19th apan meetings @ bangkok j. kawaguchi, s. morino, h.hosono and s. tanaka

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Development of Earthquak e Damage Forecasting Sys tem and Response Plans i n Cooperation with Mie U niversity and Mie Prefec ture Government 19th APAN Meetings @ Bangkok J. Kawaguchi, S. Morino, H.Hosono and S. Tanaka Mie University & Mie Prefecture, JAPA N

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Development of Earthquake Damage Forecasting System and Response Plans in Cooperation with Mie University and Mie Prefecture Government. 19th APAN Meetings @ Bangkok J. Kawaguchi, S. Morino, H.Hosono and S. Tanaka Mie University & Mie Prefecture, JAPAN. Background. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Development of Earthquake Damage Forecasting System and Response Plans in Cooperation with Mie Univers

ity and Mie Prefecture Government

Development of Earthquake Damage Forecasting System and Response Plans in Cooperation with Mie Univers

ity and Mie Prefecture Government

19th APAN Meetings @ Bangkok

J. Kawaguchi, S. Morino, H.Hosono and S. Tanaka

Mie University & Mie Prefecture, JAPAN

19th APAN Meetings @ Bangkok

J. Kawaguchi, S. Morino, H.Hosono and S. Tanaka

Mie University & Mie Prefecture, JAPAN

BackgroundBackground

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1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake

1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake

1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake

Caused by the active fault named “Nojima fault”.

Attached Kobe Metropolitan area. Approx. 6,000 people died.

Caused by the active fault named “Nojima fault”.

Attached Kobe Metropolitan area. Approx. 6,000 people died.

1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake1995 South Hyogo-ken Earthquake

2004 Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake2004 Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake

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2004 Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake2004 Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake

2004 Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake2004 Niigata Chuetsu Earthquake

Caused by the active fault Occurred at an agricultural region. 40 people died.

Caused by the active fault Occurred at an agricultural region. 40 people died.

Where are we from?Where are we from?

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Characteristics of MieCharacteristics of Mie

Various region Industrial area : Northern part Residential area Agricultural area Tourist area : Southern part

Long coast line : about 170 km Southern part : a rias coastline

Various region Industrial area : Northern part Residential area Agricultural area Tourist area : Southern part

Long coast line : about 170 km Southern part : a rias coastline

HistoryHistory

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Trough

Hypocentral region

Assumed Intensity by Japanese government based on the worst scenario

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Assumed Tsunami height at the coastline by Japanese government based on the worst scenario

Usual Disaster Info. SystemUsual Disaster Info. System

Special system for disaster Gather damage information Visualize on GIS Open to public on Web site

Special system for disaster Gather damage information Visualize on GIS Open to public on Web site

Problem of Usual SystemProblem of Usual System

Not real time system Need long time to gather information

Special System Different from daily-work system

Difficult to Expand Lack of flexibility

Difficult to update information of database Information about buildings and residents

Not real time system Need long time to gather information

Special System Different from daily-work system

Difficult to Expand Lack of flexibility

Difficult to update information of database Information about buildings and residents

Objectives of New systemObjectives of New system

Seamless system At ordinary time and at emergency

Real time damage forecasting system Expandability

Seamless system At ordinary time and at emergency

Real time damage forecasting system Expandability

Base systemBase system

Time-Space Information system Time-dependent GIS Developed at NIED (National Research Institut

e of Earth Science and Disaster Prevention)

KIWI+ format Open database

Time-Space Information system Time-dependent GIS Developed at NIED (National Research Institut

e of Earth Science and Disaster Prevention)

KIWI+ format Open database

ForecastingForecasting

Earthquake information Seismic intensity, ground acceleration,…

Building damage Collapse, half-damaged, minor-damaged,..

Deaths and injured Fire damage Lifeline damage

Earthquake information Seismic intensity, ground acceleration,…

Building damage Collapse, half-damaged, minor-damaged,..

Deaths and injured Fire damage Lifeline damage

How it works?How it works? Receive quake information automatically from No

w-cast system and Mie seismic monitoring network. (real time)

Calculate the seismic intensity, maximum ground acceleration and speed based on the Time-GIS database. (about 1 sec.)

Calculate building damage. (about 1 sec.) Calculate number of deaths and injured. (about 1 s

ec.) Send calculated information to certain organizatio

n (local city government, Japanese government) by FAX or E-mail (in few sec.)

Receive quake information automatically from Now-cast system and Mie seismic monitoring network. (real time)

Calculate the seismic intensity, maximum ground acceleration and speed based on the Time-GIS database. (about 1 sec.)

Calculate building damage. (about 1 sec.) Calculate number of deaths and injured. (about 1 s

ec.) Send calculated information to certain organizatio

n (local city government, Japanese government) by FAX or E-mail (in few sec.)

Other Investigation for Response Plan

Other Investigation for Response Plan

Investigation on the Counter-plan for the Refuge at Tourist Area

Investigation on the Counter-plan for the Refuge of the Weak

Investigation on the Counter-plan for the Refuge at Tourist Area

Investigation on the Counter-plan for the Refuge of the Weak

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Thank you very much.Thank you very much.

Mie UniversityMie University