20131212 taiwan auto industry green energy policy and technology development strategy

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    Jet P.H. ShuAdvisor, Science Technology

    DoIT, MOEADec. 12th, 2013

    Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy

    and

    Technology Development Strategy

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    2

    ContentsI. Awareness of Human-Induced Climate ChangeII. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push for GlobalAuto CO2 Emission ControlIII. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy PolicyIV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner Auto PropulsionSystem DevelopmentV. Conclusion Remarks

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    I. Awareness of Human-Induced ClimateChange

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    4

    Decade Extreme Weather (1)

    Natural Variability? Human-Induced?Or

    Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013

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    5

    Decade Extreme Weather (2)

    Natural Variability? Human-Induced?Or

    Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013

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    Decade Extreme Weather (3)

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    Decade Extreme Weather (4)

    This TRMM 3-D image of Super-Typhoon Usagi on Sept. 19 shows heavy rain (red) at the base of

    the eyewall. The lightning flashes (ring of small orange dots) are displayed at 5 km altitude.

    That's near the freezing level in tropical cyclones and near the top of the heavy precipitation.

    Image Credit :

    NASA/Owen Kel ley

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    Decadal Global Combined Surface-airTemperature Measurement

    Surface-air temperature over land and sea-surface temperature (C) obtained from theaverage over the three independent datasets maintained by the K Met Office HadleyCentre and the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, in the United Kingdom(HadCRU), NOAA-National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) and the US NASA-GISS.

    The horizontal grey line indicates the long-term average value for 19611990 (14C).

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    The Warmest Decade (2001~2010) Since 1850 The first decade of the 21st century was the

    warmest decade recorded since modernmeasurements began around 1850.

    Above-average precipitation, including year 2010

    that broke all previous records.

    94% of countries reporting had their warmest

    decade ever in this decade and no country

    reported cooler than the long-term average.

    Marked by dramatic climate and weather extremes

    such as;

    European heat-wave of 2003,

    2010 floods in Pakistan,

    Hurricane Katrina in the United States of America

    (USA), Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar,

    Melting arctic ice,

    And long-term droughts in the Amazon Basin,

    Australia and East Africa,

    Sea levels were said to have risen about twice as

    fast as the trend in the last 100 years.

    Natural Variability ofthe Climate System

    Human InducedClimate Change

    Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013

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    Human-Caused Climate Change is Trending in just oneDirection - upward

    Unlike these natural back-and-forth oscillations, human-causedclimate change is trending in just one direction. This is becauseatmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrousoxide and other greenhouse gases are increasing steadily, dueto human activities.

    2010 Increase since pre-industrial times

    1991-2000 2001-2010

    Carbon

    dioxide

    389 ppm 39% 361.5 ppm 380 ppm

    Methane 1,808 ppb 158% 1,758 ppb 1,790 ppb

    Nitrous

    Oxide

    323.2 ppb 20% 312.2 ppb 319.7 ppb

    Ref.: World Meteorological Organization, WMO-No. 1119, 2013

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    Is 400ppm CO2 Milestone the Trsehold of theHuman-Induce Climate Change? Record 400ppm CO2 milestone 'feels like we're moving into another era Ralph

    Keeling, son of renowned climate scientist Charles David Keeling, reflects onthe meaning of carbon emissions reaching record atmospheric levels on11 May 2013.

    CO2 is one of GHG, and it caused the global warning, and we have to dosomething to reduce the CO2 emission.

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    II. Regulation Pull Vs. Technology Push forGlobal Auto CO2 Emission Control

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    Carbon Dioxide Emissions from

    World and Taiwan

    Why CO2 emission matters to us?

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    World Transport Energy Use by Mode

    1971-2009

    SOURCETechnology Roadmap, Fuel Economy of Road Vehicles, OECD/IEA, 2012.

    Transport energy use is the major contributor to global CO2 emission.

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    Global ST & Engineering Efforts to

    Improve Vehicle Fuel Economy Roadmap

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    III. Taiwan Auto Industry Green Energy Policy

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    III-1. Vehicle Emission Control Program - Focus on Vehicle Fuel Economy Regulation CO2 Emission Control

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    Taiwan Energy Consumption Structure

    (by Sector)

    12% of Taiwan Total Energy Consumed by Transportation Sector.

    Million LOE

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    SourceTAIWAN EPA , 2010, Study on low carbon vehicle CO2emissions reduction control strategies,

    EPA-99-FA13-03-A001

    Taiwan on-road Vehicles Greenhouse Gas

    (GHG) Emission in 2009

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    Taiwan Motor Vehicle Emission

    Controls Before 2000

    Why not do it again!

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    All vehicle OEMs are improving the powertrain efficiency (>65% of vehicle energyloss) to meet global carbon regulations; 4l/100km or

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    IV. Status Report on Taiwan Cleaner AutoPropulsion System Development

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    Taiwan Clean Propulsion SystemInitiative

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    IV-1. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on Research Institute Technology Development

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    Research Institute Efforts to Develop

    Clearner Propulsion System

    Ref. ITRI

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    Taiwan Motorcycle Technology ReadinessMeeting Emission Regulation

    SOURCEITRI MSL

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    IV-2. Green Vehicle STI Program Focus on University Basic Research Advanced Technology Development

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    Advanced Engine Research Center

    Kao Yuan University (1/2)

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    Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center

    National Taipei Tech University (1/3)

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    Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center

    National Taipei Tech University (2/3)

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    Advanced Auto Clean Propulsion Center

    National Taipei Tech University (3/3)

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    Advanced Power Research Center

    National Taiwan University (1/6)

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    Advanced Power Research Center

    National Taiwan University (2/6)

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    Advanced Power Research Center

    National Taiwan University (3/6)

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    Advanced Power Research Center

    National Taiwan University (5/6)

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    Advanced Power Research Center

    National Taiwan University (6/6)

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    IV-3. Electric Vehicle Demonstration Program Focus on Policy Vehicle/Infrastructure/Users Behavior Business Model Industry Development Innovation Platform

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    Fuel Efficiency Comparison on ICE, HEV, and AEV

    Hybrid Electric

    (HEV)

    All Electric(AEV)

    Internal

    Combustion Engine

    (ICE)

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    Source: 2010/03/17

    2 2 xEV Volume to 13 Millions

    Global EV Market Projection

    Annual

    kunits

    1,000 units/yr

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    xEV Development Trend and Technology

    Readiness

    Key Successful Factors:

    Win-Win Business Model

    Policy

    Infrastructure

    Reliable technologies

    Reasonable Return on Investment

    Clean Environment

    Efficient Transportation

    Under

    Developing

    Production

    Engine

    TechUpgrading

    EV Tech Development

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    Clean Air Zone

    Running

    Chassis

    EV PlatformFleet & Demonstration

    - Shuttle / Delivery / Touring -

    Fleet Operation

    EPS

    BatteryElectricity

    Supply

    Business

    Model

    Fleet

    Management

    IndustryGovernment

    Interface&Standards

    Incentive&

    Infra

    structure

    Auxiliary

    Transmission

    Charger

    Interface Standard Plot

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    Taiwan EV Demonstration Program

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    Building EV Re-fueling Infrastructure

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    IV. Conclusion Remarks With cooperative efforts from Academia, Research Institute,

    Industry, and Government Agencies, we have high

    confidence to meet stringent fuel economy in Taiwan;

    17km/l for LDV in 2015.

    To build xEV innovation platform and industry ecosystem

    are our long-term goals to break the most stringent barrier

    of 25km/l fuel economy in 2030.

    Taiwan is a very beautiful island in the world, and with thesense of responsibility to minimize the human-induced

    climate change is golden rule for each engineers.