2012 aasc meeting

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1 2012 AASC Meeting 2012 AASC Meeting LOUISIANA OFFICE of STATE CLIMATOLOGY Louisiana State University Dept. of Geography & Anthropology Baton Rouge, LA 70803 (225) 578-6870 -- Office (225) 578-2912 -- FAX Kyle Brehe User Services Moe Moreau NWS Liason • Handle Hundreds of Data Requests Annually • Give Hundreds of Media Requests Annually • Contribute to the RISA-Southern Climate Impacts Planning Program (SCIPP) • Perform Applied Research

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2012 AASC Meeting. LOUISIANA OFFICE of STATE CLIMATOLOGY Louisiana State University Dept. of Geography & Anthropology Baton Rouge, LA 70803 (225) 578-6870 -- Office (225) 578-2912 -- FAX. Kyle Brehe User Services Moe Moreau NWS Liason. Handle Hundreds of Data Requests Annually - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: 2012 AASC Meeting

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2012 AASC Meeting2012 AASC Meeting

LOUISIANA OFFICE of STATE CLIMATOLOGYLouisiana State University

Dept. of Geography & Anthropology Baton Rouge, LA 70803 (225) 578-6870 -- Office (225) 578-2912 -- FAX

Kyle BreheUser ServicesMoe Moreau NWS Liason

• Handle Hundreds of Data Requests Annually• Give Hundreds of Media Requests Annually• Contribute to the RISA-Southern Climate Impacts

Planning Program (SCIPP)• Perform Applied Research

Page 2: 2012 AASC Meeting

THREE EXAMPLES OF RECENT RESEARCH

•Nashville, TN Storm of May 1-2, 2010 – w/ AWA

•Rainiest TSs and Hurricanes in the Eastern US

•SURGEDAT – Storm Surge Database

Nashville, TNMay 2010

Wilks-Barre, PA June 1972 (H Agnes)

Bolivar Peninsula, TX September 2008 (H Ike)

Page 3: 2012 AASC Meeting

Nashville Storm and FloodingMay 1-2, 2010

Deep Trough – W./C. US * Slow Moving Cold Front * Strong Advection off of Gulf

Page 4: 2012 AASC Meeting

Geographical Pattern of Rainfall Across Tennessee, May 1-2, 2010

Peak near Brownville at 19.71”

Page 5: 2012 AASC Meeting

Depth-Area-Duration Table for Point of Maximum Rainfall

Page 6: 2012 AASC Meeting

Nashville, TN Brownsville, TN

Return Frequencies of the Tennessee Storm May 1-2, 2010

Page 7: 2012 AASC Meeting

Year NAME Vol (km3) VolRank Area(KM2) AreaRank Distance

(km) DistRank Speed (km/h) SpeedRank

1972 AGNES 113 1 1107049 4 1829 39 23 56

2008 IKE 96 2 1283524 1 2912 3 20 83

1985 JUAN 84 3 920704 9 2146 26 16 128

1999 FLOYD 75 4 780562 17 2335 22 30 30

1989 ALLISON 73 5 506404 61 337 177 9 184

1979 DAVID 69 6 1105424 5 2314 23 26 46

1961 CARLA 67 7 825508 14 1386 79 14 146

1960 DONNA 65 8 862436 11 2827 6 30 28

2002 ISIDORE 59 9 537264 52 1212 88 17 124

2010 HERMINE 57 10 1252800 3 1046 100 22 70

Wettest TSs and Hurricanes in the U.S. 1960-2011 in Water Volume (192 Storms)

Page 8: 2012 AASC Meeting

From: David Roth, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, NCEP, NOAA

Storm Tracks and Rainfall Patterns for Hurricanes Agnes and Ike

Page 9: 2012 AASC Meeting

SURGEDAT – The World’s Most Comprehensive Tropical Storm Surge Database

Page 10: 2012 AASC Meeting

Map of Surge Activity along the U.S. Gulf Coast

Page 11: 2012 AASC Meeting

SURGEDAT utilized 70 sources of surge data (U.S. Gulf Coast)

Federal Government: 28

Books and Academic Publications: 23

Historic newspapers: 16 titles3,120 pages of newspaper read

Page 12: 2012 AASC Meeting

Top 10 Storm Surges in the Gulf of Mexico 1880-2009

Rank Surge (ft) Storm Year Peak Loc.

1 27.8 Katrina 2005 Pass Christian, MS

2 24.6 Camille 1969 Pass Christian, MS

3 20.0 Galveston 1900 Galveston, TX

3 20.0 Labor Day 1935 Long Key, FL

5 18.5 Carla 1961 Port Lavaca, TX

6 18.2 Eloise 1975 Dune Allen Bch, FL

7 18.0 Beulah 1967 South Padre Is, TX

8 17.5 Ike 2008 Chambers Co., TX

9 17.0 New Orleans 1915 Southeastern LA

10 16.0 Cheniere Caminada

1893 Cheniere Caminada, LA

10 16.0 Unnamed 1919 Corpus Christi, TX

Page 13: 2012 AASC Meeting

SRCC linear regression for Gulf Coast storm surges

Page 14: 2012 AASC Meeting

Return Period (years)

SRCC Surge Level(meters)

SRCC Surge Level (feet)

100 8.20 26.90

50 7.22 23.69

25 6.24 20.47

10 4.95 16.24

5 3.97 13.02

2 2.67 8.76

Storm Surge Quantiles for U.S. Gulf Coast

Page 15: 2012 AASC Meeting
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Building Full Envelopes of Storm Surge: Example Hurricane Ike