คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ
DESCRIPTION
คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจTRANSCRIPT
nuqu qun{o eir..ltaqr ni n q A uaar*gfi n&9
alrd's 6sratu
rfieua.irr oaaruafit
ninsrn notuf{nmrwqalanilna fl zsqs 6}r'}n:..rrfi?le5nrnflfril{lryryatyrtL uiltzzs-zsz
aa u au d u I
ry a il6 a n r u-ui d'e ufr o n I ernrTou ur rl es lyr fily e
Offprint No. 24
Fruou ou a{rorirs'l:o r n?nqfi rn:ugfi o terufu dnqru
fiuutit.t nrsuafita a t tiu i {u fi o n t t ytw u t il t y m /l n u
uir 6": r rri r fi n i n q r' r n: u g n' o l uij yr. a. z s +o r fl u 6,u, r 1 d,fi n.: i r yr o r u r u fi n u rff{Hnn:vilrcro.:inqn'rn:ugfirriogrurnrrurfluoEirLo.:rJ:vy
rryurflud:hJ ,:rui,tulr':arufinurfr':ruan:vvrurionr:fi,:rurilras:cd'uriri'r{ rla.luf;nurn,rr.raeio:;6,!n':rrrfl uodrrorurlRruqr.rnn,yil1l I'u: rilfriyrr,rd,iurn:ugfr o*or,i,oou
l n n': r r fi n s d n u r fi { r.r a n : v n u t o l i n q ei^r a: u g fi r oio nn r.r v fi.l r u u r n o u(povertv incidencc) Jnu*?uhJfinr:tir::o:rarruii'afi1d'rirlirrd.: rraytauorirofruoflod'ofir4r1#^anr: f;nu r,nrirriurr'nsir.rri'uri.:lud',",,l"a,,.rrrrr-,u,*
u r'r n'r r u fii : s n o u d'r o a r l nr u fi o ri: u r r : n rfl u n r : ri r : r r,: r u i o-o rfi u r fildnrrsn rrurJrnouro ':l ru ji'uluo6sr rirud ao.rrflu nrlr0 nrr0.: drrHql0inlrltrlnnrir'r]1ru11r:finurnr:indnr?vn?rrurnru rrruosrrnnqr.la.,o.:nr:fi,u.*,,rio,riunoufiriol#rfinnrrl - ' q v ;rn:usnorioan,.,o.,ul'lj'i];HT,ffi ',,HHTlJilTrl'ffiry;_nir rn; r:u qn r?r urfl u un oq u
I . u yr ci r : r o.r r ui i'ardo { 6rR r ? v n ? r ilu r no ulu o 6 sr^-.i
': r u J 0'u liu r r : n l lu rf o.r an r rv n'r u a r n r u fl d r r o r n r n :.: n r : i frt,,io.: fi r, o.rturnt:lnn lno Mecsook (1979) rror \\,orld Bank t texot d.:ritlrJrlrujfrulunriosiorrrio rlG rrav rJ:ril (:-s:t) turascrini and Jirsuchon (l9gg) Krongkacrv cr.al( t sq:) lu drur o.:if; nr: inn:ru0rnru rqurn vrrviG nr: ri.,u r* ..,#u*rtuurn
0u(povcrrv tine )" rhl'rruifi'rro.:tutnr:ionldrrr,frn0rniruron
orshansky ( r965)d.: ld'ri r u'r 0r n r r r a r r o u 1 u r, i r r?r fl dli f$ o *i n r 1 u ry r.rTi r, ; ;;; ; ;;;;'
"tA
lu'd*:0trtflnt?tnttlJUtn0u(povcrtvincidencc) ilarrulyrpi.rriourir.:lrnrio: s riu r#u n r r l a r n o u fi ldl un r : ri r u : u ri',: fu n r : ri r u u n r du n r r ,., 0 r n o u 6r rfl urJ:;rdurirri'qrJ:srduuu'.rff:,fluiin,rr6u.:ri'urrnru'ui;r,+.,1
rr'flco.rrJ:rrdud'rrfiuruio':riun'o rJ:vrduiinr:rirurarrdun:ruurnor:r#urrJfl (o.grnalpo'crtv lincs) rravil: vrdufi oo.:fi 0 n r : il:-ur #u rrrr'urnrurioldin an nrrr -Jr!ur n oulufl 6u n
?luva mqvu, tnauilltn ttiu?gtv
nr:rilfi uFr:vd'urdunrtuurnoufinrsrir6'runr: firyuel "rdu nrr rl u r n lumr{lnvurn'r:" ttio food novertv lines 6'rrflu:vd'rd'umu1o.:or.n:r?o jntu rnr:i q a 4 9 qEi n " e ,
frnfrtSouu5ounnn60.:lrlvroeroufluo.:eron?rueroinr:vn'ror11r:riueir (minrnunr
nutrirional requlremen$ lqfl lunr:riturcud'o'rfl riorynfiEofi o (n) rJirrarnrrrdo.: nr:9l
dr:orHt:'i'ugitu5o minimum nut ition drfinrilruorfludru?uttnao;sio;usionu tt )
ilSrtare r:ot1ir:luorHr: usiayrfiorliorrsinyfiil':el (n) rlorarrrrrrnu ni: li'in nzi qYr a I q o 4s : :
n{ o rtr,J : i n o u n u r o u n do.r sq rr : n l u n r r ri', u a * *',,,r rir r^r u n r : r i'i n l r u n r
(minimum consumptionilanl 6.: ortfl urtlrttplu nt: l?lnn I o {n ;x[io u uio n u fi o d
lurdun':ruarnouilo6 rrdv ('r) :rnrfiudrvu?elolfir: rn'o1drtila.:rrr,r,,rrn.,,4s J I qyt4 t
1 t: tnnqJu9l I tfi tuu: lllJo l9t?[.tu,l
c7u n o u fi a o { 60 n r : ri 11.r u n rdu n ? r! u r n 0 u ri ru :-u fi u tir ri'hi 1 "i o r r i r : ri i o
nonfood povcrty tines 6rit.frfiarLfi'ufi01#rfluii'Fld'lufiur#ur-t:tt,t,tniluttt.rs s : ut o s]nryurnt: tqud'od:uilo t0"[Fr0rnnr:nruunr tnur]ifru tuiul#'vi tr]u I 1t,r'iil
rlo.t orshansky (1965) luarigonrinr riorvirriu zz: 1r:n:fiqio'l Kakuani and
Medhi ( I 9e8) rrnv NESDB ( l 999)') riol#rvirfiriii'oa:uoir o rn{otnn r: ldij rl@ 4 i< uy v d ;^ uyj .i | ld 4
10nfl :?r: 0u11n0 to'llulfl 0ulTufl: ?t: 0ulltJ:tu [9r9n11 qq ]0 [lJ 0 : rryu nr [: n ( il111 0.]
world Bank ua u.: tued'sfi il :-l rdu n r tl ur n 0 u I o i world Bank d'': ud'ryfi fi u r fi o
a 149! rq ! :n0 t9l?tog tufl0ultuu)
J o " j,ay J A @ qydr e)
01fluu0.:u-tFra11 [o0tn1u910u11 I [[a3 2 ilr:tilnu [orlJuldun]1ilu ]n0u,)4otut.-ojjaoooov
t ta-r 0{ u rnran nar?il rn ru-rol l.nn ru uf, n r ?& n ?'uJ U r n 0 uqn n }J r r n r : n rlr': 0r ldri a r uAd
'.i- qgeJ j a - aja '
j d -?I [[9ll]UUlJ lry01.10.:nuillnmqgn0fl'bu11t:Ufl?'l head count ratio crn[!Unl: ?n
ti'naru toril:svrn:fifi:r416'pirn'iruiorvirfiurdur.n'rlrurn0urfiorriril:;"u r,r:
il{Hru916 UYt o I Y I
0 y [1.] u to ? 1 fl r : n I u'] Bl tdu n ? til u I n 0 u 9t 0.: n I : I 0 lJ n 1i a I uuFt tro 3 ]J 11 a I uy9
@ u @ 4 ^ j1,?9 1 v a I @ q 4 11 I
'tJ u 9l o u : 1 u 11.1 u': lJ U 0 U n t du u qt $ t u 1 0 i ry'l 0 u t u 1J t.: 1J u 9t 0 u 0 rt 9t 1 u q.t u xl 0.t l il u t
r qit[! nn tillt{nnt: tf,urln dyfiufin: r:r,'sr'rsi nfruld'ni.ru{rlri rn nr: rr ffifrr:o r,r'fi0'rld
{oryaoir':qorriux$o1dauruor'grufisir.:riu ncir':leruaqilruanr:rirursu'anr?cfl?rilurfl
' dodru z: rfluii'rreirunxrl?ruror firndosnr:ilr?i'orirutouLnrir d'orriildro:s6'udrfi:rfllyl0.ltlu (sparial pricc indiccs)
autu tua tot;:,l'b otninq6 nt u g fr u z
,0 u o r o il r n r fl n ? r u [ [a n ei r.: x o.: il r o-o si r,r I 6'i fi
99l. {0il dn ?ttldol nr: dr: o rur: riudr (minimum nutritional rcquirement)
2. rio ry a rl i u r a, a t : o r r r : 1u fi u tlr o r u r : r rsi a y yu-rr ( nutri tion contents)
3. {otattulrrruunt: t;'innx 0':Flu urfl 0u (consumprion pattern of the poor)
4. riorya:rnrfiurltotrt: rrn; fiurirfihjl,ilonrr: (food and nonfood prices)
^j5. arufig ruriorn'qii?unr:uiinnfi \rilriorrr:
rddqa2. n I : o 5 u lu ft ? I tJ [[n n n I $fl o {l r^f a n 1 : fi nu I [: o { r"t a n 5 v Yt u fl o { ? n q 9l
6ltfl :u{ n0n0crnt?rn?t}JU tnou4
rfi o 16'n : r u riu n o u n r : ri r u ?ol dn r :i o -l r u u r n o u rrdr r: r fi aru r : cr d tr r< -iq9o\rv v --;oruru?-)?ru[[nnnrq10.1ilaflt:flnut1r t9lllt t][rn]10.1.:'ru?0urnu?nudnr?vn?lu
urn0uhiil:vurn'lnurrfr'lornnrr;innqr'rir.:ra:urfio 6.:.:ruifi'ofifinnndr.rd.:frod
ao.rfrurio .:tutoil lsara Santisarr t,nnol ,,url-luto.:rto.:ri:s,uu^un'trri'*r.,-; Jv,,
d I U n n I U d n't 11 FJt U I n I : rfl : U 0 fl 0 t I A 3 fl .t f't ]J r r].t.1 Y I 91 ry': 0 g t: u n n 0 0 I n u t il ? l.: 1 u
NESDI] ( I999)
.nuii'uao.:firrfih?Hna:rJfirrnrrrirrriuorir.rfiurfr.rruio:1#r?oro.rn16o':riu
fionr:rir:ronnrnrn:uSriodrrrrleu6ininirunfifrrni.:ryrfifl rqse n:iurfilil Iqqg'
nd ttfio.: tu to.: tsara ytLt i tdn I lrfi'ltuu tr-r ou 6.:n.: aoo rr rrTlrr,ilr,:rr fr.:int6 rrridn: r
nttoeaitoi proverry inciclcncc'hirirtrirrrurlriulud:.:liouinqfr tiru.rruto.r
N ES DB yt 1J -lldn rlsf-l.',ro.,n or,,nirdulrr{l r q98 rfi uu iiuij I qqO
I q ad , &,2.1 a2 rljlrnnfl r{11{ rint:ilny1J0{d}1 tIrr r : o fr tt r un l r u r rfl nFi r { 1u r{ n i r : fi ilrl r r o.: r ru i fro R o.: fr u il' rilr r r rr n r :
o I a dq I d 4 4llil:tullJl,lFl01.ltlllrlllJltlltfrlIf'llllJUlrl0l.l t9]U0gl tlltllUtl .l:lUnUt0UFlflllll
t {olnornnr:dr:rlluiJ tqssd{'liln:udrrrfion:orrnqrrfiolrrdlrrrrrrr:nroinr:rir:rlflr!efi orfl urioX n: rrrirrr6ou r.unrfiuf,dlrfi ouqornl iJ t cert bN tlsDll r t cqq) u rir t )
'nr:rirulardorrrnruorrrrulurruiiuro.rNEsDll(r9e9)ildrrgrr,rrrl,::rfitrn.:rutorJ.
Kak*,ani and N.tcairi ( t99ft) 4.:rilu.r nri{ufinurc,u,rti'ltdorrnxio.rro.tiirrr:ri ru rorttarn t:: iliu9l
tduftltlJUtnnu! tn n'l I ttll:1rrt0u,l
tuiu inqvu, 6uut-;Tt nttutaiv
run nei r.r r r ?r'j r.: ii n r : ri r u rar t o.r': r ui 6'u fr'{ a o': fi u n r u d l dr td Ft i r1o 4 a il : ; n o n4-.- q g.t-. ---- ^-.i. o
:lUAsr0u9t t? tugn:1.:11 I
ri rn u nl# pl r r?r 1J : v dil rdu n ?rrl u r n 0 u I o.r n ir riou fi r, d.t tfl u il n : r ri t o.:h
9rJtrdunrruornounr':6ru lnvurnr: rpL. uastdun:ruurnoutirtilnr:l:^Jnnfiudt
fihjlriornr: NFPLh
PL : FPL +NFPLhhh
: FPL .11+ NFPL ' 1,L FPL,)
CAL h: :ALBHT '
'( I + NFA h)
* i a u as 9loufr NrR nodntiruto.::ttriironr:li lnn (u :sPtt.ttdunlt!ulntu)
- y in,q, aS a tr'
ro{dunrm tu ttorv r:rfr ur#l:rtliirunr:lilnnaunrorur:rdu n : r u u r n o u n rl 6'ru I n tu I fl t: o I 0 tr dn.r'ldtfl u H a n t : t o I ili l r u o r:"1 ;- dr '
o r llr i lr u en n n ru u un a oi ti lr iu n ir rS o u fi t n r : dr o rji u r il r rn a oi ri n ir rio u fiI \ee , 4 <{ s .i-
drur:rrfrour-[prprrgtiu I ult nallfiotiluHaut:ton CAL nu CALBHT n]:1191?rh n
ruil:vi.:ao',oro'ftitvirfiulugrinsn:nriou (d.:tnnornnr:fifld'r#ou n rirfrld'rrp]:J . ,i , {t t q dnle o':og) ttjo{nlnil:vnl:$:nlulattasoaflil:tnouljo.ltlnaSn:11:outtannl':nuoqe Y J Jh" - I
lqr 114fl?rugro{fl"l:f,r:or}r1:lluglr tutrrnu u:vn r:fido{ fl?tutlnnsit{1u:;ril:rnra 9 tt )"' ' iy +9 ,--------vl-1.-l-,--.t4?a=udrorvr:nrur4o.:vrvrrl#nit6oufioqjeir':aorufiri'uild'uTu1to.:orl'll:'[rjnrrnu lsr
j -- 4 td ,l -ru o': 0 1 n.: ]u ? 0 tjl, 0 il Isara ( I 999) til u n 1 : il f U tdU n r ril Ul fl 0 lJ 1J O.: worl d
Bank (1980) d?ud'ryfiriurfio rlorynn':iu6'o{nt: dr:otHl:rTudr (sioniliousio16ou)<rqoS0'rrnrnuqnnl?ru9 t9lu
765CAL = CAL HS : 1978.=.HS
h h I./ h
' {oXnfirirurarlfr'rj'.rnunlunr:r'rfi t (:rr,fr'::;dudorrcnrrilornlutrnr:rlsiol 'l:J) oro
!in:.:fi'lioXalu NESDB ( t sqq) ,rl'uro.tnnr:rirrri1Hfnriola0rn socio-Economic Suwevs 'lu
rrv'or1rfiliffinr:rirlriufnrrlrLr6urfiu'lu Isara (1999) d'r}Jrrn'ourillu NESDB (1999)
lsiodr{1: finr! uio.rornlnrJ:tatdtowrnlldoon'',,do-r',r,,"nrirlto.:Haalilto.r.rruiiuri.r
as{d{ifi11rilridruiinr:druror nr:rirnirnrinfirfionl#6.rfi1rirJ:rtdu<irri'ryn:rllnfi1dnr:rirl
drxrinrruu6 urfiufi'rii nr: riru-r*ri.tnu.t,,ru
n u tu o ud to d 1.t b n ni n'q6 m u g fr t
lood worta Bank ( I 980) rirnusr1#nu lyr u .,Inurqd u,' rlo I nr: I 978 ufl nor'
sioiurionu nr:nord':u,ilruruaurfinto.:nfrriou HS rrds :ostr z firfiorjiuhi'hdl 9rq4r4
rljufi'ltuFr0{nr:non:triousrornou aru{ruid'utl0,: NESDB (lg9g) filu?0r cALeh
9ltlu
CAL: 2 ctLA'6
t n u l CA L ril u n r r u 6 o.: n r : d't 5 o 1 tl 1 : r I u I n n a fr I { u riu o I qr ra 3 r}\ fl t di fu
Fd\Jnr:nliurrfruurdunrruurnou:;il'ir.rflInui6ro.: Npsoe ( t 99s) 6{a;}i'0,:d{arruril6 uurril n{ yrr{il:smn: ludruru rer, o.ror-.,iour.urioorriil:s n ouynaorqrroE
rn ar o q n ir rio u lu r or v fi .: r u ii'ofi 1dr ru r il r q nr : il iu rdu n r rru r r n o il I o l wortd
sant ri I fr { fr .: rfi o.: n r I l nJ 6 uu r ril n { 1 o.: I u rer n :-rrio u u s,ri rriu,h
u : : frnrr: nrolnr: r.: fi t rrcn {rilqduyilil: :rnsr o,:sr-ruil: cei- nJE uu4 , -- J i d , n
,rlr01jt3H?rnqtu-l0uytnffoiau or[Hu?1n1u10.: NESDB rJfl1 cAL d.:n?tatu
lro.r Isara rJ::uror s uJoirdue{d'{rfunlur,r'nrir.rlurJ:;rdufirrrilldanlrrorl,j.sad
urniurynfltutiu [9lu-]f nt:1J0n NESDB dnn?1
sr r : rsfi t ril-:' uu rfi uu Er : r u r ln n si n n o.r do ry o d1 #ri ru r sur #un? r ilu r n$u
filt, n:dtor tsara lCltnnr:dru:orfilundurrn:;iulorriunrrlornlulu lsara (l999) nuiinr:1u world Bmt fl980)d:un:dtor xesus lCrtnnt:rirurarlaaliioqnlu Kakwani and Ntcdhi (t998) nrOldnr:ritrirxrinluuri3rfir-rlulsrrr I 1999)
tirn i'rjiuru o-,, u',n'rrduirriou crur: o4on r1d6'ruriu i urn rioJ
cALBHT, utu drurarrrndounuurrrHunr:rilnniudr {oryarJilruer:or}rr:lufiudro.tn'r:,,sinyyun (nutrition conrents) rra;ioXomr.:6'',ufiuriru.,nr: 6.:.:ruifi'a
ton World Bank (:?udlnturon Isara dru) rraslruifrurol NESDB (1999) ld
' q{0ilnnrrldonnt:flt:otx'l:irri',:toqooattnnr:tlfi I 'lu Kak*,ani and Medhi (I99s)
!0!nl99l I sq4 | 996 r 9931 il
lsara NESDI ls.ra NESI)l Isara NESDI Isara NESDT
rJiu rs ir r : o r x r r iud r i r rn o oi io n :- rri o ui ora'n u )
rlilrurrnooiiorlu r u rr (rqiuriril::rnrr)r!u: ritolHlJrqn0 099: n1ilnn = t0{))
i'yir ra r fruilr'hjliorrr',r,odo ( rnsl r)1irnn = ru))
ri'r ri:u: ror'ro1lh'o rx t: io: rud ruo rx r: rsin ("i)
9..r0.{ 9.76u
106.6 t11.6
| 00.0 86.9
10s.0 8s l51.2 67.0
E.e80 9.{5.1
t8lr.9 l7l I
t0t{.6 i)t.{)
t0E.6 95.9
-5t.i 69.7
Ii.7-55 9.1 97
t6tic t190
t21.6 u l. l
12t.6 l0{.5
5t1.: 61 0
li.957 S,414
149.2 t07 l
117.6 [8.8
|]7.6 | 16.9
5t.4 56.2
tu#a 6nEvu, fiauaiw nztutfrY
, , -;-.{l^ "x",--"" '
{o ry a fi oi x fi u fr'.: n t, do ry n' ti r u n r : rJ :-u ri 11 o n c A L B HT, ] T ul u n u t 3 1'l ? 1 { n I u
i i'#u a o u n^ o q i u l o': N ES DB ( 1 9s9) il iu dr trdsr : rri u rrt olu fi u fr rn u : n o r v r : ry't
dufi'urrHci.:fi oq]to':nirrSoudru (rood spatial inflation rates) fi o
CALBHThI: CALBHT,, INFI , ?
lu'oryd.:ruro,t Isara t r SgSl l,fidet: rriurrlo: rl' o.:fr'{il: vtYls (general
inflation rate) rfiu.:dn:16ufiJiu1#fiurdufl?-luuln0ulo.iuna;?6ou r^la1onfl?ru
rrnneililunrsdrurarudnloqiluu::fr'erfiauunuor,r,ud t 6.:rtao{1#rfiu'jri;nr:
loi NESDB Orb{rirdurlunuuu,n]rfi q,ln'jr1o.t Isara riou{r':uln rdurSu t
;;;# ;; *r"-'r.;, rd tt .ounooi lucJ*rvfi ii nr:'or Isara 0Y fi o'16'0'':
,ou u *uu; d.:gir.rfiurj: yuralio uas t 6 rroyfi rjrauha{fi ufl.o:l fiunr rurtn n
;-.: ;,,;;;#; d; i;;l"fl Lssa d.:,fl ufl '
d'.:inqfi ra: u s fi o n r u t tnr n gi r': rvi u
durflufi.iott az 3s (t49.2tfioufru toz': rtnao3)
",rrui{ 2 dn: I nr: tdutolfrrfi : rnr&udrorrr r: ttocohndorfi r:
3.1
7.5
9.2
t.r 9
7.4 ll 9
1.6 ti. I
lJ.l 8 0
$.6 ll.0
'r t I-t17 r i
I
iru]l-r.1
|I
ll l
14. i
xl'tutttq ' arfi -aa* d.l*orrrndorln spatiat price ;n,1i.cs 6,:'ldlrnnorrl:gt!-rtttotr t:
frqrur iirrTnrrunsrsn: : unr:riruu lnl: ra:ug fi tttavdlnlrrrirv tfr
n r: ff 6',u 1 u o I n r : n r r: i6 t o n N E S D B fl ri r ri o u {r.: q.: rj r o I tfl u tvt :,r 3 d I rH E
aolil:;nr:60NesoelduulrrHunr:l,;lnn1,ufl tqszffoloosfiii'srrirurviudruto':)a q - Sulrfiul (giu fiuruiofrn jrrnfiu) rl'orfiulrluttltlttHuorul:nunutludn taulil
. qr]-"6r"-d"{"XaxOi Wort<t Bank 0to World I}ank (1980) ttastlx.ir{oXolol NESDB
(1999) lln Kakwani and Medhi ( l99tt)
l9g2-91 l99'1-% 1+)6-qS
6'1fl : rnrfi udr x !lff o r11 I :
NESDB''
n: rta:u3 fi or (tqnrsn:-?tiou:rtr'ldrirlurtnqr'rrfr urn)
n:ltn:u g fi tr (1nnil5ou)
dryff : rnrfi udrnrrre'hi1dorrr:
NESDU"
n : r tn: u I fi t'l 1to vt r: a :-rti o u : ru ldd I lu rt el q t I fi rr I o )
n:lrn: u3 fi lr (1nnil5or;
6'rfl : ror{uilnorirlil (cPt)
nu tu tua latiNb n ninq6nt u g fi vz
nr: u?Innlu world Bank ( r 9s0) il: s nr: fi ao{ Npsog rJiurdunruorn oumr,:dru19e{ay'tnsutnt:9r'tuon:rriurflono.:duf,ruu.:nolH t:uunntilnufioqj (spatial food price
.J I qindices) fr .ru rnndorolun r: r.:fi 2 dxuuwnuirlu:yosrrnr:!H iriij t qsa fi .:iJ
tggg :tntfiurirurrerornr:firirurar Iould spatiul food price inolces'ld'rfr-rfiu
rfluotirqrrn (Inufln:uL1n dr6o.:rird'n: rn''r,n"u,,oor-,nrfiudrxrrnor?n:ronnirrioulu rrerqrrfi rra; riqrrafi .:1un r: r.:fi z lutorsd d'sr : rriurfi o#rilnn-e-r4 14 - i; yYr ? tljU5 ynulln tn?tfi 0ulJt,:utn
4ynr: fr 6uluorrr:nruTGto.: NESDB a.r n.jr:.r rndorlfl ruarir1#r#ufl ?lr urnI s i u,,y0uyr r,rFrtu tnyil1n1: (IIn3 dfl I ?yn ] rlornou) q Irlu'tilri:on r : ri r u r or N rn. 6.r rfl u ii'n d r u c, o.: : r u ii r u fi u ri'r fi hi l ri o r u r : rri o u rir : r o
dtua-udrorr r: ro.:nirr: ouulJrdunlrrl ornou fu worrd Bank ldii'nriru n lfidrn:-ur1n1 iJ (rdo.rr rnnr:1d6'vfir.:'urfiodsr: 16u.,,lirriu,duor.,uo-,nrunr,:dru
l n vu r n r : u o v r du n r r r u r n ri r rr iu fi u dr fi hi lrio r n r : rvi r rir rfl u n r : n,: ii'n d r uty
: ; v i r { r eiu n r r u u r n o u fr .: d o.: rdu 1 fl u dsr : lfi rL ) 6 r ril u iq ri r u fi 1 d d r n :-r do u o
fl n.a. rs;o rreil#fin':rurrnnrir.:to.rii'neirufi::uir.:n:-rrioulu,nr,fioo (,n,rv au r a : r r frl rr n qt rfi l r o ) riu n ir r? o u 1u rt n,vu u rr' 1 u I sr : d .l r u i i'ot o.:
NESDB (t99s) rilrunhYii'noruilijrir 2/3 riruirn:-rrioulurrnn:nmHrl,nurr:luiJ tqszrr#':rJ:-!d'ruii'Frcrr:to.:spatialpriccindiccs:rrjr.:fruiirhildorur:rro;4I -:aufltHU?a0t?il: nnu
:P,\/R^ 1ih
Tnu pn"'- p' = too druiunirrioulurtnn?inr?rullrlrrr: alunr:rliu:rn'ir.:iJrir16'lour]iud'rud'n: rGurfiorrlSourfiuutor'frurirlrilriorrrr:rra: fiudrrrr:rnorur: fio
;VlRr.= NFR|, , '!+lelufi tNlr rfludsr:iriurrlorrulJ gross inflation rarc
h
2.2 ruanr:ronorudurno.:nr rrurrnnsirrludRl?yn?ruu lnou;^nr:r.:fr 3 [tflo.rr{dnr:rirtr-:oldntlln']ruurn0u|[1Ju hcad counr 'inuriut'rr'r
'rutotltntutnto.tttntiorttnsrr,ntrrlnnJduu'lilnrlnrarrorrirbiirrrilrrnfiofirhulolor:ruiirofi'hildorrn:rfiuuriu:ruiiruornr:lul::,rTorqnriruto.rnr:rrii rnjdur,hJ
urnrulurilnulffi6riru.lsln.:rldo,:nr:dr:ornr:iusir CALh nlulilUllo': NESDB
(1999)lnu:ruo;16uonr:riruro,eirudun.:'l{nr:Jttlut6il1o{lsara (rSSS)frlfirfio
,l#arlr: nrfi u Hatolnr: rildouuila{1u: sdudnr':snrtuurntufi fi lril'u,u-' no
-'n
nrr,rJ6orluln: {air.:il:s.r1n5uOsfilllJdo.:n:rjiuroru,ru",n',rriudr:; rr-ir ':
1 ! r' tnou6nniolnutfiunr:njfiuu1u
.: rui i'oril a o { ei o t r n du fi fi ii r u r sr en rrs fl ? 1lr tl
duluorur: CALBHT' uov1ufi qr,fi rfi unr:ril6uu'o.:d'nri':unr:uilnnfi u frI1j
fuiorxr:cionr:uilnnorur: 6'.:riul::fr'nqnfiroiltflu:r6'uanr':ln..tuo''ntu'i
auia inrPu, tfiuuaht nztutfrv,_
nr:dtu'lslettuiitlo': Isara (1999) luu::fr'ntr:n ornfui':riruloldnl?3n11!
riru:orlnuiixo{ NESDB ( I 999) fr'lvun
'l r ' f;u"uunr:drursustluiGtornr:r{fi 3 Hasioant?efl2llJUlnoilloill9ldu"NESDB
lcqsll ]
13.13 10.56
+1.20 +{'74
l4.li I l..l I
4.24 +2.3R
20.56 11.6)
+4.29 +4.48
24.34 l8.l?
5.71
+0.:57
6 :ll
+4 l5
10.,41
'1.a6l? 119
5r\:'{* i
5i:,....1
l1 q:I*rirl
rs$: i
filt' ltnnr:dl:tot
orrfiu'ld.jtrrnnr:rJ:-u catorie require*"nt lxri 'hiflHario:r6'udfll?3n'lrlr
utntururnrin fi"rllt#on.rrro.t""""'t"du'=T'ir{3o0as 0'4 fil r'z'virdu
6',lriu{oncirrfi-irfin rrudltflufios6',o.:iliuiinr:iirularrdunfluorntu1,on world
gank rdolorn ln:qair.:il:yrrn:il0*iurrqrnsir.:ornln:':air':lui1 tgro riou{r't
urn6.rrflurirnrirtfrhifl{}rrinrLrnuodr.:fifin inutqilrsorir{8{n'lrurrnnsir':1o'l
dnl.)3n.nuulnourfio{ornIn:.:airlil::iln:iluurh?}Jana.:slllJfllal'lartrnioua;
r.zo luiJ rssz rflu3o0as o.q+ luij lees fiO.:f l1#rirnrirrdr'rdr':duanrilrHrina':
' s' ilndt}itl''fir'd''uoouornnr:'fiudutoldnri':uil::stn:riruartuqto.:Itu1 tulJr
fidosnr:ar:ortr:'hilrn niu{q'rorq rfludu , aq - jo -'- .-r6tsiour6o nr:rji'1#ii'ntiru:ruiirofrudrfihjlriorfil:d.tt,llunurua tuot' terrlrurJ:;nol) rirh?"ldrdunrru
{luxon NESDB firirq':n'jr (qnr:rlfi t u::fr'nq
Poverty lncidence (fi101 IeE)
* Hailisrnnl:'ld "alorie requirement 1lo{ NESDB
d nr2:fl ilJ Utn tu fi rl:'urrdr ( t )
*navilrtrnl.idurluliD calorie xol NESDB
dn'r1rfl 1lr utn t! fi riilrrdr tz)
* Hoiutrnnr:'lidotiru nonfwvfwl lsr NESDB
Poverty lncidmce (i;!or NESDB)
tbn u i u o u a fi ti rr'b n ni n q 6 n r u g fr o z
0rn0ufiq{n'jr6'ru rreiodr.:'l:finrlnr:fi:rarfiudrorxr:rfiuri:n-jrfiudrfihilriorrr:fiHarirl#d'na':u: roiirufiurirfihilri0.nJ r:1ro.r NESDB anaqounrrurrnnsir.:
01n-nuro,: Isara dFr o.r'1il6'ru Iournn rt odr.rS,:1uij 1 998 n?tuunnrir.:1uj q - joo y "dnt?3ft?llJUtnouru-0.:lrnu00uuurnunrouaE l.l t rvirriu ann.:lrniouo: g.2g
tuu 1992J".id;,rJu n o u nr : ri r u ?ot fr il r{n n : r vrul r n fr qnrri o dn t ?e fl i tu rJ r n ou fi ri r u ror 1d
n^o n r : rJ ir 1 ddu r1 u o tr r : n r u {o ry a t o r N ES DB ( r sss I 6l ri o 1#rfi n n r r u si r { 1u
dnr?rnlrlJs-rnouurnd.::s14'irqiouay z.ra o'rgouac g.qz rra;frlrfluelnnfirir1#st q , dl
rrur tuux0.rdnr?sn?ruurnoulu:yrir.:iJ t sso-ss ril6uu'hJornuu:l#uriounrJr
:;n'ir,:iJ t9s2-s6
z.: il:yrfiunr:?6'uto.r NESDB
lnu: ru1 rrd'l.r ruii'ur o n N ESDB t r qqs) fi o 16''j rrilu.: ruii'urdo r nr: io_ dvt I 914 I I q ae
dnr rvn ? ruurnoufr 'ldrrn'ttriounn: 0.:lu r ru riuiuriouil yro dun]: lnurqfl rc' d- A v qad
orrrqd':ilrruryrr.:frdonnaolnil?rnt:?on?tlJ0tn!urrulllnrifirauolnu..norsriti^ead.:tu[:0'tr[1]?flft xo{o [[ay"]rlF]fl?tt]Utnnuil0snt:d.:tfi:t5l.tFtt0lJfr:? (pencl on
Povcrty and Family Assistance Conccpts, Information Needs, and Measurement-i 4 " ;- - Jl
M e th ods ) " fr .: ril u n or r ri r.n u fi ig an r a x ig 6'.: iu rn^o l#f; n u r rJ iu rJ l.r ii n r : io
dnr?sn?-ruurnoul#rx!rsarO.rfiu* Iourqyrr;odr.:0.rlurJ:srdufiirnirriourrri
o;R:-rrioun'::fir#unrrlurnrufihirvirfiufiuoqjriuo.rrirJ:rnouroqn:-liourra:'; ,.a y ,
rrxri'rfroqj (fi.:rsfiHaFio:;ou: rnryinirr5ou6o.:rro) iirxiurioXnfi Nesoe ilrur1#lunr:riruror fifinrruasrEunrrn:fr'uariun'jr1u.:ruro.: world Bank ( I980) ri:unr: 1#{oX a spatial price indiccs uu nellurlrsrfi urir o tx r: rrn; 1:.i1"i0 tH t: (d.:fl ila
odri!'ineioanr?yn?lJUrn0u:rn'ir.:ij r996ua3 r9sadldn.irrrr#r1fi.:ruir;rflury Jq ,n y , J, u r o q yioXofr"[ri}irHurryrjfrrlilrirl#urnrrrinr:n:?0dou usid'.:fiuoer.:'l]lunr:r.:fi z
spatial price indices fint:rn6oulurfiriou{r.r1nfirfiu.rfild'rfi:rnrfrurirriruiufifivtyy q a J 4 y A ';hroqy I o i ',
:'lu lFluou tu[1Jn{1tn!rnrynl!ul,8un]trHu[[]l:]11 tu yn t]tln00u lurro.:fl?ujutAa y l
t!00010.:u0uautu1. nnr
t ruant:f,nurrotnotttixrulnfii:rnno{luxrilfioMeasuringPoverry:ANewApproach(1995)
l::orrinl:lnu Constance Citro antl Robcrt Michael ttnlfr:ruo;r60slu websires xorottil.t
tdu fi w*,w. nao. edu,/read i n eroom,/books/povertv tfl U tiu
iluva lnqvu. tnaud2't1 n',v1uy
A/AAt3. iln?rfi:rv119{a1,o{r?nqntfl :ugnonoRl?vfl?-lilulnou
ei'sr n r : a rn : r v rilu sr r : r.r fi 3 q rm n^o u o r dl #ul u'j r {o a l rJ t o l.: r u i i'o t o.:j , j i a t ^J&NESDB yryru?ldRr?vn?rilulnlu[]1ilq.:tuun1ufi a.:01n?nqanls illfl :ug n tuuxu
a ^ j
osniln?]ilrlu0t.:vr?t:tnldunt0tl{1:[l{illJuftou1,li[:? tu:3?l?1 ilJ 1996 [ta3 I 998
ourirl#6'ur1ildr5ol?n:liudrq.rduurn d.:rTuld'jlfludrrilqdnum''rhJhjniouo d4q a / .i a -
j
fl1Unnn [un]:?rn:lv]'lr{an:vTU0rfl?nqntfl:ugn0 lilot?'ruunud]lfiqoucl tYus-luuyi ; ' i i i 4 o J,5 o dtnnflflnla{01nfl1:'l1n':-lu}ttl{u1u$43fi:o0'lu?1ls? tilw}l:111{luafla{ H:05s911JA d tY A "
r': u [o o u nr r rrl n a fl a { 6{ furi rnr ufi ri r cu 1 o ao.: ri : v n r : fi n^o rJ : : n r : rt: n4 ' q e Y -qYA i a | 4q dl
dnr?vn ltilBtflnu0elilu0ul.l [514'1fl:lnlilufiloll.'f ]:lJ t9l[]lululJlr-lnutln!nn tuu
l ees rravil:vnr:dao.rfirrrflHavrr{imnr:duviohjdororrjduurriln{{oalrlfild'trn.:tu;fr010.: NESDB ( I 999;
n r : Fr 0u d o r ri r n uL {t ld'u o r o r4 r'16'Io u n t : fi 0 t : 0l t 0 t n rJ : : rd u si o hJ ilr [y v 4
fl. rua1o{?flqfl|fl:ggnono:lu lfln:?t:ailllaY:391lJ:lnl
Ft ax o ni nq fl rfl : u g fi 0 n i-{ fi d r r rer.: n u u io u ri'u n I : ul 6 u u : v u u dn : I t t a fl
rujduuorn:vuudn:lronril6trun.rdrfluuurd'sr:rrrannlduunou6'?n;16'nr:i'nnr:
(managed floating exchange rate system) fi.:flHnrir1#r ulrnejougirn{odr.:ulntras
:?e|r;'r ouvirlfrfion^rrfiorioucir.:4.:1udxaru'ln:urarr:nto.r il tqss (rfioro;drtoy
ril u.ir.: n a r rd o': fl u n r: tir : r o do ry n n r .lr rn: u g ii o fr.: n uil t qs s fi d r u rldl u n r :
rirurardnn;n?r:rurn0u) rdorJ:vnolril:ro'16'tolrJ:vrrn:dnprnluj0r0rnnr:'ir.:qrurrav:v6'rfirn::rvt-t.:ra:uqfioriur,6'1 6.:rfluiloi'urfiu.:firirfinqionr:,firfiu
ton dnt?vn?luuln 0u, !r d s d r /^ i - i
orn{-[:Rqril o.:lLrJ:tnqnr:oifiraufirfiqfiu1uiTr.rr:ar'lcjt6ofiinr:anrirto.:4adralaay
[.lUUrTUUnOn]:[11ulJUOU].:r.l9lUfl9rlJO.:: rnldUflllnua:n::uflioonilan!1.:suFl
ru0.:'lmu(lpruorlrfluHarrornil:in4nt:oiEtNino)dlflr.rnrir1#:tu'ldtortnun:n:,l
d.:duuonrxuoohJornrild':-rorfia':riornn-]:oau6'rto.:n-uurnleu:ru usilutarvi - ""oo
a e A J a , o e,iq,q' erFlrj'lnunl1r tHstntduntolfit:[?tljd':lju[:?n?r:tnldunl?r nJ tx0']111:9?L
n u r u t uo., oi:'l b o t ni nqfr ns u g fi o z
nr:rsfi 4 :runlei :yffu:rnr uoydRl?ya?rilurnou riounacilffsinqnrn:ugio(rsso riliuurfigufru rsssl
fiur' iilrtlutrngxiqEcomicSwrxt$6rro:t99ldrui"nff:rnrrirurilltnrJo!dsprrialpnccirxlice!rrrno.:tl::rl-u
Hanr:rinrlt r drrirNrurlau rn}i rf,: !r n-rrrnr e-.lnurrrirrrfi
;el'r:rrll4rrdn.:nr:ril6ouruJCI.:ryti'itiiJl996uoyijl998x0.t:ru'ld'?l:-tr;ou
::6'u:rnr uayflnrryr.l'lruurrr0lruunflrlfrufioqj 6ortnnrgr;ra rxflqrrfiurdrrainnn{rhu ryuiuld''jr: ru'ldro.:n:irior1u,r,uu:,jrirurrninFrdl,rfil ra (d.:fiii's
arunirriourJ::nouorfinrnun:n::rrd.ln-jrlunrnurRrrn) rn-urrnn-jrnirrioulurx er r?'r fl il r d r rri lu r ar y 16 a r fru fi d'o.r r^fr cu ei o : r n r'fi u iir o r rr r : fi ,riu fi u r r n ni rdr u
dt q Y. 9 q0uluulfi q t]r 01u tlt : 0ud310.:fl : ?t: ouutrt0uut tnruH n.:tnqnrfl:us no [rFl]iln
alufrl#: rnrfrurironn:uldrfrrinurirn-ir:rnrfrurirfilrilrio ru r: rrrir rfio rllfrir| 44
^ y
:J:rn4nr:oivirauro{:rnrfiurllnun:n::ulunnrnintrrfilfiurinrlnfrlrr.i-:.riJrqqt-)
r sss fi 16'rfrnfiunru{rilinqnra:ugfi orrdr dn t?rr'1'r.rlrBrnrur;'hinlfi ourrilarodr.:
ilrioiiiriiyn'oo:ogj1u:r6'uioaar 12.58 luiJ rsqs rfiauriuioonr t2.8e lu{l reso_-l^-v1-d a y a -ae-i -i he0 ut{ t: nfl tu}il n: lfi t dufi ltnHn : r-t: : u t n il ! tfi t}t ulJlt 5 tu lfl r 0.t f'] 5 f, r: 0 u
a ,l , i- irn u n : d o c ai r n i r fr r n-n i u t i.t luil r sqs d'.: riu d.r fr.: n.r a q il 1 d'an r : ; n : r u u r n t u t s fr .t
yl
- e - ; y a a e 4 , -uy.l jni:urt:.tlJu1,r d.:n't5r: unu10.:?nqntfl:u! rti[[u: tfltdufi totrn: oyu'lru]tuxuout.:ataodl
r.tn!nn tu! 1998'
'fi':riortrirL?ioa:rlfisrfiuulilldrir'rfiinrrlrflllilldniurrniloilnlr0{nrr:rrr.ru:rulddrn'jtnrtutfluoi.t (undeneport of incorne) dl,fluilqxlfo:-irosrrt:rir:ro:to'ldnirriou lno
xrnnirriournuer:firr:lnllolrniriiorr.,o'r.rur',o1ddrn'jrnlrrfluri.:1ln: fifiil: ro16'q.:dua ,.ia -!rn: rfir?rlHo rrnurruurulriod'rrrrnrih;arur: on:rraou'ld
rtflrnflr'ro rtnqlriuro nrnn{rirv *,rJr",no
z r*'rnro.r: rtrldni:riourqiu
z rvillolirifi udrfi :,r?aorur:; - aa yi'a'
% lnril0lnt!d1.lfl1 llr ltotl'n:
looasnirriouurnoullfl r s9o (Nusoet
looo:nirriouornluluil t qss
n:d NESoe.;n: qJ: rRrDrrnlrrrrlrnr: rnrnudr!i1do rxr:
122 17.5 t1.5 t1.0
lE.5 26.1J 26.3 24.9
12.4 lt.z lt.6 lt.9
r.88 6.5,1 t6.46 12.89
1.11 8.75 19.15 15.01
r.61 7.10 t6.17 t2.5lt
iluva lndvu, tnauellN nrru2av
taru;tet.i4ql)yt lglu cJ 0 ?1 u I dn lna il : 3 n I : H u.: fl 0 n l: tux 0 u a n]: d] : ? 0 n I ? 3 rfl : u s n o t ra 3
ii'.rorLrfiurni.rr6urlufl l998ulfiuuri'rLriorrudoflnuoiJtssoottfitl#antr;n':rudq ht 4 Ut l.
u-)n0ur?n [eertlnu [u (overestimation) ttio{orndr.:ni.:iJtt:novn:{liu'd':.:fin-on::u
il r a n r : rn u fl : d r ru^o rfi ur fir cir { il a r uiJ 6.: o c rfl u dr.: fi rn u sr : n : a : u ln ai r fi u rfi u rHaHfinrravfi:ru'1fr'o uacA.rrdofior:arr:rufi'r{orfiooi.rfi'ir:rnrfiud.,otn,r,i,fiuurlrlrLana.:ludr{ilaruil ts9s (6'{il:rnqlugrJfi I dr.:cir':) norJ:ri'rnr:dud'r
ro':Hnnrfrnil:vmmsr'uasnarnrr:.:ltulnu:rrl6'.rueiei'l{'le':ure daruto.:ij t ggs
(q:ru.:runr:fins11o.: TDRI (1999) uvrfi z) firjrosrirl#16o'ld''jranr':;n?r!urn
o u ti tr :-u ri'.:iJ t s g s o v #o u n'i ti r.: n5'r t t: n t o rfl
gr.lfr r 6'rfi : rnrdruirn: ornir:ro'ldd rlu ttn qt ifi rt n
r. n r : rJ iu 6'at o r Er Yr t3o u u r n o u n r r sir u n r : u':^In n o r m r :< q - ia o q 99 I 4v -,-o nu o 0 ulru ruanr 1#{o ar ilr o.: q ruii'rr NESDB ( I 999) fi ri ru rina n o.: n'o
; ^- h thtr'o 4 4 tv e e 4 d ^n]511.:tU?tU1'O': NESDB til tAntU.:Oinl:il:UFr?10.:?lt-lt:0UUln0ulu0lt^Iryilnil.i -- . - , e
nr?;?nqfl lfl:ug n ilryiilu udlnqn0nr: nrfi un: Jaufl ?lrJf]rrl0uFr?rJ
lu qru rir: :o: vd'r oan rn1uil: rrvrafl fr rjiu d c.l i" Revcr ( I 99q ) n u'jrnr:
rJ:-rd'mo.rn:i,iuuri',, no,onrrrinqnra: ng fi uorJ,fi ,J, v nordro
'o tsara(1999)'ldiiruruanrrvRlrlornrurilSu!rfiuu:silirinr:l#rioXnni.rilrrosrdliJlo'rfl
l994uas tggevruitenrrsnrtlotnluinul#doXondrflqrnilrfiol{iorynrJoruiJrfin#oo
-ndlnurt'-'
-- nrilhlitrur:
200
150
100
50
U
g g gq "fri I g gqFi E I 9q "}i !i gI Si E i g
D9F@Ooooooooooo
nu ru o uaroi:llt winqdm un fi o z
. rfi rrirrrinnr: lddruluo rn r: nr:f; nu r inurnorura fl uu rnil rr,i,rfi rirr:ilrorn: ru'16'fi ryldiirulu fi ur1ro'ur aoa.: I
o uilnnfrudrfi'hidlfluona.:a Hanorur:rolu'.tnfiu
eaJ. fiElurnfru ri':ulnqjrfionr:rilnn. trovriyrdfru
rrr#ulddrni':riou nJduuuurrrHunr: rilnnri'.:nrulurrurnornr:rraylud'rrtiruto.::ruiirufrurlrxrl:normr:rfioufi'uxurflfiurlrfihilrioryr: 6.:firirorufi
ilrau lo n ru r r fi o n il?o u fi o dr u r#u n': ru ur n r u n o6 eru r: nfi rc ril6 uur rlllr r rFru
nr:ui'innlunurqorHr: lou6{n{16':-uar: o-,n-,r,iud-,,ri1611d'uiohi rirno:i1o,:. :' I . e ' "rirorriirjrr;iluo{ri'u'jrrioryaronuuuu^runi:uilnnriudrfildlu nr:riru?arrdu
n ?ruurn nu?nsdru Inryurn r: riu,iu{0ryafi fi'nrfirnro16'anrryrn:ug fiood.r1:
r?{:rrnrngruriolnrfluflfirn:ugfrrriour?rqd fif ionrarfluhJl6'-jrnirrioulouyr'r'hJ t6:orr:ruri:n:-:r$oufildirrnr:i'ob?rflun:-rriouurntudrr6i (rcttrence
famitics) t:flrrrrrrruu n r: uilnnfilddurlu q.rrrjrririlu'hJld'fiogjrlruoo fcasibrc rcast
cost consumprion partcrn *'.rxu ruil.:'jrfi.rfi,;0.:nt.:nndrnludrrt:-lnr:uiinnrniol#r4v "l ,l nvr'[ner:orur:rucir'[d lun:dro.:.:ruiiuNrsoe{o1nfildair.:rruurrruunr:uilrrn
o u',, rlu d.,,il u io ry a 1ufl r qsz d{ fi o 1 d.j ufl uiJ fi ra: u g fi r 1 n r o qj lu r.: r : r : fi r r ry"t,a ^-y dt 4 ; i yd1ru (cxpansion phrasc) 0frn.:riluryx2,:r;q:rittrilrriiq,:nir"ir.r:.:o:riou1 rnirolr6':u d.:dolrirb?rl::vrn:rfinnr:rrrnnr:alnrlra:u3n-ofi6rfiuhJ (o'cr.prir.isitc
- J d d( uexpccr.rtron)et:uu0iruuhJ1dfirruurrHrrrrr:rr?lrtrrlrrij I,),):rflrr,'rrrr,,ruuijrrllt:n
ts td q i/t t1 |q n il iu ril d u u'l 6 I q u
"[ rj n : s n ! il 1J : r Fr u 1 o.r d r i o r ]r r : fi n :i r?o u 1 6'ir r l r n r7rr r r iir t n
odu0Hunnl:indnltt?-t?tlrutnoulu{J lggir ndrll tqqs lflgldrurrur.ru'l:rrilnrtluiJt qsz fi o to o c ld'ri tnrrl o r n lu ii n.rrfi u li,: (ovcrcsr irnrrion )
.:tuiioaur:n1#nriunrlurru:fiqlirrdr,,flrlro.:nclrrrnrrn(t(),)s)dINrrjIq i a r abluntr:iirn: ug frorJnfr thi1d1unnrorrr:1l'urrr nu) nrnLdnrr{urio: ro'iduo,:,r r:uilnnat:otxr: (incorre clasticity of nutrienr consunrprion) firili rlrn 'ierojrn jrnrrl6nrri{uria:ru'ld'to.:nr:uilnnfrudro-l}it: (inc.r.'c clasticin, of tbod
consumption) rfi o6n nioortndt:6nriuufr.:6o rfi o: ruldan n r,r t: uiJnrro ln:os nna.:rrnn'irnr:lilnnar: oru r:6orfisrnr:riiruJiuurnJlruHli rn: uilnno rrn:
duva tnqvu, tnaun?N fr,1ulavj- , 4 , c, i; i, i di .ir e eqfrfrqorrilrr.ro"r14r:ilrnilud:od'u1ufrdral{uto.: ryltilunrrutiluo5.:rnL 1un{nu
nufiqrru (Behrman (1988) rlril l8-19)
or. n r : rJ iu 6'r r o r m Ya ti o u u r n o il yt r.: Flt il n I : il':^In fl Io u *tl illu.rruii'oto.r NESDB ( rsss)'ldeil{ol#ii'neirurJiurarnr:riInnfi udru
ldo r ri r : rfi ur rirL rJi l r or fi u dr o r n r : fi ri r n': fi l n uldtn q H n'j r rfl u n r : 6 n n r u n n
Engel's Law (Kakwani and Krongkaew (1998)),fiuduun'tr,rJiultfiul:rd'l welfare
:st'itnitriouq .i . iA ro 4 | u d q 9lurarvfr nr:BnnAfi til'onr: til5 ourfi or: vm'jr.:nfrtioulu#r.: tra ttri arnu
(cross-sectional comparison) ortflntqHarfiu.:fl0 treilunr:nl3 uurfiuuarr ru n t: ailu':u'-'q4rr',,c?----.:-en.:r?atnurtltuol0 turfiilteailrin ril:lctYirrilrflunr:"[rjorlqrnhinl:15 innto.:
q 4 J J tt 'r'
r4t.n:2ltOUlJUOgnull.:ruA11-l{9llU5lfllltA3t'lATlilFllU:lU l9l (substrtutron and Income
cffects) lutnrvfinr:6nflfl Engel's La* lun:fi cross-scctional corttparison,fiullri
oUtUtn il alt l.tdru: rn r (substitution efecD rvi rriu
n r : f; nu rt o r "n at v vi t': ru tio.: uu'l6q rio ry a uo ; iG io n ? trl u I n i) u I I n r fl I :
drrn:rvr{n:oun:-?" ludfi:-goruinr rirauol#l#{oryanr:ldiirooi.: iirrr itrfiu irfi '{lflu' 'ld'uri ornr: rnio.:rj.rriu fio{orfru" rrar1dililrJ:"'rnuriorynli.:b?
ri'uariooqjrarorrvrunr:lda:Lqer^gruto.:{ii't6.:firjrw:':rLd.:nr:fin6on! Lngel's
La* 6'11u.:tuifi'oto.r NESDB dtu
rfl u fi r rri u o u'ir nr: in wel fare t o.r n frri o u io 0 ri rfi .: CI' I n'l rrl d I ll I I tt I 0.1
ni':rioulunr:ra^onnJ6uuvrqnn::unr:liJnndolovb?ri-r:v6'l wcllarc fiq.rn-jr
fl r l irr we I fare i o a a u ry
fi 'j r n :i ri o u d'o idq fi o n q n or^ n r d n r o 6'r o qi r r d':
.:. n r : rJ Yu fi'r u o n fl Y? t; o u u r n o uI or s o r fr'u n r : fr'6 u1 u n o r o ri u
.r r u i i'o ri o r n r : ;fl dn r ?i n r r il u r n 0 u tfi o u rfr .: n il fl 1 il 1 6'1 #n : I L u r il'n u t fi o rt
" dorau ofi'il: rnno qjlu Recommendation t .z d.r rrrj rr'lii r
"..the poverty measure should havc the tbllowing characterlstics:
o The poverty thrcshold r!-prcscnt a budget fbr fbod, clothing, sheltcr (including utiiilics).
and a small additional amount to allow for other nr'ctls (e.g., houschold supplies, pcrsona
carc. non-work-relatcd transport.ll ion).
o A threshold for a reference family should be developed using actual consunrcr cxpcnditure
data and update<t annually to reflect changes in expenditures on tbod, clothing, and shclter
over the nrcvious J vears."
nu orr orJovoor tb r ninqi mz u X fi t t
rfi'.:xrnhildl#nrruiirri'qrionqor'n::Inr: 116l (rras nI:oouI ro.:ni:rioud.rrflu.i aa
rn5o':u*olunt:r: :rrtnt'lyn ?tilurn0ura0lnurqnrylun:dfi : tuldfi du&rorr:(permanent shocks ro i ncom e ) o u n :i rio u''[ :.j d r l t : o rl r : r o'l d'l u o u r n gr l t l dri o u l dloor^irunr:fio'rLrrdrriooldfiurirunr:oorluournsr 6,:rl:;rdufiorrfiold'.irrflu
lneiou6nrJ:vnr:10.:rrurfinfi1#:;d'u: ruld'rrvrufiryrflu:yd'rL:raiiurlflu6':rnJ:ttnurit:vd'r werfare rro.:nirriou (orir.r1:finrunr:1d:ruiirunilioufifilnciourri u riu n r : n n 16 o.: ii'u 1 u rJ : : rd u : r o 1 d'n i o : r o ii r u o d u o n rn u^o r o u rt Fr r o q
,nor',rfi)nr:io rnr':yn:rrurnou Inold:ru16'rfl ufi oht;fi ilqur overcsrimation lnfl
n i:rf ou ur n r u a nr r : o ddu lu u r u fi : ru 1 6'fl n d r n ri r'rn'on ir r$ o u hi o Ejlu n r-: : n n-inInam.tndurso (crcdit constraincd) rfl ufi rjlfiunro'jrlun:fi rJ:yrnalvrufr,:1r;il.:ru
::/_..a--l o t r.ly" : u d * -i,,iTtur6.:rl:cfrnri trvirfi{riuun:rl) fifinurlurio.ru rrerouti rTnatxrljullutrro?r1u fr.:nufinrrr
^nriu:yu'jr.:iy rfrfir?0.:u6o:; u dr.:r1nnn'lun: orniri.:fioqjxo
a u n r : r.iu l u ii'.: a r'l n u n r : b?n': r t.r,i r uru 6 o l u u r r yr n riu r n il r o s fi .: fi o ti d.: fi 0 1 d'-i rdtr.in
I lJll il1U].lU ilJO irl d lfl inlbnrrll socirl setr'rvncr
o. n?tilutnou fi'rury : nirra;n : rlu tnoulouril-:'uurfi uu (absolure and
relative povcrtv)
n r: innlrrurnrulu.: ruir*uinurTrlilrilu nr: inn rruurrrouaurt: ui 6onr rlu r n 0 u r o r ll nn n ln q n n n u d,: u Lifi u o qj fi'u an ru y n r r u ril, u qin u u u u dr l lu r or ;iio r.,uo',,',ur le urili uurfi uu o; fiu oEj,irg rus lnurili ourfiurlu ri'.: nrx 0.:unn dJ vt 't e4rlul drr''-irrurinnnwffrnir.rrqrrnau'rrrn'hiarrr:nuilnnuiuu:oroto,:fr.:
fi nu'rirlrl' uiinnrrion: oun:o.r_ ;. _ , ddn u si y ii ii r n'nr il : r n r : u ffu r o r i n q n rn: u g fi r 1 u n i.: fi 6 0 l d'ri r h?r nn j rir.r
nr:ril6ournlollunr: n:y r ro: ru'16'toln:-:riou (rqfiuriorru ) rlu'Iil r rrrrl,u rl#r
'' ttulfrotn?tu0tnlu'iFruufiuurfiurfifillrrurrinbrrirrsildiunr:nrirrfi.rruiluuri.rfioror..ru",n
Snrith (An lnquiry into thc Naturc and Cluscs ol'the Wcalth ol'Narions. n;itrdti6i1il Srr""r.u(l9ti9) lflil s) rrnlrro'rrir6,,n:ilrrurjnrRrrrgnrrni:r.rioiulllar A. K Scrr ('.r,opr. Rclarr'cr'
Sprcaking". c)xlirrti Econoniic Papcrs 15. l5l-i69. nrirtiir.:6.:1u Srrccrcn (tqxq) tn?r x) rro;ilnrrufur[udriuttutfinrio.t rclarive inconrc hyporhcsis lunquflnr:uiJnrrrrayrrurrfnrrrrldpreference rrullnrifiGun'it habir formation lurtr:oirrruri.lnqin::rrnr:ui'inrt,rrroorr rrnr
nr: n.r11u1ur firrnintintol#rrrtlkirnju ou
rruia inclru, fiautit,t rttutfrr
:cx'ir.:iJ tssz 6{iJ tsso druaorl#r#uodlu:rjd z {r.rrir.r Inorcr#uld'ir1u"Jr.:
riourfinrinqorflsH!fio riruurir:ru'l,inuon{uou;4oron'o'16''jrrflrnu'.fi'rnu',0'4 | J usj 'i a se '
16on{u{u:rold'fi : rra; + nrr:rJfi z) firrurhilrn'ruq.rfiunaonr':nr Inudrurni.:
fi rfi ufiuro.rnun{rfi ldurornn1: ananxorriruuri.::ru'ld'rLoonu nrilfi :':ufi qn
tfu : r uldfi s) uriu d'r o r nrfi nri n q o' o u n 4, fi fi ltiir Ha n : r n u E u r r :.: d q o niu riu
lnufiriruuri.::ru'ld'ona.rlurowfin{ru:ruld'dr triu:ru16'd r r,a, z) f,.rn.:fleiru' ,rytr j 4 tt y J .,J a1 q J ,nyi .qy rttu'l:lu l9ltllulutanu0u fi{uufi]n 'nu0u'(ry{tuuflu tuYu:tu tFtll l) ty:lJ[[1J1J
flr:uilnnnr:uilnnro':nui'unar.:rflud''rdruuer:s6'u 'n?r!111flrrflau' rornurrd:
n?rilurnnuIouril; oilrfi uufi #.:rn^qinqnfi oc an#ouno ua{ 16'
; il d z n r : nJd I u urJ a d u dr u uri{'r r u'l eiuu n n r u'itu : r u'l ei
ull6I:il' i d ' q eq d
uYrn?luulJ1Fr\':?ruIurltotltlJFr?llJn:301I tufi Iru[lJ-1 t0o.:ilnnt3]11J1,0.:
inqnra:ugfioriodntrynrrrurnnuluil:snrn'lvro lerariuornnr:rrunuucl#rfiu6.:919t9
otrrqfinolnrfinnrurrnnnr.:lutoaqrJil:g16ufiro,:iruid'o1uo6sr rra16.:rfiou-
I o.:u r dr n r: irn : ry rir rayi r r: aiHa n: r n u t o ri n q n rd: u g fi o ri o n ilio u ur n r u luA y 3 i qrdr r d q . ^- ei - - -'" a d
uu11 n? t.11lu ry{0 1003 tsluuu: 3tptu [untsyn?0ur: o{tnu?fl uu turyqa ngro'Iillu
0uln9r
t
5n
,3 -1
2
lrwq
I'F&
O resrr
.llJfrlfi2 inuiit intdrturu'lIlt
nu vu sun totirlb atninqi nt uX fi o ?
u::6nrqn:nBehrman, Jere, "Nutrition and Incomes: Tightly Wedded or Loosely Meshed?," a
paper in PEWCornell lecture series on Food and Nutrition policv. october
I 988.
Citro. Constance F. and Robert T. Michael (editors), Measuring poverry: A New
Approach, a report on study by the Panel on Poverfy and Family Assistance
Concepts, Information Needs, and Measurement Methods, Commission on
Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Washington, D.C.: National
Academy Press, 1995
Kakwani, N. and Medhi Krongkaew (1998)"Povert.v in Thailand : DeJining, Meusunng
and Analyzing", Working Paper No.4, Asian Devclopment Bank and
Development Evaluation Division, NESDB
rur' n: o':rrfir rray il: tfi fi u n:, "an rJy fi ? 7y a 1 nn u tray ni J il,s 0 N, .ra'li1u
iltymt'lna iJ zs t ails ilaz 2524,"'lrrdr:rfl:ugflrdnfr::rrflrflflf,f,urrnr 2sz8
Medhi Krongkaew, Pranee Tinakom and Suphat Suphachatasai, "Rural poverry rn
Thailand: Polic-v Issues and Responses, " Asian Development Review, vol. 10,
no. l,1992
Meesook, Oey A., "lncome, Consunrption and Poverty in Thailand, 1962/63 to 197-5/
76," \Yorld Bank Staff Working paper no.364.1979.
NESDB, "Povcrty and Inequality During the Economic crisis in Thailand," in Indicators
of l{ell-Being and Polia,Analysrs, r.'ol J, 2o.1, Development Evaluation Division.
t999.
Reyer, Celia, "Social Impact of the Regional Financial Crisis in the philippines," paper
presented at a conference on Monitoring social Impact of rhe Financial Crisis,
Thailand Development Rcsearch Institute, 1999
Isara Samtisart, "Socio-Economic Consequences of the crisis", paper presented at the
Thailand Update : Thailand Beyond the Cnsrs, April 21,1999.
Streeten, Paul P., "Poverty Concepts and Measurement," Discussion paper no. 6,
Institute for Economic Deveelopment, Boston University, 1989.
fluya 8nEvu, tnaud2ll ntru?uv
Thailand Development Research Institute, "Social Impact Assessment of Economic
Cisis in Thailand, " A synthesis report by the Natural Resource and Environment
Program, 1999.
World Bank, "lncome Growth and Poverty Alleviarion in Thaitand: Resulrs of Some
Speciat Studies, " Country Program Department, I980.