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Page 1: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Review

Robb T. Koether

Hampden-Sydney College

Tue, May 1, 2012

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 1 / 26

Page 2: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 2 / 26

Page 3: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 3 / 26

Page 4: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Time and Place

Time: Monday, May 7, 2:00 - 5:00 pm.Place: Bagby 022 (here).

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 4 / 26

Page 5: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Goals of the Course

Keep in mind the goals of the course.

UnderstandingProficiency

Understanding aids proficiency.Proficiency aids understanding.Neither one is of much value without the other.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 5 / 26

Page 6: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Goals of the Course

Keep in mind the goals of the course.Understanding

Proficiency

Understanding aids proficiency.Proficiency aids understanding.Neither one is of much value without the other.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 5 / 26

Page 7: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Goals of the Course

Keep in mind the goals of the course.UnderstandingProficiency

Understanding aids proficiency.Proficiency aids understanding.Neither one is of much value without the other.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 5 / 26

Page 8: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Goals of the Course

Keep in mind the goals of the course.UnderstandingProficiency

Understanding aids proficiency.

Proficiency aids understanding.Neither one is of much value without the other.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 5 / 26

Page 9: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Goals of the Course

Keep in mind the goals of the course.UnderstandingProficiency

Understanding aids proficiency.Proficiency aids understanding.

Neither one is of much value without the other.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 5 / 26

Page 10: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Goals of the Course

Keep in mind the goals of the course.UnderstandingProficiency

Understanding aids proficiency.Proficiency aids understanding.Neither one is of much value without the other.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 5 / 26

Page 11: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

The Troublesome Problems

The following problems gave the most trouble on the tests.

Test 1 – Problem 9 (68%).Test 2 – Problems 9 (36%) and 10 (39%).Test 3 – Problem 1 (59%) and 5 (60%).

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 6 / 26

Page 12: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

The Troublesome Problems

The following problems gave the most trouble on the tests.Test 1 – Problem 9 (68%).

Test 2 – Problems 9 (36%) and 10 (39%).Test 3 – Problem 1 (59%) and 5 (60%).

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 6 / 26

Page 13: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

The Troublesome Problems

The following problems gave the most trouble on the tests.Test 1 – Problem 9 (68%).Test 2 – Problems 9 (36%) and 10 (39%).

Test 3 – Problem 1 (59%) and 5 (60%).

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 6 / 26

Page 14: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

The Troublesome Problems

The following problems gave the most trouble on the tests.Test 1 – Problem 9 (68%).Test 2 – Problems 9 (36%) and 10 (39%).Test 3 – Problem 1 (59%) and 5 (60%).

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 6 / 26

Page 15: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 7 / 26

Page 16: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 1

Introduction to Hypothesis Testing.Bag A vs. Bag B, or some similar situation.Direction of extreme.Type I error - α.Type II error - β.p-value.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 8 / 26

Page 17: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 9 / 26

Page 18: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 2

Random Sampling.Population.Sample.Simple random sample - randInt().Stratified sample - heterogeneous groups.Cluster sample - homogeneous groups.Systematic sampling.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 10 / 26

Page 19: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 3

Observational Studies and Experiments.Variable.Explanatory variable.Response variable.Confounding variable.Observational study.Experimental study.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 11 / 26

Page 20: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 4

Graphical Displays of Qualitative Data.Pie chart.Bar graph.

Graphical Displays of Quantitative Data.Frequency plot.Stem-and-leaf display.Histogram.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 12 / 26

Page 21: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 13 / 26

Page 22: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 5

Computation of Basic Statistics.Statistic vs. parameter.Measures of Center.

Median.Mean.

Measures of Spread.Standard deviation.Variance.Quartiles.Five-number summary (from stem-and-leaf display).Boxplots.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 14 / 26

Page 23: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapters 6 and 7

Probability DistributionsNormal.Uniform.Triangular.Probability.Percentile.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 15 / 26

Page 24: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 16 / 26

Page 25: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 8

Sampling Distributions of x and pFor very small samples, find sampling distributions for x and p byhand.For large samples, use the Central Limit Theorem for Means andProportions.

For all sample sizes, CLT gives mean and standard deviation of pand x–only the shape requires a sufficiently large sample size.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 17 / 26

Page 26: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 18 / 26

Page 27: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapters 9

Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals for Proportions (OneSample)

The seven steps of hypothesis testing.One-sample test for p.One-sample confidence interval for p.Know the formula for test statistic.Know the formula for confidence interval.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 19 / 26

Page 28: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapters 10

Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals for Means (OneSample)

The seven steps of hypothesis testing.One-sample test for µ.One-sample confidence interval for µ.Standard normal vs. t distributions.Know the formulas for test statistics (z and t).Know the formulas for confidence intervals (z and t).

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 20 / 26

Page 29: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapters 11

Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals for Differencesbetween Means and Proportions (Two Samples).

Independent sample vs. paired sample.The seven steps of hypothesis testing.Test for µD = 0 (paired differences).Two-sample test for µ1 − µ2.Two-sample test for p1 − p2.Standard normal vs. t distributions.Formulas are on the formula sheet.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 21 / 26

Page 30: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 22 / 26

Page 31: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 13

Linear Regression.Bivariate quantitative data.Scatterplot.Equation of the regression line y = a + bx .Prediction, interpolation, extrapolation.Correlation coefficient r .Coefficient of determination r2.Sums of squares - SST, SSR, SSE.Strength vs. significance of the relationship.Test of significance of β and ρ.Formulas are on the formula sheet.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 23 / 26

Page 32: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Chapter 14

Analysis of Count Data.Expected counts.Chi-square distribution.Goodness of fit test.Tests of independence or homogeneity.Formulas are on the formula sheet.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 24 / 26

Page 33: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Outline

1 Time and Place

2 Chapter 1 – Introduction

3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies

4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability Distributions

5 Chapter 8 – Sampling Distributions

6 Chapters 9 - 11 – Hypothesis Testing

7 Chapters 13 - 14 – Two-Variable Problems

8 Making Decisions

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 25 / 26

Page 34: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?

How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26

Page 35: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?

How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26

Page 36: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?

How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26

Page 37: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?

How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26

Page 38: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?

How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26

Page 39: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?

How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26

Page 40: Reviewpeople.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/Math121/Lectures...Outline 1 Time and Place 2 Chapter 1 – Introduction 3 Chapters 2 - 4 – Designing Studies 4 Chapters 5 - 7 – Probability

Making Decisions

How would you recognize a hypothesis-testing problem?How would you determine whether it involved one sample or twosamples?How would you determine whether it involved means orproportions?How would you recognize a paired-difference problem?How would you recognize a confidence-interval problem?How would you recognize a goodness-of-fit problem?How would you recognize a test-of-homogeneity problem (orindependence)?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Review Tue, May 1, 2012 26 / 26