2012 02 jordan-charts_release

Jordanian Attitudes toward Israel

Findings from a national survey of Jordanian opinion conducted by Pechter Polls for the Israel Project

November 19 –December 15, 2011

Jordan Survey Methodology

The survey was quantitative. Comprised of face to face interviews with respondents in the privacy of their own homes.

The survey was undertaken by a local commercial survey firm in Lebanon under the direction of Pechter Polls of Princeton, New Jersey.

Native speakers administered the survey in Arabic using a structured questionnaire.

The survey employed a multi-stage probability household sampling approach.

The survey was conducted November 19 through December 15, 2011.

The sample frame for Jordan was based on data from the Jordan Department of Statistics 2004 census and its updates where relevant.

The sample size was 1,000.

The margin of error was +/- 3.1%.

December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |

Jordan Findings


The last time you used television to get news, which of the following did you turn to?

34%

29%

25%

4% 4% 2%

1% 1% 1% 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Al Jazeera Al Arabiya Jordan TV BBC Arabic Al Manar CNN Al Hurra Other Refused

Jordan N=1,000


Do you have a Facebook account or not?

Jordan N=1,000

44% 36%

29% 28% 28%

56% 64%

71% 72% 72%

100%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 54-64 65+

Yes No

December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS | December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |

Please tell us if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Jordan N=1,000

3%

34%

3%

42% 43%

15%

34%

12%

29%

90% 92%

27%

35%

22%

31%

17%

38%

20%

29%

30%

27%

6% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

3% 2% 1%

96% 96%

42%

63%

35%

81%

18%

73%

25%

69%

30%

56%


56%

Apr. 2010 Nov. 2010 Apr. 2011 Dec. 2012

Hassan Nasrallah

Favorable 34% 35% 31% 29%

Unfavorable 61% 61% 67% 69%

Mahmoud Ahmidinejead

Favorable 35% 40% 28% 25%


Barack Obama Favorable 29% 23% 20% 17%


Mahmoud Abbas Favorable 66% 34% 33% 35%


Ismali Haniyeh Favorable 43% 46% 42% 42%



8%

80%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Favorable (1-3) Unfavorable (5-7)

80%

8%

8%

25%

32%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Should Should not

40%

60%

Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel

positive or favorably to… The United States

Jordan, December 2011


Feel strongly should have Feel somewhat should have Feel strongly shouldn’t have Feel somewhat shouldn’t have

Jordan Jordan Jordan

11% 15%

42% 28%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Should Should not

5%

23%

35%

36%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Should Should not

8%

25%

32%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Should Should not

53%

43%

40%

59%

40%

60%

June 2009 December 2011 May 2011

Now, I'm going to read you a list of countries and political organizations. Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively

or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to it.


1.11

1.28

2.16

2.64

2.80

2.96

3.29

3.66

4.14

4.26

4.66

5.22

6.04

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Jews

Israel

The United States

Al Qaeda

Britain

Iran

Hezbollah

Muslim …

Hamas

Christians

Palestinian …

Egypt

Saudi Arabia

Jordan N=1,000


Now, I'm going to read you a list of countries and political organizations. Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means you feel negatively

or unfavorably towards it and 7, you feel positive or favorably to it.

Israel


Jordan N=1,000

92%

1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Feel negatively or unfavourably

towards it

2 3 4 5 6 Don't know Refused


When you think of a Palestinian state, what thoughts come to mind? (open-ended question)

Jordanian Palestinian

Unlikely to happen/only Allah knows 15% 9%

UN vote will help 9% 11%

Refugees will go home 15% 36%

Jordan/Arabs will benefit 6% 1%

Beginning of the end for Israel 12% 7%

Israel/US will never allow it 7% 5%

Palestinians in Jordan will pay the price 0% 1%

Life will improve in West Bank/Gaza 4% 8%

Not important/relevant to my life 1% 1%

Victory for Islam 7% 5%

Finally peace will improve our situation 3% 3%

My family and friends will be reunited 10% 6%

Problems/uncertainty/instability for Jordan 2% 1%

Other (Specify) 4% 3%

Don't know 3% 2%

Refused 0% 1%

Total 100% 100% Jordan N=1,000


Should Jordan cancel its peace treaty with Israel?

52%

41%

7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Yes No Refused/ Don't know

Jordan N=1,000



Jordan N=1,000

Reasons to cancel Reasons not to cancel

Palestinians are not treated fairly by Israel 18% We do not want war 18%

The peace treaty did not give enough benefit to Jordan 12% Jordan and Israel will benefit

from each other economically 10%

Must not allow to the Jews to have their own state 8% King Abdullah wants peace

with Israel 6%

Jordan should not have a peace treaty with Israel until Israel holds peace with the Palestinians

7% Important, to be close to the United States 1%

The peace treaty harms Jordan in the Arab World 2%



Jordan N=1,000

Yes No Don't know Refused

Facebook account 48% 42% 6% 3%

Jordanian 53% 41% 3% 3%

Palestinian 51% 41% 5% 3%

Male 48% 44% 3% 4%

Female 56% 37% 5% 2%

Age 18-24 40% 52% 5% 2%

Age 25-34 55% 38% 5% 2%

Age 35-44 58% 36% 3% 3%

Age 45-54 60% 33% 4% 3%

Age 54-64 57% 35% 2% 6%

Station most recently watched Yes No Don't

know Refuse

d

Jordan TV 53% 41% 4% 2%

Al Jazeera 55% 37% 4% 4%

CNN 30% 57% 9% 4%

BBC Arabic 22% 65% 8% 5%

Al Arabiya 49% 45% 5% 2%

Al Hurra 73% 18% 9%

0%

Al Manar 78% 22% 0% 0%


Do you think that a new Palestinian state and Jordan should combine?

Jordan N=1,000

8% 6%

84% 86%

8% 7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Jordanian Palestinian

Yes No Don't know/ Refused


Please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view,

even if neither is exactly right.

Jordan N=1,000

25%

43%

52% 53%

23%

4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

July 2011 Gaza & WB

December 2011 Jordan

The best goal is for a two state solution - Israel and Palestine - that keeps two states living side by side

The real goal should be to start with two states, but then move to it being all one Palestinian state.

DK/Refused


Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. After I read each pair, please tell me whether the

FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

The best goal is for a two-state solution - Israel and Palestine -

- that keeps two states living side by side

The real goal should be to start with two states but then move to it all being

one Palestinian state.

Facebook account 40% 55%

Jordanian 41% 55%

Palestinian 45% 52%

Male 47% 50%

Female 39% 56%

Age 18-24 43% 55%

Age 25-34 44% 53%

Age 35-44 43% 53%

Age 45-54 41% 50%

Age 54-64 41% 56%


Please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view,

even if neither is exactly right.

Jordan N=1,000

7% 8%

84% 86%

9% 6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

July 2011 Gaza & WB

December 2011 Jordan

Israel has a permanent right to exist as a homeland for the Jewish people.

Over time, Palestinians must work to get back all the land for a Palestinian state.

DK/Refused


I'm going to read you a list of things that the government could try to do. Please score each on a scale from 1 to 7 where 1 means the government

should definitely not do this and 7 means the government should definitely do this as a high priority.

Page 20 December 2011 | PECHTER POLLS |

1.44

3.69

4.22

4.35

4.58

5.82

6.05

6.06

6.49

6.66

6.71

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Protecting freedom of speech so that people who say unpopular or bad things about Islam are allowed to

Protecting the rights of Christians

Protecting freedom of speech so that people who say unpopular things about the government are allowed to

Making sure that every Jordanian is a believing Muslim with no exceptions

Having Muslim scholars and clerics have a lot of influence in the legal system and the courts

Making sure that the schools teach girls and boys the value of Sharia

Providing a lot more free health services, pensions, and money to ordinary Jordanians

Increasing the rights of girls and women to get an education and have equal rights to those of men

Protecting the rights of ordinary Jordanians against police or other government authorities who take their property

Managing the Jordanian economy well

Reducing bribery and corruption in government

Jordan N=1,000

mean

Pechter Polls 66 Witherspoon Street , #405

Princeton, NJ 08542 USA 609-759-0550

www.pechterpolls.com

The Israel Project 2020 K Street NW,Suite 7600 Washington, DC 20006 USA

202-857-6644 www.theisraelproject.org

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