1 1/30/2016 NWS S&T Committee September 18, 2002 NWS S&T Committee September 18, 2002 David Helms Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Observations Science and Technology Infusion Plan for Observations 2 1/30/2016 Outline Team Composition Vision Key Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Infusion Strategy Summary Team Composition Vision Key Gaps Key Solutions Outstanding R & D Needs Infusion Strategy Summary 3 1/30/2016 Observations Team Composition David Helms NWS/OST Bob Saffle NWS/OST Tim Ross NWS/OCWWS John Bradley NWS/OCWWS Tom Carroll NWS/NOHRSC Naomi Surgi NWS/NCEP Dan Henderson NWS/NDBC David Helms NWS/OST Bob Saffle NWS/OST Tim Ross NWS/OCWWS John Bradley NWS/OCWWS Tom Carroll NWS/NOHRSC Naomi Surgi NWS/NCEP Dan Henderson NWS/NDBC Tom Schlatter OAR/FSL Bill Neff OAR/ETL Rick Artz OAR/ARL Marcia Weaks NOS Pam Taylor NESDIS/OSD John Pereira NESDIS/OSD Steve Goodman NASA/MSFC Kelvin Droegemeier OU/CAPS 4 1/30/2016 Implementation Keys: Continuous Assessment of Need and Capabilities Vigorous Collaboration Rapid Infusion of High Impact Technologies Observations Vision Observations When and Where Needed Observing System Keys: Adaptable Precise Comprehensive 5 1/30/2016 Observations Key Service Gaps Linking Observational Advances to Service Improvements Improved Detection of Mesoscale Phenomena: Severe Storm, Gravity Waves, Turbulence, Lightning Moisture, Precip Types, Cloud, Surface Properties Decrease Uncertainty in the Observing System Improved Observing System Calibration and Statistical Performance (Metadata) Improved Upper Air Global Observations Improved Observations of Coastal and Global Ocean Conditions Improved Radiation Budget Observations (Land, Sea, and Air) Improved Detection of Mesoscale Phenomena: Severe Storm, Gravity Waves, Turbulence, Lightning Moisture, Precip Types, Cloud, Surface Properties Decrease Uncertainty in the Observing System Improved Observing System Calibration and Statistical Performance (Metadata) Improved Upper Air Global Observations Improved Observations of Coastal and Global Ocean Conditions Improved Radiation Budget Observations (Land, Sea, and Air) 6 1/30/2016 Observations Key Solutions Improved Inner Core, and Storm Steering Environment -> Improved Storm Intensity and Track 20% Improvement in 24hr Winter QPE and QPF Improved Targeting Schemes Expand Winter Storm and Tropical Recon Program Add Remote Sensing Capabilities to G-IV and WC-130 Develop More Flexible Adaptive Observing Platforms 8x Improved HRes DBZ VCP 5-> 4mins 2005 Dual Pole 2007: 20% Accuracy improvement of Hail, Rain FA+LT 88D PIP: ORPG, ORDA, Dual- Polarization Mesonet Expansion: COOP Modernization, GPS, Regional Networks Projected Solution Decrease Uncertainty in the Observing System Improved Detection of Mesoscale Phenomena Service Gap Impact 7 1/30/2016 Observations Key Solutions Improved NWP Radiation DA and Validation Leverage SURFRAD, ISIS, ACORN, and Regional Soil Moisture and Temp Networks Improved Land, Sea, and Air Radiation Budget Observations Increased Accuracy of ENSO/SST Anomalies 100% Ocean/Lake Coverage Gulf Stream Position Expand VOS Program (Sfc, XBT, ASAP) Deployment of Coastal Storms Buoys and Profiles Leverage PORTS, NWLON, and NERRS, TAO, ARGO Improved Observations of Ocean Conditions Improve Day 2 thru Seasonal Forecasts of Temp/Precip/Hazards Expanded Aircraft Obs Leverage Research Satellites Acceleration of Satellite Data into NWP Improved Upper Air Global Observations Improved Calibration Baselines -> Improved Climatology and NWP DA Enables Dynamic Data Quality Assessment Parallel Testing of New and Legacy Systems Regional Testing Real-time Performance Metrics, by Station and Parameter Improved Observing System Calibration and Statistical Performance Monitoring ImpactProjected SolutionService Gap 8 1/30/2016 NASA NPP WVSS2 ORDA Dual Pole COOP Modernization (8000) G-IV (IWRAP) METOP Observations Key S&T Solutions Satellite Upper Air Radar Surface Marine Soil Adaptive RRS ORPG VOS Enhancement (2500) CSI Buoys and Coastal Stations (30) Deployment DTE R&D OTE NASA EOS NPOESS GOES R CSI Marine Profilers FAA TDWR, ARSR (42) Expanded Mesonet (AWS) (10000+) COOP Modernization Enhancements(1000) SCAN (120/1000) G-IV 2x Flt Hrs C130 H->J C130 SFMR TC 2x Flt Hrs ASOS 1min 9 1/30/2016 Observations Outstanding R&D Needs Improved Vertical Profiles Obs, esp. at BL Observations (Accuracy: Temp < 1C, Wind < 2mps, RH < 10%, Vert. Res data volume!!! Expansion of Adaptive Obs Increasing Radiation Budget Observations 12 1/30/2016 Observations Vision Observations When and Where Needed Observing System Keys: Adaptable Precise Comprehensive Implementation Keys: Continuous Assessment of Need and Capabilities Vigorous Collaboration Rapid Infusion of High Impact Technologies