คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

19
nuqu qun{o eir..ltaqr ni n q A uaar*gfi n &9 alrd's 6sratu rfieua.irr oaaruafit ninsrn notuf{nmrwqalanilna fl zsqs 6}r'}n:..rrfi?le5nrnflfril{lryryatyrtL uiltzzs-zsz aa u au d u I ry a il6 a n r u-ui d'e ufr o n I ernrTou ur rl es lyr fily e Offprint No. 24

Upload: sayamol-lakanasathit

Post on 06-Mar-2016

222 views

Category:

Documents


7 download

DESCRIPTION

คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

nuqu qun{o eir..ltaqr ni n q A uaar*gfi n&9

alrd's 6sratu

rfieua.irr oaaruafit

ninsrn notuf{nmrwqalanilna fl zsqs 6}r'}n:..rrfi?le5nrnflfril{lryryatyrtL uiltzzs-zsz

aa u au d u I

ry a il6 a n r u-ui d'e ufr o n I ernrTou ur rl es lyr fily e

Offprint No. 24

Page 2: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

Fruou ou a{rorirs'l:o r n?nqfi rn:ugfi o terufu dnqru

fiuutit.t nrsuafita a t tiu i {u fi o n t t ytw u t il t y m /l n u

uir 6": r rri r fi n i n q r' r n: u g n' o l uij yr. a. z s +o r fl u 6,u, r 1 d,fi n.: i r yr o r u r u fi n u rff{Hnn:vilrcro.:inqn'rn:ugfirriogrurnrrurfluoEirLo.:rJ:vy

rryurflud:hJ ,:rui,tulr':arufinurfr':ruan:vvrurionr:fi,:rurilras:cd'uriri'r{ rla.luf;nurn,rr.raeio:;6,!n':rrrfl uodrrorurlRruqr.rnn,yil1l I'u: rilfriyrr,rd,iurn:ugfr o*or,i,oou

l n n': r r fi n s d n u r fi { r.r a n : v n u t o l i n q ei^r a: u g fi r oio nn r.r v fi.l r u u r n o u(povertv incidencc) Jnu*?uhJfinr:tir::o:rarruii'afi1d'rirlirrd.: rraytauorirofruoflod'ofir4r1#^anr: f;nu r,nrirriurr'nsir.rri'uri.:lud',",,l"a,,.rrrrr-,u,*

u r'r n'r r u fii : s n o u d'r o a r l nr u fi o ri: u r r : n rfl u n r : ri r : r r,: r u i o-o rfi u r fildnrrsn rrurJrnouro ':l ru ji'uluo6sr rirud ao.rrflu nrlr0 nrr0.: drrHql0inlrltrlnnrir'r]1ru11r:finurnr:indnr?vn?rrurnru rrruosrrnnqr.la.,o.:nr:fi,u.*,,rio,riunoufiriol#rfinnrrl - ' q v ;rn:usnorioan,.,o.,ul'lj'i];HT,ffi ',,HHTlJilTrl'ffiry;_nir rn; r:u qn r?r urfl u un oq u

I . u yr ci r : r o.r r ui i'ardo { 6rR r ? v n ? r ilu r no ulu o 6 sr^-.i

': r u J 0'u liu r r : n l lu rf o.r an r rv n'r u a r n r u fl d r r o r n r n :.: n r : i frt,,io.: fi r, o.rturnt:lnn lno Mecsook (1979) rror \\,orld Bank t texot d.:ritlrJrlrujfrulunriosiorrrio rlG rrav rJ:ril (:-s:t) turascrini and Jirsuchon (l9gg) Krongkacrv cr.al( t sq:) lu drur o.:if; nr: inn:ru0rnru rqurn vrrviG nr: ri.,u r* ..,#u*rtuurn

0u(povcrrv tine )" rhl'rruifi'rro.:tutnr:ionldrrr,frn0rniruron

orshansky ( r965)d.: ld'ri r u'r 0r n r r r a r r o u 1 u r, i r r?r fl dli f$ o *i n r 1 u ry r.rTi r, ; ;;; ; ;;;;'

"tA

lu'd*:0trtflnt?tnttlJUtn0u(povcrtvincidencc) ilarrulyrpi.rriourir.:lrnrio: s riu r#u n r r l a r n o u fi ldl un r : ri r u : u ri',: fu n r : ri r u u n r du n r r ,., 0 r n o u 6r rfl urJ:;rdurirri'qrJ:srduuu'.rff:,fluiin,rr6u.:ri'urrnru'ui;r,+.,1

rr'flco.rrJ:rrdud'rrfiuruio':riun'o rJ:vrduiinr:rirurarrdun:ruurnor:r#urrJfl (o.grnalpo'crtv lincs) rravil: vrdufi oo.:fi 0 n r : il:-ur #u rrrr'urnrurioldin an nrrr -Jr!ur n oulufl 6u n

Page 3: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

?luva mqvu, tnauilltn ttiu?gtv

nr:rilfi uFr:vd'urdunrtuurnoufinrsrir6'runr: firyuel "rdu nrr rl u r n lumr{lnvurn'r:" ttio food novertv lines 6'rrflu:vd'rd'umu1o.:or.n:r?o jntu rnr:i q a 4 9 qEi n " e ,

frnfrtSouu5ounnn60.:lrlvroeroufluo.:eron?rueroinr:vn'ror11r:riueir (minrnunr

nutrirional requlremen$ lqfl lunr:riturcud'o'rfl riorynfiEofi o (n) rJirrarnrrrdo.: nr:9l

dr:orHt:'i'ugitu5o minimum nut ition drfinrilruorfludru?uttnao;sio;usionu tt )

ilSrtare r:ot1ir:luorHr: usiayrfiorliorrsinyfiil':el (n) rlorarrrrrrnu ni: li'in nzi qYr a I q o 4s : :

n{ o rtr,J : i n o u n u r o u n do.r sq rr : n l u n r r ri', u a * *',,,r rir r^r u n r : r i'i n l r u n r

(minimum consumptionilanl 6.: ortfl urtlrttplu nt: l?lnn I o {n ;x[io u uio n u fi o d

lurdun':ruarnouilo6 rrdv ('r) :rnrfiudrvu?elolfir: rn'o1drtila.:rrr,r,,rrn.,,4s J I qyt4 t

1 t: tnnqJu9l I tfi tuu: lllJo l9t?[.tu,l

c7u n o u fi a o { 60 n r : ri 11.r u n rdu n ? r! u r n 0 u ri ru :-u fi u tir ri'hi 1 "i o r r i r : ri i o

nonfood povcrty tines 6rit.frfiarLfi'ufi01#rfluii'Fld'lufiur#ur-t:tt,t,tniluttt.rs s : ut o s]nryurnt: tqud'od:uilo t0"[Fr0rnnr:nruunr tnur]ifru tuiul#'vi tr]u I 1t,r'iil

rlo.t orshansky (1965) luarigonrinr riorvirriu zz: 1r:n:fiqio'l Kakuani and

Medhi ( I 9e8) rrnv NESDB ( l 999)') riol#rvirfiriii'oa:uoir o rn{otnn r: ldij rl@ 4 i< uy v d ;^ uyj .i | ld 4

10nfl :?r: 0u11n0 to'llulfl 0ulTufl: ?t: 0ulltJ:tu [9r9n11 qq ]0 [lJ 0 : rryu nr [: n ( il111 0.]

world Bank ua u.: tued'sfi il :-l rdu n r tl ur n 0 u I o i world Bank d'': ud'ryfi fi u r fi o

a 149! rq ! :n0 t9l?tog tufl0ultuu)

J o " j,ay J A @ qydr e)

01fluu0.:u-tFra11 [o0tn1u910u11 I [[a3 2 ilr:tilnu [orlJuldun]1ilu ]n0u,)4otut.-ojjaoooov

t ta-r 0{ u rnran nar?il rn ru-rol l.nn ru uf, n r ?& n ?'uJ U r n 0 uqn n }J r r n r : n rlr': 0r ldri a r uAd

'.i- qgeJ j a - aja '

j d -?I [[9ll]UUlJ lry01.10.:nuillnmqgn0fl'bu11t:Ufl?'l head count ratio crn[!Unl: ?n

ti'naru toril:svrn:fifi:r416'pirn'iruiorvirfiurdur.n'rlrurn0urfiorriril:;"u r,r:

il{Hru916 UYt o I Y I

0 y [1.] u to ? 1 fl r : n I u'] Bl tdu n ? til u I n 0 u 9t 0.: n I : I 0 lJ n 1i a I uuFt tro 3 ]J 11 a I uy9

@ u @ 4 ^ j1,?9 1 v a I @ q 4 11 I

'tJ u 9l o u : 1 u 11.1 u': lJ U 0 U n t du u qt $ t u 1 0 i ry'l 0 u t u 1J t.: 1J u 9t 0 u 0 rt 9t 1 u q.t u xl 0.t l il u t

r qit[! nn tillt{nnt: tf,urln dyfiufin: r:r,'sr'rsi nfruld'ni.ru{rlri rn nr: rr ffifrr:o r,r'fi0'rld

{oryaoir':qorriux$o1dauruor'grufisir.:riu ncir':leruaqilruanr:rirursu'anr?cfl?rilurfl

' dodru z: rfluii'rreirunxrl?ruror firndosnr:ilr?i'orirutouLnrir d'orriildro:s6'udrfi:rfllyl0.ltlu (sparial pricc indiccs)

Page 4: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

autu tua tot;:,l'b otninq6 nt u g fr u z

,0 u o r o il r n r fl n ? r u [ [a n ei r.: x o.: il r o-o si r,r I 6'i fi

99l. {0il dn ?ttldol nr: dr: o rur: riudr (minimum nutritional rcquirement)

2. rio ry a rl i u r a, a t : o r r r : 1u fi u tlr o r u r : r rsi a y yu-rr ( nutri tion contents)

3. {otattulrrruunt: t;'innx 0':Flu urfl 0u (consumprion pattern of the poor)

4. riorya:rnrfiurltotrt: rrn; fiurirfihjl,ilonrr: (food and nonfood prices)

^j5. arufig ruriorn'qii?unr:uiinnfi \rilriorrr:

rddqa2. n I : o 5 u lu ft ? I tJ [[n n n I $fl o {l r^f a n 1 : fi nu I [: o { r"t a n 5 v Yt u fl o { ? n q 9l

6ltfl :u{ n0n0crnt?rn?t}JU tnou4

rfi o 16'n : r u riu n o u n r : ri r u ?ol dn r :i o -l r u u r n o u rrdr r: r fi aru r : cr d tr r< -iq9o\rv v --;oruru?-)?ru[[nnnrq10.1ilaflt:flnut1r t9lllt t][rn]10.1.:'ru?0urnu?nudnr?vn?lu

urn0uhiil:vurn'lnurrfr'lornnrr;innqr'rir.:ra:urfio 6.:.:ruifi'ofifinnndr.rd.:frod

ao.rfrurio .:tutoil lsara Santisarr t,nnol ,,url-luto.:rto.:ri:s,uu^un'trri'*r.,-; Jv,,

d I U n n I U d n't 11 FJt U I n I : rfl : U 0 fl 0 t I A 3 fl .t f't ]J r r].t.1 Y I 91 ry': 0 g t: u n n 0 0 I n u t il ? l.: 1 u

NESDI] ( I999)

.nuii'uao.:firrfih?Hna:rJfirrnrrrirrriuorir.rfiurfr.rruio:1#r?oro.rn16o':riu

fionr:rir:ronnrnrn:uSriodrrrrleu6ininirunfifrrni.:ryrfifl rqse n:iurfilil Iqqg'

nd ttfio.: tu to.: tsara ytLt i tdn I lrfi'ltuu tr-r ou 6.:n.: aoo rr rrTlrr,ilr,:rr fr.:int6 rrridn: r

nttoeaitoi proverry inciclcncc'hirirtrirrrurlriulud:.:liouinqfr tiru.rruto.r

N ES DB yt 1J -lldn rlsf-l.',ro.,n or,,nirdulrr{l r q98 rfi uu iiuij I qqO

I q ad , &,2.1 a2 rljlrnnfl r{11{ rint:ilny1J0{d}1 tIrr r : o fr tt r un l r u r rfl nFi r { 1u r{ n i r : fi ilrl r r o.: r ru i fro R o.: fr u il' rilr r r rr n r :

o I a dq I d 4 4llil:tullJl,lFl01.ltlllrlllJltlltfrlIf'llllJUlrl0l.l t9]U0gl tlltllUtl .l:lUnUt0UFlflllll

t {olnornnr:dr:rlluiJ tqssd{'liln:udrrrfion:orrnqrrfiolrrdlrrrrrrr:nroinr:rir:rlflr!efi orfl urioX n: rrrirrr6ou r.unrfiuf,dlrfi ouqornl iJ t cert bN tlsDll r t cqq) u rir t )

'nr:rirulardorrrnruorrrrulurruiiuro.rNEsDll(r9e9)ildrrgrr,rrrl,::rfitrn.:rutorJ.

Kak*,ani and N.tcairi ( t99ft) 4.:rilu.r nri{ufinurc,u,rti'ltdorrnxio.rro.tiirrr:ri ru rorttarn t:: iliu9l

tduftltlJUtnnu! tn n'l I ttll:1rrt0u,l

Page 5: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

tuiu inqvu, 6uut-;Tt nttutaiv

run nei r.r r r ?r'j r.: ii n r : ri r u rar t o.r': r ui 6'u fr'{ a o': fi u n r u d l dr td Ft i r1o 4 a il : ; n o n4-.- q g.t-. ---- ^-.i. o

:lUAsr0u9t t? tugn:1.:11 I

ri rn u nl# pl r r?r 1J : v dil rdu n ?rrl u r n 0 u I o.r n ir riou fi r, d.t tfl u il n : r ri t o.:h

9rJtrdunrruornounr':6ru lnvurnr: rpL. uastdun:ruurnoutirtilnr:l:^Jnnfiudt

fihjlriornr: NFPLh

PL : FPL +NFPLhhh

: FPL .11+ NFPL ' 1,L FPL,)

CAL h: :ALBHT '

'( I + NFA h)

* i a u as 9loufr NrR nodntiruto.::ttriironr:li lnn (u :sPtt.ttdunlt!ulntu)

- y in,q, aS a tr'

ro{dunrm tu ttorv r:rfr ur#l:rtliirunr:lilnnaunrorur:rdu n : r u u r n o u n rl 6'ru I n tu I fl t: o I 0 tr dn.r'ldtfl u H a n t : t o I ili l r u o r:"1 ;- dr '

o r llr i lr u en n n ru u un a oi ti lr iu n ir rS o u fi t n r : dr o rji u r il r rn a oi ri n ir rio u fiI \ee , 4 <{ s .i-

drur:rrfrour-[prprrgtiu I ult nallfiotiluHaut:ton CAL nu CALBHT n]:1191?rh n

ruil:vi.:ao',oro'ftitvirfiulugrinsn:nriou (d.:tnnornnr:fifld'r#ou n rirfrld'rrp]:J . ,i , {t t q dnle o':og) ttjo{nlnil:vnl:$:nlulattasoaflil:tnouljo.ltlnaSn:11:outtannl':nuoqe Y J Jh" - I

lqr 114fl?rugro{fl"l:f,r:or}r1:lluglr tutrrnu u:vn r:fido{ fl?tutlnnsit{1u:;ril:rnra 9 tt )"' ' iy +9 ,--------vl-1.-l-,--.t4?a=udrorvr:nrur4o.:vrvrrl#nit6oufioqjeir':aorufiri'uild'uTu1to.:orl'll:'[rjnrrnu lsr

j -- 4 td ,l -ru o': 0 1 n.: ]u ? 0 tjl, 0 il Isara ( I 999) til u n 1 : il f U tdU n r ril Ul fl 0 lJ 1J O.: worl d

Bank (1980) d?ud'ryfiriurfio rlorynn':iu6'o{nt: dr:otHl:rTudr (sioniliousio16ou)<rqoS0'rrnrnuqnnl?ru9 t9lu

765CAL = CAL HS : 1978.=.HS

h h I./ h

' {oXnfirirurarlfr'rj'.rnunlunr:r'rfi t (:rr,fr'::;dudorrcnrrilornlutrnr:rlsiol 'l:J) oro

!in:.:fi'lioXalu NESDB ( t sqq) ,rl'uro.tnnr:rirrri1Hfnriola0rn socio-Economic Suwevs 'lu

rrv'or1rfiliffinr:rirlriufnrrlrLr6urfiu'lu Isara (1999) d'r}Jrrn'ourillu NESDB (1999)

lsiodr{1: finr! uio.rornlnrJ:tatdtowrnlldoon'',,do-r',r,,"nrirlto.:Haalilto.r.rruiiuri.r

as{d{ifi11rilridruiinr:druror nr:rirnirnrinfirfionl#6.rfi1rirJ:rtdu<irri'ryn:rllnfi1dnr:rirl

drxrinrruu6 urfiufi'rii nr: riru-r*ri.tnu.t,,ru

Page 6: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

n u tu o ud to d 1.t b n ni n'q6 m u g fr t

lood worta Bank ( I 980) rirnusr1#nu lyr u .,Inurqd u,' rlo I nr: I 978 ufl nor'

sioiurionu nr:nord':u,ilruruaurfinto.:nfrriou HS rrds :ostr z firfiorjiuhi'hdl 9rq4r4

rljufi'ltuFr0{nr:non:triousrornou aru{ruid'utl0,: NESDB (lg9g) filu?0r cALeh

9ltlu

CAL: 2 ctLA'6

t n u l CA L ril u n r r u 6 o.: n r : d't 5 o 1 tl 1 : r I u I n n a fr I { u riu o I qr ra 3 r}\ fl t di fu

Fd\Jnr:nliurrfruurdunrruurnou:;il'ir.rflInui6ro.: Npsoe ( t 99s) 6{a;}i'0,:d{arruril6 uurril n{ yrr{il:smn: ludruru rer, o.ror-.,iour.urioorriil:s n ouynaorqrroE

rn ar o q n ir rio u lu r or v fi .: r u ii'ofi 1dr ru r il r q nr : il iu rdu n r rru r r n o il I o l wortd

sant ri I fr { fr .: rfi o.: n r I l nJ 6 uu r ril n { 1 o.: I u rer n :-rrio u u s,ri rriu,h

u : : frnrr: nrolnr: r.: fi t rrcn {rilqduyilil: :rnsr o,:sr-ruil: cei- nJE uu4 , -- J i d , n

,rlr01jt3H?rnqtu-l0uytnffoiau or[Hu?1n1u10.: NESDB rJfl1 cAL d.:n?tatu

lro.r Isara rJ::uror s uJoirdue{d'{rfunlur,r'nrir.rlurJ:;rdufirrrilldanlrrorl,j.sad

urniurynfltutiu [9lu-]f nt:1J0n NESDB dnn?1

sr r : rsfi t ril-:' uu rfi uu Er : r u r ln n si n n o.r do ry o d1 #ri ru r sur #un? r ilu r n$u

filt, n:dtor tsara lCltnnr:dru:orfilundurrn:;iulorriunrrlornlulu lsara (l999) nuiinr:1u world Bmt fl980)d:un:dtor xesus lCrtnnt:rirurarlaaliioqnlu Kakwani and Ntcdhi (t998) nrOldnr:ritrirxrinluuri3rfir-rlulsrrr I 1999)

tirn i'rjiuru o-,, u',n'rrduirriou crur: o4on r1d6'ruriu i urn rioJ

cALBHT, utu drurarrrndounuurrrHunr:rilnniudr {oryarJilruer:or}rr:lufiudro.tn'r:,,sinyyun (nutrition conrents) rra;ioXomr.:6'',ufiuriru.,nr: 6.:.:ruifi'a

ton World Bank (:?udlnturon Isara dru) rraslruifrurol NESDB (1999) ld

' q{0ilnnrrldonnt:flt:otx'l:irri',:toqooattnnr:tlfi I 'lu Kak*,ani and Medhi (I99s)

!0!nl99l I sq4 | 996 r 9931 il

lsara NESDI ls.ra NESI)l Isara NESDI Isara NESDT

rJiu rs ir r : o r x r r iud r i r rn o oi io n :- rri o ui ora'n u )

rlilrurrnooiiorlu r u rr (rqiuriril::rnrr)r!u: ritolHlJrqn0 099: n1ilnn = t0{))

i'yir ra r fruilr'hjliorrr',r,odo ( rnsl r)1irnn = ru))

ri'r ri:u: ror'ro1lh'o rx t: io: rud ruo rx r: rsin ("i)

9..r0.{ 9.76u

106.6 t11.6

| 00.0 86.9

10s.0 8s l51.2 67.0

E.e80 9.{5.1

t8lr.9 l7l I

t0t{.6 i)t.{)

t0E.6 95.9

-5t.i 69.7

Ii.7-55 9.1 97

t6tic t190

t21.6 u l. l

12t.6 l0{.5

5t1.: 61 0

li.957 S,414

149.2 t07 l

117.6 [8.8

|]7.6 | 16.9

5t.4 56.2

Page 7: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

tu#a 6nEvu, fiauaiw nztutfrY

, , -;-.{l^ "x",--"" '

{o ry a fi oi x fi u fr'.: n t, do ry n' ti r u n r : rJ :-u ri 11 o n c A L B HT, ] T ul u n u t 3 1'l ? 1 { n I u

i i'#u a o u n^ o q i u l o': N ES DB ( 1 9s9) il iu dr trdsr : rri u rrt olu fi u fr rn u : n o r v r : ry't

dufi'urrHci.:fi oq]to':nirrSoudru (rood spatial inflation rates) fi o

CALBHThI: CALBHT,, INFI , ?

lu'oryd.:ruro,t Isara t r SgSl l,fidet: rriurrlo: rl' o.:fr'{il: vtYls (general

inflation rate) rfiu.:dn:16ufiJiu1#fiurdufl?-luuln0ulo.iuna;?6ou r^la1onfl?ru

rrnneililunrsdrurarudnloqiluu::fr'erfiauunuor,r,ud t 6.:rtao{1#rfiu'jri;nr:

loi NESDB Orb{rirdurlunuuu,n]rfi q,ln'jr1o.t Isara riou{r':uln rdurSu t

;;;# ;; *r"-'r.;, rd tt .ounooi lucJ*rvfi ii nr:'or Isara 0Y fi o'16'0'':

,ou u *uu; d.:gir.rfiurj: yuralio uas t 6 rroyfi rjrauha{fi ufl.o:l fiunr rurtn n

;-.: ;,,;;;#; d; i;;l"fl Lssa d.:,fl ufl '

d'.:inqfi ra: u s fi o n r u t tnr n gi r': rvi u

durflufi.iott az 3s (t49.2tfioufru toz': rtnao3)

",rrui{ 2 dn: I nr: tdutolfrrfi : rnr&udrorrr r: ttocohndorfi r:

3.1

7.5

9.2

t.r 9

7.4 ll 9

1.6 ti. I

lJ.l 8 0

$.6 ll.0

'r t I-t17 r i

I

iru]l-r.1

|I

ll l

14. i

xl'tutttq ' arfi -aa* d.l*orrrndorln spatiat price ;n,1i.cs 6,:'ldlrnnorrl:gt!-rtttotr t:

frqrur iirrTnrrunsrsn: : unr:riruu lnl: ra:ug fi tttavdlnlrrrirv tfr

n r: ff 6',u 1 u o I n r : n r r: i6 t o n N E S D B fl ri r ri o u {r.: q.: rj r o I tfl u tvt :,r 3 d I rH E

aolil:;nr:60NesoelduulrrHunr:l,;lnn1,ufl tqszffoloosfiii'srrirurviudruto':)a q - Sulrfiul (giu fiuruiofrn jrrnfiu) rl'orfiulrluttltlttHuorul:nunutludn taulil

. qr]-"6r"-d"{"XaxOi Wort<t Bank 0to World I}ank (1980) ttastlx.ir{oXolol NESDB

(1999) lln Kakwani and Medhi ( l99tt)

l9g2-91 l99'1-% 1+)6-qS

6'1fl : rnrfi udr x !lff o r11 I :

NESDB''

n: rta:u3 fi or (tqnrsn:-?tiou:rtr'ldrirlurtnqr'rrfr urn)

n:ltn:u g fi tr (1nnil5ou)

dryff : rnrfi udrnrrre'hi1dorrr:

NESDU"

n : r tn: u I fi t'l 1to vt r: a :-rti o u : ru ldd I lu rt el q t I fi rr I o )

n:lrn: u3 fi lr (1nnil5or;

6'rfl : ror{uilnorirlil (cPt)

Page 8: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

nu tu tua latiNb n ninq6nt u g fi vz

nr: u?Innlu world Bank ( r 9s0) il: s nr: fi ao{ Npsog rJiurdunruorn oumr,:dru19e{ay'tnsutnt:9r'tuon:rriurflono.:duf,ruu.:nolH t:uunntilnufioqj (spatial food price

.J I qindices) fr .ru rnndorolun r: r.:fi 2 dxuuwnuirlu:yosrrnr:!H iriij t qsa fi .:iJ

tggg :tntfiurirurrerornr:firirurar Iould spatiul food price inolces'ld'rfr-rfiu

rfluotirqrrn (Inufln:uL1n dr6o.:rird'n: rn''r,n"u,,oor-,nrfiudrxrrnor?n:ronnirrioulu rrerqrrfi rra; riqrrafi .:1un r: r.:fi z lutorsd d'sr : rriurfi o#rilnn-e-r4 14 - i; yYr ? tljU5 ynulln tn?tfi 0ulJt,:utn

4ynr: fr 6uluorrr:nruTGto.: NESDB a.r n.jr:.r rndorlfl ruarir1#r#ufl ?lr urnI s i u,,y0uyr r,rFrtu tnyil1n1: (IIn3 dfl I ?yn ] rlornou) q Irlu'tilri:on r : ri r u r or N rn. 6.r rfl u ii'n d r u c, o.: : r u ii r u fi u ri'r fi hi l ri o r u r : rri o u rir : r o

dtua-udrorr r: ro.:nirr: ouulJrdunlrrl ornou fu worrd Bank ldii'nriru n lfidrn:-ur1n1 iJ (rdo.rr rnnr:1d6'vfir.:'urfiodsr: 16u.,,lirriu,duor.,uo-,nrunr,:dru

l n vu r n r : u o v r du n r r r u r n ri r rr iu fi u dr fi hi lrio r n r : rvi r rir rfl u n r : n,: ii'n d r uty

: ; v i r { r eiu n r r u u r n o u fr .: d o.: rdu 1 fl u dsr : lfi rL ) 6 r ril u iq ri r u fi 1 d d r n :-r do u o

fl n.a. rs;o rreil#fin':rurrnnrir.:to.rii'neirufi::uir.:n:-rrioulu,nr,fioo (,n,rv au r a : r r frl rr n qt rfi l r o ) riu n ir r? o u 1u rt n,vu u rr' 1 u I sr : d .l r u i i'ot o.:

NESDB (t99s) rilrunhYii'noruilijrir 2/3 riruirn:-rrioulurrnn:nmHrl,nurr:luiJ tqszrr#':rJ:-!d'ruii'Frcrr:to.:spatialpriccindiccs:rrjr.:fruiirhildorur:rro;4I -:aufltHU?a0t?il: nnu

:P,\/R^ 1ih

Tnu pn"'- p' = too druiunirrioulurtnn?inr?rullrlrrr: alunr:rliu:rn'ir.:iJrir16'lour]iud'rud'n: rGurfiorrlSourfiuutor'frurirlrilriorrrr:rra: fiudrrrr:rnorur: fio

;VlRr.= NFR|, , '!+lelufi tNlr rfludsr:iriurrlorrulJ gross inflation rarc

h

2.2 ruanr:ronorudurno.:nr rrurrnnsirrludRl?yn?ruu lnou;^nr:r.:fr 3 [tflo.rr{dnr:rirtr-:oldntlln']ruurn0u|[1Ju hcad counr 'inuriut'rr'r

'rutotltntutnto.tttntiorttnsrr,ntrrlnnJduu'lilnrlnrarrorrirbiirrrilrrnfiofirhulolor:ruiirofi'hildorrn:rfiuuriu:ruiiruornr:lul::,rTorqnriruto.rnr:rrii rnjdur,hJ

Page 9: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

urnrulurilnulffi6riru.lsln.:rldo,:nr:dr:ornr:iusir CALh nlulilUllo': NESDB

(1999)lnu:ruo;16uonr:riruro,eirudun.:'l{nr:Jttlut6il1o{lsara (rSSS)frlfirfio

,l#arlr: nrfi u Hatolnr: rildouuila{1u: sdudnr':snrtuurntufi fi lril'u,u-' no

-'n

nrr,rJ6orluln: {air.:il:s.r1n5uOsfilllJdo.:n:rjiuroru,ru",n',rriudr:; rr-ir ':

1 ! r' tnou6nniolnutfiunr:njfiuu1u

.: rui i'oril a o { ei o t r n du fi fi ii r u r sr en rrs fl ? 1lr tl

duluorur: CALBHT' uov1ufi qr,fi rfi unr:ril6uu'o.:d'nri':unr:uilnnfi u frI1j

fuiorxr:cionr:uilnnorur: 6'.:riul::fr'nqnfiroiltflu:r6'uanr':ln..tuo''ntu'i

auia inrPu, tfiuuaht nztutfrv,_

nr:dtu'lslettuiitlo': Isara (1999) luu::fr'ntr:n ornfui':riruloldnl?3n11!

riru:orlnuiixo{ NESDB ( I 999) fr'lvun

'l r ' f;u"uunr:drursustluiGtornr:r{fi 3 Hasioant?efl2llJUlnoilloill9ldu"NESDB

lcqsll ]

13.13 10.56

+1.20 +{'74

l4.li I l..l I

4.24 +2.3R

20.56 11.6)

+4.29 +4.48

24.34 l8.l?

5.71

+0.:57

6 :ll

+4 l5

10.,41

'1.a6l? 119

5r\:'{* i

5i:,....1

l1 q:I*rirl

rs$: i

filt' ltnnr:dl:tot

orrfiu'ld.jtrrnnr:rJ:-u catorie require*"nt lxri 'hiflHario:r6'udfll?3n'lrlr

utntururnrin fi"rllt#on.rrro.t""""'t"du'=T'ir{3o0as 0'4 fil r'z'virdu

6',lriu{oncirrfi-irfin rrudltflufios6',o.:iliuiinr:iirularrdunfluorntu1,on world

gank rdolorn ln:qair.:il:yrrn:il0*iurrqrnsir.:ornln:':air':lui1 tgro riou{r't

urn6.rrflurirnrirtfrhifl{}rrinrLrnuodr.:fifin inutqilrsorir{8{n'lrurrnnsir':1o'l

dnl.)3n.nuulnourfio{ornIn:.:airlil::iln:iluurh?}Jana.:slllJfllal'lartrnioua;

r.zo luiJ rssz rflu3o0as o.q+ luij lees fiO.:f l1#rirnrirrdr'rdr':duanrilrHrina':

' s' ilndt}itl''fir'd''uoouornnr:'fiudutoldnri':uil::stn:riruartuqto.:Itu1 tulJr

fidosnr:ar:ortr:'hilrn niu{q'rorq rfludu , aq - jo -'- .-r6tsiour6o nr:rji'1#ii'ntiru:ruiirofrudrfihjlriorfil:d.tt,llunurua tuot' terrlrurJ:;nol) rirh?"ldrdunrru

{luxon NESDB firirq':n'jr (qnr:rlfi t u::fr'nq

Poverty lncidence (fi101 IeE)

* Hailisrnnl:'ld "alorie requirement 1lo{ NESDB

d nr2:fl ilJ Utn tu fi rl:'urrdr ( t )

*navilrtrnl.idurluliD calorie xol NESDB

dn'r1rfl 1lr utn t! fi riilrrdr tz)

* Hoiutrnnr:'lidotiru nonfwvfwl lsr NESDB

Poverty lncidmce (i;!or NESDB)

Page 10: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

tbn u i u o u a fi ti rr'b n ni n q 6 n r u g fr o z

0rn0ufiq{n'jr6'ru rreiodr.:'l:finrlnr:fi:rarfiudrorxr:rfiuri:n-jrfiudrfihilriorrr:fiHarirl#d'na':u: roiirufiurirfihilri0.nJ r:1ro.r NESDB anaqounrrurrnnsir.:

01n-nuro,: Isara dFr o.r'1il6'ru Iournn rt odr.rS,:1uij 1 998 n?tuunnrir.:1uj q - joo y "dnt?3ft?llJUtnouru-0.:lrnu00uuurnunrouaE l.l t rvirriu ann.:lrniouo: g.2g

tuu 1992J".id;,rJu n o u nr : ri r u ?ot fr il r{n n : r vrul r n fr qnrri o dn t ?e fl i tu rJ r n ou fi ri r u ror 1d

n^o n r : rJ ir 1 ddu r1 u o tr r : n r u {o ry a t o r N ES DB ( r sss I 6l ri o 1#rfi n n r r u si r { 1u

dnr?rnlrlJs-rnouurnd.::s14'irqiouay z.ra o'rgouac g.qz rra;frlrfluelnnfirir1#st q , dl

rrur tuux0.rdnr?sn?ruurnoulu:yrir.:iJ t sso-ss ril6uu'hJornuu:l#uriounrJr

:;n'ir,:iJ t9s2-s6

z.: il:yrfiunr:?6'uto.r NESDB

lnu: ru1 rrd'l.r ruii'ur o n N ESDB t r qqs) fi o 16''j rrilu.: ruii'urdo r nr: io_ dvt I 914 I I q ae

dnr rvn ? ruurnoufr 'ldrrn'ttriounn: 0.:lu r ru riuiuriouil yro dun]: lnurqfl rc' d- A v qad

orrrqd':ilrruryrr.:frdonnaolnil?rnt:?on?tlJ0tn!urrulllnrifirauolnu..norsriti^ead.:tu[:0'tr[1]?flft xo{o [[ay"]rlF]fl?tt]Utnnuil0snt:d.:tfi:t5l.tFtt0lJfr:? (pencl on

Povcrty and Family Assistance Conccpts, Information Needs, and Measurement-i 4 " ;- - Jl

M e th ods ) " fr .: ril u n or r ri r.n u fi ig an r a x ig 6'.: iu rn^o l#f; n u r rJ iu rJ l.r ii n r : io

dnr?sn?-ruurnoul#rx!rsarO.rfiu* Iourqyrr;odr.:0.rlurJ:srdufiirnirriourrri

o;R:-rrioun'::fir#unrrlurnrufihirvirfiufiuoqjriuo.rrirJ:rnouroqn:-liourra:'; ,.a y ,

rrxri'rfroqj (fi.:rsfiHaFio:;ou: rnryinirr5ou6o.:rro) iirxiurioXnfi Nesoe ilrur1#lunr:riruror fifinrruasrEunrrn:fr'uariun'jr1u.:ruro.: world Bank ( I980) ri:unr: 1#{oX a spatial price indiccs uu nellurlrsrfi urir o tx r: rrn; 1:.i1"i0 tH t: (d.:fl ila

odri!'ineioanr?yn?lJUrn0u:rn'ir.:ij r996ua3 r9sadldn.irrrr#r1fi.:ruir;rflury Jq ,n y , J, u r o q yioXofr"[ri}irHurryrjfrrlilrirl#urnrrrinr:n:?0dou usid'.:fiuoer.:'l]lunr:r.:fi z

spatial price indices fint:rn6oulurfiriou{r.r1nfirfiu.rfild'rfi:rnrfrurirriruiufifivtyy q a J 4 y A ';hroqy I o i ',

:'lu lFluou tu[1Jn{1tn!rnrynl!ul,8un]trHu[[]l:]11 tu yn t]tln00u lurro.:fl?ujutAa y l

t!00010.:u0uautu1. nnr

t ruant:f,nurrotnotttixrulnfii:rnno{luxrilfioMeasuringPoverry:ANewApproach(1995)

l::orrinl:lnu Constance Citro antl Robcrt Michael ttnlfr:ruo;r60slu websires xorottil.t

tdu fi w*,w. nao. edu,/read i n eroom,/books/povertv tfl U tiu

Page 11: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

iluva lnqvu. tnaud2't1 n',v1uy

A/AAt3. iln?rfi:rv119{a1,o{r?nqntfl :ugnonoRl?vfl?-lilulnou

ei'sr n r : a rn : r v rilu sr r : r.r fi 3 q rm n^o u o r dl #ul u'j r {o a l rJ t o l.: r u i i'o t o.:j , j i a t ^J&NESDB yryru?ldRr?vn?rilulnlu[]1ilq.:tuun1ufi a.:01n?nqanls illfl :ug n tuuxu

a ^ j

osniln?]ilrlu0t.:vr?t:tnldunt0tl{1:[l{illJuftou1,li[:? tu:3?l?1 ilJ 1996 [ta3 I 998

ourirl#6'ur1ildr5ol?n:liudrq.rduurn d.:rTuld'jlfludrrilqdnum''rhJhjniouo d4q a / .i a -

j

fl1Unnn [un]:?rn:lv]'lr{an:vTU0rfl?nqntfl:ugn0 lilot?'ruunud]lfiqoucl tYus-luuyi ; ' i i i 4 o J,5 o dtnnflflnla{01nfl1:'l1n':-lu}ttl{u1u$43fi:o0'lu?1ls? tilw}l:111{luafla{ H:05s911JA d tY A "

r': u [o o u nr r rrl n a fl a { 6{ furi rnr ufi ri r cu 1 o ao.: ri : v n r : fi n^o rJ : : n r : rt: n4 ' q e Y -qYA i a | 4q dl

dnr?vn ltilBtflnu0elilu0ul.l [514'1fl:lnlilufiloll.'f ]:lJ t9l[]lululJlr-lnutln!nn tuu

l ees rravil:vnr:dao.rfirrrflHavrr{imnr:duviohjdororrjduurriln{{oalrlfild'trn.:tu;fr010.: NESDB ( I 999;

n r : Fr 0u d o r ri r n uL {t ld'u o r o r4 r'16'Io u n t : fi 0 t : 0l t 0 t n rJ : : rd u si o hJ ilr [y v 4

fl. rua1o{?flqfl|fl:ggnono:lu lfln:?t:ailllaY:391lJ:lnl

Ft ax o ni nq fl rfl : u g fi 0 n i-{ fi d r r rer.: n u u io u ri'u n I : ul 6 u u : v u u dn : I t t a fl

rujduuorn:vuudn:lronril6trun.rdrfluuurd'sr:rrrannlduunou6'?n;16'nr:i'nnr:

(managed floating exchange rate system) fi.:flHnrir1#r ulrnejougirn{odr.:ulntras

:?e|r;'r ouvirlfrfion^rrfiorioucir.:4.:1udxaru'ln:urarr:nto.r il tqss (rfioro;drtoy

ril u.ir.: n a r rd o': fl u n r: tir : r o do ry n n r .lr rn: u g ii o fr.: n uil t qs s fi d r u rldl u n r :

rirurardnn;n?r:rurn0u) rdorJ:vnolril:ro'16'tolrJ:vrrn:dnprnluj0r0rnnr:'ir.:qrurrav:v6'rfirn::rvt-t.:ra:uqfioriur,6'1 6.:rfluiloi'urfiu.:firirfinqionr:,firfiu

ton dnt?vn?luuln 0u, !r d s d r /^ i - i

orn{-[:Rqril o.:lLrJ:tnqnr:oifiraufirfiqfiu1uiTr.rr:ar'lcjt6ofiinr:anrirto.:4adralaay

[.lUUrTUUnOn]:[11ulJUOU].:r.l9lUfl9rlJO.:: rnldUflllnua:n::uflioonilan!1.:suFl

ru0.:'lmu(lpruorlrfluHarrornil:in4nt:oiEtNino)dlflr.rnrir1#:tu'ldtortnun:n:,l

d.:duuonrxuoohJornrild':-rorfia':riornn-]:oau6'rto.:n-uurnleu:ru usilutarvi - ""oo

a e A J a , o e,iq,q' erFlrj'lnunl1r tHstntduntolfit:[?tljd':lju[:?n?r:tnldunl?r nJ tx0']111:9?L

Page 12: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

n u r u t uo., oi:'l b o t ni nqfr ns u g fi o z

nr:rsfi 4 :runlei :yffu:rnr uoydRl?ya?rilurnou riounacilffsinqnrn:ugio(rsso riliuurfigufru rsssl

fiur' iilrtlutrngxiqEcomicSwrxt$6rro:t99ldrui"nff:rnrrirurilltnrJo!dsprrialpnccirxlice!rrrno.:tl::rl-u

Hanr:rinrlt r drrirNrurlau rn}i rf,: !r n-rrrnr e-.lnurrrirrrfi

;el'r:rrll4rrdn.:nr:ril6ouruJCI.:ryti'itiiJl996uoyijl998x0.t:ru'ld'?l:-tr;ou

::6'u:rnr uayflnrryr.l'lruurrr0lruunflrlfrufioqj 6ortnnrgr;ra rxflqrrfiurdrrainnn{rhu ryuiuld''jr: ru'ldro.:n:irior1u,r,uu:,jrirurrninFrdl,rfil ra (d.:fiii's

arunirriourJ::nouorfinrnun:n::rrd.ln-jrlunrnurRrrn) rn-urrnn-jrnirrioulurx er r?'r fl il r d r rri lu r ar y 16 a r fru fi d'o.r r^fr cu ei o : r n r'fi u iir o r rr r : fi ,riu fi u r r n ni rdr u

dt q Y. 9 q0uluulfi q t]r 01u tlt : 0ud310.:fl : ?t: ouutrt0uut tnruH n.:tnqnrfl:us no [rFl]iln

alufrl#: rnrfrurironn:uldrfrrinurirn-ir:rnrfrurirfilrilrio ru r: rrrir rfio rllfrir| 44

^ y

:J:rn4nr:oivirauro{:rnrfiurllnun:n::ulunnrnintrrfilfiurinrlnfrlrr.i-:.riJrqqt-)

r sss fi 16'rfrnfiunru{rilinqnra:ugfi orrdr dn t?rr'1'r.rlrBrnrur;'hinlfi ourrilarodr.:

ilrioiiiriiyn'oo:ogj1u:r6'uioaar 12.58 luiJ rsqs rfiauriuioonr t2.8e lu{l reso_-l^-v1-d a y a -ae-i -i he0 ut{ t: nfl tu}il n: lfi t dufi ltnHn : r-t: : u t n il ! tfi t}t ulJlt 5 tu lfl r 0.t f'] 5 f, r: 0 u

a ,l , i- irn u n : d o c ai r n i r fr r n-n i u t i.t luil r sqs d'.: riu d.r fr.: n.r a q il 1 d'an r : ; n : r u u r n t u t s fr .t

yl

- e - ; y a a e 4 , -uy.l jni:urt:.tlJu1,r d.:n't5r: unu10.:?nqntfl:u! rti[[u: tfltdufi totrn: oyu'lru]tuxuout.:ataodl

r.tn!nn tu! 1998'

'fi':riortrirL?ioa:rlfisrfiuulilldrir'rfiinrrlrflllilldniurrniloilnlr0{nrr:rrr.ru:rulddrn'jtnrtutfluoi.t (undeneport of incorne) dl,fluilqxlfo:-irosrrt:rir:ro:to'ldnirriou lno

xrnnirriournuer:firr:lnllolrniriiorr.,o'r.rur',o1ddrn'jrnlrrfluri.:1ln: fifiil: ro16'q.:dua ,.ia -!rn: rfir?rlHo rrnurruurulriod'rrrrnrih;arur: on:rraou'ld

rtflrnflr'ro rtnqlriuro nrnn{rirv *,rJr",no

z r*'rnro.r: rtrldni:riourqiu

z rvillolirifi udrfi :,r?aorur:; - aa yi'a'

% lnril0lnt!d1.lfl1 llr ltotl'n:

looasnirriouurnoullfl r s9o (Nusoet

looo:nirriouornluluil t qss

n:d NESoe.;n: qJ: rRrDrrnlrrrrlrnr: rnrnudr!i1do rxr:

122 17.5 t1.5 t1.0

lE.5 26.1J 26.3 24.9

12.4 lt.z lt.6 lt.9

r.88 6.5,1 t6.46 12.89

1.11 8.75 19.15 15.01

r.61 7.10 t6.17 t2.5lt

Page 13: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

iluva lndvu, tnauellN nrru2av

taru;tet.i4ql)yt lglu cJ 0 ?1 u I dn lna il : 3 n I : H u.: fl 0 n l: tux 0 u a n]: d] : ? 0 n I ? 3 rfl : u s n o t ra 3

ii'.rorLrfiurni.rr6urlufl l998ulfiuuri'rLriorrudoflnuoiJtssoottfitl#antr;n':rudq ht 4 Ut l.

u-)n0ur?n [eertlnu [u (overestimation) ttio{orndr.:ni.:iJtt:novn:{liu'd':.:fin-on::u

il r a n r : rn u fl : d r ru^o rfi ur fir cir { il a r uiJ 6.: o c rfl u dr.: fi rn u sr : n : a : u ln ai r fi u rfi u rHaHfinrravfi:ru'1fr'o uacA.rrdofior:arr:rufi'r{orfiooi.rfi'ir:rnrfiud.,otn,r,i,fiuurlrlrLana.:ludr{ilaruil ts9s (6'{il:rnqlugrJfi I dr.:cir':) norJ:ri'rnr:dud'r

ro':Hnnrfrnil:vmmsr'uasnarnrr:.:ltulnu:rrl6'.rueiei'l{'le':ure daruto.:ij t ggs

(q:ru.:runr:fins11o.: TDRI (1999) uvrfi z) firjrosrirl#16o'ld''jranr':;n?r!urn

o u ti tr :-u ri'.:iJ t s g s o v #o u n'i ti r.: n5'r t t: n t o rfl

gr.lfr r 6'rfi : rnrdruirn: ornir:ro'ldd rlu ttn qt ifi rt n

r. n r : rJ iu 6'at o r Er Yr t3o u u r n o u n r r sir u n r : u':^In n o r m r :< q - ia o q 99 I 4v -,-o nu o 0 ulru ruanr 1#{o ar ilr o.: q ruii'rr NESDB ( I 999) fi ri ru rina n o.: n'o

; ^- h thtr'o 4 4 tv e e 4 d ^n]511.:tU?tU1'O': NESDB til tAntU.:Oinl:il:UFr?10.:?lt-lt:0UUln0ulu0lt^Iryilnil.i -- . - , e

nr?;?nqfl lfl:ug n ilryiilu udlnqn0nr: nrfi un: Jaufl ?lrJf]rrl0uFr?rJ

lu qru rir: :o: vd'r oan rn1uil: rrvrafl fr rjiu d c.l i" Revcr ( I 99q ) n u'jrnr:

rJ:-rd'mo.rn:i,iuuri',, no,onrrrinqnra: ng fi uorJ,fi ,J, v nordro

'o tsara(1999)'ldiiruruanrrvRlrlornrurilSu!rfiuu:silirinr:l#rioXnni.rilrrosrdliJlo'rfl

l994uas tggevruitenrrsnrtlotnluinul#doXondrflqrnilrfiol{iorynrJoruiJrfin#oo

-ndlnurt'-'

-- nrilhlitrur:

200

150

100

50

U

g g gq "fri I g gqFi E I 9q "}i !i gI Si E i g

D9F@Ooooooooooo

Page 14: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

nu ru o uaroi:llt winqdm un fi o z

. rfi rrirrrinnr: lddruluo rn r: nr:f; nu r inurnorura fl uu rnil rr,i,rfi rirr:ilrorn: ru'16'fi ryldiirulu fi ur1ro'ur aoa.: I

o uilnnfrudrfi'hidlfluona.:a Hanorur:rolu'.tnfiu

eaJ. fiElurnfru ri':ulnqjrfionr:rilnn. trovriyrdfru

rrr#ulddrni':riou nJduuuurrrHunr: rilnnri'.:nrulurrurnornr:rraylud'rrtiruto.::ruiirufrurlrxrl:normr:rfioufi'uxurflfiurlrfihilrioryr: 6.:firirorufi

ilrau lo n ru r r fi o n il?o u fi o dr u r#u n': ru ur n r u n o6 eru r: nfi rc ril6 uur rlllr r rFru

nr:ui'innlunurqorHr: lou6{n{16':-uar: o-,n-,r,iud-,,ri1611d'uiohi rirno:i1o,:. :' I . e ' "rirorriirjrr;iluo{ri'u'jrrioryaronuuuu^runi:uilnnriudrfildlu nr:riru?arrdu

n ?ruurn nu?nsdru Inryurn r: riu,iu{0ryafi fi'nrfirnro16'anrryrn:ug fiood.r1:

r?{:rrnrngruriolnrfluflfirn:ugfrrriour?rqd fif ionrarfluhJl6'-jrnirrioulouyr'r'hJ t6:orr:ruri:n:-:r$oufildirrnr:i'ob?rflun:-rriouurntudrr6i (rcttrence

famitics) t:flrrrrrrruu n r: uilnnfilddurlu q.rrrjrririlu'hJld'fiogjrlruoo fcasibrc rcast

cost consumprion partcrn *'.rxu ruil.:'jrfi.rfi,;0.:nt.:nndrnludrrt:-lnr:uiinnrniol#r4v "l ,l nvr'[ner:orur:rucir'[d lun:dro.:.:ruiiuNrsoe{o1nfildair.:rruurrruunr:uilrrn

o u',, rlu d.,,il u io ry a 1ufl r qsz d{ fi o 1 d.j ufl uiJ fi ra: u g fi r 1 n r o qj lu r.: r : r : fi r r ry"t,a ^-y dt 4 ; i yd1ru (cxpansion phrasc) 0frn.:riluryx2,:r;q:rittrilrriiq,:nir"ir.r:.:o:riou1 rnirolr6':u d.:dolrirb?rl::vrn:rfinnr:rrrnnr:alnrlra:u3n-ofi6rfiuhJ (o'cr.prir.isitc

- J d d( uexpccr.rtron)et:uu0iruuhJ1dfirruurrHrrrrr:rr?lrtrrlrrij I,),):rflrr,'rrrr,,ruuijrrllt:n

ts td q i/t t1 |q n il iu ril d u u'l 6 I q u

"[ rj n : s n ! il 1J : r Fr u 1 o.r d r i o r ]r r : fi n :i r?o u 1 6'ir r l r n r7rr r r iir t n

odu0Hunnl:indnltt?-t?tlrutnoulu{J lggir ndrll tqqs lflgldrurrur.ru'l:rrilnrtluiJt qsz fi o to o c ld'ri tnrrl o r n lu ii n.rrfi u li,: (ovcrcsr irnrrion )

.:tuiioaur:n1#nriunrlurru:fiqlirrdr,,flrlro.:nclrrrnrrn(t(),)s)dINrrjIq i a r abluntr:iirn: ug frorJnfr thi1d1unnrorrr:1l'urrr nu) nrnLdnrr{urio: ro'iduo,:,r r:uilnnat:otxr: (incorre clasticity of nutrienr consunrprion) firili rlrn 'ierojrn jrnrrl6nrri{uria:ru'ld'to.:nr:uilnnfrudro-l}it: (inc.r.'c clasticin, of tbod

consumption) rfi o6n nioortndt:6nriuufr.:6o rfi o: ruldan n r,r t: uiJnrro ln:os nna.:rrnn'irnr:lilnnar: oru r:6orfisrnr:riiruJiuurnJlruHli rn: uilnno rrn:

Page 15: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

duva tnqvu, tnaun?N fr,1ulavj- , 4 , c, i; i, i di .ir e eqfrfrqorrilrr.ro"r14r:ilrnilud:od'u1ufrdral{uto.: ryltilunrrutiluo5.:rnL 1un{nu

nufiqrru (Behrman (1988) rlril l8-19)

or. n r : rJ iu 6'r r o r m Ya ti o u u r n o il yt r.: Flt il n I : il':^In fl Io u *tl illu.rruii'oto.r NESDB ( rsss)'ldeil{ol#ii'neirurJiurarnr:riInnfi udru

ldo r ri r : rfi ur rirL rJi l r or fi u dr o r n r : fi ri r n': fi l n uldtn q H n'j r rfl u n r : 6 n n r u n n

Engel's Law (Kakwani and Krongkaew (1998)),fiuduun'tr,rJiultfiul:rd'l welfare

:st'itnitriouq .i . iA ro 4 | u d q 9lurarvfr nr:BnnAfi til'onr: til5 ourfi or: vm'jr.:nfrtioulu#r.: tra ttri arnu

(cross-sectional comparison) ortflntqHarfiu.:fl0 treilunr:nl3 uurfiuuarr ru n t: ailu':u'-'q4rr',,c?----.:-en.:r?atnurtltuol0 turfiilteailrin ril:lctYirrilrflunr:"[rjorlqrnhinl:15 innto.:

q 4 J J tt 'r'

r4t.n:2ltOUlJUOgnull.:ruA11-l{9llU5lfllltA3t'lATlilFllU:lU l9l (substrtutron and Income

cffects) lutnrvfinr:6nflfl Engel's La* lun:fi cross-scctional corttparison,fiullri

oUtUtn il alt l.tdru: rn r (substitution efecD rvi rriu

n r : f; nu rt o r "n at v vi t': ru tio.: uu'l6q rio ry a uo ; iG io n ? trl u I n i) u I I n r fl I :

drrn:rvr{n:oun:-?" ludfi:-goruinr rirauol#l#{oryanr:ldiirooi.: iirrr itrfiu irfi '{lflu' 'ld'uri ornr: rnio.:rj.rriu fio{orfru" rrar1dililrJ:"'rnuriorynli.:b?

ri'uariooqjrarorrvrunr:lda:Lqer^gruto.:{ii't6.:firjrw:':rLd.:nr:fin6on! Lngel's

La* 6'11u.:tuifi'oto.r NESDB dtu

rfl u fi r rri u o u'ir nr: in wel fare t o.r n frri o u io 0 ri rfi .: CI' I n'l rrl d I ll I I tt I 0.1

ni':rioulunr:ra^onnJ6uuvrqnn::unr:liJnndolovb?ri-r:v6'l wcllarc fiq.rn-jr

fl r l irr we I fare i o a a u ry

fi 'j r n :i ri o u d'o idq fi o n q n or^ n r d n r o 6'r o qi r r d':

.:. n r : rJ Yu fi'r u o n fl Y? t; o u u r n o uI or s o r fr'u n r : fr'6 u1 u n o r o ri u

.r r u i i'o ri o r n r : ;fl dn r ?i n r r il u r n 0 u tfi o u rfr .: n il fl 1 il 1 6'1 #n : I L u r il'n u t fi o rt

" dorau ofi'il: rnno qjlu Recommendation t .z d.r rrrj rr'lii r

"..the poverty measure should havc the tbllowing characterlstics:

o The poverty thrcshold r!-prcscnt a budget fbr fbod, clothing, sheltcr (including utiiilics).

and a small additional amount to allow for other nr'ctls (e.g., houschold supplies, pcrsona

carc. non-work-relatcd transport.ll ion).

o A threshold for a reference family should be developed using actual consunrcr cxpcnditure

data and update<t annually to reflect changes in expenditures on tbod, clothing, and shclter

over the nrcvious J vears."

Page 16: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

nu orr orJovoor tb r ninqi mz u X fi t t

rfi'.:xrnhildl#nrruiirri'qrionqor'n::Inr: 116l (rras nI:oouI ro.:ni:rioud.rrflu.i aa

rn5o':u*olunt:r: :rrtnt'lyn ?tilurn0ura0lnurqnrylun:dfi : tuldfi du&rorr:(permanent shocks ro i ncom e ) o u n :i rio u''[ :.j d r l t : o rl r : r o'l d'l u o u r n gr l t l dri o u l dloor^irunr:fio'rLrrdrriooldfiurirunr:oorluournsr 6,:rl:;rdufiorrfiold'.irrflu

lneiou6nrJ:vnr:10.:rrurfinfi1#:;d'u: ruld'rrvrufiryrflu:yd'rL:raiiurlflu6':rnJ:ttnurit:vd'r werfare rro.:nirriou (orir.r1:finrunr:1d:ruiirunilioufifilnciourri u riu n r : n n 16 o.: ii'u 1 u rJ : : rd u : r o 1 d'n i o : r o ii r u o d u o n rn u^o r o u rt Fr r o q

,nor',rfi)nr:io rnr':yn:rrurnou Inold:ru16'rfl ufi oht;fi ilqur overcsrimation lnfl

n i:rf ou ur n r u a nr r : o ddu lu u r u fi : ru 1 6'fl n d r n ri r'rn'on ir r$ o u hi o Ejlu n r-: : n n-inInam.tndurso (crcdit constraincd) rfl ufi rjlfiunro'jrlun:fi rJ:yrnalvrufr,:1r;il.:ru

::/_..a--l o t r.ly" : u d * -i,,iTtur6.:rl:cfrnri trvirfi{riuun:rl) fifinurlurio.ru rrerouti rTnatxrljullutrro?r1u fr.:nufinrrr

^nriu:yu'jr.:iy rfrfir?0.:u6o:; u dr.:r1nnn'lun: orniri.:fioqjxo

a u n r : r.iu l u ii'.: a r'l n u n r : b?n': r t.r,i r uru 6 o l u u r r yr n riu r n il r o s fi .: fi o ti d.: fi 0 1 d'-i rdtr.in

I lJll il1U].lU ilJO irl d lfl inlbnrrll socirl setr'rvncr

o. n?tilutnou fi'rury : nirra;n : rlu tnoulouril-:'uurfi uu (absolure and

relative povcrtv)

n r: innlrrurnrulu.: ruir*uinurTrlilrilu nr: inn rruurrrouaurt: ui 6onr rlu r n 0 u r o r ll nn n ln q n n n u d,: u Lifi u o qj fi'u an ru y n r r u ril, u qin u u u u dr l lu r or ;iio r.,uo',,',ur le urili uurfi uu o; fiu oEj,irg rus lnurili ourfiurlu ri'.: nrx 0.:unn dJ vt 't e4rlul drr''-irrurinnnwffrnir.rrqrrnau'rrrn'hiarrr:nuilnnuiuu:oroto,:fr.:

fi nu'rirlrl' uiinnrrion: oun:o.r_ ;. _ , ddn u si y ii ii r n'nr il : r n r : u ffu r o r i n q n rn: u g fi r 1 u n i.: fi 6 0 l d'ri r h?r nn j rir.r

nr:ril6ournlollunr: n:y r ro: ru'16'toln:-:riou (rqfiuriorru ) rlu'Iil r rrrrl,u rl#r

'' ttulfrotn?tu0tnlu'iFruufiuurfiurfifillrrurrinbrrirrsildiunr:nrirrfi.rruiluuri.rfioror..ru",n

Snrith (An lnquiry into thc Naturc and Cluscs ol'the Wcalth ol'Narions. n;itrdti6i1il Srr""r.u(l9ti9) lflil s) rrnlrro'rrir6,,n:ilrrurjnrRrrrgnrrni:r.rioiulllar A. K Scrr ('.r,opr. Rclarr'cr'

Sprcaking". c)xlirrti Econoniic Papcrs 15. l5l-i69. nrirtiir.:6.:1u Srrccrcn (tqxq) tn?r x) rro;ilnrrufur[udriuttutfinrio.t rclarive inconrc hyporhcsis lunquflnr:uiJnrrrrayrrurrfnrrrrldpreference rrullnrifiGun'it habir formation lurtr:oirrruri.lnqin::rrnr:ui'inrt,rrroorr rrnr

nr: n.r11u1ur firrnintintol#rrrtlkirnju ou

Page 17: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

rruia inclru, fiautit,t rttutfrr

:cx'ir.:iJ tssz 6{iJ tsso druaorl#r#uodlu:rjd z {r.rrir.r Inorcr#uld'ir1u"Jr.:

riourfinrinqorflsH!fio riruurir:ru'l,inuon{uou;4oron'o'16''jrrflrnu'.fi'rnu',0'4 | J usj 'i a se '

16on{u{u:rold'fi : rra; + nrr:rJfi z) firrurhilrn'ruq.rfiunaonr':nr Inudrurni.:

fi rfi ufiuro.rnun{rfi ldurornn1: ananxorriruuri.::ru'ld'rLoonu nrilfi :':ufi qn

tfu : r uldfi s) uriu d'r o r nrfi nri n q o' o u n 4, fi fi ltiir Ha n : r n u E u r r :.: d q o niu riu

lnufiriruuri.::ru'ld'ona.rlurowfin{ru:ruld'dr triu:ru16'd r r,a, z) f,.rn.:fleiru' ,rytr j 4 tt y J .,J a1 q J ,nyi .qy rttu'l:lu l9ltllulutanu0u fi{uufi]n 'nu0u'(ry{tuuflu tuYu:tu tFtll l) ty:lJ[[1J1J

flr:uilnnnr:uilnnro':nui'unar.:rflud''rdruuer:s6'u 'n?r!111flrrflau' rornurrd:

n?rilurnnuIouril; oilrfi uufi #.:rn^qinqnfi oc an#ouno ua{ 16'

; il d z n r : nJd I u urJ a d u dr u uri{'r r u'l eiuu n n r u'itu : r u'l ei

ull6I:il' i d ' q eq d

uYrn?luulJ1Fr\':?ruIurltotltlJFr?llJn:301I tufi Iru[lJ-1 t0o.:ilnnt3]11J1,0.:

inqnra:ugfioriodntrynrrrurnnuluil:snrn'lvro lerariuornnr:rrunuucl#rfiu6.:919t9

otrrqfinolnrfinnrurrnnnr.:lutoaqrJil:g16ufiro,:iruid'o1uo6sr rra16.:rfiou-

I o.:u r dr n r: irn : ry rir rayi r r: aiHa n: r n u t o ri n q n rd: u g fi o ri o n ilio u ur n r u luA y 3 i qrdr r d q . ^- ei - - -'" a d

uu11 n? t.11lu ry{0 1003 tsluuu: 3tptu [untsyn?0ur: o{tnu?fl uu turyqa ngro'Iillu

0uln9r

t

5n

,3 -1

2

lrwq

I'F&

O resrr

.llJfrlfi2 inuiit intdrturu'lIlt

Page 18: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

nu vu sun totirlb atninqi nt uX fi o ?

u::6nrqn:nBehrman, Jere, "Nutrition and Incomes: Tightly Wedded or Loosely Meshed?," a

paper in PEWCornell lecture series on Food and Nutrition policv. october

I 988.

Citro. Constance F. and Robert T. Michael (editors), Measuring poverry: A New

Approach, a report on study by the Panel on Poverfy and Family Assistance

Concepts, Information Needs, and Measurement Methods, Commission on

Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Washington, D.C.: National

Academy Press, 1995

Kakwani, N. and Medhi Krongkaew (1998)"Povert.v in Thailand : DeJining, Meusunng

and Analyzing", Working Paper No.4, Asian Devclopment Bank and

Development Evaluation Division, NESDB

rur' n: o':rrfir rray il: tfi fi u n:, "an rJy fi ? 7y a 1 nn u tray ni J il,s 0 N, .ra'li1u

iltymt'lna iJ zs t ails ilaz 2524,"'lrrdr:rfl:ugflrdnfr::rrflrflflf,f,urrnr 2sz8

Medhi Krongkaew, Pranee Tinakom and Suphat Suphachatasai, "Rural poverry rn

Thailand: Polic-v Issues and Responses, " Asian Development Review, vol. 10,

no. l,1992

Meesook, Oey A., "lncome, Consunrption and Poverty in Thailand, 1962/63 to 197-5/

76," \Yorld Bank Staff Working paper no.364.1979.

NESDB, "Povcrty and Inequality During the Economic crisis in Thailand," in Indicators

of l{ell-Being and Polia,Analysrs, r.'ol J, 2o.1, Development Evaluation Division.

t999.

Reyer, Celia, "Social Impact of the Regional Financial Crisis in the philippines," paper

presented at a conference on Monitoring social Impact of rhe Financial Crisis,

Thailand Development Rcsearch Institute, 1999

Isara Samtisart, "Socio-Economic Consequences of the crisis", paper presented at the

Thailand Update : Thailand Beyond the Cnsrs, April 21,1999.

Streeten, Paul P., "Poverty Concepts and Measurement," Discussion paper no. 6,

Institute for Economic Deveelopment, Boston University, 1989.

Page 19: คนจน จนอย่างไรจากวิกฤติเศรษฐกิจ

fluya 8nEvu, tnaud2ll ntru?uv

Thailand Development Research Institute, "Social Impact Assessment of Economic

Cisis in Thailand, " A synthesis report by the Natural Resource and Environment

Program, 1999.

World Bank, "lncome Growth and Poverty Alleviarion in Thaitand: Resulrs of Some

Speciat Studies, " Country Program Department, I980.