12j614spiral of silence

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    Journalism 614:

    Opinion and Perception II:

    Spiral of Silence

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    What is Public Opinion?

    Any opinion held by a majority of citizens?

    Democratic view - The General Will

    Any opinion about public affairs?

    Liberal Democratic view - All are valid

    Only reasoned opinion about issues?

    Elitist view - Only informed opinions count

    Each of these is about forming preferencesand expressing those views

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    Another definition

    Public opinion is any opinion that canexpressed publicly without sanctions

    Can state without fear of social isolation

    Here, public opinion is a matter of visibility Minority opinions must be seen for those who hold

    them to feel comfortable expressing themselves

    This is about the perceptions of the opinionclimate and the ability to speak out without risks

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    Media Influence

    Direct Method - Communication events,

    arguments, and opinions that change the

    mind of audience members

    Indirect Method - Present indicators of

    what already seems to be public opinion Media convey an impression of how accepted an

    opinion may be now or in future

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    Spiral of Silence

    Societal norms can be intimidating

    Understand public opinion as a tangible force

    Intense social pressure can be brought to bear on the

    person who dares to test the boundaries

    Perception of distribution of opinion shapes

    willingness to express opinions

    People express opinions more confidently when they see

    they are in the majority or gaining ground

    People are unwilling to express opinions that run counter

    to their perception of majority view

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    Opinion Expression

    What opinions can be expressed?

    Opinions that do not risk fear of social isolation

    Opinions that are publicly visible

    Can be a minority opinion, but minority must speakout and act as if it is, or will be, majority

    People have a quasi-statistical organ

    A sixth sense that provides information aboutwhat society is thinking and feeling

    Constantly scan the environment to gauge theclimate of opinion and future trends.

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    Fear of Isolation

    Fear of social isolation is the key force that

    drives the spiral of silence

    Group pressure has tremendous influence

    We dont like to be excluded for our views

    Theory about obedience to authority in

    World War II - citizens in Nazi Germany

    Noelle-Neumann was Nazi Party member

    She worked for Goebbels, head of Nazi Propaganda

    Wrote for Das Reich, but later withdrew/recanted

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    Social Influence

    Considers effects of group settings on

    attitudes, opinion expression, behavior

    Largely based on experimental research

    Solomon Aschs work on social conformity

    When do we go along with the group?

    Stanley Milgrams work on social compliance

    When do we obey authority?

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    AschConformity

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    Conformity

    The Asch studies

    Unambiguous situation

    Small group setting (10-12)Uniformincorrect assessment

    Over one-third concur with incorrect

    assessment - go along with the group

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    Minority Influence

    Judgments about color of slides

    Consistent incorrectassessment by minority

    Portion of subjects agree in error Implication:

    Minority opinion can exert power

    Bandwagon vs. Siding with the underdog

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    MilgramObedience

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    Obedience

    Subjects randomly assigned the role of

    "teacher" and asked to administered shocks to

    "pupils for incorrect responses

    Pupils were actually part of the experiment. Act out the effects of progressively higher shocks

    What proportion will continue to the highest level when

    prodded by the supervisor?

    Highest voltage switches (450 volts) were marked with labels

    of Danger: Severe Shock and then XXX

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    Setup and Scenario

    Voltage Confederate Response

    75 Grunts

    120 Shouts in pain

    150 Refuses to continue

    200 Blood-curdling screams

    300 Refuses to answer

    330+ Silence

    Objection Supervisors response

    First "He's fine. go on.

    Second "The experiment requires

    you to go on.

    Third "It is absolutely essentialto go on.

    Fourth "You have no choice. You

    must go on."

    QuickTime and a

    TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressorare needed to see this picture.

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    Response of Subjects

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    Milgrams Obedience

    ExperimentDifferent subjects, locations (~)

    Decrease proximity of authority (-)

    Increase connection to student (-) Involve obedient others (+)

    Involve disobedient others (-)

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    When to Speak or Keep Silent

    Conformity and compliance have great

    social power over individuals

    Those in minority positions tend to keep quite

    if they do not sense support

    Not that they change their minds

    Duck their heads and keep their own council

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    Summary

    People have the ability to gauge trends of

    public sentiment

    People justifiably fear social isolation

    People are hesitant to express minority

    viewpoints, especially if losing ground

    But where do they get their perceptions?

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    Media Influence

    Mass media work jointly with majorityopinion to silence minority views

    Mass media, particularly TV, suggest what

    others are thinking through portrayalsPeople look to the media to see if there is

    support and legitimization for views

    Index the media to gauge current climate

    Provide the words and phrases that people can use todefend a certain point of view

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    Critiques of Spiral of Silence

    Hardcores - the minority that remains vocal indefiance of threats of isolation

    Bill Maher, Dixie Chicks, War Protesters

    Pluralistic ignorance and Projection - we tend tomisestimate the prevalence of our views

    Quasi-statistical organ doesnt work so well

    Weak support outside of WW II Germany

    Maybe only operates in totalitarian regimes The ability to find like-minded views online