1121 arab public opinion

8/3/2019 1121 Arab Public Opinion

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Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and DevelopmentAnwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development

University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland

20112011

Annual Arab Public Opinion SurveyAnnual Arab Public Opinion SurveySurvey conducted October 2011 inSurvey conducted October 2011 in

Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and UAEEgypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco and UAE

Sample size: 3000Sample size: 3000

Margin of error: +/Margin of error: +/-- 1.8%1.8%

ProfessorProfessor ShibleyShibley TelhamiTelhami, Principal Investigator, Principal Investigator

MikeMike LebsonLebson, Evan Lewis and Abe, Evan Lewis and Abe MedoffMedoffassisted in preparation of this studyassisted in preparation of this study


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Key FindingsKey Findings


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*Note that these polls measure trends but not necessarily likelyvoting behavior. There is little information on the central issueof likely voters and little precedence. At the local level, Egyptians

vote often on the basis of family/clan loyalty, personality, or otherfactors that trump ideology.


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Samples and Polling DatesSamples and Polling DatesCountry Sample

Size

Marginof

Error

Start

Date

End

Date

Egypt 750 +/

3.7% 10/22 10/30

UAE 500 +/ 4.5% 10/20 10/31

Morocco 750 +/ 3.7% 10/20 10/31

Lebanon 500 +/ 4.5% 10/20 10/27

Jordan 500 +/ 4.5% 10/20 10/30


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Polling CitiesPolling CitiesCOUNTRY CITIES

Egypt Giza,Cairo,

Qaliubiya,

Alexandria,

Al

Minia

(UpperEgypt),AlIsmailiyah (SuezCanal)

UAE Dubai,AbuDhabi,Sharjah

Morocco Casablanca,Rabat

Lebanon Beirut,Aley,

Metn,

Baabda,

Tripoli,

Shouf

Jordan Amman,Irbid,Zarqa


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Arab AwakeningArab Awakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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ArabAwakening


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Egyptian ElectionsEgyptian Elections


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EgyptianElections


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EgyptianElections


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EgyptianElections


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EgyptianElections


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EgyptianElections


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EgyptianElections


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United StatesUnited States

& the Middle East& the Middle East


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48

38

8

2

48

36

11

4

UnitedStates&theMiddleEastGenerallyspeaking,isyourattitudetowardtheUnitedStates

Veryfavorable

Somewhat

favorable

Somewhat

unfavorable

Veryunfavorable

2011

38

21

22

4

2010 2009


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastHow

would

you

describe

your

views

of

President

Barack

Obama

of

the

United

States?

2011 2010

Positive

Neutral

Negative

2009

43

13

34

62

18

19

24

32

39


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhich

of

the

following

is

closest

to

your

views

in

describing

US

PresidentBarackObama?

FavorablepersonalviewofhimandI

amhopefulabouthisforeignpolicy

Favorablepersonalviewofhim,butI

don'tthinktheAmericansystemwill

allowhimtohaveasuccessfulforeign

policy

UnfavorableviewofhimandIam

pessimisticabouthisforeignpolicy

2011 2010

8

41

36

3

35

55


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastHow

would

you

describe

your

attitudes

toward

the

Obama

AdministrationpolicyintheMiddleEast?

Hopeful

Neitherhopeful

nordiscouraged

Discouraged

2011 2010

52

19

20

65

20

14

15

31

47

2009


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhat

TWO

steps

by

the

United

States

would

improve

your

views

of

the

UnitedStatesthemost?

IsraelPalestine

peace

agreement

WithdrawalfromIraq

StoppingaidtoIsrael

Withdrawalfrom

Arabian

Peninsula

Pushingmoretospreaddemocracy

Moreeconomicaidtotheregion

Stoppingaid

to

Arab

governments

2011

8

11

12

26

29

42

55

2010

1

13

8

43

33

47

53

2

7

6

52

53

24

39

2009


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhen

you

look

back

at

the

past

year

of

the

Obama

Administration, which

oneofthefollowingpoliciesareyoumostdisappointed with?

Palestine/Israel

Iraq

Attitudestoward

Islam

Afghanistan

Humanrights

Spreadingdemocracy

Economicassistance

2011 2010

2

5

5

9

12

14

46

1

1

1

4

4

26

64


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhen

you

look

back

at

the

past

year

of

the

Obama

Administration, which

oneofthefollowingpoliciesareyoumostpleased with?

Palestine/Israel

Iraq

Attitudestoward

Islam

Afghanistan

Humanrights

Spreadingdemocracy

Economicassistance

2011 2010

17

9

14

2

7

8

4

11

4

5

1

22

3

Lessthan

1%


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UnitedStates&theMiddleEastWhich

TWO

of

the

following

factors

do

you

believe

are

most

important

in

drivingAmericanpolicyintheMiddleEast?

ProtectingIsrael

Controllingoil

WeakeningtheMuslimworld

Preventingspreadofnuclearweapons

Fighting

terrorism

Spreadinghumanrights

Promotingdemocracy

Preservingregionalandglobaldominance

Promotingpeaceandstability

2011

5

5

7

8

8

29

32

44

53

2010 2009

4

4

13

5

6

36

34

50

47

5

4

12

4

8

25

38

52

39


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ArabArab--Israeli ConflictIsraeli Conflict


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhichofthefollowingstatementsisclosertoyourview?

Preparedfor

peace

if

Israel

is

willingtoreturnall1967territories

includingEastJerusalem,andArab

governmentsshouldputmore

effortintothis

EvenifIsraelreturnsall1967

territories,Arabsshould

continuetofight

PreparedforpeaceifIsraeliswilling

toreturnall1967territories

includingEastJerusalem,butIsrael

willnevergiveuptheseterritories

easily

20092011

23

43

24

24

45

29


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhich

of

the

following

statements

is

closest

to

your

view

about

the

prospectsoflastingpeacebetweenIsraelandthePalestinians?

Dontbelieveitwill

everhappen

Inevitable,butitwill

takemoretime

Willhappeninthe

nextfiveyears

20092011

53

29

10

49

41

6


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1

59

12

27

3

54

9

21

Whatdo

you

believe

is

the

likely

outcome

if

the

prospects

of

atwo

state

solutioninthePalestinianIsraeliconflictcollapse?

Stateofintenseconflict

foryears

to

come

ArabIsraeliConflict

Statusquo

will

continue

Onestatesolutionin

whichIsraelis

and

Palestiniansareequal

Palestinianswill

eventuallysurrender

toIsraeli

power

2011 2009


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Asolution

to

the

Palestinian

Israeli

conflict

that

leads

to

the

establishment

of

aPalestinian

stateintheWestBankandGaza,withEastJerusalemasitscapital,willhappenonly:

Throughserious

negotiations

ArabIsraeliConflict

Bybeingimposedby

the

UN

Throughanother

ArabIsraeliwar

Itwill

never

happen

Bybeingimposedby

theUnitedStates

2011 2010

16

20

15

24

20

16

14

11

18

40


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhen

you

look

at

the

Israeli

Palestinian

conflict,

which

of

the

following

issuesisthemostcentraltoyou,assumingthattheymayallbe important:

Establishmentof

afully

independentcontiguous

PalestinianstateinWBG

Arabsovereigntyover

EastJerusalem

RightofPalestinian

refugeestoreturntotheir

homes

2011 2010

37

28

29

20

32

45


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ArabIsraeli

Conflict


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Arab

Israeli

Conflict


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ArabIsraeliConflictWhichofthefollowingstatementsisclosertoyourview: (EGYPTONLY)

Iampreparedforajustand

comprehensivepeace

with

Israel

ifIsraelreturnsalltheterritories

occupied,andArabgovernments

shouldmakemoreefforts

Iampreparedforajustand

comprehensivepeacewithIsrael

ifIsraelreturnsalltheterritories

occupied,buttheywon'tgiveup

territorypeacefully

EveniftheIsraelisreturnallof

theterritoriesoccupiedin1967

peacefully,theArabsshould

continueto

fight

Israel

2011 2009

19

47

19

28

41

28


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IranIran


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IranDo

you

believe

that

Iran

is

merely

conducting

research

for

peaceful

purposes,

or

tryingtodevelopnuclearweapons?

Peacefulpurposes

Nuclearweapons

2011 2009

52

33

59

28


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25

64

40

53

IranThere

is

international

pressure

on

Iran

to

curtail

its

nuclearprogram. Whatisyouropinion?

Iranhastherightto

itsnuclearprogram

Iranshouldbe

pressuredtostopits

nuclearprogram

2011 2009


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IranIf

Iran

acquires

nuclear

weapons,

which

of

the

following

is

the

likely

outcomefortheMiddleEastregion?

Morepositive

Wouldnotmatter

Morenegative

2011

35

25

25

2009

46

19

28


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2009

IranNameTWOcountriesthatyouthinkposethebiggestthreattoyou.

2011

Israel

UnitedStates

Iran 18

59

71

12

76

88


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Global PerspectiveGlobal Perspective


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GlobalPerspectiveIn

aworld

where

there

is

only

one

superpower,

which

of

the

following

countrieswouldyouprefertobethatsuperpower?

France

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

2011

5

7

7

10

12

15

23

2009

7

8

3

23

7

25

14


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GlobalPerspectiveWhichworldleader(outsideyourowncountry)doyouadmiremost?

RecepErdogan

HugoChavez

MahmoudAhmadinajad

HassanNasrallah

FidelCastro

NicolasSarkozy

JacquesChirac

SheikhM.binZayed

SheikhM.binRashed

SaddamHussein

2011

3

3

3

4

4

5

5

6

7

13

13

22

KingAbdullahAlSaud

BarackObama

2010

4

1

1

2

5

7

14

2

1

14

8

22

2009

3

1

5

2

10

6

26

4

6

6

4


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Ifyou

had

to

live

in

one

of

the

following

countries,

which

one

wouldyouprefermost?

France

China

Germany

Britain

Russia

UnitedStates

Pakistan

2011

2

4

10

11

15

22

28

2009

1

4

5

9

10

25

36

GlobalPerspective

l b l i


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GlobalPerspective


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IdentityIdentity

Id tit


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3

23

20

55

10

14

16

58

Whenyour

government

makes

decisions,

do

you

think

it

should

base

its

decisionsmostlyon whatisbestfor

Muslims

Identity

Yourcountry

Arabs

Theworld

2011 2009

Id tit


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Whichofthefollowingisyourmostimportantidentity?

Muslim

Identity

Citizenof

your

country

Arab

Citizenofthe

world 1

33

27

38

9

26

31

33

2011 2009

Id tit


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Whichofthefollowingisyoursecondmostimportantidentity?

Identity

Muslim

Citizenofyour

country

Arab

Citizenofthe

world 2

24

41

30

11

24

26

27

2011 2009


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MediaMedia


56/58

Media

Media


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MediaWhats

your

primary

source

for

international

news?

Television

Radio

Newspapers/

Magazines

Internet

3

9

8

80

5

14

20

58

2011 2009

Media


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MediaWhen

you

watch

international

news,

which

of

the

following

networks

news

broadcastsdoyouwatchmostoften?

AlJazeera

LBC

MBC

Al

Arabiya

5

11

3

38

1

4

5

58

7

12

14

43

2011 2010 2009

1121 arab public opinion

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