Alexey Turchin

Искусственный интеллект Новая форма жизни

1. Проблема безопасности ИИ (что нас ждет плохого) 2. Медицинский ИИ (что нас ждет хорошего) 3. Слияние человека и компьютера (как решить обе проблемы) 4. Освоение космоса с помощью роботов-репликаторов: жизнь в космосе

То, что сейчас называют ИИ – это не ИИ

AI spring

2012 – Neural networks 2016 – AI hype in media

❶ Narrow AI ❷ AGI = human level AI ❸ Superintelligence

AI epochs:

Narrow AI❶ Neural nets ❷ Expert system ❸ Genetic algorithms

Human level AI❶ Natural language processing ❷ Brain models ❸ Turing test

AGI

When: from 2020 to 2100

How long: From days to decades

Conservative estimate: 2050 and decades

Superintelligence Recursively self-improving

Will quickly become smarter than all human race Many are afraid of it: Bostrom, Musk

Levels of Superintelligence

❶ (Cyber)Weapons ❷ Unemployment ❸ Self-improving AI

AI safety

Paperclip maximizer

Smile maximizer

AI driven human

extinction

What is going on now in medical AI?

Major IT companies created medical AI departments:

• Google – Calico, Deepmind Health • Facebook – Chan-Zuckerberg

initiative • Intel – Intel health and science • IBM – IBM Watson • Microsoft – Microsoft Health, Allen

Brain Atlas, malaria research in Gates foundation

What is going on now?

Major IT companies created medical AI departments: • Global AI startup financing hit $5 bn in 2016 (Nikkei) • Medicine – 15% of total spendings

What is going on now? From Virtual Nurses To Drug Discovery:

106 Artificial Intelligence Startups In Healthcare

Deals to healthcare-focused AI startups went up from less than 20 in 2012 to nearly 70 in 2016.

}Research

Therapy

Uploading

Life extension

AI

2 New therapies

3 Robo-scientists

1 Diagnosis

2 Cure

3 Profilaxis

1 Cryonics

2 Recording

3 BCI

1 Cure aging

Medical AI ≠ Life extension AI

Startups

Deepmind Healthcare: Stream app. “Streaming the right information to the right clinician at the right time”

AiCure: confirms medication ingestion

Babylon Health: AI exper t system + videochat

Upgrade Network

Elon Mask: neural lace and Open AI: net of self improving individuals We: Best way for such merge: medical AI

• BCI + “neuronet” • Self-improvement • Cyborgization • Human-like AI assistants • Humoral interface • Social network of patients

Superintelligence and nanotechnologies

Nanorobots A) self-replicating B) externally controlled C) having narrow AI

Загрузка сознания в компьютер и слияние с

ИИ

Киборги как новая форма жизни

Superintelligence will solve death

Космос ответ на вопрос о новом

человеке

Для освоения космоса нужен искусственный

интеллект

Роботы в космосе: самовоспроизводящиеся

колонии и нанотех

Зонды фон Неймана для освоения Галактики