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1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl: Looking Back to Go Forwards. 6 September 2005 Lynn R. Anspaugh On behalf of 35 Scientists

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Page 1: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their

Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience

Presentation to the

International Conference Chernobyl: Looking Back to Go Forwards. 6 September 2005

Lynn R. Anspaugh

On behalf of 35 Scientists

Page 2: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Many persons participated in the preparation of our report. These

included

• Persons from the three more affected countries of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine.

• Scientists from other countries who had experience either in their own country or who had worked jointly with scientists from the three more affected countries.

• Members of the UN organizations.• International Union of Radioecology.

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Method of operation

• Seven meetings– Usually general with work being done in

subgroups.– Some meetings were topical.– Sections of the report were written

during the meetings and circulated to all participants.

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Method of operation (concluded)

• This is a consensus document.– Drafts were circulated to participants.– There were no strong disagreements.– The document is based upon 18+ years

of experience.– As far as possible we have relied upon

peer-reviewed publications.

Page 5: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Our report is long and detailed.

The presentation will follow these topics:• Radioactive contamination of the

environment• Environmental countermeasures and

remediation• Human exposure levels• Radiation-induced effects on plants and

animals

Page 6: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Presentation (concluded)

• Environmental aspects of dismantlement of the Shelter and radioactive waste management

• Conclusions

Page 7: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Days after initiation of accident on 26 April

Rel

ease

rat

e (P

Bq

/da

y)

Initial releaseSharp drop

Heat-up period

Cool-down period

2–6

PB

q/d

ay

Days after initiation of accident on 26 April

Rel

ease

rat

e (P

Bq

/da

y)

Initial releaseSharp drop

Heat-up period

Cool-down period

2–6

PB

q/d

ay

Page 8: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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The releases of radionuclides were large.

Radionuclide Half life Activity released, PBq Inert gases

85Kr 10.72 a 33 133Xe 5.25 d 6,500

Volatile elements 129mTe 33.6 d 240 132Te 3.26 d ~1,150

131I 8.04 d ~1,760 133I 20.8 h 2,500

134Cs 2.06 a ~47** 136Cs 13.1 d 36 137Cs 30.0 a ~85

Page 9: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Releases (concluded)Radionuclide Half life Activity released, PBq

Elements with intermediate volatility 89Sr 50.5 d ~115 90Sr 29.12 a ~10

103Ru 39.3 d >168 106Ru 368 d >73 140Ba 12.7 d 240

Refractory elements (including fuel particles)*** 95Zr 64.0 d 84

99Mo 2.75 d > 72 141Ce 32.5 d 84 144Ce 284 d ~ 50 239Np 2.35 d 400 238Pu 87.74 a 0.015 239Pu 24,065 a 0.013 240Pu 6,537 a 0.018 241Pu 14.4 a ~2.6 242Pu 376,000 a 0.00004

242Cm 18.1 a ~0.4

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Releases were in the form of

• Gases,• Condensed particles, and • Fuel particles.

The release of fuel particles is estimated to be 1.5% of the original contents. Most of the fuel particles were deposited within a few 10s of km.

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The radioactive cloud

• Went to high altitudes.• Was detected throughout the Northern

Hemisphere.• Resulted in substantial depositions as far

away as the United Kingdom.

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Radionuclides of primary concern

131I137Cs134Cs

Many other radionuclides have been measured. Of long-term interest close in are 239+240Pu. 241Am is the only radionuclide that is increasing with time due to decay of 241Pu.

Page 14: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Example air concentrations of 137CsC

on

cen

trat

ion

Bq

m-3

)

Time (month) after June 1986

Baryshevka

Chernobyl

Co

nce

ntr

atio

n (

µB

qm

-3)

Time (month) after June 1986

Baryshevka

Chernobyl

Page 15: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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A provisional level of “minimum contamination” was chosen.

• 137Cs at 37 kBq m-2 (1 Ci km-2)– Easily measured– 10 times the level from global fallout– Radiologically significant

• A rule of thumb is that dose from this deposition density would be about 1 mSv (0.1 rem) without countermeasures during the first year.

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Because the release took place over several days during many

weather conditions• Contamination was widespread and in

many directions.• Heavy deposits outside the near zone

typically occurred during rainfall. Some “hotspots” occurred at far locations.

• The mixture of radionuclides was not the same everywhere.

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Ground depositions of 137Cs

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Ground depositions of 137Cs

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Areas (km2) contaminated at>37 kBq m-2 (>1Ci km-2)

Russian Federation 57,900Belarus 46,500Ukraine 41,900Sweden 12,000Finland 11,500Austria 8,600Norway 5,200Bulgaria 4,800Switzerland 1,300Greece 1,200Slovenia 300Italy 300Republic of Moldava 60

Page 20: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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More than 5 million persons lived in the areas considered to be radioactively contaminated in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia.

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Behaviour of deposited radionuclides

• Radionuclides deposited on virgin land or lawns will stay there, but will migrate slowly into deeper layers of soil.

• Radionuclides deposited on other surfaces (roofs, asphalt, trees, bushes, etc.) tend to weather away. A large fraction of deposited radionuclides in urban areas will end up in storm drains.

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Behaviour of radionuclides in terrestrial ecosystems

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Important pathways to man in terrestrial ecosystems

• External gamma exposure due to the presence of radionuclides on soil and other surfaces.

• Direct deposition on plant surfaces.• The uptake of radionuclides from soil by

plants. This pathway varies markedly with radionuclide mobility and soil characteristics. This mechanism is important for the radiocaesiums.

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The important pathway for radioiodines is

• Direct deposition on food to be consumed by milk-producing animals or by humans.

• The half lives of radioiodines are too short for uptake from soil to plants to occur in a significant way. Radioiodines are a major concern only during early periods.

• Milk-producing animals concentrate radioiodines in milk and humans concentrate radioiodines in the thyroid.

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Normalized concentration of 131I in milk in Tula Oblast

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The pathways of radiocaesiums are more complicated.

• Direct deposition on forage to be consumed by milk- or meat-producing animals is also important.

• The uptake by plants from soil is important. This leads to contamination of – Plants– Milk– Meat

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Concentration of 137Cs in milk from France

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137Cs moves into the soil column

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Transfer from soil to plant can be quantified by a Transfer Factor.

or

unitless,ionconcentratactivitySoil

ionconcentratactivityPlantT

kg

m,

2

densitydepositionSoil

ionconcentratactivityPlantT

Page 30: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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137Cs transfer factors measured in Belarus

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

Less 80 81-140 141-200 201-300 More 300 Potassium content, mg/kg

Tag (137Cs), 10-3 m2/kg

Sands Sandy loam Clay loam

Page 31: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Change with time of 137Cs content in plants in Bryansk Oblast

1 9 8 6 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 8 2 0 0 2 1 9 8 8 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 6 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 4

1 0

1 0 0

1 0 0 0

- G r a i n

- P o t a t o

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Changes with time of 137Cs concentration in Bryansk Oblast

1986 1990 1994 1998 20021988 1992 1996 2000 2004

10

100

1000

10000

- Meat

- M ilk

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The current situation for 137Cs

• Levels in most agricultural products are below national action levels (typically100 Bq kg-1).

• In limited areas of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine milk is above national action levels.

• Private milk was being produced above action levels 15 y post accident in 400, 200, and 100 settlements of Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia, respectively.

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Forest ecosystems are unique.

• Radionuclide cycling is rather different.• Some trees are about as sensitive to the lethal

effects of radiation as are humans. (The Red Forest, for example.)

• Some plants (e.g., mushrooms and berries) are very efficient at uptake of 137Cs, and this varies with season and weather.

• Animals that eat such plants can accumulate substantial amounts of 137Cs.

• Wood ash can have elevated levels.

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137Cs concentration in mushrooms in Zhitomir Oblast

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Year

Bq/

Kg

DW

Xerocomusbadius

Russulapaludosa

Suillusluteus

Cantharelluscibarius

Boletusedulis

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Year

Bq/

Kg

DW

Xerocomusbadius

Russulapaludosa

Suillusluteus

Cantharelluscibarius

Boletusedulis

Page 36: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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137Cs concentration in moose in one hunting area in Sweden

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

YEAR

Cs-

137

(Bq

/kg

)

Page 37: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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Rivers can be contaminated by

• Direct deposition and• Run off from the catchment area.

Dilution is rapid137Cs rapidly attaches to sediments, but can be remobilized.

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Concentration in the Pripyat River

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Contamination of “closed” lakes is a larger problem.

• “Closed” lakes have little or no outflow or inflow, except from runoff.

• The nature of the bed sediments is an important determinant of the level of contamination in surface water.

• Predatory fish in some lakes can accumulate appreciable amounts of 137Cs.

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137Cs concentrations with time in Lake Vorsee, Germany

Lake Vorsee

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0 5 10 15 20

Time (years)

137 C

s in

wa

ter

(Bq

l-1

) a

nd

fis

h (

Bq

kg

-1)

Water

Pike (predatory)

Small Cyprinidae (non-predatory)

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The Chernobyl Cooling Pond

• Covers an area of 23 km2 and contains about 150 million m3 of water,

• Contains about 200 TBq of activity of which 137Cs is 80% and Sr 10%, and

• Is a source of 90Sr to the Pripyat River via groundwater flow. This is only a few per cent of the total flux to the River.

The concentration of radionuclides in the Pond are currently low.

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Concentration with time of 137Cs and 90Sr in the Chernobyl Cooling Pond

Total 137Cs and 90Sr in water of the Cooling Pond, monthly averaged

0,1

1,0

10,0

100,0

1000,0

05.01.86 05.01.88 04.01.90 04.01.92 03.01.94 03.01.96 02.01.98 02.01.00 01.01.02

Dates

Co

nc

en

tra

tio

n,

Bq

/l

Cs_137T

Sr_90

Page 43: 1 Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience Presentation to the International Conference Chernobyl:

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The reservoirs of the Dnieper Cascade

• Are an important source of drinking and irrigation water for a large number of people, and

• Have been monitored carefully.

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Concentration with time of 137Cs in two reservoirs of the Dnieper Cascade.

137Сs

1

10

100

1000

1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 Years

Bq/m3

Vishgorod Novaya Kahovka

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Groundwater

• Contamination in groundwater has been investigated extensively.

• There are areas of significant contamination near waste-disposal sites and the industrial site at the ChNPP.

• Movement of radionuclides to the Pripyat River is very slow, and is not considered to be a significant problem.

• There is no concern for off-site areas.

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Environmental Countermeasures and Remediation

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A full range of countermeasures has been applied in order to protect the public from radiation.

These varied from urgent evacuation to long-term monitoring of food supplies.

The ecosystems to which countermeasures have been applied are urban, agricultural, forest, and aquatic.

Countermeasures are not without negative consequences, so justification has been an important consideration.

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Radiation protection criteria have changed markedly since the accident.

• In general, radiation-protection criteria have been reduced by approximately a factor of 10 since the accident.

• Temporary permissible levels (TPLs) for radionuclide content in food went from a goal of <50 mSv (5 rem) per year to <5 mSv (0.5 rem) per year in the USSR.

• The general level of radiation protection is now <1 mSv (0.1 rem) per year.

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Current radiation-protection criteria for radiocaesium in foods, Bq kg-1

Country, International body CAC EU Belarus Russia Ukraine

Year of adoption 1989 1986 1999 2001 1997

Milk

1000

370

100 100 100

Infant food 37 40–60 40

Dairy products

600

50–200 100–500 100

Meat and meat products 180–500 160 200

Fish 150 130 150

Eggs – 80 6 Bq/egg

Vegetables, fruits, potato, root-crops 40–100 40–120 40–70

Bread, flour, cereals 40 40–60 20

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Urban dose-rate reduction factors (DRRFs)

Surface Technique DRRF, dimensionless

Windows Washing 10

Walls Sandblasting 10–100

Roofs Hosing and/or sandblasting 1–100

Gardens Digging 6

Gardens Removal of surface 4–10

Trees and Shrubs Cut back or remove ~10

Streets Sweeping and vacuum cleaning 1–50

Streets (asphalt) Lining >100

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Early agricultural countermeasures

• Early goal was to reduce the consumption of milk contaminated with 131I.– Exclusion of animals’ diet of

contaminated pasture.– Interdiction of contaminated milk.

• Later goal was to reduce the consumption of milk and meat contaminated with radiocaesiums.

• The early focus was on collective farms.

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Early agricultural countermeasures (concluded)

• Banning of cattle slaughter until they had received clean feed for 1.5 months.

• Restriction on the consumption of milk from private farms.

• Obligatory radiological monitoring of milk.• Obligatory milk processing.• Removal of agricultural soil was not a

practical measure.

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Later agricultural countermeasures

• Relocation of people and their animals.• Radical treatment of soil

– Fertilizer and lime application– Deep ploughing

• Change in crops grown to those with lower uptake of radiocaesium.

• Clean feeding of animals before slaughter and “live monitoring” have been important.

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Comparative uptake of 137Cs by crops measured in Belarus

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Carrot Cabbage Tomato Potato Haricot TableBeet

Cucumber Radish Pea

% to

pea

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Administration of caesium binders

• Hexacyanoferrate compounds (commonly referred to a “Prussian Blue”) administered to animals can reduce the concentration of 137Cs by up to tenfold.

• Can be applied in a variety of ways including salt licks, powder mixed with feed, and as boli.

• Clay mineral binders have been used in Ukraine.

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Current situation on agricultural countermeasures

• Clean feeding continues in Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine and in countries in Western Europe.

• Continued use of high potassium fertilisers.• Diversion of contaminated milk to other

uses.• Use of caesium binders.• Abandoned land is being returned to use.

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Forest countermeasures

• It is nearly impossible to manipulate forests, although there have been a few attempts.

• Countermeasures have largely been limited to – Restricted access to humans and animals,– Ban on gathering mushrooms and berries,– Ban on collection of firewood,– Control on hunting wild game, and– Treatment of grazing animals with binders.

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Aquatic countermeasures for drinking water

• Change to less contaminated rivers or groundwater supplies

• Special filtration during treatment• Control of runoff• Manipulation of flow• Sediment traps were not effective• Zeolite containing dykes were not effective

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Aquatic countermeasures for fish

• Ban on consumption• Selective ban on consumption• Attempts to treat lake water with the goal

of reducing radiocaesium in fish have not been very successful. A temporary threefold reduction was noted in Belarus with the application of potassium chloride to a frozen lake.

• Altered food-preparation techniques

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Human Exposure Levels

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Focus of our document

• Members of the general public exposed as a result of radionuclides deposited in the environment.

• Our data emphasise collective rather than individual dose.

• We did not consider dose to workers. • Individual doses are considered in the

health-effects report.

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Pathways of dose to man

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Radiation dose from Chernobyl has decreased with time

• Decay of short-lived radionuclides (e.g., 131I)• Movement of radionuclides into the soil

column (e.g., 137Cs)• Binding to soil particles—a process that can

reduce uptake to plants (e.g., 137Cs)• We speak of ecological half lives for non-

radioactive decay processes. Two component processes are typical

• Countermeasures

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Critical groups

• The concept of critical groups has been used traditionally in radiation protection.

• These persons may have a twofold or even larger than average exposure

• Who are they?– Persons spending much time outdoors– Persons consuming large amounts of

mushrooms and other ‘wild’ foods– Infants drinking milk from goats

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Determination of external dose

1. Description of the external gamma-radiation field over undisturbed soil. Can be calculated from deposition of radionuclides or can be measured.

2. Human behaviour, including a description of how external exposure is modified by shielding in homes, etc.

3. Dose-conversion factors to describe dose to an organ compared to measured or calculated dose in air.

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Reduction of external dose rate due to “ecological” decay

Time after the accident, years

r(t)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

95%5%

median "Chernobyl" caesium Bryansk region (Russia)

Caesium fromNevada test site(North/West USA) Global fallout

from Bavaria (Germany)

r(t)=0.38*exp(-0.693*t/2.4y)+0.39*exp(-0.693*t/37y)

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Location factors

• Consideration of location factors (occupancy, shielding, etc.) typically reduce calculated doses by a factor or two or more.

• There have been thousands of measurements by thermoluminescent dosimeters worn by members of the public.

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Projected external dose for 70 y following the accident

• 30% accumulated during the first year• 70% accumulated during the first 15 y

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Examples of average normalized effective external dose for adults

in the intermediate zone

E/σ137 , μSv per kBq·m-2 of 137Cs*

Country Population 1986 1987–1995 1996–2005 2006–2056 1986–2056

Rural 14 25 10 19 68 Russia (Golikov et al. 1999; 2002) Urban 9 14 5 9 37

Rural 24 36 13 14 88 Ukraine (Likhtarev et al. 2002) Urban 17 25 9 10 61 * σ137 is given as for 1986.

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Model for internal dose

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Model for internal dose (concluded)

• Food-consumption rates are taken from special surveys or from the literature.

• Dose-conversion factors are taken from the publications of the International Commission on Radiological Protection.

• Specific activities in foods are based on measurements or on ground depositions.

• Calculations are confirmed by whole body counts for radiocaesiums or thyroid counts for radioiodines.

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Estimates of thyroid doses in Ukraine based on measurements

Percent of children with thyroid dose (Gy) in interval Category and age group Number of

measurements < 0.2 >0.2–1 >1–5 >5–10 >10 Settlements not evacuated Rural areas

1–4 years 9119 40 43 15 1.7 0.9 5–9 years 13 460 62 31 6.5 0.44 0.07 10–18 years 26 904 73 23 3.7 0.16 <0.01

Urban areas 1–4 years 5147 58 33 7.5 1.0 0.7 5–9 years 11 421 82 15 2.6 0.23 0.04 10–18 years 24 442 91 7.7 1.4 0.12 <0.01

Evacuated settlements 1–4 years 1475 30 45 22 2.7 1.0 5–9 years 2432 55 36 8.4 0.6 0.08 10–18 years 4732 73 23 3.6 0.13 0.02

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Projections

• All dose from radioiodines has been delivered.

• Radiocaesiums continue to deliver dose, but at a decreasing rate due to decay and ecological loss (binding of 137Cs so that it is not available for uptake to plants).

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Examples of average effective internal dose for adults in the

intermediate zone

E/σ137, μSv per kBq·m-2 of Cs-137* Country, reference

Soil type 1986 1987–1995 1996–2005 2006–2056 1986–2056

Soddy-podzolic sandy

90 60 12 16 180 Russia (Balonov et al. 1996)

Black 10 5 1 1 17 Peat-bog 19 167 32 31 249 Sandy 19 28 5 5 57 Clay 19 17 3 3 42

Ukraine (Jacob and Likhtarev 1996; Likhtarev et al. 2000) Black 19 6 1 1 27 * σ137 is given as for 1986.

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Annual (2001) mean dose to adult residents of areas >1 Ci km-2.

Doses are in mSv per year.

Soil type Population

137Cs in soil, MBq m-2 Black Podzol Peat 0.04–0.6 0.004–0.06 0.03–0.4 0.1–2

Rural 0.6–4 – 0.4–2 –

Urban 0.04–0.6 0.003–0.04 0.02–0.2 0.1–1

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An example of dose contribution by pathway for a member of the critical

group in Svetilovichi, Belarus

Exte rn a l fro m

s o il

5 0 .3 %

Exte rn a l fro m

s h o re

4 .0 %

Exte rn a l fro m

s w im m in g

0 .0 1 %

In te rn a l fro m

fo o d in g e s tio n

2 3 .9 %

In te rn a l fro m fis h

in g e s tio n

2 0 .6 %In te rn a l fro m

w a te r d rin kin g

1 .2 %

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Estimates of collective thyroid dose in the three more affected

countries

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Estimated collective effective doses, 1986-2005

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Projected 70-y dose from consumption of water from the

Dnieper Cascade

• Projection is for a population of 32.5 million persons

• The additional dose to these persons over 70 years is 3,000 man-Sv.

• Most of the dose is due to consumption of 90Sr.

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Radiation-Induced Effects on Plants and Animals

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Acute dose ranges to produce 100% lethality in taxonomic groups

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General threshold values for significant detrimental population-

level effects

• To terrestrial and aquatic plant populations, and aquatic animal populations—10 mGy per day.

• To terrestrial animal populations—1 mGy per day.

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Effects on plants and animals have been observed in

the 30-km zone

• The dose received depends upon the ecololgical niche—consideration of location and uptake of radionuclides.

• Effects depend on the radiosensitivity of the species.

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Measured exposure rates on26 April near the reactor. Values are in R h-1 (1 R h-1 0.2 Gy day-1)

1 0 0C O O L IN G P O N D

1 km

T O W N O F P R IP YAT

R E A C T O R1

1 0

1 0 0

1 0 0

1

0 .1

R IV E R P R IP YAT

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Effects can be considered to have occurred in three phases

1. Acute phase during first 20 days. Large doses that measurably impacted biota. High exposures to animal thyroids also occurred.

2. Summer and Autumn 1986. Dose rates declined to about 10% of the original, but doses were still high enough to produce effects.

3. Later and continuing. Effects are less and there is compensation by migration.

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Beta dose is very important for many species.

• In general, about 80% of the total radiation dose accumulated by plants and animals occurred within three months.

• 95% of the total dose was due to beta radiation.

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Effects on plants

• In April plants were vulnerable, as they were in phases of accelerated growth and reproduction.

• Within the 30-km zone effects were seen of short-term sterility and reduction in productivity.

• Pine forests in the near vicinity received very high doses (>80 Gy) and were killed.

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Effects on invertebrates

• Numbers of invertebrates and species composition were impacted within 3 to 7 km from the reactor.

• Doses were in the range of 30 Gy.

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Effects on mammals

• Most domestic animals were evacuated, but several hundred were maintained in the 30-km zone.

• Radiation dose to thyroids of cattle was sufficient to produce measurable effects.

• Some animals died. Reproductive failures occurred, and some offspring were effected.

• No increase in teratogenetic effects.

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Other effects

• No effect on birds was noted.• The number of small rodents on some

plots decreased by a factor of two to ten. Estimates of gamma dose varied from 23 to 110 Gy.

• The numbers of small rodents were recovering by Spring 1987.

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Genetic effects

• Somatic and genetic mutations have been reported in plants and rodents. Total doses were as high as 3-4 Gy per month.

• There are controversial reports on increased mutation frequencies in repeat DNA sequences termed ‘minisatellite loci.’ The meaning, if any, of this is currently unknown.

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Secondary effects

• The current dominant effect on plants and animals is the absence of the human population.

• The ecosystem has changed as a result of the loss of pine trees, in migration of new individuals, and the absence of the human pressure.

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Environmental Aspects of Dismantlement of the Shelter and Radioactive Waste Management

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So far this talk has focused on material that got out of the reactor

• Most of the fuel (180 t of uranium) lies in the reactor.

• There are two prominent nagging problems:– The Shelter– Proper disposal of wastes

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The Shelter

• Was erected in a short time period between May and November 1986 under conditions of severe radiation exposure to the workers.

• Rests on portions of the original reactor of uncertain stability.

• Has 1000 m2 of openings through which about 2000 m3 y-1 of precipitation enters.

• Further flooding might lead to criticality, but this is considered unlikely.

• There are large amounts of dust inside.

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There are concerns that the Shelter might collapse.

• This would complicate further recovery efforts.

• Collapse might lead to the release of 500 to 2000 kg of dust containing 8 to 50 kg of dispersed nuclear fuel.

• This material, if released, would be deposited within the 30-km zone.

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There are plans to build a New Safe Confinement (NSC)

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The NSC should allow for

• Dismantlement of the old Shelter,• Removal of fuel-containing material (FCM)

from the reactor,• Eventual decommissioning of the reactor,

and • Decrease of environmental impacts.

Removal of the FCM depends upon the establishment of a geologic disposal facility.

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Waste-management issues

• As part of the past remediation efforts, large amounts of radioactive waste were created and placed in temporary near-surface facilities in the Exclusion Zone.

• These waste storage sites do not meet contemporary safety requirements.

• Documentation of the wastes disposed was not a matter of priority at the time.

• New wastes would be created by the construction of the NSC and the dismantling of Reactor No. 4.

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Current conditions are not urgent from a public exposure view.

• Some sites are flooded and represent a minor source of contamination of ground and surface water in the nearby areas.

• Current calculations do not indicate any meaningful exposure pathway for the public.

• Institutional controls are currently adequate, but may not be over the long term.

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A comprehensive strategy for waste-management is needed.

• Some material from dismantlement should be placed in a geologic repository.

• Should existing sites be remediated? This would be costly in terms of money and exposure to workers.