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    2009 2010 - (French Carrier Strike Group). PEAN 2009 MEDOR 2010 . - Charles de Gaulle (R91) Cassard, Georges Leygues, La Fayette, Durance - Rubis.

    Charles de Gaulle Rafale-M F-3, - Super Etendard - -2 Hawkeye. Mirage-2000/-5, F-16 Blk30/50/52+/52M,F-4 (AUP) ERIEYE/EMB-145H .

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    Charles De Gaulle (R91) La Fayette

    Mirage-2000 Rafale-M F3

    ERIEYE/EMB-145H

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    Cassard Georges Leygues

    Rafale-M () F3 Super Etendard

    Rubis Durance

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    - 89

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  • 16 - 89

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    - 89

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    - 89

    , , , - 2004Simon GOODNOUGH, War Maps, New York (Martins press) 1982

  • 15 15 **

    (..) , , . - . , - , . , -, . , . .. , , , , - , . .. (soft & smart) . , , .. - , - .

    , 15 1 , , , - (.. ) Effects Based-Approach on Operations2 ( ).

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    20 - 89

    1 ..2 Effects Based Operations (EBO- ), Comprehensive Approach( . ), Whole-of-Government Approach ( ). , . 3 , , : , / : . , : :Yale Ferguson & Richard Mansbach, /GEOLAB-, :2009. . . , . 24-25:

  • .. , , . 20 - [: ]. , , , . , . , / anom-alies. , . , , , !..........4 ( 2 )5 .6 .7 Joint Forces Air Component Commands8 , , . , 1940, Robert McNamara () , 1943 . , B-29.

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    21 - 89

  • 22 - 89

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    - 89

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  • 24 - 89

    EBO;

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    : , ++ -, , - ( ), +++. . , ( 1991), - 12 - .

    ; !!!

    13, - , () - , 14 - ( ) .15

    , . , ! , , Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Military is no longer the complete answer16.

    , , - . 2 (2003) ( ). , , , .

    12 . 13 14 Jobbagy Z., Literature Survey on Effects-Based Operations-A Ph.D. study on measuring military effects and effec-tiveness, TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory (The Hague-The Netherlans), . 11-14. 15 , , .. (capabil-ities) . 16 http://andersfogh.info/2010/03/04/military-is-no-longer-the-complete-answer/

  • 25

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    20 , , -, , (as a free country). , - . post waroperations.21

    - 89

    17 , , . . , , . . Jean-Jacques Roche(Professeur de Science politique lUniversit Panthon-Assas), Le diplomate et le soldat : questions de prsances,Le Figaro, 12 Fvrier 2006. , . .18 , , , : (system of systems). 19 , (hearts and minds). ( ). ; 20 , , (). 21 , (. Mearsheimer J. John, , . -W.W.NORTON & COMPANY, 2007 (.), .XVII, 473-531, 744-764), , - , ( ).

  • 26 - 89

    ;! (2010) ! ,

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    - , 1989, , . , (The great-est strength of America is that people want to live there).25

    - 89

    23 ( ): Military, OGDs, Allies, IOs,NGOs, PMCs, Media, Indigenous Populations, Multi-National Corporations, Universities / think-tanks, IndividualsOpportunists. 24 , McCrystal - . , .25 . , - , : . A PONZI SCHEME THAT WORKS, The greateststrength of America is that people want to live there, The Economist, page 69-70, December 19th 2009.

  • 28 - 89

    soft soft ,

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  • 29

    , . :

    , 1974-2010 ( ) 2010-2025 2030. - . (Hellenic Effects Based-Approach29 ) - - , - .30

    - 89

    29 HelEBA30 (). Effects Based-Approach , - , , -. , (2010) , . , , (MoD) Comprehensive Approach ( ). .

  • 30 - 89

    . , , , ( ), . , .

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    31 (.) . , upsilondiaeresis - , . ( , ), () . . - , upsilondiaeresis, (), , . 32 , (. , , 07, ) , .33 - (.. .

  • 31

    1. Israel and NATO Between, Membership and Partnership, A Working Paper in Preparationfor the Herzliya Conference 2010, Shlomo Ben AmiJanuary 14, 2010, Oslo, Prof. Shlomo Ben Ami.,Executive Vice President, Toledo International Center for Peace (CITpax). 2. A Multi-Polar Nuclear Middle East How, it Will Operate?, A Working Paper in Preparationfor the Herzliya Conference 2010, Shmuel Bachar, Shmuel Bar, Rachel Machtiger, Former Minister ofForeign Affairs of Israel. 3. , / : . , -: :Yale Ferguson & Richard Mansbach, : /GEOLAB-, :2009,: . . : .4. , . , GEOLAB - , :. - . .5. , . . ,. -. . , . , :GEOLAB - :. . . 6. & - , :. , :Geolab/, :2007, -: . .7. & O : . , : , 1989.8. Turkish Political Islam and its role in the Geopolitical Complex of the Middle East, . . : . , - : , :1991. 9. : :. . , : , :2002. 10. , , , 1997 ( Theorie des Krieges, 1988).11. MEARSHEIMER J. John, , .-W.W.NORTON & COMPANY, 2007 (. ).12. ., & , , 2006. 13. BISCOP Sven & COOLSAET Rik, THE WORLD IS THE STAGE-A GLOBAL SECURITYSTRATEGY FOR THE EUROPEAN UNION, Groupement dEtudes et de Recherches (Pres.JacquesDELORS), Policy papers No 8 , December 2003. 14. VAN EVERA Stephen, , --Cornell University, , 2005.15. Greene Robert, The 33 Strategies of War, A JOOST ELFFERS BOOK, Penguin Books, USA2006. 16. , , , 1997 ( Theorie des Krieges, 1988).17. Effects Based Operations, Strategy, Concepts and Doctrine Air Combat Command, USAF.18. HAIDER Sajjad and Alexander H. Levis, Fellow, IEEE, Effective Courses of action to achievedesired effects.19. DEPTULA David, Effects Based Operations: Change in the nature of warfare, AerospaceEducation Foundation, Defense and Airpower Series, 2001, Virginia.20. DEPTULA David, Fires for Effects, Air Force magazine , April 2001, Vol.84, No4,http://www.afa.org/magazine/April2001/0401effects_print.htm. 21. Rapid Decisive Operations (RDO), US Joint Forces Command. 22. RICHTER Andrew, Lessons from the Revolution: What Recent Military Operations RevealAbout the Revolution in Military Affairs and Future Combat, Journal of Military and Strategic Studies,Sprong 2005, Vol.7, Issue 3. 23. DAVIS Paul, Effects Based Operations-A Grand Challenge for the analytical community,RAND-NDRI and Project Air Force (Prepared for the office of the secretary of defense and the UnitedStates AirForce), 2001.

    - 89

  • 32 - 89

    24. JOBBAGY Z., Literature Survey on Effects-Based Operations-A Ph.D. study on measuringmilitary effects and effectiveness, TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory (The Hague-TheNetherlans). 25. JOBBAGY Z., Effects-Based Operations and the Problem of Thinking Beyond: A CriticalReflection, Clingendael Center for Strategic Studies, March 2006, The Hague, The Netherlands. 26. JOBBAGY Z., Effects-Based Operations and the Age of Coplexity, Militaire Spectator, JRG175 , 5-2005.27. Air Force Luxury or Necessity?, Clingendael Center for Strategic Studies, February 2006,The Hague, The Netherlands.28. Necessary Choices, Clingendael Center for Strategic Studies, February 2006, The Hague,The Netherlands.29. ZOBBAGY Z., Literature survey on Effects-Based Operations, A PhD study on measuring mil-itary effects and effectiveness, TNO Physics and Electronics Laboratory, 2003.30. CHEEK Gary, Effects-Based Operations:The End of Dominant Maneuver?, US Army WarCollege, Carlisle Barracks, 2002. 31. SEOW Hiang Lee, Center of Gravity or Center of Confusion, Understanding the Mystique, AirCommand and Staff College, Air University, Maxwell AFB, Wright Flyer Paper No10, December 1999.32. WILCOX Greg/Wilson, Gary I., Military Response to fourth generation warfare inAfghanistan.33. WOLFE Frank, Air Force Officials to Emphasize Effects-Based Operations in QDR, DefenseDaily, 18 January 2001.34. WARDEN John A. (Col), The Enemy as a system, Air Power Journal, Spring 1995.35. SENLAUB Michael, Ph.D., The Analytic & Philosophical Imperatives of effects-BasedOperations (EBO), www.mors.org/meetings/ebo/ebo_reads/Senglab.pdf.36. YIN K. Robert, Case Study Research: Design and Methods, London:Sage Publications,2003.37. CORBETTA Piergiorgio, Social Research:Theory, Methods and Techniques, London:SagePublications, 2003.38. MEARSHEIMER J. John, , .-W.W.NORTON & COMPANY, 2007 (. ).39. ., & , , 2006. 40. BISCOP Sven & COOLSAET Rik, THE WORLD IS THE STAGE-A GLOBAL SECURITYSTRATEGY FOR THE EUROPEAN UNION, Groupement dEtudes et de Recherches (Pres.JacquesDELORS), Policy papers No 8 , December 2003. 41. , , (), 2004.42. , , , (6), 1999.

    ** (.. Universit Paris II-Pantheon Assas-Sorbonne ) - . [email protected]

  • 33 - 89

  • 34 - 89

    (1469-1527) (1469-1527) , 407/80

  • 35 - 89

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  • 36 - 89

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  • 47

    , , . ., . , , 2004 ., , . , , . , 1984

    ., , , 1995 . , Niccolo Machiavelli, , . -

    -, , 2001 , , University studio press, , 2009

    Gherel F., La pensee de Machiaveli en France, Paris, 1935

    - 89

  • 48 - 89

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  • 49 - 89

    1912-19131912-1913

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  • 50 - 89

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  • 51

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    . Bleriot, 50 , 17-7-1912 ( 26/3/1912). 19-8-1912 . , , , - (3.050). -

    - 89

    Bleriot- & Nieuport -

  • 52 - 89

    , . 29-8-1912 . , - - , . .

    - 1911 , - Eudoux. 1911 - , - Henry Farman, - (, , ), 1912 (, ,).

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  • 53

    1912 . - -.

    Henry Farman - - . - , - - . , - , - . , -, . - . - , - , .

    Farman, , 1500 ,

    -, -, . - . -, - -, . , - . - Maurice Farman .

    5 1912, - , . - - , . , - ( - 1911, - ).

    - 89

    - ( )

  • 54 - 89

    26 1912, . , , 15 , . , Maurice Farman, - .

    1912, - Maurice Farman - - - - . - Barres , . - , , Barres . , - , . -, - , - . - , - , - - .

    5 1912 . - . . - , , , - -, , . 21 1913 . , -. - . . - , . .

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  • 55

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    - 89

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  • 56 - 89

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  • 57

    Nieuport 24 bis Spad 532 533 - - Dorand AR-1 Nieuport, Breguet 14 Sopwith ( ). 531 532 - , 533 . . - 1916 -. 531 532 (16-18/5/1918) - , - (14-21/9/1918) 45 . - , .

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    - 89

    Nieuport 531

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  • 58 - 89

    , - , , - - (.. Fokker).

    31 1917, | Henry Farman , - - , , , . The Fearless Aviator.

    - - , 1917, Farman155 Bristol.

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  • 59

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    - 89

    ::- , , 1908-1918.- , 1908-1944, . & ., 2000.- 1900-1980, . .- , .

  • 60 - 89

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    1996, . , - , - , . . , -, 1.

    , , -, , - . , . , - , . , , upsilondiaeresis .

    ()

    1 , & , & (), . .., , 2002,.596.

  • 61 - 89

    1.

    . James A.Robinson, 62 , , , :There is no theory of crises2 . .

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    , 4 .

    , ( ), , , upsilondiaeresis , (-) , .

    , ( ), , , , , , ... , , 1999, 2006, S-300 , .

    2 James A. Robinson, An appraisal of concepts and theories, in Charles F. Hermann, ed., International Crises,New York: Free Press, 1972, p.273 , , ,

    (), , 2004, . 20.4 , , , ,

    & , . . , 2002, , , 11/2001, .35.

  • 62 - 89

    1.1

    , : - . (, , ). ( , , /Cyber-terrorists). / -(Hacking, etwars). (SARS, ). (, |, ). ( 1986).

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  • 63

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    - 89

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    7 J.F. Kennedys Annual Message to the Congress on the State of the Union, Jan 11th, 1962.

  • 65

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    - 89

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  • 70 - 89

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  • 72 - 89

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    - 89

    13 George Alexander: A Provisional Theory of Crisis Management- Avoiding War: Problems of CrisisManagement, 1991, .23.

    -

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    1. George Alexander: A Provisional Theory of Crisis Management- Avoiding War:Problems of Crisis Management, 1991

    2. , & , & (), . , , 2002.

    3. James A. Robinson, An appraisal of concepts and theories, in Charles F.Hermann, ed., International Crises, New York: Free Press, 1972

    4. , , - , (), , 2004

    5. , , , & , , . ., 2002, , , 11/2001

    6. Lebow, Richard N, Between Peace and War: The Nature of International Crisis.1981, ISBN 0-8018-2311-0

    7. : , , ., 2003.

    8. , , 1997

    9. Snyder, Glenn H. and Diesing, Paul, Conflict Among Nations: Bargaining,Decision Making and System Structure in International Crises, 1977, ISBN 0-691-05664-1

    1. . ., 1996. , - 56, Defencenet, . 2006

  • 74 - 89

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  • 75 - 89

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  • 76 - 89

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  • 77

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    - 89

  • 78 - 89

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  • 79

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  • 80 - 89

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  • 81 - 89

    1 Handbook, NATO Office of Information and Press, 2001

    2 Nato crisis management concept, PfP ADL WG, 2006, . 1-2. http://pfpdev.ethz.ch/SCORMcontent/43272/scos/12/index.pdf

    3 Yoram Dinstein, War, Aggression and Set/Defense, Cambridge, 1988, . 238

    4 THE AVALON PROJECT Documents in Law, History and Diplomacy, .http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/nato.asp

    5 http://www.arrc.nato.int/brc

    6 THE AVALON PROJECT Documents in Law, History and Diplomacy, .http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/nato.asp

    7 David C. Compert and Stephen Larrabee, America and Europe: A Partnership for a New Era, Cambridge,England: Cambridge University Press, 1997, . 1-18

    8 Albright, Statement at the North Atlantic Council, Federation of American Scientists, December 16, 1997, . 6 http://www.fas.org/man/nato/offdocs/us_97/970218.htm

    9 John Blasing, The Secretary of Defense and the Partnership for Peace: A Policy for a Safer World, InternationalAffairs University of Colorado, Boulder, 2008, . 3 http://www.colorado.edu/artssciences/defense/John%20Blasing.pdf

    10 Website Cooperative Longbow & Lancer 2009, The Partnership for Peace, 17 May 2009.http://cooperative09.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=21&Itemid=33

    11 First Joint EU/NATO Crisis Management Exercise (CME/CMX 03) From 19 to 25 November 2003, Brussels, 12November 2003, EU Council Press Office, 14570/03 (Presse 320), . 1-2 https://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/77895%20%20Press%20information%20of%20Nov.%202003.pdf

    12 Adriana Craclunescu, The EU-NATO Strategic Partnership, Strategic Planning Directorate, The General Staff,2009, . 1-4http://www.defense.ro/gmr/Engleza/Ultimul_nr/craciunescu-p.44-47.pdf

    . ... - - , - , - - -.20

    , . , ,

    . --, , - 21.

    -, , - -, , - - .

  • 13 Stephen J. Gomershall, Nato and European Defense, Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 4, No.1, March-May1999, . 1-2http://www.sam.gov.tr/perceptions/Volume4/March-May1999/gomersall.PDF

    14 Remarks by Javier Solana, EU High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy following theagreement on the establishment of E.U-NATO permanent arrangements, Brussels, 16 December 2002, . 1-3http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/73803%20%20Solana%20%20Permanent%20arrange-ments%20+%20NATO%20declaration.pdf

    15 D. W. Bowett, The Law of International Institutions, 4th Edition, 1984, . 180-185

    16 Comprehensive Approaches to International Crisis Management, CSS, Analyses in Security Policy, Vol. 3, No.42, Oct. 2008, .1-3http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/DigitalLibrary/Publications/Detail/?ots591=0C54E3B3-1E9C-BE1E-2C24-A6A8C7060233&lng=en&id=93229

    17 Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Crisis Management: Looking Back and Looking Ahead, presented at the CrisisManagement Conference: Athena 2008, July 2, 2008, .1-9http://www.ifpa.org/pdf/athena_08.pdf

    18 The International Institute for Strategic Studies, Military Balance 2009 Executive Summary, Europa Publications,2009, .1-4http://www.iiss.org/publications/military-balance/

    19 Stanley R. Sloan, CRS Report for Congress, 97-708F, NATOs Evolving Role and Missions, March 13, 1998,.4 http://digital.library.unt.edu/govdocs/crs/permalink/meta-crs-612:1

    20 Andrew A. Michta, What Next for NATO?, Orbis, Vol. 51, Issue 1, Winter 2007, .155-164http://www.rhodes.edu/faculty/AndrewMichta/Andrew_Michta/Whats_Next_for_NATO.pdf

    21 Samuel Grier, Nato and 21st Century War, Nato Defense College, Research Division, Rome, October 2007,.1-76http://www.nato.int/docu/21-cent/21st_eng.pdf

    82 - 89

    Albright, Statement at the North Atlantic Council, Federation of American Scientists, December 16,1997. http://www.fas.org/man/nato/offdocs/us_97/970218.htm

    Adriana Craclunescu, The EU-NATO Strategic Partnership, Strategic Planning Directorate, TheGeneral Staff, 2009.http://www.defense.ro/gmr/Engleza/Ultimul_nr/craciunescu-p.44-47.pdf

    Andrew A. Michta, What Next for NATO?, Orbis, Vol. 51, Issue 1, Winter 2007.http://www.rhodes.edu/faculty/AndrewMichta/Andrew_Michta/Whats_Next_for_NATO.pdf

    Comprehensive Approaches to International Crisis Management, CSS, Analyses in Security Policy,Vol. 3, No. 42, Oct. 2008.http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/DigitalLibrary/Publications/Detail/?ots591=0C54E3B3-1E9C-BE1E-2C24-A6A8C7060233&lng=en&id=93229

    David C. Compert and Stephen Larrabee, America and Europe: A Partnership for a New Era,Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press, 1997, . 1-18

    D. W. Bowett, The Law of International Institutions, 4th Edition, 1984.

  • 83 - 89

    First Joint EU/NATO Crisis Management Exercise (CME/CMX 03) From 19 to 25 November 2003,Brussels, 12 November 2003, EU Council Press Office, 14570/03 (Presse 320).https://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/77895%20%20Press%20information%20of%20Nov.%202003.pdf

    THE AVALON PROJECT Documents in Law, History and Diplomacy, .http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/nato.asp

    John Blasing, The Secretary of Defense and the Partnership for Peace: A Policy for a Safer World,International Affairs University of Colorado, Boulder, 2008. http://www.colorado.edu/artssciences/defense/John%20Blasing.pdf

    Nato crisis management concept, PfP ADL WG, 2006. http://pfpdev.ethz.ch/SCORMcontent/43272/scos/12/index.pdf

    Handbook, NATO Office of Information and Press, 2001.

    Remarks by Javier Solana, EU High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy fol-lowing the agreement on the establishment of E.U-NATO permanent arrangements, Brussels, 16December 2002.http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cmsUpload/73803%20%20Solana%20%20Permanent%20arrangements%20+%20NATO%20declaration.pdf

    Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Crisis Management: Looking Back and Looking Ahead, presented at the CrisisManagement Conference: Athena 2008, July 2, 2008.http://www.ifpa.org/pdf/athena_08.pdf

    Samuel Grier, Nato and 21st Century War, Nato Defense College, Research Division, Rome, October2007.http://www.nato.int/docu/21-cent/21st_eng.pdf

    Stanley R. Sloan, CRS Report for Congress, 97-708F, NATOs Evolving Role and Missions, March13, 1998.http://digital.library.unt.edu/govdocs/crs/permalink/meta-crs-612:1

    Stephen J. Gomershall, Nato and European Defense, Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 4, No.1,March-May 1999.http://www.sam.gov.tr/perceptions/Volume4/March-May1999/gomersall.PDF

    The International Institute for Strategic Studies, Military Balance 2009 Executive Summary, EuropaPublications, 2009.http://www.iiss.org/publications/military-balance/

    Website Cooperative Longbow & Lancer 2009, The Partnership for Peace, 17 May 2009http://cooperative09.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=21&Itemid=33

    Yoram Dinstein, War, Aggression and Set/Defense, Cambridge, 1988. http://www.arrc.nato.int/brc

  • 1940-41 1940-41 ()

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  • 85 - 89

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  • 105

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    - 89

  • 106 - 89

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    1. , /, , - , , . , . - , , , . ,. 301-302.2. . . , , , , . ,. 268.3. , . ., . , . 365. . 16 , : , - , , , , , , , arma-tores, , - , . . , . , - (. . 1880, 1996, . 32-33 .4. . . , . 1800-1864, Gutenberg, 1996, . 17-21.5. , . . -, , , 2009, .102-119.6. . . , , , ( ), . , . 417-420. . . , - , 1821-1833, , 1998, . , . 10-18.7. ., . , , , 2009, .138-164.8. , : - : , , -, - . , 1821-1828, . . , 2002, .23.9. . . , , 1821-1833, . ., . , . 414.10. .11. . , . , , 1867, . 179 . . -, , 2, . 111, ... , , - , , , . , . ., . 179. . : , ,/ , ./ [] , ,/ -, ,/ , ,/ , ./ , . . , - , , , 1978, (. . 1859) (), . 14. .Passow, . A. Passow, T , . -. , ( . 1860), . 15, 16, 16,17, . 15-18. ., . , , 1821-1833, . ., . , . 17 1. A. Passow: ;/ . A. Passow, T , . ., . 59, ( ), . 51.12. . , , 1821-1833, . ., . , . 267.13. -

  • 107

    , .14. . , , 1821-1833, . ., . , . 106.15. , .., . , . 108.16. , .., . , . 109.17. A. Passow, T , . ., .95, ( ), . 78.18. , . ., .124, ( ), . 99.19. , , , 1973, . , . 50. , , , -. . , , , 1999, . , . 360. . , , , 1979, . 30-31.20. - , , . . , - , 1821-1833, .., . , . 41, 44 . 521. . . - . : , , . . , , 1821-1833, . ., . , . 28. . William Leake . , . . , , 1977, , . 2 (1669-1812), . 141, .637. 22. : [ ] [ ] - [ ] , - -- [ ] . . , , 1821-1833, .., . , . 98.23. : [ ] [-] , , , . . , ,1821-1833, . ., . , . 97. -, , : . , . , . , . , . , ., . , . , , , ..24. : : -, , - . () , . . , ,1821-1833, . ., . , . 388 5.25. . . , , 1821-1833, . ., . , . 116-117.26. ( ) ( , ) - , . . . , , 14, . 20, ...27. - . . , , , 1800-

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  • 109

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  • 115

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  • 135

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