2014 voice of the voter poll results

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Monroe County Voice of the Voters Poll 500 registered voters interviewed by telephone (both landline and cellphone), October 13-16, 2014 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 4.5%. QUESTION: Now I’d like to read a brief list of public officials and institutions. After I read each, please tell me if you would rate their job performance as excellent, good, just fair or poor? The first/next is: ___________________ EXCELLENT GOOD TOTAL POSITIVE JUST FAIR POOR TOTAL NEGATIVE NOT SURE ROCHESTER MAYOR LOVELY WARREN 3% 22% 25% 43% 20% 63% 12% MONROE COUNTY EXECUTIVE MAGGIE BROOKS 6% 37% 43% 32% 25% 57% - ROCHESTER SCHOOLS SUPERINTENDENT 5% 21% 26% 27% 31% 58% 16% BOLGEN VARGAS 0% PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA 10% 34% 44% 16% 40% 56% - GOVERNOR ANDREW CUOMO 15% 32% 47% 29% 22% 51% 2% NEW YORK STATE ASSEMBLY 3% 17% 20% 47% 26% 73% 7% NEW YORK STATE SENATE 1% 20% 21% 47% 27% 74% 5% UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 1% 21% 22% 35% 40% 75% 3% UNITED STATES SENATE - 18% 18% 38% 41% 79% 3% QUESTION: Generally, do you think that the United States is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track? RIGHT DIRECTION 28% WRONG TRACK 64% NOT SURE 8% QUESTION: Generally, do you think that New York State is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track? RIGHT DIRECTION 40% WRONG TRACK 55% NOT SURE 5%

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The complete results from the 2014 poll conducted by Mason-Dixon for the Voice of the Voter partners in Rochester, NY.

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Page 1: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

Monroe County Voice of the Voters Poll

500 registered voters interviewed by telephone (both landline and cellphone), October 13-16, 2014 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. The margin for error is plus or minus 4.5%.

QUESTION: Now I’d like to read a brief list of public officials and institutions. After I read each, please tell me if you would rate their job performance as excellent, good, just fair or poor? The first/next is: ___________________

EX

CEL

LEN

T

GO

OD

TOTA

L PO

SITI

VE

JUST

FA

IR

POO

R

TOTA

L N

EGA

TIVE

NO

T SU

RE

ROCHESTER MAYOR LOVELY WARREN 3% 22% 25% 43% 20% 63% 12%

MONROE COUNTY EXECUTIVE MAGGIE BROOKS 6% 37% 43% 32% 25% 57% -

ROCHESTER SCHOOLS SUPERINTENDENT 5% 21% 26% 27% 31%

58% 16%

BOLGEN VARGAS 0%

PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA 10% 34% 44% 16% 40% 56% -

GOVERNOR ANDREW CUOMO 15% 32% 47% 29% 22% 51% 2%

NEW YORK STATE ASSEMBLY 3% 17% 20% 47% 26% 73% 7%

NEW YORK STATE SENATE 1% 20% 21% 47% 27% 74% 5%

UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 1% 21% 22% 35% 40% 75% 3%

UNITED STATES SENATE - 18% 18% 38% 41% 79% 3%

QUESTION: Generally, do you think that the United States is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 28% WRONG TRACK 64% NOT SURE 8%

QUESTION: Generally, do you think that New York State is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 40% WRONG TRACK 55% NOT SURE 5%

Page 2: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 2

QUESTION: Generally, do you think that Monroe County is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 48% WRONG TRACK 42% NOT SURE 10%

QUESTION: And generally, do you think that the City of Rochester is heading in the right direction, or are things on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 39% WRONG TRACK 47% NOT SURE 14%

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES: COUNTRY

QUESTION: What do you feel is the most important issue facing the country today? [NOT READ]

JOBS AND THE ECONOMY 22%

ISIS/IRAQ/TERRORISM 28%

EBOLA 22%

HEALTH CARE 7%

ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION 5%

MEDICARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY 1%

TAXES & GOVERNMENT SPENDING 4%

MORAL & FAMILY VALUES 4%

SOCIAL ISSUES/POVERTY 2%

ENERGY AND GAS PRICES 1%-

ENVIRONMENT – GLOBAL WARMING 2%

OTHER 1%

DON'T KNOW/REFUSED 1%

Page 3: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 3

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES: STATE

QUESTION: What do you feel is the most important issue facing New York State today? [NOT READ]

POOR ECONOMY- SUSTAINING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT-JOBS 35%

HIGH TAXES AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING 31%

EDUCATION ISSUES 8%

DYSFUNCTION IN ALBANY/ ETHICS/ PARTISAN POLITICS/POOR LEADERSHIP

6%

HEALTH CARE 5%

CRIME / DRUGS 3%

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT/HYDROFRACKING FOR NATURAL GAS 2%

MANAGING GROWTH-SPRAWL- DEVELOPMENT 1%

TRAFFIC-ROADS-TRANSPORTATION ISSUES 1%

QUALITY OF LIFE IN OUR COMMUNITY 1%

MORAL ISSUES/FAMILY VALUES/SOCIAL ISSUES 1%

OTHER 4%

NOT SURE 3%

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES: LOCAL

QUESTION: What do you feel is the most important local issue facing Monroe County and the City of Rochester today? [NOT READ]

POOR ECONOMY- SUSTAINING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT-JOBS 33%

HIGH TAXES AND GOVERNMENT SPENDING 18%

EDUCATION ISSUES 13%

CRIME / DRUGS 11%

TRAFFIC-ROADS-TRANSPORTATION ISSUES 4%

MANAGING GROWTH/SPRAWL/ 3%

MORAL ISSUES/FAMILY VALUES/SOCIAL ISSUES 3%

REVITALIZE/DEVELOP DOWNTOWN ROCHESTER 2%

QUALITY OF LIFE IN OUR COMMUNITY 2%

PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT/HYDROFRACKING FOR NATURAL GAS 1%

HEALTH CARE 1%

CIVIL RIGHTS / RACE RELATIONS -

OTHER 4%

NOT SURE 5%

Page 4: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 4

HEALTH CARE:

QUESTION: So far, would you say the health care law has directly helped you and your family, directly hurt you and your family, or has it not had a direct impact?

HELPED 17% HURT 33% NO IMPACT 49% BOTH - NOT SURE 1%

FRACKING:

QUESTION: Do you think that New York state’s decision to approve or prohibit fracking for natural gas is being delayed for political purposes?

YES 63% NO 26% NOT SURE 11%

CASINOS:

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose a Native American Casino being built and operated in Monroe County?

SUPPORT 39% OPPOSE 52% UNDECIDED 9%

BILLS STADIUM & PUBLIC FUNDS:

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose the use of New York State public funds being used to help construct a new stadium for the Buffalo Bills

SUPPORT 24% OPPOSE 71% UNDECIDED 5%

Page 5: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 5

TRUST IN GOVERNMENT/CORRUPTION:

QUESTION: I’m going to read a brief list of institutions, please tell me how much trust you have in each. That is, a great deal of trust, a fair amount, not too much or not at all.

FEDERAL GOVERNMENT    

 A GREAT DEAL 4%

 

 A FAIR AMOUNT 38% 42%   TRUST

 NOT TOO MUCH 33%

 

 NOT AT ALL 25% 58%   NOT TRUST

 NOT SURE -

 

 

   

STATE GOVERNMENT    

  A GREAT DEAL -

   

 A FAIR AMOUNT 49% 49%   TRUST

 NOT TOO MUCH 27%

 

 NOT AT ALL 24% 51%   NOT TRUST

 NOT SURE -

   

 

     LOCAL GOVERNMENT      

 A GREAT DEAL 3%

 

 A FAIR AMOUNT 63% 66%   TRUST

 NOT TOO MUCH 18%

 NOT AT ALL 15% 33%   NOT TRUST

 NOT SURE 2%

 

VIOLENT CRIMINALS & PAROLE:

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose abolishing parole for criminals that commit serious violent crimes like rape and murder?

SUPPORT 58% OPPOSE 35% UNDECIDED 7%

Page 6: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 6

ECONOMY & JOBS:

QUESTION: How concerned are you about the security and future of your own job, or the jobs of any close family members in the Rochester area?

 VERY CONCERNED 32%

74%   TOTAL CONCERNED

 SOMEWHAT CONCERNED 42%

 NOT TOO CONCERNED 18%

25%   TOTAL NOT CONCERNED

 NOT AT ALL CONCERNED 7%

 NOT SURE 1%

 

QUESTION: How would you rate the economic conditions in Rochester, Monroe and the surrounding area: excellent, good, just fair or poor?

EXCELLENT - 25% TOTAL POSITIVE GOOD 25%

ONLY FAIR 54% 75% TOTAL NEGATIVE POOR 21%

NOT SURE -

MINIMUM WAGE:

QUESTION: By the end of 2015 the minimum wage in New York State will be increased to nine dollars an hour ($9). Do you think the increase to nine dollars ($9.00) is too much, too little or about right?

TOO MUCH 18% ABOUT RIGHT 41% TOO LOW 38% NOT SURE 3%

QUESTION: Do you consider nine dollars ($9.00) an hour to be a “living wage”?

YES 15% NO 78% NOT SURE 7%

RACE RELATIONS:

QUESTION: How would you rate race relations between whites and blacks in Monroe County and the City of Rochester?

 EXCELLENT 1%

26%   TOTAL POSITIVE

 GOOD 25%

 ONLY FAIR 51%

69%   TOTAL NEGATIVE

POOR 18%

 UNDECIDED 5%

 

 

Page 7: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 7

SAFE ACT:

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose New York State’s “Safe Act” law which regulates the sale and ownership of firearms?

SUPPORT 48% OPPOSE 48% UNDECIDED 4%

CORE STANDARDS:

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose the public education standards mandated by the federally CORE Act?

SUPPORT 27% OPPOSE 53% UNDECIDED 20%

DEMOGRAPHICS:

- What is your current official party voter registration?

DEMOCRAT 40% REPUBLICAN 30% INDEPENDENT – NON-AFFILIATED 22% OTHER 7%

- Do you currently live within the City of Rochester, or in one of the surrounding suburbs?

CITY ROCHESTER 27% SUBURBS 73%

- What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HIGH SCHOOL (OR LESS) 22% SOME COLLEGE 27% COLLEGE GRADUATE 37% GRADUATE DEGREE 13% REFUSED -

Page 8: 2014 Voice of the Voter Poll Results

VOICE OF THE VOTER - MONROE COUNTY, NY OCTOBER 2014

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research 8

- What is your age?

18-34 16% 35-49 28% 50-64 27% 65+ 28% REFUSED 1%

- Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE or CAUCASIAN 78% BLACK or AFRICAN-AMERICAN 13% HISPANIC or LATINO 5% ASIAN or OTHER 2% REFUSED 2%

- NOTE SEX:

MALE 49% FEMALE 51%