0 development & financing of pv power plants & key issues in the off-grid/ hybrid sector

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1 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Page 1: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/

Hybrid Sector

Page 2: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

Conergy at a glanceA

Financing of PV Systems & Issues in Hybrid SystemsB

Page 3: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Conergy has a wide experience in all downstream sales channels; diversified sales approach is key to balance risks

Conergy‘s downstream business

INDUSTRIAL (free-field)COMMERCIAL (roof-top)RESIDENTIAL

< 50 kWp 1) Large > ~ 200 kWp 1) > ~ 500 kWp 1) Small 50 ~ 200 kWp 1)

Indirect sale to wholesale EPC

(Engineering / procurement / construction of PV installations)

PD, Financing, EPC(Development / financing / EPC of

large PV power plants)

B2B PROJECTS

SA

LE

S C

HA

NN

EL

SM

AR

KE

T S

EG

ME

NT

SA

Source: Conergy 1) Indicative dimensions

Direct sale to installers and sollateurs

Page 4: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Conergy has a longstanding experience in Asia and Middle East

Overview of markets in APAC served by Conergy

Source: Conergy

Middle East

Countries with own CGY-entity

Countries with EPC business driven by Singapore

APAC & Middle East markets

REMARKS

Singapore

| Presence in Asia Pacific and Middle East markets since 2005

| Teams with global experience and local knowledge

| Regional Headquarters in Singapore serving surrounding markets – regional engineering center of excellence

| Offices in Australia, India, UAE, Thailand

| Strategic partners in Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Saudi-Arabia

| Market entry in Japan currently in execution – own entity expected in H1/2013

A

Page 5: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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AConergy offers high-quality solar systems and an all-round carefree service package for all sales channels from a single source

Solutio

Conergy‘s solution portfolio

Based on more than 14 years of solar experience and its in-depth expertise as a former system manufacturer ....

l .... Conergy integrates high-quality components and comprehensive services to all-round carefree solar system solutions

l .... Conergy’s sales force has the expertise in all components, such as modules, inverters, mounting systems, cables and electrical parts

l .... Conergy has the competence to ensure its high quality standards by strict quality management along the entire value chain

SYSTEM COMPETENCE

HIGH YIELD DURABLE SECURE SIMPLESource: Conergy

Page 6: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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In general, Conergy operates in a proven consortium approach with selected strategic partners

Conergy – Local Partner Consortium

Consortium Member

General role in project

Tasks

Engineering Engineering Procurement ConstructionProcurement

PROJECT ENGINEERING PROJECT MANAGEMENT

• Overall conceptual design• Overall mechanical and electrical

design

• Main components supply

• Commissioning support

• Warranties

• Local civil design• Local mechanical design• Local electrical design

• Local components supply

• Installation • Commissioning

• O&M

A

Local Partner

Page 7: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

Conergy at a glanceA

Financing of PV Systems & Issues in Hybrid SystemsB

Page 8: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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PV Projects have the advantage to be comparable to financial products as they are straight forward on a technological perspective

Main characteristics of PV projects

Reliable

| Technology is simple and passive

| Maintenance is light

| Module life time 25 years

Predictable

| Sunlight is stable through the years

| Energy yield are predictable and Regular

| Output directly linked to quality of modules / inverters

| O&M costs are stable

Safe

| Returns are known well in advance

| Economical reality does not vary too much from simulations

Page 9: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Through the eyes of Finance a project is Risk Management

Overview of project development framework

ENVIRONMENT“Framework”

TECHNOLOGY“Know-how”

PLAYERS“human factor”

PROJECT

FINANCE

| Social Need

| Political framework

| Geological conditions

| Yield check

| Technical feasibility

| Technical/site risks

| Promoters

| Technology suppliers

| Investors

| Banks

Land + Rights

Project development

| Mitigate the risks of a project by

| Proper project documentation

| Scenario Analysis

| EPC Guarantees

Page 10: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Each partner in a project has a different goal..

EPC Margin (10 to 15%)

Loan Interests (6 to 10%)

Dividends (15%)

Sweat equity/Development Margin (15%)

Annual returns

Annual returns

One shot profits

One shot profits

EACH ACTOR HAS A DIFFERENT EXIT STRATEGY

IN MIND

Project stakeholders and their goals

Project

Project Promoter

Equity Investor

Money lender

EPC contractor

Page 11: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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Typical Finance Cycle of commercial PV Systems

Exit by trade sale to long term equity investorswith lower IRR expectations (8 to 10%) :| Utilities| Pension funds

Financial close

Preferred exit option

Short term equity investors withEquity IRR expectations around 14% :| Development banks (label+equity)| Hedge/Innovation funds (equity)| Industrial partners (exit strategy offer)

Joint Venture development(SSA, SHA)

Project construction

Exit by sector IPO

Equity Partner search

Promoters+

Initial Investors

Cash bring as Equity Injection into New/future

project pipeline

x

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| PPAS Capacity of local institutions to honor PPAs

| PPAs duration and renegotiation risk

| Land lease risks

For an investor a bad project is a project showing him shadow areas and risks with no answers, no mitigations …

Overview Project risks

PROJECT INTERNAL RISKSTECHNOLOGY RISK

| Clear shareholding structure of SPV with clear leadership Clear ownership rights

| One Majority shareholder mastering with track record

| Clear exit strategies

| Potential delays in EPC| Previous References project implementation

(Shareholders/EPC) in the country| Degradation factor of modules (generation)

over the years| Efficiency of components (Modules Inverters)| Guarantees on performance/yields| O& M issues

| Political stability and energy framework

| Project geological location| Project administrative environment

PARTNERSHIP RISKENVIRONMENT RISK

Page 13: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

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| Potential delays in EPC| Previous References project implementation

(Shareholders/EPC) in the country| Degradation factor of modules (generation)

over the years| Efficiency of components (Modules Inverters)| Guarantees on performance/yields| O& M issues

| Political stability and energy framework

| Project geological location| Project administrative

environment

| PPAS Capacity of local institutions to honor PPAs

| PPAs duration and renegotiation risk

| Land lease risks

For an investor a bad project is a project showing him shadow areas and risks with no answers, no mitigations …

Overview Project risks

PROJECT INTERNAL RISKSTECHNOLOGY RISK

| Clear shareholding structure of SPV with clear leadership Clear ownership rights

| One Majority shareholder mastering with track record

| Clear exit strategiesPARTNERSHIP RISKENVIRONMENT RISK

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Overall private sector investments have the opportunity to bring efficiency and competition to the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

Key points of concern for private investors

Some of the concerns can be addressed by the

Government while education play a key role and can be driven by the

private sector

A No sovereign guarantees to counter bankability issue

B Often remote access raises questions on O&M

C Difficulties to pool projects in order to attract equity

D Smaller systems difficult to debt-finance

E Wider span in quality/ reliability compared to PV PP

F Lack of education on RE in Off-grid markets

Page 15: 0 Development & Financing of PV Power Plants & Key Issues in the Off-Grid/ Hybrid Sector

OUR WORLD IS FULL OF ENERGY