© nerc all rights reserved building on geological models – the vision of an environmental...

© NERC All rights reserved

BUILDING ON GEOLOGICAL MODELS – THE VISION OF AN ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING

PLATFORM

Holger Kessler, Diarmad Campbell, Jon Ford, Jeremy Giles, Andrew Hughes, Ian Jackson, Denis Peach, Simon Price, Hans-Georg Sobisch, Ricky Terrington, Ben Wood

3D Geological Modelling WorkshopPortland 17th October 2009


Geological Model

Data and Information Base

QuantitativeConceptual Model

Process Model

?

Quantitative Understanding

Predictions

Forecasts

Scenario

Planning … to produce geoscientifically based “what if scenarios” and putting these into context in a subsurface information system

The vision is to develop the Environmental Modelling Platform which links data, knowledge and concepts seamlessly to numerical process models….

Unc

erta

inty

Refinem

ent


From maps… …to forecasts…to models…


We need to think outside our own comfort zone

BGS

NERC

“where it matters”


The environmental challenges ahead

• The ability of to provide clean and affordable drinking water and water for industrial use from ground or surface water

• Managing the risks of flooding from the sea, rivers, rainfall run-off and groundwater

• The safe disposal, containment and potential re-use of anthropogenic waste products

• Prediction of ground conditions for major infrastructure projects (transport, housing, utilities)

• The mitigation of physical hazard such as landslides, subsidence, earthquakes and tsunamis

• The conservation of land to maintain food production as well as protecting biodiversity

• The sustainable management of ground sourced heating and cooling

in a changing environment


The emerging tasks

• Data supply and interoperability• Process models and their linkage• Communication of model results to scientific peers and a non-technical audience• Computational infrastructure

Continue to build and engage the community:

• BGS (test beds and other projects)

• UK collaborations

• International collaborations


Coupled Geological and Groundwater models


Communicating the model results


Solving the IT is not the hard bit!

• IT issues

• Science issues

• Cultural issues

© nerc all rights reserved building on geological models – the vision of an environmental...

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