18 super systems for the all weather€¦ · here at festival trends, we understand that gambling...
TRANSCRIPT
18 SUPER SYSTEMS FOR THE ALL WEATHERFrom October 1st 2019 – December 31st 2019
All systems have been researched using the results during the period October 1st – December 31st over the last 5 years (2014-2018)
Chelmsford Trainer to Follow ….................................................................................................... 2Kempton Trainer to Follow …........................................................................................................ 3Lingfield Trainer to Follow …......................................................................................................... 4Newcastle Trainer to Follow …...................................................................................................... 5Southwell Trainer to Follow …....................................................................................................... 6Wolverhampton Trainer to Follow …............................................................................................. 7Big Stables to Follow ….........................…...................................................................................... 8Small Name Trainers to Follow …..........................…...................................................................... 9Trainer Jockey Combinations..….................................................................................................... 10Micro Systems ….....................….................................................................................................... 11
Daily Selections
To find the daily selections simply check the racecards daily for the relevant trainers and race typesand, if there’s a qualifier that satisfies all the criteria from the relevant system it’s a bet!
….....Simples!
But I've made it even easier than that because if you would like to save time and have the daily qualifiers worked out for you then I will also be emailing out the Selections whenever there is a runner. Emails will be sent out around 9pm the night before.
Betting Bank
Please note that due to the statistical nature of this information, losing runs can occur. I recommend a betting bank to begin with of at least 50 points. That is, if you normally bet £5, thena bank of £250 should be used. If you normally bet £20, then a £1000 bank is recommended etc.
Each runner is then backed to a level stake of 1pt win or 1/2pt EW if the odds are greater than 12/1. Try to use Bookmakers offering Best Odds Guaranteed and be ready to take advantage of anyincreased each way terms.
DisclaimerHere at Festival Trends, we understand that gambling can become an addiction that can cause great harm if not controlled. Despite the excellent historical track records of our trainers, we remind you that you should only ever bet with an amount of money that you can afford to lose. For help with regard to a gambling addiction, or more information on the subject, please visit: www.gamcare.org.uk
There are currently 6 all weather tracks in the UK and no two are alike..........
CHELMSFORD
AW Polytrack: left-handed, two generous, sweeping 2f bends and two roughly 2f straights; chutes for 7f, 1m and 2m starts.
Trainer to Follow
David Simcock runners that finished Top 3 last time out.
5 Year Record
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
21 7 33.33% 26.83 13 61.90%
Yearly Breakdown
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 2 1 50% 1.25 1 50%2017 3 1 33% 1.33 2 67%2016 5 2 40% 6.25 4 80%2015 11 3 27% 18 6 55%2018 2 1 50% 1.25 1 50%
Full Record of Runners: 12214033216/21135/216/41
KEMPTON
AW Polytrack: right-handed; 5f, 1m2f races use inner course; 6f, 7f, 1m, 1m3f, 1m4f, 2m races use outer course
Trainer to Follow
James Fanshawe runners that had finished top 7 on the turf within the last 60 days.
5 Year Record
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
28 12 42.86% 43.23 15 53.57%
Yearly Breakdown
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 5 2 40% 5.25 2 40%2017 5 1 20% 6 2 40%2016 5 3 60% 4.98 3 60%2015 5 3 60% 17.5 3 60%2014 8 3 38% 9.5 5 63%
Full Record of Runners: 17251201/11177/14171/53419/15177
LINGFIELD
AW Polytrack: left-handed, sharp 1m2f inside turf course; chute gives 1m4f start; gradual bend intothe back straight.
Trainer to Follow
Willie Muir runners from 5f-1m with a maximum of 15 career starts.
5 Year Record
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
20 7 35.00% 58.75 11 55.00%
Yearly Breakdown
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 6 2 33% 8 3 50%2017 4 1 25% -0.5 2 50%2016 3 1 33% 31 2 67%2015 2 0 0% -2 1 50%2014 5 3 60% 22.25 3 60%
Full Record of Runners: 01118/2P/821/3013/411973
NEWCASTLE
Tapeta surface. Left-handed 1 3/4m oval with easy bends. Uphill 4f run-in places emphasis on stamina. 1m straight course.
Trainer to Follow
All Sir Mark Prescott handicap runners.
5 Year Record
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
13 6 46.15% 38.50 8 61.54%
Yearly Breakdown
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 3 1 33% 18 1 33%2017 2 1 50% 6.5 1 50%2016 8 4 50% 14 6 75%
Full Record of Runners: 16121123/15/801
SOUTHWELL
Fibresand course is a left-handed, 1 1/4m oval circuit with a 3f straight.
Trainer to Follow
PD Evans horses that have run in the last 15 days.
5 Year Record
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
28 12 42.86% 62.63 17 60.71%
Yearly Breakdown
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 4 2 50% 14.5 2 50%2017 5 2 40% 12 3 60%2016 4 2 50% 6.5 3 75%2015 11 4 36% 24.88 7 64%2014 4 2 50% 4.75 2 50%
Full Record of Runners: 1017/13921147721/1021/42115/6181
WOLVERHAMPTON
Tapeta surface replaced Polytrack from 11/08/14;
Trainer to Follow
Richard Hughes male runners in class 3-5 company.
5 Year Record
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
20 9 45.00% 33.37 10 50.00%
Yearly Breakdown
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 9 6 67% 26.76 6 67%2017 4 1 25% -1.12 1 25%2016 3 1 33% -1.27 1 33%2015 4 1 25% 9 2 50%
Full Record of Runners: 1423/941/6418/111518118
BIG STABLES
Trainer to Follow
Saeed Bin Suroor 4yo's in handicaps. Any AW Track. October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
13 8 61.54% 27.74 10 76.92%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 5 3 60% 17.36 4 80%2016 2 1 50% 1.75 1 50%2015 1 1 100% 1.63 1 100%2014 5 3 60% 7 4 80%
Full Record of Runners: 1211P/1/71/35111
Trainer to Follow
Willie Haggas 3 & 4yo's in Class 1-3 races. Chelmsford/Kempton/Lingfield. October 1st – Dec. 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
28 12 42.86% 28.88 19 67.86
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 9 3 33% 4.25 6 67%2017 6 3 50% 8.5 6 100%2016 5 2 40% 2.25 2 40%2015 5 2 40% 5.88 3 60%2014 3 2 67% 8 2 67%
Full Record of Runners: 117/85121/51013/113213/451213316
Trainer to Follow
Ralph Beckett runners over 1m3f+ that have run in the previous 25 days. Any AW track. October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
17 7 41.18% 24.75 10 58.82%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 6 2 33% 8 3 50%2017 5 2 40% 1.75 3 60%2015 6 3 50% 15 4 67%
Full Record of Runners: 733111/71313/181583
SMALL NAME TRAINERS
Trainer to Follow
Mrs Lucy Wadham Class 4-6 runners. Any AW Track. October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
24 8 33.33% 20.04 14 58.33%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 8 3 38% 2.79 5 63%2017 5 1 20% -2 2 40%2016 7 2 29% 4.25 4 57%2015 4 2 50% 15 3 75%
Full Record of Runners: 1134/2128519/26051/63214511
Trainer to Follow
P J F Murphy 3-5yo's in handicaps. Any AW Track (Mainly Dundalk). October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
16 7 43.75% 17.78 12 75.00%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 4 1 25% 6 2 50%2017 7 5 71% 12.28 7 100%2015 3 1 33% 1.5 1 33%2014 2 0 0% -2 2 100%
Full Record of Runners: 23/541/2131111/1205
Trainer to Follow
M. Herrington Class 6 races over 5f-7f. Horses that have run in the last 4 weeks. Any AW Track. October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
28 9 32.14% 37.25 18 64.29%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 2 2 100% 6.75 2 100%2017 7 4 57% 35 5 71%2016 5 2 40% 3.5 3 60%2015 6 1 17% 0 3 50%2014 8 0 0% -8 5 63%
Full Record of Runners: 04222225/136638/44121/1316114/11
JOCKEY / TRAINER COMBINATIONS
Trainer and Jockey to Follow
Jim Crowley riding for Roger Varian in handicaps. Any AW track. October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
7 4 57.14% 14.25 4 57.14%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 2 1 50% 1.25 1 50%2017 1 1 100% 8 1 100%2016 1 0 0% -1 0 0%2015 3 2 67% 6 2 67%
Full Record of Runners: 141/8/1/10
Trainer and Jockey to Follow
James Doyle riding for Hugo Palmer in races up to 1m3f. Any AW track. October 1st – Dec. 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
25 10 40.00% 9.03 15 60.00%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 8 4 50% 8.6 6 75%2017 16 6 38% 1.43 9 56%2014 1 0 0% -1 0 0%
Full Record of Runners: 5/0232651115081811/21116315
Trainer and Jockey to Follow
Harry Bentley riding for Ralph Beckett in class 4 or 5 handicaps. Any AW track. Oct. 1st – Dec. 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
10 5 50.00% 15.63 7 70.00%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 6 3 50% 10.63 4 67%2015 4 2 50% 5 3 75%
Full Record of Runners: 3511/182101
MICRO SYSTEMS
Transferring from National Hunt to All Weather
Alan King 3-5yo's switching from NH to an AW handicap. Any AW track. Oct. 1st – Dec. 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
8 6 75.00% 35.25 7 87.50%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 3 3 100% 19.75 3 100%2017 2 1 50% 13 1 50%2015 1 1 100% 2 1 100%2014 2 1 50% 0.5 2 100%
Full Record of Runners: 13/1/51/111
Quick Fire Reappearance
Simon Dow runners reappearing within 7 days – Any AW track. October 1st – December 31st
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
18 8 44.44% 36.07 10 55.56%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 1 0 0% -1 1 100%2017 1 1 100% 0.57 1 100%2016 7 5 71% 23.5 5 71%2015 2 0 0% -2 0 0%2014 7 2 29% 15 3 43%
Full Record of Runners: 3417514/05/6611111/1/2
Dropping to a Claimer/Seller
Richard Fahey runners rated <80 that last ran in class 3-5 and now running in a seller or claimer.
Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
16 8 50.00% 22.63 11 68.75%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 5 2 40% 11 3 60%2017 3 3 100% 2.88 3 100%2016 1 0 0% -1 0 0%2015 5 3 60% 11.75 5 100%2014 2 0 0% -2 0 0%
Full Record of Runners: 9B/11212/3/111/61291