太陽光電產業技術與發展趨勢 ( 風暴過後，陽光普照 )
DESCRIPTION
太陽光電產業技術與發展趨勢 ( 風暴過後，陽光普照 ). 半導體研究中心 劉舜逢 (Amigo). 低碳經濟來臨 , 兩岸能源政策趨勢. 全球太陽能產業現況與未來發展趨勢 全球太陽能發電優勢 ? 各國再生能源比例與減排碳目標 全球太陽產業發展回顧 (1993-2008 年 ) 全球太陽產業應用市場分析 全球太陽能產業供需分析 全球主要國家發展趨勢與太陽能產業趨勢 全球主要國家太陽能發展現況分析 太陽能產業發展趨勢分析 全球 / 台灣太陽能產業與廠商發展動態 全球廠商發展動態分析 台灣廠商發展動態分析. 哥本哈根會議會後焦點. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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()(Amigo)
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, ?(1993-2008)/
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C(2020$100billion /2010-2012$30billion )2010130
-
Source:Source: ;2009/12GDP
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?()(EX:), (10-14)
Source: GTM Research, Prometheus Institute, Energy Information Administration, Cal-ISO
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2000~(2004,FIT,German;2008,FIT,Spanish)USA/Japan/Spain/Germany 80%
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Source:ITIS
-
Source:IEK
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Source:ITIS
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/
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2010(R:33%,C:35%,G:31%)2010()
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20102010GW3250MW
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2007~2011 :
-
: 2015 $3.1/w CdTe CIGS 2009
($/w)($/w)CdTe($/w)CIGS($/w)2.11.671.52.4
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(1)_
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(2)_
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(2)_[200kW System]Location: Noyonsoum Umunugobi MongoliaDate: September 2003Installer: SHARP Co. (NEDO)PV1.7 MWpInverter18 97 kW InverterSharpPV
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(3)_
-
(4)_
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, ?(1993-2008)/
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(FIT)
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Source: Renewable Global Status 2006 Report
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Source: Greentech Media Report;
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/
-
/Grid Parity(1MW;Roof)
Chart1
0.11208371360.12157642840.0695992511
0.13277151640.14009270830.0871850843
0.1496626890.1474118880.0961603671
0.13758464030.14719477190.0908334343
0.13996757890.13944903640.0970573059
1MW
10KW
50MW
2008-2014
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
1MW 11%13%15%14%14%13%13%
10KW 12%14%15%15%14%14%14%
50MW 7%9%10%9%10%10%10%
--(1MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)1000000100000010000001000000100000010000001000000
($/W)6.24.943.93.53.33.1
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
( 1.2%)74400588004800046800420003960037200
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
($/kwh)0.66027786260.594174960.534727440.48660197040.44280779310.40295509170.3666891334
821814.841622857739539.863964665548.508196605649.14245836551140.719637108501538.054869768456399.629931489
- 747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
0-6200000-4900000-4000000-3900000-3500000-3300000-3100000
1747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
2747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
3747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
4747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
5747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
6747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
7747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
8747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
9747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
10747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
11747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
12747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
13747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
14747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
15747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
16747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
17747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
18747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
19747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
20747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
21747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
22747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
23747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
24747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
25747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
IRR11.21%13.28%14.97%13.76%14.00%13.39%12.87%
--(10KW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000100001000010000100001000010000
($/W)6.25.14.54.13.93.53.3
62000510004500041000390003500033000
( 1.2%)744612540492468420396
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
12446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.5
($/kwh)0.70185091320.64570284010.59404661290.54058241770.49193000010.44765630010.4073672331
8735.58739058378036.7403993377393.801167396728.3590623256122.80674671575571.75413951135070.2962669553
- 7991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
0-62000-51000-45000-41000-39000-35000-33000
17991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
27991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
37991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
47991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
57991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
67991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
77991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
87991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
97991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
107991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
117991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
127991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
137991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
147991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
157991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
167991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
177991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
187991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
197991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
207991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
217991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
227991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
237991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
247991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
257991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
IRR12.16%14.01%14.74%14.72%13.94%14.19%13.58%
--(50MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)50000000500000005000000050000000500000005000000050000000
($/W)543.43.22.82.452.3
250000000200000000170000000160000000140000000122500000115000000
( 1.2%)3000000240000020400001920000168000014700001380000
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
49786000497860004978600049786000497860004978600049786000
($/kwh)0.532775880.479483280.4315950.392713920.357435720.325159920.29588652
26524779.9616823871554.5780821487388.6719551655.2211217795294.7559216188411.7771214731006.28472
- 23524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
0-250000000-200000000-170000000-160000000-140000000-122500000-115000000
123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
2023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
IRR6.96%8.72%9.62%9.08%9.71%10.33%9.83%
1MW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
74400588004800046800420003960037200
37200294002400023400210001980018600
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
LCOE( $/)0.440.350.290.280.250.240.22
( $/)0.660.590.530.490.440.400.37
( $/)0.290.260.260.270.280.290.29
1MW
10KW
50MW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
1MW Grid Parity
2008200920102011201220132014
10MW 17.3%14.4%16.7%15.3%17.2%20.3%20.9%
10MW 22.3%20.3%20.6%18.9%17.1%20.2%21.7%
--(10MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)86.95.44.83.73.33.1
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
( 1.2%)960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
1111111
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
150734051111972598842008154465691894071660456918940
- 141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
0-80000000-69000000-54000000-48000000-37000000-33000000-31000000
1141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
2141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
3141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
4141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
5141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
6141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
7141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
8141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
9141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
10141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
11141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
12141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
13141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
14141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
15141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
16141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
17141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
18141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
19141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
20141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
21141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
22141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
23141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
24141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
25141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
IRR17.32%14.40%16.75%15.34%17.17%20.31%20.94%
--(10MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)5.14.13.63.22.972.652.4
51000000410000003600000032000000297000002650000024000000
( 1.2%)612000492000432000384000356400318000288000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
19768400197684001976840019768400197684001976840019768400
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
12058724889578079073606523572553515257328365535152
- 11446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
0-51000000-41000000-36000000-32000000-29700000-26500000-24000000
111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
IRR22.30%20.29%20.57%18.93%17.10%20.23%21.70%
10MW --LCOE
2008200920102011201220132014
5%6%7%6%6%6%6%
25252525252525
3.394.294.834.554.294.294.29
0.070.080.080.080.080.080.08
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
480000414000324000288000222000198000186000
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
LCOE( $/)0.290.270.220.190.140.130.12
( $/)0.610.450.400.330.280.290.28
( $/)0.170.160.160.160.170.170.17
10MW
10MW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
10MW Grid Parity
2008200920102011201220132014
4KW -0.9%2.2%19.8%22.7%27.4%31.6%34.3%
--(4KW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)4000400040004000400040004000
($/W)5.545.24.984.53.93.53.3
kw794.85794.85794.85794.85794.85
221602080016740.614820.612420.610820.610020.6
( 1.2%)265.92249.6200.8872177.8472149.0472129.8472120.2472
( kwh/m2/day)3.64.514.514.514.514.514.51
1111111
13141646.151646.151646.151646.151646.151646.15
52566584.66584.66584.66584.66584.66584.6
($/kwh)0.20.20.540.540.540.540.54
1051.21316.923555.6843555.6843555.6843555.6843555.684
- 785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
0-22160-20400-16740.6-14820.6-12420.6-10820.6-10020.6
1785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
2785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
3785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
4785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
5785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
6785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
7785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
8785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
9785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
10785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
11785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
12785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
13785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
14785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
15785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
16785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
17785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
18785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
19785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
20785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
21785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
22785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
23785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
24785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
25785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
IRR-0.91%2.18%19.82%22.65%27.36%31.63%34.26%
4KW --LCOE
2008200920102011201220132014
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
22160208001674114821124211082110021
266250201178149130120
13312510089756560
5256525652565256525652565256
LCOE( $/)0.380.350.280.250.210.180.17
( $/)0.250.2780.300.310.3230.340.35
4KW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
4KW Grid Parity
Chart2
0.4431006590.66027786260.29
0.35019245630.594174960.26
0.28587139290.534727440.26
0.27872460810.48660197040.27
0.25013746880.44280779310.28
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
1MW Grid Parity
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
1MW 11%13%15%14%14%13%13%
10KW 12%14%15%15%14%14%14%
50MW 7%9%10%9%10%10%10%
--(1MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)1000000100000010000001000000100000010000001000000
($/W)6.24.943.93.53.33.1
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
( 1.2%)74400588004800046800420003960037200
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
($/kwh)0.66027786260.594174960.534727440.48660197040.44280779310.40295509170.3666891334
821814.841622857739539.863964665548.508196605649.14245836551140.719637108501538.054869768456399.629931489
- 747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
0-6200000-4900000-4000000-3900000-3500000-3300000-3100000
1747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
2747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
3747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
4747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
5747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
6747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
7747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
8747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
9747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
10747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
11747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
12747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
13747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
14747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
15747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
16747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
17747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
18747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
19747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
20747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
21747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
22747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
23747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
24747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
25747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
IRR11.21%13.28%14.97%13.76%14.00%13.39%12.87%
--(10KW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000100001000010000100001000010000
($/W)6.25.14.54.13.93.53.3
62000510004500041000390003500033000
( 1.2%)744612540492468420396
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
12446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.5
($/kwh)0.70185091320.64570284010.59404661290.54058241770.49193000010.44765630010.4073672331
8735.58739058378036.7403993377393.801167396728.3590623256122.80674671575571.75413951135070.2962669553
- 7991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
0-62000-51000-45000-41000-39000-35000-33000
17991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
27991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
37991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
47991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
57991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
67991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
77991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
87991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
97991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
107991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
117991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
127991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
137991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
147991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
157991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
167991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
177991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
187991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
197991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
207991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
217991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
227991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
237991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
247991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
257991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
IRR12.16%14.01%14.74%14.72%13.94%14.19%13.58%
--(50MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)50000000500000005000000050000000500000005000000050000000
($/W)543.43.22.82.452.3
250000000200000000170000000160000000140000000122500000115000000
( 1.2%)3000000240000020400001920000168000014700001380000
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
49786000497860004978600049786000497860004978600049786000
($/kwh)0.532775880.479483280.4315950.392713920.357435720.325159920.29588652
26524779.9616823871554.5780821487388.6719551655.2211217795294.7559216188411.7771214731006.28472
- 23524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
0-250000000-200000000-170000000-160000000-140000000-122500000-115000000
123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
2023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
IRR6.96%8.72%9.62%9.08%9.71%10.33%9.83%
1MW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
74400588004800046800420003960037200
37200294002400023400210001980018600
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
LCOE( $/)0.440.350.290.280.250.240.22
( $/)0.660.590.530.490.440.400.37
( $/)0.290.260.260.270.280.290.29
1MW
10KW
50MW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
1MW Grid Parity
2008200920102011201220132014
10MW 17.3%14.4%16.7%15.3%17.2%20.3%20.9%
10MW 22.3%20.3%20.6%18.9%17.1%20.2%21.7%
--(10MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)86.95.44.83.73.33.1
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
( 1.2%)960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
1111111
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
150734051111972598842008154465691894071660456918940
- 141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
0-80000000-69000000-54000000-48000000-37000000-33000000-31000000
1141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
2141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
3141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
4141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
5141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
6141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
7141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
8141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
9141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
10141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
11141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
12141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
13141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
14141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
15141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
16141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
17141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
18141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
19141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
20141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
21141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
22141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
23141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
24141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
25141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
IRR17.32%14.40%16.75%15.34%17.17%20.31%20.94%
--(10MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)5.14.13.63.22.972.652.4
51000000410000003600000032000000297000002650000024000000
( 1.2%)612000492000432000384000356400318000288000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
19768400197684001976840019768400197684001976840019768400
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
12058724889578079073606523572553515257328365535152
- 11446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
0-51000000-41000000-36000000-32000000-29700000-26500000-24000000
111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
IRR22.30%20.29%20.57%18.93%17.10%20.23%21.70%
10MW --LCOE
2008200920102011201220132014
5%6%7%6%6%6%6%
25252525252525
3.394.294.834.554.294.294.29
0.070.080.080.080.080.080.08
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
480000414000324000288000222000198000186000
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
LCOE( $/)0.290.270.220.190.140.130.12
( $/)0.610.450.400.330.280.290.28
( $/)0.170.160.160.160.170.170.17
10MW
10MW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
10MW Grid Parity
2008200920102011201220132014
4KW -0.9%2.2%19.8%22.7%27.4%31.6%34.3%
--(4KW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)4000400040004000400040004000
($/W)5.545.24.984.53.93.53.3
kw794.85794.85794.85794.85794.85
221602080016740.614820.612420.610820.610020.6
( 1.2%)265.92249.6200.8872177.8472149.0472129.8472120.2472
( kwh/m2/day)3.64.514.514.514.514.514.51
1111111
13141646.151646.151646.151646.151646.151646.15
52566584.66584.66584.66584.66584.66584.6
($/kwh)0.20.20.540.540.540.540.54
1051.21316.923555.6843555.6843555.6843555.6843555.684
- 785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
0-22160-20400-16740.6-14820.6-12420.6-10820.6-10020.6
1785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
2785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
3785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
4785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
5785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
6785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
7785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
8785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
9785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
10785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
11785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
12785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
13785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
14785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
15785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
16785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
17785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
18785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
19785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
20785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
21785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
22785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
23785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
24785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
25785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
IRR-0.91%2.18%19.82%22.65%27.36%31.63%34.26%
4KW --LCOE
2008200920102011201220132014
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
22160208001674114821124211082110021
266250201178149130120
13312510089756560
5256525652565256525652565256
LCOE( $/)0.380.350.280.250.210.180.17
( $/)0.250.2780.300.310.3230.340.35
4KW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
4KW Grid Parity
-
: 201040%Source: Greentech Media Report; 200903
-
Royal Decree 661/2007(:2007-2008) 2008Royal Decree 1578/2008(2009-2011)- 500MW
-
/Grid Parity(10MW)
Chart4
0.28798270310.610.17
0.26869725650.450.16
0.21849011470.40.16
0.19054821730.330.16
0.14408403610.280.17
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
10MW Grid Parity
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
1MW 11%13%15%14%14%13%13%
10KW 12%14%15%15%14%14%14%
50MW 7%9%10%9%10%10%10%
--(1MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)1000000100000010000001000000100000010000001000000
($/W)6.24.943.93.53.33.1
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
( 1.2%)74400588004800046800420003960037200
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
($/kwh)0.66027786260.594174960.534727440.48660197040.44280779310.40295509170.3666891334
821814.841622857739539.863964665548.508196605649.14245836551140.719637108501538.054869768456399.629931489
- 747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
0-6200000-4900000-4000000-3900000-3500000-3300000-3100000
1747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
2747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
3747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
4747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
5747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
6747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
7747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
8747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
9747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
10747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
11747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
12747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
13747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
14747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
15747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
16747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
17747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
18747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
19747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
20747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
21747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
22747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
23747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
24747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
25747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
IRR11.21%13.28%14.97%13.76%14.00%13.39%12.87%
--(10KW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000100001000010000100001000010000
($/W)6.25.14.54.13.93.53.3
62000510004500041000390003500033000
( 1.2%)744612540492468420396
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
12446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.5
($/kwh)0.70185091320.64570284010.59404661290.54058241770.49193000010.44765630010.4073672331
8735.58739058378036.7403993377393.801167396728.3590623256122.80674671575571.75413951135070.2962669553
- 7991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
0-62000-51000-45000-41000-39000-35000-33000
17991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
27991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
37991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
47991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
57991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
67991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
77991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
87991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
97991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
107991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
117991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
127991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
137991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
147991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
157991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
167991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
177991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
187991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
197991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
207991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
217991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
227991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
237991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
247991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
257991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
IRR12.16%14.01%14.74%14.72%13.94%14.19%13.58%
--(50MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)50000000500000005000000050000000500000005000000050000000
($/W)543.43.22.82.452.3
250000000200000000170000000160000000140000000122500000115000000
( 1.2%)3000000240000020400001920000168000014700001380000
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
49786000497860004978600049786000497860004978600049786000
($/kwh)0.532775880.479483280.4315950.392713920.357435720.325159920.29588652
26524779.9616823871554.5780821487388.6719551655.2211217795294.7559216188411.7771214731006.28472
- 23524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
0-250000000-200000000-170000000-160000000-140000000-122500000-115000000
123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
2023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
IRR6.96%8.72%9.62%9.08%9.71%10.33%9.83%
1MW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
74400588004800046800420003960037200
37200294002400023400210001980018600
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
LCOE( $/)0.440.350.290.280.250.240.22
( $/)0.660.590.530.490.440.400.37
( $/)0.290.260.260.270.280.290.29
1MW
10KW
50MW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
1MW Grid Parity
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
10MW 17.3%14.4%16.7%15.3%17.2%20.3%20.9%
10MW 22.3%20.3%20.6%18.9%17.1%20.2%21.7%
--(10MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)86.95.44.83.73.33.1
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
( 1.2%)960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
1111111
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
150734051111972598842008154465691894071660456918940
- 141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
0-80000000-69000000-54000000-48000000-37000000-33000000-31000000
1141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
2141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
3141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
4141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
5141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
6141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
7141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
8141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
9141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
10141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
11141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
12141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
13141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
14141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
15141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
16141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
17141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
18141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
19141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
20141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
21141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
22141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
23141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
24141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
25141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
IRR17.32%14.40%16.75%15.34%17.17%20.31%20.94%
--(10MW-DC )
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)5.14.13.63.22.972.652.4
51000000410000003600000032000000297000002650000024000000
( 1.2%)612000492000432000384000356400318000288000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
19768400197684001976840019768400197684001976840019768400
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
12058724889578079073606523572553515257328365535152
- 11446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
0-51000000-41000000-36000000-32000000-29700000-26500000-24000000
111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
IRR22.30%20.29%20.57%18.93%17.10%20.23%21.70%
10MW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%6%7%6%6%6%6%
25252525252525
3.394.294.834.554.294.294.29
0.070.080.080.080.080.080.08
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
480000414000324000288000222000198000186000
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
LCOE( $/)0.290.270.220.190.140.130.12
( $/)0.610.450.400.330.280.290.28
( $/)0.170.160.160.160.170.170.17
10MW
10MW
2008-2012
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
10MW Grid Parity
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
4KW -0.9%2.2%19.8%22.7%27.4%31.6%34.3%
--(4KW-DC )
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
(W)4000400040004000400040004000
($/W)5.545.24.984.53.93.53.3
kw794.85794.85794.85794.85794.85
221602080016740.614820.612420.610820.610020.6
( 1.2%)265.92249.6200.8872177.8472149.0472129.8472120.2472
( kwh/m2/day)3.64.514.514.514.514.514.51
1111111
13141646.151646.151646.151646.151646.151646.15
52566584.66584.66584.66584.66584.66584.6
($/kwh)0.20.20.540.540.540.540.54
1051.21316.923555.6843555.6843555.6843555.6843555.684
- 785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
0-22160-20400-16740.6-14820.6-12420.6-10820.6-10020.6
1785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
2785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
3785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
4785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
5785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
6785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
7785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
8785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
9785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
10785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
11785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
12785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
13785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
14785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
15785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
16785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
17785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
18785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
19785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
20785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
21785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
22785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
23785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
24785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
25785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
IRR-0.91%2.18%19.82%22.65%27.36%31.63%34.26%
4KW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
22160208001674114821124211082110021
266250201178149130120
13312510089756560
5256525652565256525652565256
LCOE( $/)0.380.350.280.250.210.180.17
( $/)0.250.2780.300.310.3230.340.35
4KW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
4KW Grid Parity
Chart3
0.17316227310.2229813178
0.14399031510.202949526
0.16747713210.2057160134
0.15343293160.1893482202
0.17166447950.1709993567
10MW
10MW
2008-2012
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
1MW 11%13%15%14%14%13%13%
10KW 12%14%15%15%14%14%14%
50MW 7%9%10%9%10%10%10%
--(1MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)1000000100000010000001000000100000010000001000000
($/W)6.24.943.93.53.33.1
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
( 1.2%)74400588004800046800420003960037200
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
($/kwh)0.66027786260.594174960.534727440.48660197040.44280779310.40295509170.3666891334
821814.841622857739539.863964665548.508196605649.14245836551140.719637108501538.054869768456399.629931489
- 747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
0-6200000-4900000-4000000-3900000-3500000-3300000-3100000
1747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
2747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
3747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
4747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
5747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
6747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
7747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
8747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
9747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
10747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
11747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
12747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
13747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
14747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
15747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
16747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
17747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
18747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
19747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
20747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
21747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
22747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
23747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
24747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
25747414.841622857680739.863964617548.508196558849.14245836509140.719637108461938.054869768419199.629931489
IRR11.21%13.28%14.97%13.76%14.00%13.39%12.87%
--(10KW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000100001000010000100001000010000
($/W)6.25.14.54.13.93.53.3
62000510004500041000390003500033000
( 1.2%)744612540492468420396
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
1111111
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
12446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.512446.5
($/kwh)0.70185091320.64570284010.59404661290.54058241770.49193000010.44765630010.4073672331
8735.58739058378036.7403993377393.801167396728.3590623256122.80674671575571.75413951135070.2962669553
- 7991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
0-62000-51000-45000-41000-39000-35000-33000
17991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
27991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
37991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
47991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
57991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
67991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
77991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
87991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
97991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
107991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
117991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
127991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
137991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
147991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
157991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
167991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
177991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
187991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
197991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
207991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
217991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
227991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
237991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
247991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
257991.58739058377424.7403993376853.801167396236.3590623255654.80674671575151.75413951134674.2962669553
IRR12.16%14.01%14.74%14.72%13.94%14.19%13.58%
--(50MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)50000000500000005000000050000000500000005000000050000000
($/W)543.43.22.82.452.3
250000000200000000170000000160000000140000000122500000115000000
( 1.2%)3000000240000020400001920000168000014700001380000
( kwh/m2/day)3.413.413.413.413.413.413.41
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
1244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.651244.65
49786000497860004978600049786000497860004978600049786000
($/kwh)0.532775880.479483280.4315950.392713920.357435720.325159920.29588652
26524779.9616823871554.5780821487388.6719551655.2211217795294.7559216188411.7771214731006.28472
- 23524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
0-250000000-200000000-170000000-160000000-140000000-122500000-115000000
123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1123524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1223524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1323524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1423524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1523524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1623524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1723524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1823524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
1923524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
2023524779.9616821471554.5780819447388.6717631655.2211216115294.7559214718411.7771213351006.28472
IRR6.96%8.72%9.62%9.08%9.71%10.33%9.83%
1MW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
6200000490000040000003900000350000033000003100000
74400588004800046800420003960037200
37200294002400023400210001980018600
1244650124465012446501244650124465012446501244650
LCOE( $/)0.440.350.290.280.250.240.22
( $/)0.660.590.530.490.440.400.37
( $/)0.290.260.260.270.280.290.29
1MW
10KW
50MW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
1MW Grid Parity
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
10MW 17.3%14.4%16.7%15.3%17.2%20.3%20.9%
10MW 22.3%20.3%20.6%18.9%17.1%20.2%21.7%
--(10MW-DC )
2008200920102011201220132014
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)86.95.44.83.73.33.1
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
( 1.2%)960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
1111111
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
150734051111972598842008154465691894071660456918940
- 141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
0-80000000-69000000-54000000-48000000-37000000-33000000-31000000
1141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
2141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
3141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
4141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
5141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
6141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
7141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
8141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
9141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
10141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
11141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
12141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
13141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
14141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
15141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
16141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
17141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
18141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
19141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
20141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
21141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
22141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
23141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
24141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
25141134051029172592362007578465647494067700456546940
IRR17.32%14.40%16.75%15.34%17.17%20.31%20.94%
--(10MW-DC )
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
(W)10000000100000001000000010000000100000001000000010000000
($/W)5.14.13.63.22.972.652.4
51000000410000003600000032000000297000002650000024000000
( 1.2%)612000492000432000384000356400318000288000
( kwh/m2/day)6.776.776.776.776.776.776.77
0.80.80.80.80.80.80.8
2471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.052471.05
19768400197684001976840019768400197684001976840019768400
($/kwh)0.610.450.40.330.280.290.28
12058724889578079073606523572553515257328365535152
- 11446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
0-51000000-41000000-36000000-32000000-29700000-26500000-24000000
111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1611446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1711446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1811446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
1911446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2011446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2111446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2211446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2311446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2411446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
2511446724840378074753606139572517875254148365247152
IRR22.30%20.29%20.57%18.93%17.10%20.23%21.70%
10MW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%6%7%6%6%6%6%
25252525252525
3.394.294.834.554.294.294.29
0.070.080.080.080.080.080.08
80000000690000005400000048000000370000003300000031000000
960000828000648000576000444000396000372000
480000414000324000288000222000198000186000
24710500247105002471050024710500247105002471050024710500
LCOE( $/)0.290.270.220.190.140.130.12
( $/)0.610.450.400.330.280.290.28
( $/)0.170.160.160.160.170.170.17
10MW
10MW
2008-2012
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
( $/)
10MW Grid Parity
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
4KW -0.9%2.2%19.8%22.7%27.4%31.6%34.3%
--(4KW-DC )
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
(W)4000400040004000400040004000
($/W)5.545.24.984.53.93.53.3
kw794.85794.85794.85794.85794.85
221602080016740.614820.612420.610820.610020.6
( 1.2%)265.92249.6200.8872177.8472149.0472129.8472120.2472
( kwh/m2/day)3.64.514.514.514.514.514.51
1111111
13141646.151646.151646.151646.151646.151646.15
52566584.66584.66584.66584.66584.66584.6
($/kwh)0.20.20.540.540.540.540.54
1051.21316.923555.6843555.6843555.6843555.6843555.684
- 785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
0-22160-20400-16740.6-14820.6-12420.6-10820.6-10020.6
1785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
2785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
3785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
4785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
5785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
6785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
7785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
8785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
9785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
10785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
11785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
12785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
13785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
14785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
15785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
16785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
17785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
18785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
19785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
20785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
21785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
22785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
23785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
24785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
25785.281067.323354.79683377.83683406.63683425.83683435.4368
IRR-0.91%2.18%19.82%22.65%27.36%31.63%34.26%
4KW --LCOE
20082009(e)2010(F)2011(F)2012(F)2013(F)2014(F)
5%5%5%5%5%5%5%
25252525252525
3.393.393.393.393.393.393.39
0.070.070.070.070.070.070.07
22160208001674114821124211082110021
266250201178149130120
13312510089756560
5256525652565256525652565256
LCOE( $/)0.380.350.280.250.210.180.17
( $/)0.250.2780.300.310.3230.340.35
4KW
2008-2014
LCOE( $/)
( $/)
4KW Grid Parity
-
Source: Greentech Media Report; 200903
-
()2001-2005 1003MW200880%
-
()(Fukuda Vision) (2008/7): 1. 40% 7 2.202010203040 3. 205060~80%20097201048
-
/Grid Parity(4KW;Roof)
-
2009
-
23 500MW
-
, ?(1993-2008)/
-
10
-
First Solar TextTurner Renewable Energy
Southern California Edison550MW20122015Pacific Gas and Electric550MW20102013Sempra48MW2010Tri-State30MW2010
-
50%11.1%0.83/2009 First Solar
-
/
-
201022%303;20107,175MW34%20102:12010
TRIICTRIIC1970 1994 2004 2005
USAJapanSpainGermany80%;2005(83%),2006(86%),2007(82%),2008(84%)20082008 2007 HemlockWackerMEMCRECTokuyama66%Hemlock 2008 2007 81%WackerMEMCREC 15%Tokuyama M.SetekDC Chemical 200819%9%39.7%94.2%2009 8.1GWLDKRECMEMCSolarWorldReneSolar()(CR5)43.5%LDK()ReneSolar()Yingli()Trina()Jinglong()5%
TRIIC/1014 ;20105 (BundesverbandErneuerbareEnergieBEE)
Royal Decree 1578/2008 (