20140303 - btfd asian wrap
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
1/18
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
2/18
ON TODAYS SHOW
AROUND THE GROUNDS OVERNIGHT, THIS WEEK
WRAP OF THE WEEK IN MARKETSWHO WON, WHO LOST
UKRAINE AND CHINABLACK SWANS
A TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR THE S&P 500, THE USD DOLLAR, THE NIKKEI, YEN AND THE AUSSI
KEY EVENTS IN THE WEEK AHEAD
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
3/18
AROUND THE GROUNDS - STOCKS
Stocks Weekly Change This Week Last WeekDow 1.04% 16,322 16,154
S&P 1.09% 1,859 1,839
FTSE 2.19% 6,810 6,664
Nikkei 3.69% 14,841 14,313
Shanghai -2.84% 2,056 2,116
ASX 200 -0.45% 5,357 5,381
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
4/18
AROUND THE GROUNDSGLOBAL F
Global FX Weekly Change This Week Last Week
EURUSD 0.64% 1.3784 1.3697
USDJPY -0.37% 101.37 101.75
GBPUSD -0.11% 1.6735 1.6754
AUDUSD -1.65% 0.8903 0.9052
USD Index 0.00% 80.15 80.15
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
5/18
AROUND THE GROUNDS - COMMODITIE
Commodities Weekly Change This Week Last WeeGold 1.03% 1,337.00$ 1,323$
Nymex Crude 3.85% 104.49$ 100$
Copper -2.71% 3.23$ 3$
10 year treasuries -3.64% 2.65% 2.75%
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
6/18
THIS WEEKUKRAINE!!!
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
7/18
THE WEEK THAT WAS
WINNERS
The Dow had its best month since Jan 2013.
Selloff? What selloff
Chicago PMI up to 59.8
Australian Economytension knocking
dollar
LOSERS
Ukrainian Citizens
Global Stability
US status as Global Super Power
Global Economy data flow worsen
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Apr-12 Oct-12 Apr-13
Citibank Eco Su
Source: Bloomberg, globalfx.com.au
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
8/18
RUSSIA, UKRAINE ANDTHE WESTLOVE CROSSED
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
9/18
YOU KNEW THIS
We are not alone in this confrontation with Russia.
In 1994 Ukraine signed the Budapest Memorandum with the U.S., UK and Russia guaranteein
security in exchange for giving up our nuclear arsenal. Russia today is flagrantly violating i
obligations and invading our territory.
But I'm confident that the United States and Great Britain will never violate this Memorandu
do everything they can to ensure peace in Ukraine.
Vladimir Putin knows that by declaring war on us, he is declaring war on the guarantors of o
the U.S. and Great Britain. I don't think that Russia will cross this line, because if it does it wi
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
10/18
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
25/02/2014 18/02/2014
Change
High last 6
months
Low last 6
months
AUD -38991 -44398 5407 -22111 -71506
EUR 13,900 8,599 5301 72,434 -13,610
JPY -85090 -79784 -5306 -57097 -143822
GBP 28802 22323 6479 28802 -43046
NZD 10982 8906 2076 13114 -797CAD -58591 -65000 6409 -955 -70327
CHF 358 -2828 3186 11998 -2941
Net Long Position
CFTC Commitment of Traders - Speculators
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
11/18
S&P 500 WEEKLY
WHAT A MARKETMAYBE GRAVITY WILL WIN
AN OSCAR BUT THE S&P IS DEFYING IT
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
12/18
EUROGRAVITY?
GLAD I DONT LISTEN TO RHETORIC ON EURO
OTHERWISE I WOULD BE GETTING KILLED
IS IT TIME TO SHORT NOW THOUGH???
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
13/18
AUSSIE DOLLARTRYING
ROLLING OVER
A BREAK OF 0.8860 DECISIVE
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
14/18
NIKKEIFOUNDSUPPORT
MESSY AT RESISTANCE
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
15/18
YENROLLING OVER
LAST WEEK
A BREAK WOULD BE HUGE
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
16/18
YENROLLING OVER
100 NOW THE BIG LEVEL TO WATCH
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A BIG BREAK IF IT L ASTS
A DAY OR TWO
97 THE TARGET
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
17/18
GOLDDOH!
I GOT OUT TOO EARLY IT SEEMS
-
8/12/2019 20140303 - Btfd Asian Wrap
18/18
WEEK AHEADITS GOING TO BE HU
Crimean Standoff
MARKIT PMIs all over the place today.
The RBA tomorrow, then retail sales, trade data, Australian GDP and a speech from Gl
to wrap up the week in Oz.
Offshore we have non-farms at the end of the week, Euro GDP and Draghi talking mid w
with BoC, ECB and BoE meetings