10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

57
Australia Technical Traders with Francis Hunt aka ‘The Market Sniper’

Upload: francis-hunt-the-market-sniper-trader

Post on 14-Apr-2017

87 views

Category:

News & Politics


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

 Australia Technical Traderswith Francis Hunt aka ‘The Market Sniper’

Page 2: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Introduction & Session Plan

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

1. Introduction

Who am I?

 Why should you care?

What I am going to tell you today

2. The Detail 

I. We are all traders

II. 91% Fail, Becoming the 9%

III. 360 degree Charting analysis

Page 3: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Introduction & Session Plan

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

4. Squeeze the time continuum to success. The trellis of learning & dilemma of too much freedom, Multiple variable confusion 

5. Free 18 min Consult offer

Page 4: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Part 1 - Who am I?

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Trading for 26 years across most markets

Been Training, Mentoring and Trader community building since 2009

Originator of the Hunt Volatility Funnel [HVF] Set up & Theory

MBA in International Finance & Economics

Member of the STA

Page 5: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Why should you care?

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

So what?

Utilising HVF Theory – Landed Major investing & trading Themes, e.g.– 

1. Euro Crisis, Mk I & Mk II

• EURCHF floor to fail in January 2015 – for a 30% FX Trade overnight ‘Floor Fail’ Mk II

• EURCHF Nov 2009 Fail prediction for 1400 pips & preceding the 2010 Jan ‘Greek Crisis’ Mk I

Page 6: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 7: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Floor Fail in January EURCHF

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 8: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 9: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

30% FX move in under an hour

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 10: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Retail Broker cost of Floor Fail in EURCHF

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 11: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 12: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 13: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,

Page 14: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,

Page 15: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Banks

Page 16: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Mega Crash Main Stream Media Arrives Banking Part II

Page 17: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

We are all Traders You start earlier than you think

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

1. Your Life is like a  derivative, specifically a Call option

At birth you have your maximum Time to ‘expiry’, and all that follows is part of the ‘Time Decay’, Only problem is you have no, WISDOM, so others make decisions for you

 As a reminder, most options expire worthless or never truly get ‘into the money’

You are also born with relatively high amounts of Freedom, especially given your limited abilities to explore & roam

Page 18: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

You start out like all traders, badly

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

2. Then we start to trade, with a system far older & more prepared for our arrival, then we are for them.  This is called an Asymmetry, that’s never good, when you don’t know the game as well as others

We are co-erced into an education system, where we are taught what the system wants you to believe & decides for you what is important to know. Taking from us large parts of our time.

 

Page 19: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Work is the worst trade, for most people

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

3. Then you go to work and are told you are inexperienced, and deserve only menial wages rates, for lots of time and effort, and everybody dumps grunt work upon you. Another BAD TRADE. With insufficient rest.

Often it takes awhile to find, what you don’t mind doing for work

It costs you your best & freshest awake hours 5 out of 7 days

Page 20: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Then the Banks get you, and strap you into perpetual toil.

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

4. You end find yourself on the wrong side of a compound interest equation & the ‘Ursury Rent Extractors & Tax Takers’ have you as their slave:

Mortgage/Rent

Car Finance

Children’s cost

Credit Card

Personal Loans

Holidays

 

Page 21: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The Game of Life can seem a rigged Trade?

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

4. You realise banks get bailed out, at your cost, you carry the can on their bets. Yet you never get a bail out when things go bad. 

5. Despite being the most rewarded industry. Politicians seem to work for them & against you?

6. There are many industry scandals & financial fee’s & taxes seem so high

7. In fact you have your suspicions about the system and wonder if these ‘insiders’ really care for you?

Page 22: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

There is a better way - Time to become a ‘LifeStyle trader’

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

8. Attain some of your TIME & FREEDOM back

9. Trade, Save & Invest – get your money working for you

10. Start:  Living & Enjoying

Experiencing again whilst still physically able

Being available to family

Travel

Health

Trading with an edge

Page 23: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Mistake 1 - You don’t want to exchange what you have for this!

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

11.Mistake 1 – 

In the hurry to give up the Boss & staff reports, we seek home based Multiscreen, tactical mayhem, without a long run plan, which can cope with even a single losing month

14 Hour days of high whipsaw response stress

Or going ‘Old school high emotion market’ reactor, news trader

We underprepare for a life of independence, learning a new skill and strategy development

Page 24: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Mistake 2 - You leave all your profits in your trading account & have no further growth strategies

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

11.Mistake 2:

You leave all your profits in your trading account.

Instead of bleeding away some of the ‘hot leveraged trading profits’ into a cooler longer term unleveraged investment strategy

Leaving yourself open for a blowout event

Where is the long term acorn planting & Savings & Investment strategy for our particular times?

The money is made in the planting & the sitting, not the harvesting

Page 25: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Pride before fall - Overperformance is also a problem

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

12.Mistake 5:

Losing your head, overperformance. Watch the viral clip from the profile page How I made £165,000 in 5 days & it was the worst thing for me

RTCT Speaker Profile - The Market Sniper, Francis Hunt  for the YouTube Playlist & Free Webinar links

Youtube Playlist directly: Interviews with a trader 

Becoming the 9%: 91% Fail, becoming the 9%

Page 26: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Mistake 3 – Your values are not aligned to wealth building, therefore your trading will not be either

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

13.Mistake 3:

Wealth occurs when your passive income, is well beyond your living requirements 

This means for success it is advisable to:

To be patient

 Transition from your current working arrangements slowly

Reduce unnecessary overhead

Pay your savings & investments first and escalate them in size each year, then pay your living wage, then everything else

Page 27: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Mistake 4 – Sorry but you don’t have an edge

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

14.Mistake 4:

Trading the news? Sorry you don’t have an edge, long run you lose

Utilising a combination of ‘formulacentric Indicators’ based on price information data? Sorry you lose, despite possibilities of encouraging occasional gains

Page 28: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Mistake 4 – Sorry but you don’t have an edge

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

14.Mistake 4:

Very few systems/approaches have a true edge, those that do:

Require more patience

 Preparation

Selectivity

Accuracy

Intra Market Analysis

Page 29: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The 91% are usually wrong

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

15.Mistake 5 :

Comfort in the crowd is false comfort:

Oando primary client positions

Long Silver

Short EURUSD

Page 30: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The 91% are usually wrong

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 31: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The 91% are usually wrongThe EURUSD Bounce

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 32: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The 91% are usually wrongThe Silver Bear set up

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 33: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The 91% are usually wrongThe Silver Bear set up

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 34: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Why When Trading, should we look Intra Market including different underlings

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

1. A FRESH Perspective

2. FX has two halves the Base and the Quote Currency, you need to understand the outlook for both, when compared to other currencies

3. Cross Market Analysis, The worlds markets represents is a ‘flow of global liquidity’ seeking yield. The Commodity Theme’s, affect Commodity Currencies and indirectly Non-Commodity currencies

4. Multi Time Frame chart analysing of a Pair provide real Macro to Micro ‘in depth’ insight

Page 35: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

How the Commodity Cycles, were relevant for FX

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

2011 was a little noticed year…

But it was a critical Commodity Top

Page 36: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The Great Energy sell off - Brent 2014/15& Top out of 2011

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 37: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 38: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Dr Copper the Industrial Metal of Building

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 39: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

We Traded it on an Inverted HVF

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 40: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Contained initial fall, that got disorderly later

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 41: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

We Have just gone Long Copper

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 42: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Monthly Chart

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 43: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Weekly Chart 2011

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 44: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 45: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

USDNOK – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 46: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

USDCAD – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 47: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation - BAE

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 48: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation - Babcock

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 49: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation – Lockheed Martin

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 50: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation – Raytheon

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Page 51: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

The Boss Market & God of ‘Fear’ FX Pair - USDJPY

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

This pair is a great indicator of ‘Fear’, generally great lengths are gone to, to prevent excessive Yen strength gains. If this happens, there is stress in the system. 

Rarely good for emerging currencies

Page 52: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly

Page 53: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly

Page 54: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Some Free resources

91% of traders fail, how to become the 9% <= Click here for this Free webinar.

Here is a FREE Viral Micromentary series – Interviews with a Trader  Click Here.

[email protected]+44(0) 208 333 2552 – +44 (0) 7833 096952

Free Resources

Page 55: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Value Pack ‘Lite’ Program for Under a £1500 [Continued] 

1. Traders Vault Access, prior to commencement through Basecamp

2. Theory weekend 19th  & 20 th Nov  

3. Full trading based Skype/Fixed line mentoring call for 22 minutes per delegate, on an ‘ask me anything’ basis

4. All Live Sunday Sessions/Trade Alerts, with week ahead market view, and trade assessment, that take place during the period.

Trading MetaMorphosis Program ‘Lite’

Page 56: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Trading Metamorphosis Program ‘Lite’ for Under a £1500 [Continued] 7  One full trading based Skype/Fixed line mentoring call for 22 minutes per delegate, on an ‘ask me anything’ basis.

8  Affordable Basecamp membership plans for those who wish to continue all of the above and become long run members of the community, or full rebate against investment already made to full flagship ‘Trading Metamorphosis Program’, if you so wish

9  Total Cost £1497.00  which will include Select the HVF Draw Tool, normally sold separately for £497 [A$ 2,420 currently]

Email [email protected] to participate

Follow On Twitter @TheMarketSniper

YouTube The Market Sniper, Francis Hunt

Trading MetaMorphosis Program ‘Lite’

Page 57: 10.11.16 australia technical analysis traders

www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper

Free Skype Trader One to One Consultation for 18 min

‘FrancoFXTrader’ Skype

Book in on the link Calendly

https://calendly.com/francish/one-2-onewithfrancis

Email [email protected] to participate

Free One to One Skype Consult