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  • 1

    Agenda2016UJNRMeeting,Napa,CA

    Wednesday,16November2016

    08:30WelcomingRemarks(Dr.WilliamLeith,Mr.MasatoKano)

    Session1NationalPolicies,StrategiesPrograms,Networks,andongoing/upcomingProjects

    08:45WilliamLeithUpdateontheEarthquakeHazardsProgram

    09:00GeraldBawdenDevelopmentofaGNSS-EnhancedTsunamiEarlyWarningSystem

    09:15NaoshiHirataJapaneseearthquakeresearchesforseismicandtsunamidisasterreduction

    09:30GeraldBawdenNISARNASAandISROSyntheticApertureRadarMissionOverviewofthemissionandscienceobjectives

    09:45ElizabethCochranThePathTowardsPublicEarthquakeEarlyWarningfortheWesternU.S.

    10:00MorganMoschettiThe2014UpdateoftheU.S.NationalSeismicHazardModel

    10:15GavinHayesRecentadvancesinearthquakeresponseandresearchattheUSGSNEIC

    10:30-10:45Break

    Session2The2016KumamotoEarthquakeSequence

    10:45NorikoKamayaThe2016KumamotoEarthquake-OverviewoftheSeismicActivityandNewGuidelinesfortheSeismicForecastInformationafterBigEarthquakes

    11:00MasayukiYoshimiStronggroundmotionofthe2016Kumamotoearthquakeobservedinthemidstofseverelydamagedarea

    11:15NorimitsuNakataSeismicityandstructureresponsesfollowingthe2016Kumamotoearthquake

  • 2

    11:30TakahikoUchideFaultmodelofthe2016Kumamotoearthquakeinferredfromhypocenterdistributionandstrong-motionrecords

    11:45TomokazuKobayashiDetailedgroundsurfacedisplacementandfaultrupturesofthe2016KumamotoEarthquakeSequencerevealedbySARandGNSSdata

    12:00HirosheUneSmalldisplacementsurfacelinearrupturesofthe2016KumamotoearthquakesequencedetectedbyALOS-2SARinterferometry

    12:15YukiKoderaEarthquakeEarlyWarningforthe2016KumamotoEarthquake:PerformanceEvaluationoftheCurrentSystemandtheNext-GenerationMethodsoftheJapanMeteorologicalAgency

    12:30-13:30lunch

    Session3EarthquakeHazardStudies,Recurrence,andMapping

    13:30NedFieldASpatiotemporalClusteringModelfortheThirdUniformCaliforniaEarthquakeRuptureForecast(UCERF3-ETAS)TowardanOperationalEarthquakeForecast

    13:45JeanneHardebeckOperationalAftershockForecastingfortheUnitedStatesandGlobally

    14:00MorganMoschettiIncorporatinggroundmotionsfrom3-DearthquakesimulationsintotheU.S.NationalSeismicHazardModel

    14:15KevinMilnerSupercyclesandSynchronizationSignaturesinSyntheticSeismicSequences

    14:30NadiaLapustaPossibilityoflargeseismicsliponcreepingfaultsegmentsanddeepercreepingfaultextensions

    14:45YehudaBen-ZionCorrelationsbetweenfaultzoneandearthquakepropertiesintheSouthernCaliforniaplate-boundaryaroundtheSanJacintoFaultZone

    15:00TomBrocherEvidenceforDistributedClockwiseRotationoftheCrustintheNorthwesternUnitedStatesfromFaultGeometriesandEarthquakeFocalMechanisms

    15:15AndreaDonellanShallowsurfacedeformationobservedwithUAVSAR.Whataretheimplicationsforearthquakehazard?

  • 3

    15:30-15:45Break

    Session4InducedSeismicity

    15:45DonaldTurcotteStatisticsandriskassociatedwithinducedseismicityatTheGeysersgeothermalarea,CaliforniaandinOklahoma

    16:00GregBerozaEfficientSimilarity-BasedEarthquakeDetectionAppliedtotheOnsetoftheGuy-Greenbrier,ArkansasSequence

    16:15WilliamEllsworthManagingtheHazardofInducedEarthquakes:InsightsfromInSARandGeology

    16:30SaraDoughertyLArge-nSeismicSurveyinOklahoma(LASSO):Probinginjection-inducedseismicitywithadensearray

    16:45XinglinLeiIncreasinginjection-inducedseismicityinAsia

    17:15Joern(Ole)KavenInducedseismicityinsightsfromtheDecatur,IL,CO2sequestrationproject

    17:30-18:00Postersessionpreview(2-3minuteseach)

    18:00Adjourn

    18:30Reception

    Thursday17November,2016

    Session5SubductionZoneScience(noteearlierstarttime)

    RecentInitiatives(S-Net,DONET,RingofFire,SubductionZoneObservatory)

    08:00MakotoMatsubaraEstimationofseismicvelocitystructurebeneaththeoceanusingseismicstationsoffshoreandonlands

    08:15JeanneSauber-RosenbergGRACEandfollow-ongravitymissions:Contributionstosubductionzonescienceandprospectsforthefuture

    08:30ShinAoiReal-TimeTsunamiInundationForecastSystemusingS-netData

  • 4

    08:45RyotaHinoRecentprogressofseafloorgeodeticmonitoringinJapan

    09:00JoanGombergAdvancingUSGSSubductionZonesciences

    EpisodicTremorandSlowSlip

    09:15SatoshiItabaShallowSlowSlipEventOffKiiPeninsula,Japan

    09:30DavidShellyFluid-faultingevolutioninhighdefinition:connectingfaultstructureandfrequency-magnitudevariationsduringthe2014LongValleyCaldera,Californiaearthquakeswarm

    09:45MakikoOhtaniInteractionofSSEandbrittlenucleationinsimulatedpre-seismicslip

    10:00-10:15break

    Session5SubductionZoneScience(continued)

    OperationalForecastingandEarlyWarningSystemsofEarthquakesandTsunamis

    10:15JohnRundleGNSSTsunamiEarlyWarning:StatusandPlans

    10:30JessicaMurrayTowardincorporationofreal-timeGNSSdataintheWestCoastEarthquakeEarlyWarningsystem

    10:45MitsuyukiHoshiba'Real-timepredictionofgroundshakingwithoutsourceinformation:DataassimilationandsimulationofseismicwavepropagationforEarthquakeEarlyWarning

    11:00TomJordanCISMearthquakeforecastingactivities

    11:15AnneWeinCommunicationofaftershockinformation

    11:30RichardAllenWarningwhenitmatters:Earthquakesandtsunamisaroundtheglobe

    11:45SarahMinsonTheTheoreticalandObservationalLimitsofEarthquakeEarlyWarning

    12:00BenBrooksInternetofThingsEarthquakeEarlyWarning

    12:15-13:15lunch

  • 5

    13:15-14:15PosterSession

    SatoshiAnnouraLowfrequencytremorneartheNankaitroughaxis,Japan

    DelphineFitzenzBayesiancombinationofmodelsforadata-drivenapproachtoearthquakerecurrence,forcrustalorsubductionsources

    SatoshiKawamotoTheGEONETreal-timeanalysissystemforrapidfinitefaultmodeling

    TomokazuKobayashiEarthquakerupturepropertiesofthe2016KumamotoEarthquakeforeshocks(Mj6.5andMj6.4)revealedbyconventionalandmultiple-apertureInSAR

    MakotoOtsuboEstimationoffluidvolumesnecessaryforthefracturingaroundtheseismogeniczone:Insightsfromtheformationofmineralveins

    NatanyaPortoAlternativeSegmentationMethodsforSubductionZones:AnAlaskanMegathrustModel

    SusanSchwartzRegionalandstressdropeffectsonaftershockproductivityoflargemegathrustearthquakes

    EmelSeyhanBasinedgeanddeptheffectsongroundmotionamplificationsintheKantoBasin,Japan

    YoshikiShirahamaSurfacerupturesassociatedwiththe2016Kumamotoearthquakesequence,centralKyushu,Japan

    MasayukiYoshimiEarthquakeFatalitiesMappingfortheEasternAsiaEarthquakeandVolcanicHazardsInformationMap

    Session5SubductionZoneScience(continued)

    ProbabilisticEarthquakeandTsunamiHazardEstimation

    14:15MarkSimonsInferringseafloordisplacementsduringthe2011Tohoku-Okiearthquakewithminimalpriorinformation

    14:30ThorneLayNorthernLimitofShallowSlipfor2011Tohoku:Re-ruptureof1896TsunamiEarthquakeZone

    14:45BunichiroShibazakiModelingdeformationprocessesoftheislandarccrustandmantleduringtheinterseismicandpostseismicperiodsoftheTohoku-okiearthquake

  • 6

    15:00GuyGelfenbaumUsingtsunamidepositstointerprettsunamiwaveandseafloorrupturecharacteristics:lessonsfromJapanappliedtotheAleutians

    15:15MasanobuShishikuraEvaluationofvarietyinearthquakerupturealongtheNankaiTroughdeducedfrompaleoseismologicaldata

    15:30QuentinBleterySmoothmegathrustsaremorepronetomega-earthquakes

    15:45KeisukeAriyoshiModelingResearchtowardEarthquakeDisasterMitigationbyusingJapaneseHighPerformanceComputingSystems

    Real-timeSeismicandGeodeticMonitoringandSeafloorObservations

    16:00RolandBurgmannTransientDeformationandStressFromEnduringPostseismicDeformationofthe2011Tohoku-OkiEarthquake

    16:15MeghanMillerSubductionZoneGeodesyandUNAVCOCommunityScienceResults

    16:30WayneThatcherNewwaystolookatactivetectonicdeformationofthewesternUnitedStates

    16:45GroupPhoto

    17:10forthoseinterestedingroupdinner,meetinhotellobby

    17:15departhotel

    17:30arriveatrestaurantMorimotofordinner

    ~20:30Returntohotel

    Friday18November,2016

    Session6TheSouthNapaEarthquake

    09:00KenHudnutFaultAfterslipForecastfortheAugust24,2014,SouthNapaEarthquake

    09:15JemErdemGround-MotionAttenuationfortheSouthNapaearthquakeintheSacramento-SanJoaquinDelta,California

  • 7

    09:30AnnemarieBaltayRegionalattenuationparametersinground-motionpredictions:Anexamplefromthe2014SouthNapaearthquake

    09:45MargaretGlasscoeUsingNumericalModelstoInvestigateDistributedDeformationTheSouthNapaEarthquakeasaCaseStudy

    10:00Presentationofthe11thUJNRResolution

    10:15ConcludingRemarks(Dr.WilliamLeith,Mr.MasatoKano)

    FieldTriptothe2014M6.0SouthNapaEarthquakeRuptureArea

    ~10:45Departure

    12:00lunch

    ~17:00Returntohotel

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