1 pg&e’s 2006-2008 portfolio performance december 11, 2006 duane larson senior manager...
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PG&E’s 2006-2008 Portfolio PerformanceDecember 11, 2006
Duane Larson Senior Manager
Customer Energy EfficiencyPacific Gas and Electric Company
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Today’s Update
Portfolio Performance – Are we on track? 2006 Additional Measures
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Megawatts Paid
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2006 Achieved Projected Target Annual Goals
Achieved 106.9% of Annual Goal as of
11/30/06 or 141.04 MW (132.3% of the November
cumulative target)
November Target equals 22 MWAchieved 132.7% as of 11/30/06
or 29.19 MW
2006 Goal132 MW
includes Low Income and Codes & Standards Savings
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2006 Achieved Projected Target Annual Goals
Achieved 118.6% of Annual Goal as of 11/30/06 or 802.71 GWH
(149.3% of the November cumulative target)
November Target equals 120.17 GWH
Achieved 162.4% as of 11/30/06 or 195.19 GWH
2006 Goal677 GWH
includes Low Income and Codes & Standards Savings
Gigawatt-hours Paid
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Million Therms Paid
0
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2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
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2006 Achieved Projected Targets Annual Goal
Achieved 53.9% of Annual Goal as of 11/30/06 or
5.48 MM Thm(64.2% of the November
cumulative target)
November Target equals 1.68 MM Thm; Achieved 22.5% as of 11/30/06 or .38 MM Thm
2006 Goal10.1 MM
Thm
includes Low Income and Codes & Standards Savings
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Megawatts Committed
72.3
0
25
50
75
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MONTHS
PEAK M
W
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Achieved 39.4% of annual committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 28.49 MW (48% of the November cumulative target)
Includes Mass Market actual commitments
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Gigawatt-hours Committed
382
0
100
200
300
400
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MONTHS
Ann
ual G
WH
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Achieved 50.6% of annual committed goal as of 11/30/06 or 193.41 GWH (61% of the November cumulative target)
Includes Mass Market actual commitments
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Million Therms Committed
18.86
0
5
10
15
20
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MONTHS
Ann
ual M
M T
herm
s
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED
TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Achieved 43.3% of annual committed goal as of 11/30/06 or 8.17 MM Thm (50% of the November cumulative target)
Includes Mass Market actual commitments
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Summary
Achieved 2006 MW and GWH goals Achieving Therm goal is going to be close
at year end All delivery channels are now producing
savings Increasing numbers of paid calculated
savings projects Program staff are analyzing 2006
performance and developing forecasts and goals for 2007
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Targeted Markets Core
Greydon H. HicksManager Targeted Markets
Pacific Gas and Electric [email protected]
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-
1
2
3
4
5
6
31 Ja
n 06
28 F
eb 0
6
31 M
ar 0
6
30 A
pr 0
6
31 M
ay 0
6
30 Ju
n 06
31 Ju
l 06
31 A
ug 0
6
30 S
ep 0
6
31 O
ct 06
30 N
ov 0
6
31 D
ec 0
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Projected Targets 2006 Achieved Annual Goals
4 MWGoal for 2006
Achieved 136% of Annual Goal as of
11/30/06 or 5.45 MW
Megawatts Paid
TM contribution to 11/30/06 YTD Core Mass Market Paid Accomplishments:
25.71 MW or 22% of total
Ag41%
Retail10%
Fab31%
Schools2%
Lodging1%
Res New Constr0% High Tech
3%
Lg Comml12%
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-
6
12
18
24
30
31 Ja
n 06
28 F
eb 0
6
31 M
ar 0
6
30 A
pr 0
6
31 M
ay 0
6
30 Ju
n 06
31 Ju
l 06
31 A
ug 0
6
30 S
ep 0
6
31 O
ct 06
30 N
ov 0
6
31 D
ec 0
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Projected Targets 2006 Achieved Annual Goals
28 GWHGoal for 2006
Achieved 105% of Annual Goal as of
11/30/06or 29.49 GWH
Gigawatt-hours Paid
TM contribution to 11/30/06 YTD
Core Mass Market Paid
Accomplishments: 705 GWH or 13% of total
Ag24%
Schools1%
Retail5%
Fab49%
High Tech5%
Lodging1%
Res New Constr0%
Lg Comml15%
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-
1
2
3
4
31 Ja
n 06
28 F
eb 0
6
31 M
ar 0
6
30 A
pr 0
6
31 M
ay 0
6
30 Ju
n 06
31 Ju
l 06
4 Aug
06
30 S
ep 0
6
31 O
ct 06
30 N
ov 0
6
31 D
ec 0
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Projected Targets 2006 Achieved Annual Goals
3.7 MM ThmGoal for 2006
Achieved 47.3% of Annual Goal as of
11/30/06 or 1.75 MM Thm(59% of the November
cumulative target)
Million Therms Paid
The TM contribution to 11/30/06 YTD Core Mass Market Paid
Accomplishments:1.63 MM Thm or 21% of total
Ag17%
Fab81%
High Tech1%
Lg Comml1%
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72.3
0
25
50
75
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MONTHS
PEAK
MW
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Achieved 29.6% of annual committed goal as of 11/30/06
or 21.37 MW (36.2% of the November cumulative target)
Megawatts Committed
Ag15%
Schools6%
Fab49%
Res New Constr
6%Lodging0%
Lg Comml12%
Medical1%
High Tech8%
Retail3%
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382
0
100
200
300
400
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MONTHS
Ann
ual G
WH
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Achieved 42.5% of annual committed goal as of 11/30/06 or 162.42 GWH (51% of the November cumulative target)
Gigawatt-hours Committed
Ag11%
Schools1%
Retail2%
Fab60%
High Tech13%Res New Constr
1%
Lodging1%
Lg Comml10%
Medical1%
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Million Therms Committed
18.86
0
5
10
15
20
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
MONTHS
Ann
ual M
M T
herm
s
TOTAL FORECAST COMMITTED TOTAL ACTUAL COMMITTED
Achieved 39.5% of annual committed goal as of 11/30/06 or 7.45 MM Thm (46% of the November cumulative target)
Ag23%
Schools1%
Fab65%
Medical0%
High Tech3%
Lg Comml1%
Lodging1%
Res New Constr
6%
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What’s new in Targeted Markets?
Server Farm Virtualization Software and High Efficiency Servers – High Tech
Pumping Efficiency Program – Ag/Food Wine tartrate removal using electrodialysis -Ag/Food PG&E Core Retro-Commissioning Offering – Retail,
Medical, Large Office, Private Colleges Building Commissioning - Retail, Medical, Large Office,
Private Colleges LED case lighting demonstration– Retail, Hospitality California Solar Initiative Coordination – All segments Federal Tax Credits Coordination – All Segments
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What is working in Targeted Markets?
High Tech Ag and Food Processing Industrial/Fabrication Retail Large Office Building
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Challenges in Targeted Markets
Schools - Emphasis on deemed measures and streamlining new construction
Hospitality – focus on deemed for dispersed smaller motels, and concentrate TM resources on greater Bay Area larger hotels
Medical – emphasis on deemed measures, new construction for pipeline development and retro-commissioning
BioTech – develop new construction for long-term pipeline
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Targeted Markets
Questions/Comments/Suggestions
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PG&E Core - Mass Markets
Keith ReedManager Mass Markets
Pacific Gas and Electric [email protected]
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Megawatts Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Net Peak MW)
115118
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Months
2006 Projections
2006 Actual Paid
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Gigawatt-hours Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Net GWH)
594
705
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Months
2006 Projections
2006 Actual Paid
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Million Therms Paid
2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Net MM Therms)
4.53
1.63
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Months
2006 Projections
2006 Actual Paid
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Incentives Paid2006 Core Mass Market Performance (Incentives - Million $)
64.37
42.68
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Months
2006 Projections
2006 Actual Paid
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Core MM Channel MW Comparison
Core MM Channel MW Comparison
69
49
73
22 23
118
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Net
MW
Res
Nres
Up
Mid
Down
Total
Res Nres Up Mid Down Total
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Core MM Channel GWH Comparison
Core MM Channel GWH Comparison
446
259
558
44103
705
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Ne
t G
WH
Res
Nres
Up
Mid
Down
Total
Res Nres Up Mid Down Total
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Core MM Channel MM Therm Comparison
Core MM Channel MM Therms Comparison
1.26
0.38
-
0.21
1.42
1.63
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
Net
MM
Th
erm
s
Res
Nres
Up
Mid
Down
Total
Res Nres Up Mid Down Total
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Mass Market: What’s New?
LED Refrigerator Case Demo Report Regional Vendor Meetings Trade Professionals Newsletter Direct Mail Campaigns Water Agencies Steam Traps Advertising (Appliances/Summer) Cool Roofs
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Mass Market: What’s working?
Upstream Channel Midstream Channel Refrigerant Charge & Airflow Duct Test & Seal Increased interest from upstream
distributors/manufacturers – (Lighting, Appliances, etc)
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Mass Market: Challenges
Therm Savings
Vendor Participation
Downstream participation slow statewide
Commercial Pool System expansion
Double Dipping monitoring
SBEE (Small Business Energy Edge)
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Mass Market: Program Design Changes
Revamp evaporative cooler delivery E-rebate to allow vendors to submit
electronically Bundled Building Performance Incentive
– HVAC installation/design, lighting, windows, insulation, etc.
Midstream HVAC Distributors Delivery –Out
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Questions/Comments/Suggestions
Mass Market:
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Third Party Program Update
Misti Bruceri / Mona YewSupervisors Third Party ProgramsPacific Gas and Electric Company
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Third Party Program Status
All 32 RFP I programs are underway
– Audits and marketing in progress for nearly all programs
– 21 programs are accepting applications and/or conducting direct implementation activities
– Savings through October:
• 1.0 MW, 6.01 GWh, 0.18 MTherms
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Third Party Program – RFP II
RFP II completed
– 17 programs selected
– 12 contracts signed to-date
• 21.8 MW
• 83.9 GWh
• 4.37 MTherms
– 5 contracts in final stages of completion
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Third Party Programs – RFP II
Ag and Food Processing
– Light Exchange Program (Richard Heath and Associates)
Fabrication, Process and Heaving Manufacturing
– AIM Compressed Air Efficiency (Air Power USA)
– Value Energy Stream Mapping Advantage Plus (California Manufacturing Technology Consulting)
– Compressed Air Program (Ecos Consulting)
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Third Party Program – RFP II
High Technology
– Laboratory Airflow Control Systems Re-Commissioning Program (Newmatic Engineering)
Large Commercial
– Energy Efficiency Partnership Program for California State-Leased Facilities (Enovity)
– Boiler Energy Efficiency Program (Enovity)
– Retrocommissioning Program (Portland Energy Conservation Inc.)
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Third Party Program – RFP II
Mass Market
– Heatwise (Energy Solutions)
– Fan Time Delay Relay Program (Proctor Engineering Group)
Retail
– Big Box Cool and Light (Energy Solutions)
Schools, Colleges and Universities
– California Preschool Energy Efficiency Program (Low Income Investment Fund)
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PG&E Residential New Construction
Cece BarrosCEE Solar Integration Coordinator
Shagun BoughenSupervisor/Program ManagerResidential New Construction
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Background
CSI – March 2, 2006 CPUC opened a proceeding to develop rules and procedures for the California Solar Initiative (CSI)
SB 1 - August 21, 2006, Governor signed Senate Bill 1, which directs the Commission and the CEC to implement the CSI program
NSHP - CEC manages a $350 million program to encourage solar installations in new home construction through its NSHP
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Challenges in RNC
ENERGY STAR Market Slow down Homes not selling Solar new and costly
Purpose: To align with NSHP to encourage solar
in residential new construction Encourages builders to exceed minimum
EE requirements when installing solar by offering increased incentives
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What’s new in RNCExisting:
ES New Homes– 15% better than T-24
– QII/TBC Mandatory
– $400 Coastal
– $500 Inland
Prescriptive - measure based
Proposed: ES New Homes
– 15% better than T-24
– QII/TBC Mandatory
– $400 Coastal
– $500 Inland
Prescriptive - measure based NSHP Tier II:35% better than T-24
40% cooling reduction
ES Appliances
$2,000
Solar Only
NSHP Tier I:15% better than T-24
ES Appliances
$400 or $500
Solar Qualified
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RNC continued Cost Effectiveness
Existing• TRC: .83
• PAC: 1.54
Proposed• TRC: .88
• PAC: 1.40
Energy Savings:
15% = 375kWh; 137Therms – 2006 Program
35% = 699kWh; 225Therms Energy Calculations:
State approved software for Res Energy Standards and Tax credits – Micropas
Includes distribution of housing stock by CZ
Weighted average for PG&E for Tier II
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Residential New Construction
Questions/Comments/Suggestions
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PG&E’s 2006-2008 Water-Embedded Energy Pilot
December 11, 2006
Bill MillerPrincipal Regulatory AnalystCustomer Energy Efficiency
Pacific Gas and Electric [email protected]
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The Water-Embedded Energy Pilot
CPUC announced consider of W-E energy in R. 06-04-010
Summer 2006: Workshop and Comments ACR Ruling directing an Application for
a W-E Energy Pilot be filed January 15, 2006
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ACR Issues in the W-E Pilot Ruling
Issues raised in the Pilot Ruling– Will counting embedded energy savings related to
water conservation now produce real new benefits or simply give credit for savings that would have occurred anyway
– “Another matter of considerable discussion is that the amount of energy needed to produce, convey, and treat water differs dramatically form place-to place”
– Pumped water often moves through more than one service territory
– Reducing water usage may produce benefits in the service territory of a water-upstream electric utility
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ACR Directive on W-E Pilot
To be filed January 15, 2006 One-year pilot programs to begin by July 1, 2007 Partner with one (or more) large water provider to jointly
fund programs Funding separate from 2006-2008; suggest limit to total of
$10 million No credit for savings toward 2006-2008 risk/reward; count
to better understand program benefits Encouraged to be innovative! Workshop in 2007 2nd quarter to prepare for full
incorporation for water-related programs for 2009-2011 Workshop also addresses: savings determination
methods; EM&V; procedural guidelines; outreach; training
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What Can the Pilot Accomplish
What actually needs to be resolved to introduce W-E energy saving programs into 2009-2011 programs?
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Pilot Design
Demonstrate how to calculate embedded water-energy intensity (kWh/gallon) for specific program activity
Demonstrate how to calculate net embedded water-energy savings (kWh)
Identify the sources contributing to the embedded water-energy for specific program activity
Demonstrate the potential for future embedded water-energy savings programs
Work toward sample EM&V protocol (work with ED)
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How will PG&E achieve objectives?
Partner with strategic water utilities Focus on measurement and verification Target market segment that will best
accommodate objectives
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Current Thinking: Partner with strategic water utilities
Work with:– East Bay Municipal Utilities District (EBMUD)– Santa Clara Valley Water District (SCVWD)– Sonoma County Water Agency (SCWA)
Because each:– Have good baseline embedded water-energy data– Have significant experience with water conservation
programs, coupled with budget and staff– Have strong relationship with PG&E
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Focus on M&V
Data exists on:– Water conservation programs & potential– Programs that save water and onsite energy– EM&V protocol for water savings, and for
energy savings
But what we don’t know:– What is the embedded water-energy intensity for a
specific region?– How do you measure embedded water-energy?– Who’s energy is it?– What is this energy worth?– What is suitable embedded energy protocol?
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Target market segments:
CI&I– Water districts identify as opportunity for
water savings– PG&E has good contacts within segment– Significant potential water savings, coupled with
better ability to meter water & energy, will provide best set of data/experience for EM&V development
Multi-region– Will have set of diverse embedded water-energy
intensity data– Will have set of diverse embedded energy supply
source data
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CI&I Market Opportunities
Schools Food Processing Food Service Laundries Biotech Health Services
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Detailed Example: Water Savings In Schools
Boiler blow down & condensate return Process lines Food steamers Evaporative coolers Cooling towers Ice machines Dishwashers Fixtures
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Detailed Example: Food Processing
Rinse / wash process lines Scalding / cooking processes Recycling process water Boiler blow down & condensate return
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Detailed Example: Food Service
Food steamers Evaporative coolers Ice machines Dishwashers Process lines Cooling towers
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Discussion
The Water-Embedded Energy Pilot