o.i.v. 2010 1. 2 oiv report on the state of the vitiviniculture world market surface area of world...
TRANSCRIPT
O.I.V. 2010
1
O.I.V. 2010
2
OIV report on the OIV report on the State of the State of the vitiviniculture world market vitiviniculture world market
•Surface area of world vineyards
• Grapes• Global production
• Fresh grapes• Global production
• Raisins • Global production
• Wine• Global wine production • Global wine consumption• Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine• International trade
O.I.V. 2010
3
Surface area of vineyards Surface area of vineyards worldwide worldwide
O.I.V. 2010
4
7660
70007200740076007800800082008400860088009000
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
07
Publ. 200
8
Foreca
st 2
009
averageYears
1000
ha
Surface area of vineyards worldwide
2,7%
57,9%21,3%
13,0%5,2%
O.I.V. 2010
5
Recent developments of the leading vineyards
1000 ha
O.I.V. 2010
6
Surface area of vineyards worldwide
1 113840
818
505470398
330243228206200173
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
Spain
France
Italy
Turkey
ChinaUSA
Iran
Portugal
Argen
tina
Roman
iaChile
Austra
lia
1000
ha
Areas planted in vines of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2009
Forecast 2009 / 2006
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
7
Global grape productionGlobal grape production
O.I.V. 2010
8
400 000
450 000
500 000
550 000
600 000
650 000
700 000
average
Years
1000
qs
44,0%
26,5%
20,7%6,0% 2,8%
Global grape production
675 323
O.I.V. 2010
9
Recent developments of the leading grapes producers
1 000 qs
O.I.V. 2010
10
81,5
72
63,861,8
55,4
39,2
31,3 29
21,8 1716,8 15,9
15,714,612,4
0102030405060708090
ITALY
CHINA
USA
FRANCE
SPAIN
TURKEY
CHILE
IRAN
ARGENTINA
SOUTH AFR
ICA
INDIA
AUSTRALIA
EGYPT
BRAZIL
GERM
ANY
1 00
0 00
0 q
sGlobal grapes production of the 15 leading countries
Forecast 2009
Forecast 2009 / 2006
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
11
Global grape production
Qs / haYield of global grape production
69 68
78 80
7277 77 75
7882
77 78 78
85 84 85 8588 88
0 10 20 30 40
50 60 70 80 90
86-9
0
91-9
5
96-0
0
01-0
519
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
06
Publ.
2007
Prov.
2008
Forec
ast 2
009
O.I.V. 2010
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Global production of grapes Global production of grapes for fresh usagefor fresh usage
O.I.V. 2010
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1000
Qs
Total production of grapes for fresh usage
O.I.V. 2010
14
Developments of the leading production of grapes for fresh usage
1000 Qs
* China including Macau & Hong Kong & Taiwan
O.I.V. 2010
15
1000
000
Qs
Production of grapes for fresh usage of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2008
Prev. 2008 / 2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
* China including Macau & Hong Kong & Taiwan
O.I.V. 2010
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Raisins
Global raisin productionGlobal raisin production
O.I.V. 2010
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1000
Qs
Total production of raisins
O.I.V. 2010
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Developments of the leading production of raisins
1000 Qs
O.I.V. 2010
19
1 00
0 Q
sProduction of raisins of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2008
Forecast 2008/2005
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
20
Global wine production Global wine production
O.I.V. 2010
21
268,7
220
240
260
280
300
320
average
Years
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
World production of wine
67,8%
5,1%
17,9%
4,1% 5,1%
O.I.V. 2010
22
Developments of the leading production of wine
1000 Hl
O.I.V. 2010
23
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
5047,7
45,6
35,2
20,6
12,112,0
11,69,9 9,8 9,2
7,0 6,7
1 00
0 00
0 H
l Production of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2009
Prov. 2009 / 2006
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
24
Global wine consumptionGlobal wine consumption
O.I.V. 2010
25
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
World consumption of wine
65,5%
7,8%
21,3%
2,9%2,5%
236,5
210215220225230235240245250
average
Years
O.I.V. 2010
26
Developments of the leading consumption of wine
1000 Hl
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000CHINA
UK
SPAIN
ARGENTINA
RUSSIAN FED
AUSTRALIA
PORTUGAL
ROMANIA
O.I.V. 2010
27
0
5
10
15
20
25
30 29,927,3
24,5
20,3
14,012,7
11,3 10,3 10,0
5,14,5 4,0
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
Consumption of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2009
Prov. 2009 / 2006
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
28
Per capita wine consumption
Liters
Global wine consumption
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
2007 Prov. 2008 Forecast 2009
Calculation taken from FAO 2007 demographics data base
O.I.V. 2010
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Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
O.I.V. 2010
30
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Degree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
Difference between wine production and consumption
Nb:This spread can not be considered as a surplus because near 35 million hl are used to supply the market for industrial
purposes: brandies, carburation, vinegars and vermouth.
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
O.I.V. 2010
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-15 000
-10 000
-5 000
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
ITALY
FRANCE
SPAINUSA
ARGENTINA
CHINA
AUSTRALIA
CHILE
SOUTH AFRIC
A
GERMANY
RUSSIAN F
ED
ROMANIA
100
0 h
lDegree of market equilibrium in the world of wine
Difference between wine production and consumption for the main producer countries
Forecast 2009
O.I.V. 2010
32
International tradeInternational trade
O.I.V. 2010
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86,4
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
average
Years
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
World wine exports
67,8%
0,5%
16,5%
4,8% 10,4%
O.I.V. 2010
34
Developments of the leading of wine exports
1000 Hl
O.I.V. 2010
35
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20 18,6
14,4
12,5
7,7 6,9
4,0 4,0 3,72,8 2,3
1,3 1,0
1 00
0 00
0 H
lExports of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2009
Forecast 2009 / 2006
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
36
83,8
3540455055606570758085
average
Years
1 00
0 00
0 H
l
World wine imports
71,5%6,4%17,9%
3,0% 1,2%
O.I.V. 2010
37
Developments of the leading of wine imports
1000 Hl
O.I.V. 2010
38
14,1
11,9
9,2
5,94,5
3,3
3,3
3,11,9 1,9 1,9 1,8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
GERM
ANYUK
USA
FRANCE
RUSSIAN F
ED
NETHERLANDS
CANADA
BELGIU
M
SWEDEN
DENMARK
SWIT
ZERLAND
JAPAN
1 00
0 00
0 H
l Imports of wine of the 12 leading countries
Forecast 2009
Forecast 2009 / 2006
decreasing
stable
increasing
O.I.V. 2010
39
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%8
6-9
0
96
-00
1 9
96
1 9
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
Pro
v. 2
00
8
5 leadingexportersUE
Southernhemisphere+ USA
Othercountries
World market share
International trade 2009
O.I.V. 2010
40
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