1a. thinking of how you feel right now, if a federal election ......total bc ab sk/mb ontario quebec...

14
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - <$60K $60K - <$100K $100K+ Kids No Kids A B C D E F G H I J K L Base: All Answering (unwtd) 499 64 58 47 175 107 48 148 76 138 103 131 368 Base: All Answering (wtd) 506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398 132 19 28 7 51 17 9 42 24 33 23 24 108 26% 28% 47% 25% 26% 14% 29% 23% 28% 29% 30% 22% 27% * DE* * * ** * * * * 108 14 8 5 49 28 5 34 17 23 31 28 81 21% 20% 13% 17% 25% 24% 14% 19% 20% 20% 39% 25% 20% * * * * ** * * GHI* * 55 8 11 3 19 8 6 17 11 13 11 13 42 11% 11% 19% 9% 10% 6% 19% 9% 12% 11% 14% 12% 10% * E* * * ** * * * * 17 - - - - 17 - 11 - 3 2 3 13 3% - - - - 14% - 6% - 3% 3% 3% 3% * * * ABCD* ** * * * * 15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13 3% 12% 2% 10% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% DE* * DE* * ** * * * * 6 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 - 1 1 5 1% - 3% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% * * * * ** * * * * 2 - - - 2 * - - 2 * - * 2 * - - - 1% * - - 2% * - * * * * * * ** * * * * 50 8 2 1 24 13 3 27 10 10 3 11 39 10% 11% 3% 4% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 8% 4% 10% 10% * * * * ** J * * * * 121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94 24% 18% 14% 36% 25% 28% 28% 24% 21% 25% 5% 25% 24% * * B* * ** J J* J* * * 506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Table of contents 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support? REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION The Conservative Party The Liberal Party The New Democratic Party (NDP) The Bloc Quebecois (BQ) Green Party People's Party Or some other party Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot Don't Know/Not sure Sigma Statistics: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means:

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Page 1: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Answering (unwtd) 499 64 58 47 175 107 48 148 76 138 103 131 368

                         

Base: All Answering (wtd) 506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398

                         

132 19 28 7 51 17 9 42 24 33 23 24 108

26% 28% 47% 25% 26% 14% 29% 23% 28% 29% 30% 22% 27%

* DE* * * ** * * * *

108 14 8 5 49 28 5 34 17 23 31 28 81

21% 20% 13% 17% 25% 24% 14% 19% 20% 20% 39% 25% 20%

* * * * ** * * GHI* *

55 8 11 3 19 8 6 17 11 13 11 13 42

11% 11% 19% 9% 10% 6% 19% 9% 12% 11% 14% 12% 10%

* E* * * ** * * * *

17 - - - - 17 - 11 - 3 2 3 13

3% - - - - 14% - 6% - 3% 3% 3% 3%

* * * ABCD* ** * * * *

15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13

3% 12% 2% 10% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3%

DE* * DE* * ** * * * *

6 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 - 1 1 5

1% - 3% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1%

* * * * ** * * * *

2 - - - 2 * - - 2 * - * 2

* - - - 1% * - - 2% * - * *

* * * * ** * * * *

50 8 2 1 24 13 3 27 10 10 3 11 39

10% 11% 3% 4% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 8% 4% 10% 10%

* * * * ** J * * * *

121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94

24% 18% 14% 36% 25% 28% 28% 24% 21% 25% 5% 25% 24%

* * B* * ** J J* J* * *

506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

Green Party

People's Party

Or some other party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

Page 2: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Answering (unwtd) 90 9 9 10 29 17 16 30 13 26 5 23 67

                         

Base: All Answering (wtd) 121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94

                         

10 1 2 2 3 - 2 1 * 4 * 2 9

8% 11% 20% 21% 6% - 21% 3% 2% 15% 10% 6% 9%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

12 2 1 3 2 2 2 4 1 3 2 3 10

10% 15% 14% 34% 4% 7% 21% 9% 4% 12% 46% 11% 10%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

6 * - - 3 2 1 - 1 2 1 2 4

5% 3% - - 6% 5% 10% - 3% 5% 21% 7% 4%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

2 - - - - 2 - 2 - - - - 2

2% - - - - 7% - 6% - - - - 3%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

* - - - - - * - - * - - *

* - - - - - 2% - - 1% - - *

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

1 - 1 - - - - - - 1 - 1 -

1% - 9% - - - - - - 3% - 3% -

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

2 - - - 2 - - - 2 - - - 2

2% - - - 4% - - - 10% - - - 2%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

* - - * - - - * - - - * -

* - - 5% - - - 1% - - - 2% -

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

87 9 5 4 39 26 4 35 15 19 1 19 68

72% 71% 57% 40% 81% 81% 46% 81% 80% 65% 23% 71% 72%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1b. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

Green Party

People's Party

Or some other party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

Page 3: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Answering (unwtd) 501 56 42 53 184 113 53 137 83 157 83 114 387

                         

Base: All Answering (wtd) 494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392

                         

113 10 17 9 46 19 11 31 23 32 17 25 88

23% 15% 33% 26% 24% 16% 33% 19% 27% 22% 31% 24% 22%

* ** * * E* * * * *

90 11 8 7 33 25 6 22 15 31 19 20 70

18% 16% 14% 20% 18% 22% 19% 14% 17% 22% 34% 20% 18%

* ** * * * * * GH* *

57 6 2 3 36 6 3 21 10 18 6 8 48

11% 10% 4% 10% 19% 5% 8% 14% 12% 12% 12% 8% 12%

* ** * E * * * * * *

15 - - - - 15 - 3 3 9 - 5 10

3% - - - - 13% - 2% 4% 6% - 5% 3%

* ** * ACDF* * * * * *

31 10 * 3 9 5 4 7 6 13 3 3 28

6% 16% 1% 8% 5% 4% 10% 5% 7% 9% 5% 3% 7%

DE* ** * * * * * * *

5 2 - - 2 * - 2 1 * * - 5

1% 3% - - 1% * - 1% 1% * 1% - 1%

* ** * * * * * * *

36 2 8 4 14 8 1 20 4 3 2 10 25

7% 3% 15% 10% 8% 6% 2% 13% 4% 2% 3% 10% 6%

* ** * * * I* * * *

148 25 18 9 47 39 10 51 24 39 8 30 117

30% 38% 33% 26% 25% 33% 28% 32% 28% 27% 15% 30% 30%

* ** * * * J* * * *

494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1aa. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party.

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Québécois (BQ)

The Green Party

Or some other party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

Page 4: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Answering (unwtd) 104 16 9 10 32 20 17 31 16 28 10 24 80

                         

Base: All Answering (wtd) 148 25 18 9 47 39 10 51 24 39 8 30 117

                         

11 3 2 1 3 2 1 2 2 5 1 2 9

8% 10% 11% 14% 6% 4% 9% 3% 10% 13% 15% 7% 8%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

15 2 4 - 4 3 2 6 1 3 1 2 13

10% 6% 25% - 9% 8% 19% 12% 4% 6% 8% 7% 11%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

10 4 - 2 3 1 1 3 1 3 2 1 9

7% 14% - 18% 6% 4% 9% 6% 3% 8% 25% 4% 8%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1

1% - - - - 2% - - - 2% - - 1%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

8 1 2 1 4 1 - 3 2 1 - - 8

5% 2% 10% 9% 8% 3% - 6% 7% 3% - - 7%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

5 - 1 - - 3 1 3 - - - - 5

3% - 4% - - 8% 8% 5% - - - - 4%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

97 17 9 5 33 28 5 35 18 26 4 25 72

66% 68% 50% 59% 71% 71% 54% 68% 76% 68% 51% 82% 62%

** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **

148 25 18 9 47 39 10 51 24 39 8 30 117

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1bb. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Québécois (BQ)

The Green Party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 5: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755

                         

Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

                         

266 33 49 20 103 38 24 76 50 75 42 52 214

27% 24% 44% 31% 27% 16% 35% 22% 29% 29% 32% 25% 27%

* ADE* E* E E* *

226 28 21 15 88 59 15 66 33 61 53 53 173

23% 21% 19% 24% 23% 25% 22% 19% 19% 23% 39% 25% 22%

* * * * * GHI

127 18 13 8 61 16 11 41 22 35 20 25 103

13% 13% 12% 12% 16% 7% 16% 12% 13% 13% 15% 12% 13%

* * * E E* *

35 - - - - 35 - 17 3 13 2 9 27

4% - - - - 15% - 5% 2% 5% 2% 4% 3%

* * * ABCDF * *

54 19 3 6 14 7 4 14 12 17 6 5 49

5% 14% 3% 10% 4% 3% 6% 4% 7% 7% 4% 2% 6%

BDE* * DE* * *

7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5

1% - 2% - 1% 1% - 1% * * 1% 1% 1%

* * * * *

9 2 - - 6 1 - 2 4 1 * * 8

1% 2% - - 1% * - 1% 3% * * * 1%

* * * * *

91 9 10 5 38 23 5 50 14 13 5 21 70

9% 7% 9% 8% 10% 10% 7% 15% 8% 5% 4% 10% 9%

* * * * IJ *

185 26 13 10 72 54 9 69 33 45 5 44 141

18% 19% 12% 15% 19% 23% 14% 20% 19% 17% 4% 21% 18%

* * * * J J* J

1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1a/1b/1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you

say you would lean towards?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Green Party

People's Party

Or some other party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

Page 6: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: Decided Voters Leaners (unwtd) 833 101 85 80 304 187 76 213 133 256 177 200 633

                         

Base: Decided Voters Leaners (wtd) 724 100 89 50 275 157 53 220 126 202 124 145 580

                         

266 33 49 20 103 38 24 76 50 75 42 52 214

37% 33% 55% 40% 38% 24% 44% 34% 40% 37% 34% 36% 37%

* ADE* E* E E* *

226 28 21 15 88 59 15 66 33 61 53 53 173

31% 28% 24% 31% 32% 37% 28% 30% 26% 30% 42% 37% 30%

* * * * * GHI

127 18 13 8 61 16 11 41 22 35 20 25 103

18% 18% 15% 16% 22% 10% 20% 19% 18% 17% 16% 17% 18%

* * * E * *

35 - - - - 35 - 17 3 13 2 9 27

5% - - - - 22% - 8% 2% 6% 2% 6% 5%

* * * ABCDF * J *

54 19 3 6 14 7 4 14 12 17 6 5 49

7% 19% 4% 13% 5% 4% 8% 6% 9% 9% 5% 3% 9%

BDE* * BDE* * * K

7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5

1% - 3% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1%

* * * * *

9 2 - - 6 1 - 2 4 1 * * 8

1% 2% - - 2% 1% - 1% 3% * * * 1%

* * * * *

724 100 89 50 275 157 53 220 126 202 124 145 580

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1a/1b/1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you

say you would lean towards?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Green Party

People's Party

Or some other party

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 7: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Answering (unwtd) 499 64 58 47 175 107 48 148 76 138 103 131 368

                         

Base: All Answering (wtd) 506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398

                         

142 20 30 9 54 17 11 43 25 37 24 25 117

28% 30% 50% 32% 27% 14% 35% 24% 29% 33% 31% 23% 29%

* ADE* E* * ** * * * *

121 16 9 8 51 30 6 37 18 27 33 31 90

24% 23% 15% 29% 26% 26% 20% 21% 21% 23% 42% 28% 23%

* * * * ** * * GHI* *

60 8 11 3 22 9 7 17 11 14 12 15 45

12% 12% 19% 9% 11% 8% 22% 9% 13% 12% 15% 14% 11%

* * * * ** * * * *

19 - - - - 19 - 14 - 3 2 3 16

4% - - - - 16% - 8% - 3% 3% 3% 4%

* * * ABCD* ** * * * *

15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13

3% 12% 2% 10% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3%

DE* * DE* * ** * * * *

7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5

1% - 4% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

* * * * ** * * * *

4 - - - 3 * - - 3 * - * 3

1% - - - 2% * - - 4% * - * 1%

* * * * ** G* * * *

51 8 2 2 24 13 3 27 10 10 3 11 39

10% 11% 3% 5% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 8% 4% 10% 10%

* * * * ** J * * * *

87 9 5 4 39 26 4 35 15 19 1 19 68

17% 13% 8% 14% 20% 22% 13% 19% 17% 17% 1% 18% 17%

* * * * ** J J* J* * *

506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1a/1b. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you

would lean towards? - Unprompted

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Green Party

People's Party

Or some other party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

Page 8: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: Decided Voters Leaners (unwtd) 412 53 52 38 145 90 34 108 62 119 98 108 304

                         

Base: Decided Voters Leaners (wtd) 368 52 53 23 135 79 25 119 62 86 74 78 290

                         

142 20 30 9 54 17 11 43 25 37 24 25 117

39% 39% 56% 40% 40% 22% 44% 37% 40% 43% 32% 32% 40%

* E* ** E * ** * * * * *

121 16 9 8 51 30 6 37 18 27 33 31 90

33% 30% 17% 36% 38% 38% 26% 32% 29% 31% 44% 39% 31%

* * ** B B* ** * * * * *

60 8 11 3 22 9 7 17 11 14 12 15 45

16% 15% 21% 11% 16% 12% 28% 14% 18% 16% 16% 19% 16%

* * ** * ** * * * * *

19 - - - - 19 - 14 - 3 2 3 16

5% - - - - 24% - 12% - 4% 3% 4% 5%

* * ** ABD* ** H* * * * *

15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13

4% 16% 2% 12% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 4% 4% 2% 5%

BDE* * ** * ** * * * * *

7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5

2% - 4% - 2% 2% - 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%

* * ** * ** * * * * *

4 - - - 3 * - - 3 * - * 3

1% - - - 3% 1% - - 6% 1% - 1% 1%

* * ** * ** * G* * * *

368 52 53 23 135 79 25 119 62 86 74 78 290

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1a/1b. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you

would lean towards? - Unprompted

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Green Party

People's Party

Or some other party

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 9: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Answering (unwtd) 501 56 42 53 184 113 53 137 83 157 83 114 387

                         

Base: All Answering (wtd) 494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392

                         

124 13 19 11 49 21 12 32 26 37 18 27 97

25% 19% 36% 30% 26% 18% 35% 20% 30% 26% 33% 26% 25%

* ** * * E* * * * *

105 12 12 7 37 29 8 28 16 34 20 22 83

21% 18% 23% 20% 20% 24% 24% 18% 18% 23% 35% 22% 21%

* ** * * * * * GH* *

67 10 2 5 39 7 4 25 11 21 9 10 57

14% 15% 4% 14% 21% 6% 10% 16% 13% 14% 15% 9% 15%

* ** * E * * * * * *

16 - - - - 16 - 3 3 10 - 5 11

3% - - - - 14% - 2% 4% 7% - 5% 3%

* ** * ACDF* * * * * *

39 11 2 4 13 6 4 10 8 14 3 3 36

8% 16% 4% 10% 7% 5% 10% 7% 9% 10% 5% 3% 9%

* ** * * * * * * *

5 2 - - 2 * - 2 1 * * - 5

1% 3% - - 1% * - 1% 1% * 1% - 1%

* ** * * * * * * *

40 2 8 4 14 11 2 22 4 3 2 10 30

8% 3% 16% 10% 8% 9% 5% 14% 4% 2% 3% 10% 8%

* ** * * * IJ* * * *

97 17 9 5 33 28 5 35 18 26 4 25 72

20% 26% 16% 15% 18% 24% 15% 22% 21% 18% 7% 24% 18%

* ** * * * J* J* * *

494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you

would lean towards? - Prompted

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Green Party

Or some other party

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

Don't Know/Not sure

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

Page 10: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: Decided Voters Leaners (unwtd) 421 48 33 42 159 97 42 105 71 137 79 92 329

                         

Base: Decided Voters Leaners (wtd) 356 48 36 26 140 79 28 101 64 116 50 67 289

                         

124 13 19 11 49 21 12 32 26 37 18 27 97

35% 27% 54% 40% 35% 26% 44% 32% 40% 32% 37% 40% 34%

* ** * * ** * * * *

105 12 12 7 37 29 8 28 16 34 20 22 83

30% 25% 34% 27% 26% 36% 30% 28% 24% 29% 40% 33% 29%

* ** * * ** * * * *

67 10 2 5 39 7 4 25 11 21 9 10 57

19% 21% 6% 19% 28% 9% 13% 24% 17% 18% 17% 14% 20%

* ** * E * ** * * * *

16 - - - - 16 - 3 3 10 - 5 11

5% - - - - 21% - 3% 5% 8% - 8% 4%

* ** * ACD* ** * * J * *

39 11 2 4 13 6 4 10 8 14 3 3 36

11% 23% 6% 14% 9% 7% 13% 10% 12% 12% 6% 4% 12%

DE* ** * * ** * * * *

5 2 - - 2 * - 2 1 * * - 5

1% 4% - - 2% 1% - 2% 1% * 1% - 2%

* ** * * ** * * * *

356 48 36 26 140 79 28 101 64 116 50 67 289

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you

would lean towards? - Prompted

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

The Conservative Party

The Liberal Party

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

The Green Party

Or some other party

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 11: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755

                         

Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

                         

394 53 29 25 161 104 24 137 73 99 60 83 311

39% 39% 25% 38% 42% 44% 35% 40% 42% 38% 45% 40% 39%

* * * B B * *

67 4 4 3 30 23 2 19 12 18 13 12 55

7% 3% 4% 5% 8% 10% 3% 6% 7% 7% 10% 6% 7%

* * * * *

327 48 25 21 131 81 21 117 60 81 48 71 256

33% 36% 22% 33% 34% 34% 32% 35% 35% 31% 35% 34% 32%

* * * * *

606 83 84 40 225 131 44 202 100 161 74 127 479

61% 61% 75% 62% 58% 56% 65% 60% 58% 62% 55% 60% 61%

* DE* * * *

267 41 31 15 110 55 15 94 37 73 34 62 204

27% 30% 27% 23% 28% 24% 23% 28% 21% 28% 25% 30% 26%

* * * * *

339 42 53 25 115 76 29 109 63 88 40 65 275

34% 31% 47% 39% 30% 32% 42% 32% 36% 34% 30% 31% 35%

* ADE* * * *

1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

2. Thinking about the Liberal government under the leadership of Justin Trudeau, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or

strongly disapprove of their performance?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

Top 2 Box (Net)

Strongly approve

Somewhat approve

Bottom 2 Box (Net)

Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 12: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755

                         

Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

                         

325 44 28 19 128 87 19 102 56 84 61 81 245

33% 32% 25% 30% 33% 37% 28% 30% 33% 32% 45% 38% 31%

* * * * * GI

675 91 84 45 257 148 49 237 116 176 73 130 545

67% 68% 75% 70% 67% 63% 72% 70% 67% 68% 55% 62% 69%

* * * * J * J

1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

3. Some people say that the Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected this year. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over

and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

Trudeau government has done a good job and deserves re-

election

Time for another federal party to take over

Sigma

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 13: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755

                         

Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

                         

317 34 23 16 138 90 17 109 53 73 58 71 246

32% 25% 20% 24% 36% 38% 25% 32% 31% 28% 43% 34% 31%

* * * B B * * GI

359 61 57 26 124 69 22 108 66 92 52 77 282

36% 45% 51% 41% 32% 29% 33% 32% 38% 35% 39% 37% 36%

DE* DEF* * * *

130 16 22 8 57 15 11 40 23 40 14 20 109

13% 12% 19% 12% 15% 7% 17% 12% 13% 15% 10% 10% 14%

* E* * E E* *

171 24 11 15 66 39 17 72 28 46 10 39 132

17% 18% 9% 23% 17% 17% 25% 21% 17% 18% 7% 19% 17%

* * B* B* J J* J

23 - - - - 23 - 10 2 10 1 2 21

2% - - - - 10% - 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3%

* * * ABCDF * *

1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table of contents

4. Which of the federal party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

Justin Trudeau

Andrew Scheer

Jagmeet Singh

Elizabeth May

Yves-François Blanchet

Sigma

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

Page 14: 1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election ......Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic

 

Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -

<$60K

$60K -

<$100K

$100K+ Kids No Kids

A B C D E F G H I J K L

Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755

                         

Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

                         

612 87 76 38 229 146 36 174 105 173 107 118 495

61% 65% 68% 60% 59% 62% 53% 51% 61% 66% 80% 56% 63%

* * * * * G GHI

529 73 66 33 206 119 32 146 97 145 94 99 430

53% 54% 59% 51% 54% 50% 47% 43% 56% 56% 70% 47% 54%

* * * * G* G GHI

83 14 10 6 22 27 4 28 8 27 13 19 65

8% 11% 9% 9% 6% 11% 6% 8% 5% 11% 10% 9% 8%

* * * * *

76 8 9 4 29 16 11 18 18 22 8 18 59

8% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 16% 5% 11% 9% 6% 8% 7%

* * * ADE* *

47 3 2 1 22 17 3 18 7 13 5 8 39

5% 2% 2% 1% 6% 7% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5%

* * * * *

30 4 4 1 14 5 1 17 4 2 2 5 25

3% 3% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3%

* * * * I *

52 8 1 8 23 4 8 27 7 15 2 11 41

5% 6% 1% 12% 6% 2% 12% 8% 4% 6% 1% 5% 5%

* * BE* BE* J *

24 8 3 2 7 4 - 11 6 5 2 8 16

2% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2% - 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 2%

D* * * * *

11 - - 2 6 1 2 4 4 2 1 6 5

1% - - 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1%

* * * A* * L

104 12 12 5 38 31 5 56 17 15 4 25 79

10% 9% 11% 8% 10% 13% 7% 17% 10% 6% 3% 12% 10%

* * * * IJ J*

18 2 - 1 7 6 2 15 2 - - 7 10

2% 2% - 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 1% - - 3% 1%

* * * * IJ *

87 10 12 4 31 26 3 42 15 15 4 18 69

9% 7% 11% 6% 8% 11% 5% 12% 9% 6% 3% 8% 9%

* * * * IJ *

42 4 5 4 18 11 1 14 4 12 2 12 30

4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 4% 2% 4% 2% 5% 1% 6% 4%

* * * * *

1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

8 8.1 8.3 7.9 8 7.9 7.9 7.2 8.1 8.5 9.1 7.7 8.1

* * * * G* G GHI

2.96 2.9 2.97 2.96 2.94 3.1 2.75 3.32 2.96 2.52 1.95 3.12 2.91

0.1 0.25 0.29 0.38 0.15 0.21 0.34 0.18 0.23 0.16 0.17 0.22 0.11

10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 9.3 10

Table of contents

5. The next federal election will be held this fall. Using a 1-to-10 scale, where 10 means you are completely certain you will vote and 1 means you are completely certain you will NOT vote, how likely are you to vote in

the upcoming federal election?

REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD

COMPOSITION

Top 2 Box (Net)

10 - Completely certain I will vote

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

Bottom 2 Box (Net)

2

1 - Completely certain I will not vote

Don't Know

Sigma

Summary

Mean

Std. Dev.

Std. Err.

Median

Statistics:

Overlap formulae used

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Proportions:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L

   Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)

- Column Means:

   Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L