12. ballinrobe, co. mayo. 12.1. summary details...new towns analysis page 56 of 85 12. ballinrobe,...
TRANSCRIPT
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New Towns Analysis Page 56 of 85
12. Ballinrobe, Co. Mayo.
12.1. Summary Details
Ballinrobe is the largest town in South Mayo. The population of Ballinrobe is currently 3,160 as per the preliminary results of the 2006 Census, this is projected to increase to 4,240 by 2016 (see Appendix A Table 1). It is forecast that 400 new residential connections will be made in Ballinrobe over the next ten years.
There is one potential Large I/C customer operating in Ballinrobe, Irish Pride Bakery’s. A number of Medium and Small potential I/C customers also operate in the area.
Ballinrobe is 17.5km from the Corrib Natural Gas transmission pipeline. The proposed connection point is valve block No. 8509 Knockroe BV Station.
12.2. Summary Load Analysis:
Ballinrobe, Co. Mayo. Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
I/C Load Summary Forecast: Total EAC 2014 3,257 (Mwh) 111,174 (Therms) Peak Day 2014 21,127 (Kwh) 721 (Therms)
New Housing Summary Forecast:
New Housing Load (Therm) 208,000 ( year 10) New Housing Load (Mwh) 6,096 (year 10)
12.3. Solutions:
It would be necessary to install 85 to 4 Bar pressure reduction facilities at Knockroe AGI on the existing Mayo – Galway pipeline. This AGI would feed the local network comprising of approximately 17.5km of 180mm & 125mm PE (SDR 11) feeder main and 4.35km of 180 & 125 PE (SDR 11) distribution main.
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New Towns Analysis Page 57 of 85
12.4. Cost Estimates:
Ballinrobe, Co. Mayo.Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Estimated Capital expenditure Costs for feeder and Distribution Mains:
Item Costs €
Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €3,750,630
Total Estimated Costs €3,750,630
These estimated costs include for the following: District regulator installations, special engineering difficulties (crossings), archaeological survey, local authority charges, adverse ground conditions, pre-tender investigations, insurance, design, administration, material procurement and construction contracts.
* The estimates do not include for:First response costs and AGI costs. New housing estate mains, service or meter costs. Industrial / Commercial mains, service or meter costs.
12.5. Business Modelling:
€m NPV @ 5.74%Distribution
Revenue 1.1Capex -4.0Contributions 0.1Opex -0.9
Distribution NPV -3.7
TransmissionOnshore Revenue 0.3Entry Revenue 0.2Capex - AGI 0.0Initial Capex - Land & TeeOpex 0.0
Transmission NPV 0.5
Total NPV -3.12
Connection of Ballinrobe to the network would result in a negative net present value (NPV) of €3.12m and therefore appears to be uneconomic on a stand-alone basis.
-
Kno
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e St
atio
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Titl
e / P
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Bal
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be F
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Drg
. No.
MO
101/
10
Sca
le:
1:50
000
Plo
t Dat
e:03
/07/
06 D
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M.
Dis
trib
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RN
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LIC
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No.
3-3
-34
TIT
LE:
Dis
trib
utio
n L
ayou
t D
RG
. NO
.
MO
101/
11
PR
OJ.
NO
.
MO
/101
SH
. -
PR
OJE
CT: B
allin
robe
, Co.
May
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RA
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/200
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CA
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1:50
00
Dis
trib
utio
n O
pera
tions
Des
ign
Dep
artm
ent -
DU
BLI
N
ME
TER
SIZ
E:
- S
UP
PLY
PR
ES
S:
- O
UTL
ET
PR
ES
S:
-
MA
TRLS
. DE
LIV
ER
Y:
- S
UR
VE
YE
D B
Y:
-
WA
YLE
AV
E R
EQ
D:
- O
.S. R
EF.
NO
'S:
-
ISS
UE
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VIS
ION
DR
WN
. BY
CH
EC
KE
D B
YA
PP
R'D
BY
DA
TED
ATE
DA
TE
0P
relim
inar
yE
.M.
--
03/0
7/06
--
The
info
rmat
ion
show
n on
this
pla
n is
a g
ener
al g
uide
and
the
accu
racy
ther
eof c
anno
t be
guar
ante
ed. S
ervi
ce p
ipes
are
not
sho
wn
but t
heir
pres
ence
sho
uld
be a
ntic
ipat
ed. N
o lia
bilit
y is
acce
pted
for a
ny d
iscr
epan
cy, o
mis
sion
or d
evia
tion
and
the
actu
al p
ositi
on o
f mai
ns a
nd s
ervi
ces
mus
t be
verif
ied
and
esta
blis
hed
on s
ite b
efor
e an
y m
echa
nica
l exc
avat
ing
plan
t is
used
.A
ll di
men
sion
s ar
e in
met
res
unle
ss o
ther
wis
e st
ated
Not
Arc
hive
d - A
ltern
ativ
e : |
Des
igns
|Dub
lin|N
etw
ork
Ext
ensi
on|2
006
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New Towns Analysis Page 60 of 85
13. Foxford, Swinford & Kiltimagh, Co. Mayo.
The towns of Foxford, Swinford and Kiltimagh were analysed on both a stand-alone and a grouped basis.
13.1. Foxford (Stand Alone):
13.1.1. Summary Details
Foxford is situated on the river Moy, approximately 16 km from Ballina and 34 km from Knock. The population of Foxford is currently 878 as per the preliminary results of the 2006 Census, this is projected to increase to 1,420 by 2016 (see Appendix A Table 1). It is forecast approximately 200 new residential connections will be made over the next ten years.
There is one potential Large I/C customer in Foxford, O’Hara’s Bakery. There are seven potential Medium I/C customers and approximately 44 Small Commercial entities.
Foxford is located 17.5km from the Corrib Natural Gas Transmission Pipeline. For the purposes of this study Foxford is grouped with Kiltimagh and Swinford and the three towns share a common feeder main from Rockfield Station to Bohola. The dedicated feeder main from Bohola to Foxford would run 9.8km
13.1.2. Summary Load Analysis: Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Foxford, Co. Mayo.
I/C Load Summary Forecast: Total EAC 2014 3,911 (Mwh) 133,475 (Therms) Peak Day 2014 23,432 (Kwh) 800 (Therms)
New Housing Summary Forecast: New Housing Load (Therm) 104,000 (year 10) New Housing Load (Mwh) 3,048 (year 10)
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New Towns Analysis Page 61 of 85
13.1.3. Cost Estimates
Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Estimated Capital expenditure Costs for feeder and Distribution Mains:
Foxford, Co. Mayo.
Item Costs €
Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €3,771,399
Total Estimated Costs €3,771,399
These estimated costs include for the following: District regulator installations, special engineering difficulties (crossings), archaeological survey, local authority charges, adverse ground conditions, pre-tender investigations, insurance, design, administration, material procurement and construction contracts.
* The estimates do not include for:First response costs and AGI costs. New housing estate mains, service or meter costs. Industrial / Commercial mains, service or meter costs.
13.1.4. Business Modelling:
€m NPV @ 5.74%Distribution
Revenue 0.8Capex -3.9Contributions 0.1Opex -0.7
Distribution NPV -3.8
TransmissionOnshore Revenue 0.2Entry Revenue 0.1Capex - AGI 0.0Initial Capex - Land & TeeOpex 0.0
Transmission NPV 0.4
Total NPV -3.38
Connection of Foxford to the network as a group would result in a negative net present value (NPV) of €3.38m and therefore is uneconomic on a stand-alone basis.
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New Towns Analysis Page 62 of 85
13.2. Swinford (Stand Alone):
13.2.1. Summary Details
Swinford is located in East Mayo and is a thriving commercial town serving a large rural hinterland. The population of Swinford is currently 2,678 as per the preliminary results of the 2006 Census, this is projected to increase to 3,760 by 2016 (see Appendix A Table 1). It is forecast approximately 400 new residential connections will be made over the next ten years.
There are three potential Large I/C customer in Swinford, HSE Swinford Health Centre, Swinford District Hospital and Baxters. There are two potential Medium I/C customers and approximately 112 Small Commercial entities.
Swinford is located 22.7km from the Corrib Natural Gas Transmission Pipeline. The dedicated feeder main from Bohola to Swinford would run 8.9km
13.2.2. Summary Load Analysis: Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Swinford, Co. Mayo.
I/C Load Summary Forecast: Total EAC 2014 8,271 (Mwh) 280,458 (Therms) Peak Day 2014 46,495 (Kwh) 1,587 (Therms)
New Housing Summary Forecast: New Housing Load (Therm) 208,000 (year 10) New Housing Load (Mwh) 6,096 (year 10)
13.2.3. Cost Estimates Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Estimated Capital expenditure Costs for feeder and Distribution Mains:
Swinford, Co. Mayo.
Item Costs €
Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €4,889,964
Total Estimated Costs €4,889,964
These estimated costs include for the following: District regulator installations, special engineering difficulties (crossings), archaeological survey, local authority charges, adverse ground conditions, pre-tender investigations, insurance, design, administration, material procurement and construction contracts.
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New Towns Analysis Page 63 of 85
* The estimates do not include for:First response costs and AGI costs. New housing estate mains, service or meter costs. Industrial / Commercial mains, service or meter costs.
13.2.4. Business Modelling:
€m NPV @ 5.74%Distribution
Revenue 1.5Capex -5.2Contributions 0.1Opex -0.7
Distribution NPV -4.2
TransmissionOnshore Revenue 0.5Entry Revenue 0.3Capex - AGI 0.0Initial Capex - Land & TeeOpex 0.0
Transmission NPV 0.8
Total NPV -3.46
Connection of Swinford to the network as a group would result in a negative net present value (NPV) of €3.46m and therefore is uneconomic on a stand-alone basis.
13.3. Kiltimagh (Stand Alone):
13.3.1. Summary Details
Kiltimagh is located centrally in County Mayo, approximately 24km from Knock and 26 km from Castlebar. The population of Kiltimagh is currently 1,538 as per the preliminary results of the 2006 Census, this is projected to increase to 2,000 by 2016 (see Appendix A Table 1). It is forecast approximately 185 new residential connections will be made over the next ten years.
There is one potential Large I/C customer in Kiltimagh, the New Park Hotel. There are six potential Medium I/C customers and approximately 94 Small Commercial entities.
Kiltimagh is located 21 km from the Corrib Natural Gas Transmission Pipeline. The dedicated feeder main from Bohola to Kiltimagh would run 8.1 km.
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New Towns Analysis Page 64 of 85
13.3.2. Summary Load Analysis:
Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Kiltimagh, Co. Mayo.
I/C Load Summary Forecast: Total EAC 2014 4,228 (Mwh) 144,301 (Therms) Peak Day 2014 25,628 (Kwh) 875 (Therms)
New Housing Summary Forecast: New Housing Load (Therm) 96,200 (year 10) New Housing Load (Mwh) 2,819 (year 10)
13.3.3. Cost Estimates
Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Estimated Capital expenditure Costs for feeder and Distribution Mains:
Kiltimagh, Co. Mayo.
Item Costs €
Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €3,811,600
Total Estimated Costs €3,811,600
These estimated costs include for the following: District regulator installations, special engineering difficulties (crossings), archaeological survey, local authority charges, adverse ground conditions, pre-tender investigations, insurance, design, administration, material procurement and construction contracts.
* The estimates do not include for:First response costs and AGI costs. New housing estate mains, service or meter costs. Industrial / Commercial mains, service or meter costs.
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New Towns Analysis Page 65 of 85
13.3.4. Business Modelling:
€m NPV @ 5.74%Distribution
Revenue 0.8Capex -3.9Contributions 0.1Opex -0.7
Distribution NPV -3.8
TransmissionOnshore Revenue 0.2Entry Revenue 0.1Capex - AGI 0.0Initial Capex - Land & TeeOpex 0.0
Transmission NPV 0.4
Total NPV -3.40
Connection of Kiltimagh to the network as a group would result in a negative net present value (NPV) of €3.4m and therefore is uneconomic on a stand-alone basis.
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New Towns Analysis Page 66 of 85
13.4. Grouped Option:
This option is based on grouping the three towns together and routing the pipeline via Bohola.
13.4.1. Solutions:
All three towns could be serviced through a common feeder from BV no. 8507 Rockfield Station to Bohola before the feeders split for each individual town. It would be necessary to install 85 to 4 Bar pressure reduction facilities at Rockfield AGI. This AGI would then feed the local network comprising of approximately 26.8km of 180mm & 125mm PE (SDR 11) feeder main and 10.8km of 180mm, 125mm & 90mm PE (SDR 11) distribution main in total for the 3 towns.
13.4.2. Cost Estimates Source: Networks cost estimates report July 2006.
Estimated Capital expenditure Costs for feeder and Distribution Mains:
Item Costs €Foxford: Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €3,528,667
Swinford: Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €3,472,380
Kiltimagh: Feeder / Distribution Main Construction* €2,891,277
Total Estimated Costs €9,892,324
These estimated costs include for the following: District regulator installations, special engineering difficulties (crossings), archaeological survey, local authority charges, adverse ground conditions, pre-tender investigations, insurance, design, administration, material procurement and construction contracts.
* The estimates do not include for:First response costs and AGI costs. New housing estate mains, service or meter costs. Industrial / Commercial mains, service or meter costs.
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New Towns Analysis Page 67 of 85
13.4.3. Business Modelling:
€m NPV @ 5.74%Distribution
Revenue 3.1Capex -10.5Contributions 0.2Opex -2.1
Distribution NPV -9.3
TransmissionOnshore Revenue 1.0Entry Revenue 0.6Capex - AGI 0.0Initial Capex - Land & TeeOpex 0.0
Transmission NPV 1.6
Total NPV -7.73
Connection of Foxford, Swinford and Kiltimagh to the network as a group would result in a negative net present value (NPV) of €7.73m and therefore connection of these towns is uneconomic on a stand-alone basis.
.
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79.6
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125
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Sw
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rd 4
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ain.
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bar
63m
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ISS
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RN
ME
NT.
LIC
EN
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No.
3-3
-34
TIT
LE:
Dis
trib
utio
n L
ayou
t D
RG
. NO
.
MO
/101
/5
PR
OJ.
NO
.
MO
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CT: S
win
ford
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May
o D
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AP
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.:A
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DA
TE: 2
9/06
/200
6 S
CA
LE:
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00
Dis
trib
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n O
pera
tions
Des
ign
Dep
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ent -
DU
BLI
N
ME
TER
SIZ
E:
- S
UP
PLY
PR
ES
S:
- O
UTL
ET
PR
ES
S:
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MA
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EQ
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ION
DR
WN
. BY
CH
EC
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D B
YA
PP
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BY
DA
TED
ATE
DA
TE
0P
relim
inar
yE
.M.
--
29/0
6/06
--
Not
Arc
hive
d - A
ltern
ativ
e : |
Des
igns
|Dub
lin|N
etw
ork
Ext
ensi
on|2
006
Pro
ject
s|A
dj. T
owns
to N
etw
ork|
Sw
info
rd, C
o. M
ayo|
Sw
info
rd D
istri
butio
n
010
020
030
040
0 m
Bor
d G
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Net
wor
ks re
com
men
ds th
at e
xcav
atio
n w
orks
with
in th
e va
cini
ty o
f gas
pipe
lines
are
car
ried
out i
n ac
cord
ance
with
the
Hea
lth a
nd S
afet
y A
utho
rity
'Cod
e of
Pra
ctic
e fo
r Avo
idin
g D
ange
r fro
m U
nder
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nd S
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B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
E.S.
B.
53.3
ES Sub Station
CORR
AHOO
R
48.9
CS UND
FF
UND
49.7
51.8 CF
54.7
10kv
56.6
53.5
CS
58.7
56.3
58.8
59.7
CS
St.M ary's
Villa
58.5
KILT
AMAG
H57
.8
CR60
.363
.963
.1
62.8
59.7 UND
FW
UND
CS
CSUN
D
CS
CD
TK 59.3
61.1
62.0
Walshtown
Fortlands
Circular Road
58.5
61.1
63.1
59.6
58.7
60.1
59.6
CS
FF
GOW
ELBO
Y
63.4
CW FF
63.2
61.8
62.8
Close
Mount
Aiden
65.8
CF
63.1
63.7
62.3
10kv
64.6
UND
Station Road
65.8
65.0
UND
61.5
61.7
61.3
61.3
62.8
Reservoir
63.2
64.0
63.0
63.7
Thom as S treet
CD 63.8
UND
63.7 Station View
Station View
65.3
Station
63.8
61.3
64.2
CDCD 61
.0
60.6
School
45.0 4
5.9
CR
CR
56.6
Greenfields
55.6
55.9
Well Boreen
64.5
64.0
58.5
Market
Place
62.8
62.2
51.3 5
2.1
55.2
10kv
10kv
St Louis' C onvent
64.1
Main Street
St. Aidans's
R.C . Church
62.8
Chapel Street
Buria
l Gro
und
FW U
ND
FF
Buria
l
CF
Cois Abhann
FFGro
und
51.3
47.9
47.0
Maiden Street
63.8
PO
64.4
65.3
James Street
KILT
IMAG
H
Tk 63.8 CR64.5
64.5
64.5
Parochial
House
65.0
65.1
The Pines
The Pines
64.7
Park Road
48.4
49.1
54.8
Chapel Street 51.6
51.1
GS Stn
59.2
CR 57.7
63.0 64
.7
Health
Centre
Mountain View Village
66.0
66.8
CR
50.9
51.7
51.8
Pollagh River
R
Spor
t Gro
unds
5.2
CD
UND
46.6
45.6
10kv
UND
53.2
5.0
10kv
Sciabh Cairn
55.3
ARVE
54.9
52.1
53.1
53.9
56.6
CORD
ARRA
GHTulip Avenue
68.1
125mm PE 4 bar
180
mm PE
4 ba
r
Pro
pose
d D
RI L
ocat
ion.
90m
m P
E 75
mba
r Kilt
amag
h 4
bar
Fee
der M
ain.
180
mm PE
75 m
bar
90mm
PE 75
mbar
180
mm
PE
75 m
bar
90m
m PE
75 m
bar
90mm P
E 75 mb
ar
125
mm
PE
75 m
bar
90mm
PE 75
mbar
125
mm
PE
75 m
bar
NO
RTH
.
RE
PR
OD
UC
ED
FR
OM
TH
E O
RD
NA
NC
E
SU
RV
EY
BY
PE
RM
ISS
ION
OF
THE
GO
VE
RN
ME
NT.
LIC
EN
CE
No.
3-3
-34
TIT
LE:
Dis
trib
utio
n L
ayou
t D
RG
. NO
.
MO
/101
/7
PR
OJ.
NO
.
MO
/101
SH
. -
PR
OJE
CT: K
iltam
agh,
Co.
May
o D
RA
WN
:E.
M.
AP
PR
.:A
.T.
DA
TE: 2
9/06
/200
6 S
CA
LE:
1:50
00
Dis
trib
utio
n O
pera
tions
Des
ign
Dep
artm
ent -
DU
BLI
N
ME
TER
SIZ
E:
- S
UP
PLY
PR
ES
S:
- O
UTL
ET
PR
ES
S:
-
MA
TRLS
. DE
LIV
ER
Y:
- S
UR
VE
YE
D B
Y:
-
WA
YLE
AV
E R
EQ
D:
- O
.S. R
EF.
NO
'S:
-
ISS
UE
RE
VIS
ION
DR
WN
. BY
CH
EC
KE
D B
YA
PP
R'D
BY
DA
TED
ATE
DA
TE
0P
relim
inar
yE
.M.
--
29/0
6/06
--
The
info
rmat
ion
show
n on
this
pla
n is
a g
ener
al g
uide
and
the
accu
racy
ther
eof c
anno
t be
guar
ante
ed. S
ervi
ce p
ipes
are
not
sho
wn
but t
heir
pres
ence
sho
uld
be a
ntic
ipat
ed. N
o lia
bilit
y is
acce
pted
for a
ny d
iscr
epan
cy, o
mis
sion
or d
evia
tion
and
the
actu
al p
ositi
on o
f mai
ns a
nd s
ervi
ces
mus
t be
verif
ied
and
esta
blis
hed
on s
ite b
efor
e an
y m
echa
nica
l exc
avat
ing
plan
t is
used
.A
ll di
men
sion
s ar
e in
met
res
unle
ss o
ther
wis
e st
ated
Not
Arc
hive
d - A
ltern
ativ
e : |
Des
igns
|Dub
lin|N
etw
ork
Ext
ensi
on|2
006
Pro
ject
s|A
dj. T
owns
to N
etw
ork|
Kilt
amag
h, C
o. M
ayo|
Kilt
amag
h D
istri
butio
n
010
020
030
040
0 m
Bor
d G
áis
Net
wor
ks re
com
men
ds th
at e
xcav
atio
n w
orks
with
in th
e va
cini
ty o
f gas
pipe
lines
are
car
ried
out i
n ac
cord
ance
with
the
Hea
lth a
nd S
afet
y A
utho
rity
'Cod
e of
Pra
ctic
e fo
r Avo
idin
g D
ange
r fro
m U
nder
grou
nd S
ervi
ces'