15th grace emea fcc technology conference...15th grace emea fcc technology conference european...
TRANSCRIPT
Repsol Overview
Spanish Refining System
Summary
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
2
1
© 2
Spanish Refining System
European Refining Business
2
3
Repsol Overview
Spanish Refining System
Summary
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
2
1
© 3
Spanish Refining System
European Refining Business
2
3
Repsol Overview
Repsol Today
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
Upstream Downstream
Core Businesses Non Operated Shareholding
© 4
Upstream Downstream
Exploration & Development
ProductionRefining Marketing
Petrochemicals LPG
Trading & Transport
Repsol Overview
Shareholders Structure
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 5
Number of Shares: 1.374 billions (march 2015)
Repsol Overview
Upstream
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 6
Acquisition of Canadian company Talisman on December 16th, 2014
CORUÑA BILBAO
TARRAGONA
Refineries Repsol
Other refineries
Oil pipelines CLH
Oil pipeline Repsol
Refining – Leadership positionPetrochemicals – Regional focus and
integration
Repsol Overview
Downstream
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 7
E&P Activity in 31 countries (operator in 23)
� #1 Refiner in Spain
� Integrated refining system with high conversion level in Spain
� Leading Refiner in Peru
- Integrated with marketing
� First producer in Iberian peninsula
� Leading market shares in Iberia High integration with refining
� All sites co-located with refineries to maximize value of streams
CARTAGENA
ALGECIRASHUELVA
TARRAGONA
CASTELLONPUERTOLLANO
Repsol Overview
Downstream
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
Marketing and Trading – Highly efficient and integrated
LPG – World leader focus in core markets
© 8
� Efficient network of 4.649 service stations all over the world.
� Repsol has 3.585 service stations in Spain, 440 in Portugal, 374 in Perú and 250 in Italy
� Leadership position in Peru
� Market position in key markets where we operate
� A leader LPG operational productivity
Repsol Overview
Strategic Objectives
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
� UPSTREAM GROWTH
� MAXIMIZE DOWNSTREAM RETURN ON CAPITAL
� FINANCIAL STRENGTH
Growth engine
Operational excellence and margin optimization
© 9
� FINANCIAL STRENGTH
� ATRACTIVE REMUNERATION TO OUR SHAREHOLDERS
Credit rating and international investitors confidence
Value creation
Sale of non-strategic actives
Monetization of YPF’s compensation
Upstream company acquisition: Talisman
Repsol Overview
Spanish Refining System
Summary
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
2
1
© 10
Spanish Refining System
European Refining Business
2
3
Improved competitiveness of refining assets
Spanish Refining System
Characteristics
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
Refining Capacity [mbpd]
Bilbao
Cartagena
La Coruña
Puertollano
Tarragona
TOTAL Repsol
220
220
120
150
186
896
© 11
(MTm)
30
20
10
02012
20
2008
16
% FCC equivalent
80
60
40
20
02012
63
2008
43
ConversionMiddle distillates
production
+25% +20pp• Increased competitiveness of refining assets
• Highest integrated R&M margin among European
peers along the cycle
TOTAL Repsol 896
Castellón
Algeciras
Huelva
Tenerife
TOTAL Spain
120
240
190
90
1,536
Marketing Chemicals Lubricants Asphalts
• • •
Repsol Spanish refineries
Integration with Refining
Spanish Refining System
Highly integrated
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 12
Cartagena • • •A Coruña • •Puertollano • • • •Tarragona • • •Bilbao • •
Others:
CHP in all refineries
Natural Gas available
Repsol Overview
Spanish Refining System2
1
Summary
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 14
Spanish Refining System
European Refining Business
2
3
European Refining Business
Demand forecasts
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
Global Oil demand
© 15
European demand growth is forecasted to be stable.
For the first time, non-OECD economies will consume more oil than those of the OECD in the next five years . The gap between the two will steadily widen.
Source: IEA - Medium Term Oil Market Report 2014
European Refining Business
Distillation Capacity
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 16
American refiners will maintain cost competitive advantages over European.
During the coming years there will be an important overcapacity.
Source: IEA - Medium Term Oil Market Report 2014
European Refining Business
Refinery closures in Europe
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
Refinery CompanyCapacity(Kbbd)
ClosureYear
UNITED KINGDOM:Coryton Petroplus 220 2011-12
Fawley ExxonMobil 80 2011-12
Stanlow Essar Energy 100 2014
3
4
11
7
© 17
FRANCE:Reichstett Petroplus 85 2011-12
Berre L’Etang Lyondell 105 2011-12
Gonfreville Total 110 2011-12
Petit Couronne Petroplus 162 2013
CZECH REPUBLIC:Pardubice Paramo AS 20 2011-12
GERMANY:Harburg Shell 110 2013
Refinery CompanyCapacity(Kbbd)
ClosureYear
ITALY:Roma Total / ERG 89 2011-12
Cremona Tamoil 94 2011-12
Porto Marg. Eni 80 2013
Mantonva MOL 53 2014
Gela Eni 105 2015*
Taranto Eni 120 2015*
Livorno Eni 110 2015*
(Nº refineries closed by country)
* Anounced closure
European Refining Business
Global forecast
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 18
While still dominant, gasoline internal combustion engines share fall from 82% in 2013 to 71% in 2040.
Decline in gasoline demand in OECD countries and the effects of efficiency improvements are barely compensated by the growing gasoline demand in developing countries.
Globally, it will remain virtually flat over the last 10 years of the forecast period.
Source: OPEC - World Oil Outlook (2014)
European Refining Business
World gasoline trade forecast
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 19
Europe will decrease its excess of gasoline and reduce its exports to North America by 2020.
Source: Wood Mackenzie - Short Term Oils Market Seminar 2014
European Refining Business
World naphta trade forecast
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 20
Northwest Europe will sligthly increase its imports.
Growing Asian deficit will be supplied from Middle East, MED Europe and North America.
Source: Wood Mackenzie - Short Term Oils Market Seminar 2014
European Refining Business
World diesel/gasoil trade forecast
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
© 21
Europe will more than double its deficit of diesel and gasoil.
FSU and the Middle East will increase their exports to cover the European deficit.
Source: Wood Mackenzie - Short Term Oils Market Seminar 2014
European Refining Business
Evolution of European specifications
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
Product specifications become demanding due to environmental pressure.
Aromatics in gasoline: 42%vol
Maximum sulphur content
Aromatics in gasoline: 35%vol
Maximum sulphur content
• Gasoline:50 ppm
• Gasoil: 50 ppm
• Availability 10 ppm
Maximum sulphur content
• Gasoline:10 ppm
• Gasoil: 10 ppmMaximum sulphur content
• Bunker ECA’s :1 % w
© 22
Europe will more than double its deficit of diesel and gasoil.
FSU and the Middle East will increase their exports to cover the European deficit.
20092005
Minimum biofuel content (recommended)
2%
Maximum sulphur content
• Gasoline:150 ppm
• Gasoil: 350 ppm
• FO: 1% w
2000 2006 2007 2008 2010 2011 2012
Maximum sulphur content
* Gasoil B: 1000 ppm
* Gasoil C: 1000 ppm
Maximum sulphur content
SOxECA´s and fishing vessels
1.5 %w
Minimum biofuel content 5,75%
* * * * * 2013 2014 2015
Maximum sulphur content
•Gasoil B: 10 ppm
15th Grace EMEA FCC Technology Conference
European Refining Business
Highlights
o World oil demand continues to grow, while European demand is nearly stagnant.
o Refining system racionalisation: 16 closures in Europe until now.
o Gasoline exports:
• Europe closures reduce gasoline surplus
• Increase in North American competitiveness lower gasoline imports
© 24
Northwest Europe will sligthly increase its imports.
Growing Asian deficit will be supplied from Middle East, MED Europe and North America.
• Increase in North American competitiveness lower gasoline imports
o Regulatory environment: Renewable policies, IPPC, BREF, ETS Directive…
� Safety and Availability
� CO₂ Reduction plan
� Markets & Logistics
� Competitiveness
� Innovation
� People