source 2015/10
Pepper for BizPepper for Biz2015 10
Pepper for Family2015
2015
1,500
2015
(145 )(145 )
Softbank
App
12 October 2015 | Page 24Source 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 25
Sharp RobiRoBoHon
20 390
GoogleGoogle DeepMind
201520
Sharp Google
Source 2015/10
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2015~2016
Source IFR 2015/10
12 October 2015 | Page 27
201526.4 2014 15% 2016
28.8
Start-up
2025
TRI