2010 commercial review - · pdf file400 500 600 jan feb mar apr may ... 100-200 seater . 960...

2010 Commercial reviewJohn LeahyChief Operating Officer, Customers

© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Airbus 2010 firm orders – end November

440 aircraft to 34 customers worldwide

*Private customers: 5 A319; 2 A340-500Undisclosed: 10 A319

2 A320

30 A320

7 A330-200

25 A350-9008 A330-200

Iberia10 A320

5 A320

1 A330-200

32 A380

10 A320

15 A330-300 4 A330-200F

11 A330-300

3 A330-200

31 A32020 A321 60 A320

6 A3197 A3207 A321

5 A350-900

7 A330-300

Tibet Airlines3 A319

30 A350-900

3 A320

19 A3201 A321

3 A330-300

5 A321 5 A319

2 A3202 A321

5 A330-300

8 A319

7 A320

13 A330-2003 A330-300

6 A321 2 A330-300


Airbus orders to end November 2010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

Cumulative orders (gross)

440 sales to 34 customers

440


644 Airbus orders in 2010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Cumulative orders (gross)

204 new sales in December 2010

644


Strong December 2010 sales performance

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

December sales as % of annual gross sales

10 Year average of 22.4%


December 2010 Airbus orders

End November orders (Gross/Net) 440 388

1 Private Customer A320 17 Aircraft Purchase Fleet A320 116 Avolon A320 820 Private Customer A319CJ 121 Lan Airlines A319/A320/A321 5021 Aercap A320 229 CASC A320/A330-300 5629 Air China A350-900 1029 Virgin America A320 6031 Easy Jet A320 15

7 Aircraft Purchase Fleet A330-200 -222 Grupo Marsans A330-200 -631 US Airways A330-200 -10

End 2010 orders (Gross/Net) 644 574644 sales to 43 customers


2010 gross market share

Airbus644 a/c

Boeing625 a/c

Units

1269 industryorders

Revenues

$ 154.4 bnindustry

49%51% 45%55%Airbus$84.6 bn

Boeing$69.8 bn


2010 net market share

Airbus574 a/c

Boeing530 a/c

1104 industryorders

$ 126.2 bnindustry

48%52% 41%59%Airbus$74.6bn

Boeing$51.6 bn

Units Revenues


Market share by category - gross

100-200 seater 960 orders

275-375 seater208 orders


375+ seater33 orders

124A330-300A350-900A350-1000A340

84777

787-9

32A380

1747

ACJ 7 70%BBJ 3 30%

A350 70 65% 787 37 35%

452A320Family

508737

47% 53% 36A330-200A350-800

32767

787-3787-8

2010 gross orders

47%53%

60% 40% 97%3%


Market share by category - net

100-200 seater 902 orders



375+ seater31 orders

110A330-300A350-900A350-1000A340

53777

787-9

32A380

-1747

ACJ 5 83%BBJ 1 17%

A350 63 100% 787 - 4

416A320Family

486737

46% 54% 16A330-200A350-800

-8767

787-3787-8

2010 net orders

100%

67% 33% 100%


Airbus order backlog - end 2010

Backlog by aircraft type:

A320 Family 2,418

A330/A340 358

A350 XWB 583

A380 193

Total backlog of 3,552 aircraft


Airbus order backlog - end 2010

3,552 aircraft worth $483.1 billion

North America353 (10%)

Latin America260 (7.5%)

Middle East462 (13%) Asia/ Pacific

1075 (30%)Lessors

629 (17.5%)

Corporate JetPrivate

83 (2.5%)

Africa84 (2.5%)

Europe606 (17%)


Gross order comparison on the last decade

Largest Aircraft Manufacturer 9 out of last 10 years

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

AirbusBoeing

Annual gross orders


Net order comparison in the last decade

Largest Aircraft Manufacturer 8 out of last 10 years

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

AirbusBoeing

Annual net orders


Delivery comparison in the last decade

Largest Aircraft Manufacturer 8 out of 10 years

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

AirbusBoeing

Annual deliveries


Recovery much stronger than anticipated last year

World economy expected to grow at 3.5% in 2011

4.0%

1.6%

-2.0%

4.0%3.5% 3.6%

2.7%3.1%

3.4%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

January 2011 forecastJanuary 2010 forecast

World real GDP and passenger traffic growth (%)

Source: IHS Global Insight, Airbus 2010: Estimation 2011 & 2012: Forecast


Cycle analysis of passenger aircraft capacity

From excess to under-capacity

2001-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N2005

Under capacity (compared with pre-Sep

2001 maximum productivity level)

Excess capacity (compared with pre-Sep

2001 maximum productivity level)

200420032002

Source: OAG, Ascend, Airbus


Cycle analysis of passenger aircraft capacity

From excess to under-capacity

2001-1,500

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N2005

Under capacity (compared with pre-Sep 2001 (2008) maximum

productivity level)

Excess capacity (compared with pre-Sep 2001 (2008) maximum

productivity level)

2004200320022008 2012201120102009

Source: OAG, Ascend, Airbus


Passenger load factor at record high level

Record airline productivity

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012

World passenger aircraft load factor (%)

Source: ICAO, IATA (2010 estimation), Airbus


Airlines’ profitability at record high level

-15-10-505

1015202530

1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012

World airline operating profit (US$ billion)

US$30 billion operating profit in 2010Source: ICAO, IATA (2010 estimation), Airbus


Fuel price history and forecast

A320neo is a natural fuel hedge

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

History Forecast

A320neoEIS

Oil price (Current US$ per bbl)


High commonality with A320 FamilyUp to 15% lower fuel burn vs. today’s A320

A320neo

Sharklets

New engines


A320neo further reduces emissions

A320neo annual fuel savings of 15% equate to:

1.4 million litres of fuelequivalent to the consumption of 1000 mid size cars

3,600 tonnes of CO2,

equivalent to the CO2 absorption of 240,000 trees

NOx emissions 50% below CAEP/6

Aircraft noise up to 15dB below Stage IV

A major contribution to the environment


The growing A380 network 42 A380s flying 27 routes to 20 destinations

Over 9 million passengers have enjoyed the A380 experience

Qantas

Additional airline-announced routes for 2011 shown dotted

Toronto

London

Seoul

AucklandJohannesburg

Jeddah

Beijing

Bangkok

Zurich

Manchester

EmiratesSingapore Airlines

Air FranceLufthansa

MontrealParis

Sydney

Melbourne

Singapore

Frankfurt

DubaiWashington

New York Tokyo

Hong Kong

Los Angeles

With 24,500 revenue flights and over 220,000 flight hours,


The A380 in 2010

First deliveries to Lufthansa

Emirates increases order to 90 aircraft

3rd anniversary of 1st commercial flight

Air France fly CDG-LHR with 96% load factor

16 new routes, 6 new destinations

More popular, more preferred and more profitable


Airbus orders/commitments in 2011

A strong start to the New Year!

6 A380s ordered by Asiana

MOU for 30 A320 +150 A320neo from IndiGo

Airbus Annual Press Conference 201117th January

2010 commercial review - · pdf file400 500 600 jan feb mar apr may ... 100-200 seater . 960...

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