18-1 chapter 18 derivatives and risk management derivative securities fundamentals of risk...

26
18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

Post on 19-Dec-2015

230 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-1

CHAPTER 18Derivatives and Risk Management

Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk

management Using derivatives

Page 2: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-2

Are stockholders concerned about whether or not a firm reduces the volatility of its cash flows?

Not necessarily. If cash flow volatility is due to

systematic risk, it can be eliminated by diversifying investors’ portfolios.

Page 3: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-3

Reasons that corporations engage in risk management

Increase their use of debt. Maintain their optimal capital budget. Avoid financial distress costs. Utilize their comparative advantages in

hedging, compared to investors. Reduce the risks and costs of borrowing. Reduce the higher taxes that result from

fluctuating earnings. Initiate compensation programs to reward

managers for achieving stable earnings.

Page 4: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-4

What is an option? A contract that gives its holder

the right, but not the obligation, to buy (or sell) an asset at some predetermined price within a specified period of time.

Most important characteristic of an option: It does not obligate its owner to take

action. It merely gives the owner the right

to buy or sell an asset.

Page 5: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-5

Option terminology Call option – an option to buy a specified

number of shares of a security within some future period.

Put option – an option to sell a specified number of shares of a security within some future period.

Exercise (or strike) price – the price stated in the option contract at which the security can be bought or sold.

Option price – the market price of the option contract.

Page 6: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-6

Option terminology

Expiration date – the date the option matures.

Exercise value – the value of an option if it were exercised today (Current stock price - Strike price).

Covered option – an option written against stock held in an investor’s portfolio.

Naked (uncovered) option – an option written without the stock to back it up.

Page 7: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-7

Option terminology In-the-money call – a call option whose

exercise price is less than the current price of the underlying stock.

Out-of-the-money call – a call option whose exercise price exceeds the current stock price.

LEAPS: Long-term Equity AnticiPation Securities are similar to conventional options except that they are long-term options with maturities of up to 2 1/2 years.

Page 8: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-8

Option example A call option with an exercise price of

$25, has the following values at these prices:

Stock price Call option price $25 $3.00 30 7.50 35 12.00 40 16.50 45 21.00 50 25.50

Page 9: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-9

Determining option exercise value and option premium

Stock Strike Exercise Option Option

price price value price premium$25.00 $25.00 $0.00 $3.00 $3.00 30.00 25.00 5.00 7.50 2.50 35.00 25.00 10.00 12.00 2.00 40.00 25.00 15.00 16.50 1.50 45.00 25.00 20.00 21.00 1.00 50.00 25.00 25.00 25.50 0.50

Page 10: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-10

How does the option premium change as the stock price increases?

The premium of the option price over the exercise value declines as the stock price increases.

This is due to the declining degree of leverage provided by options as the underlying stock price increases, and the greater loss potential of options at higher option prices.

Page 11: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-11

Call premium diagram

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Stock

Price

Option value

30

25

20

15

10

5

Market price

Exercise value

Page 12: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-12

What are the assumptions of the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model?

The stock underlying the call option provides no dividends during the call option’s life.

There are no transactions costs for the sale/purchase of either the stock or the option.

kRF is known and constant during the option’s life.

Security buyers may borrow any fraction of the purchase price at the short-term, risk-free rate.

Page 13: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-13

What are the assumptions of the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model?

No penalty for short selling and sellers receive immediately full cash proceeds at today’s price.

Call option can be exercised only on its expiration date.

Security trading takes place in continuous time, and stock prices move randomly in continuous time.

Page 14: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-14

Which equations must be solved to find the Black-Scholes option price?

)][N(d Xe- )]P[N(d V

tσ - d dtσ

t] 2

[k ln(P/X) d

2

tk-

1

12

2

RF

1

RF

Page 15: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-15

Use the B-S OPM to find the option value of a call option with P = $27, X = $25, kRF = 6%, t = 0.5 years, and σ2 = 0.11.

0.6327 0.1327 0.5000 N(0.3391) )N(d0.7168 0.2168 0.5000 N(0.5736) )N(d

textbook the in 5- ATable From

0.3391 .7071)(0.3317)(0 - 0.5736 d

0.5736 .7071)(0.3317)(0

(0.5) )]20.11 [(0.06 )ln($27/$25

d

2

1

2

1

Page 16: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-16

Solving for option value

$4.0036 V

[0.6327]$25e - ]$27[0.7168 V

)][N(d Xe- )]P[N(d V )(0.06)(0.5-

2t-k

1RF

Page 17: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-17

How do the factors of the B-S OPM affect a call option’s value?

As the factor increases … Option value …

Current stock price Increases

Exercise price Decreases

Time to expiration Increases

Risk-free rate Increases

Stock return variance Increases

Page 18: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-18

What is corporate risk management, and why is it important to all firms?

Corporate risk management relates to the management of unpredictable events that would have adverse consequences for the firm.

All firms face risks, but the lower those risks can be made, the more valuable the firm, other things held constant. Of course, risk reduction has a cost.

Page 19: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-19

Definitions of different types of risk

Speculative risks – offer the chance of a gain as well as a loss.

Pure risks – offer only the prospect of a loss. Demand risks – risks associated with the

demand for a firm’s products or services. Input risks – risks associated with a firm’s

input costs. Financial risks – result from financial

transactions.

Page 20: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-20

Definitions of different types of risk

Property risks – risks associated with loss of a firm’s productive assets.

Personnel risk – result from human actions.

Environmental risk – risk associated with polluting the environment.

Liability risks – connected with product, service, or employee liability.

Insurable risks – risks that typically can be covered by insurance.

Page 21: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-21

What are the three steps of corporate risk management?

1. Identify the risks faced by the firm.

2. Measure the potential impact of the identified risks.

3. Decide how each relevant risk should be handled.

Page 22: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-22

What can companies do to minimize or reduce risk exposure?

Transfer risk to an insurance company by paying periodic premiums.

Transfer functions that produce risk to third parties.

Purchase derivative contracts to reduce input and financial risks.

Take actions to reduce the probability of occurrence of adverse events and the magnitude associated with such adverse events.

Avoid the activities that give rise to risk.

Page 23: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-23

What is financial risk exposure?

Financial risk exposure refers to the risk inherent in the financial markets due to price fluctuations.

Example: A firm holds a portfolio of bonds, interest rates rise, and the value of the bond portfolio falls.

Page 24: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-24

Financial Risk Management Concepts

Derivative – a security whose value is derived from the values of other assets. Swaps, options, and futures are used to manage financial risk exposures.

Futures – contracts that call for the purchase or sale of a financial (or real) asset at some future date, but at a price determined today. Futures (and other derivatives) can be used either as highly leveraged speculations or to hedge and thus reduce risk.

Page 25: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-25

Financial Risk Management Concepts Hedging – usually used when a price

change could negatively affect a firm’s profits. Long hedge – involves the purchase of a futures

contract to guard against a price increase. Short hedge – involves the sale of a futures

contract to protect against a price decline. Swaps – the exchange of cash payment

obligations between two parties, usually because each party prefers the terms of the other’s debt contract. Swaps can reduce each party’s financial risk.

Page 26: 18-1 CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives

18-26

How can commodity futures markets be used to reduce input price risk?

The purchase of a commodity futures contract will allow a firm to make a future purchase of the input at today’s price, even if the market price on the item has risen substantially in the interim.