金融危机之影响及 出口企业的策略

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金金金金金金金金 金金金金金金金 金金金金金金金 金金金 2009 金 7 金 23 金

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金融危机之影响及 出口企业的策略. 助理首席经济师 潘永才 2009 年 7 月 23 日. 2. 金融危机对贸易的影响. 3. 在经济下调的情况下, 全球贸易较全球 GDP 录得更大跌幅. 注: 2009 年及 2010 年为预测数字 资料来源:国际货币基金组织. 4. 出口易受外围冲击. 注: 2009 年及 2010 年全球贸易量增长为预测数字 资料来源:国际货币基金组织及中国海关. 5. 2009 年 1-5 月 中国出口(按市场划分). 所有产品. 消费品. 资料来源:中国海关. 6. 现时面对的困难. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • 2009723

  • *

  • GDP20092010*

    Chart14

    5.02099.8033

    4.56695.5443

    5.54757.808

    6.861511.798

    2.71896.0987

    1.7316-2.6571

    5.36039.8806

    4.31885.5349

    4.48525.3803

    3.74546.9774

    2.0162.3951

    2.2192.519

    0.883-1.4825

    2.8032.458

    4.5949.095

    3.6443.4295

    3.4844.472

    3.6926.2485

    4.4879.0455

    3.7246.839

    2.9415.946

    1.4734.322

    2.0265.378

    2.0144.3065

    3.38110.09

    3.27610.0595

    3.7376.713

    4.03810.7215

    2.5394.9225

    3.5235.7165

    4.70912.999

    2.196-0.3865

    2.8373.6785

    3.626.2895

    4.9310.954

    4.457.5455

    5.1019.284

    5.16.6315

    3.13.204

    -1.4-12.2

    2.51

    (%)

    GDP

    Growth&Trade

    GDP

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19801.99182.3951

    19812.17152.686

    19820.8855-0.9336

    19832.81212.0257

    19844.62188.3863

    19853.64323.1281

    19863.47333.8299

    19873.69366.3261

    19884.50357.9748

    19893.71568.0803

    19902.94376.2952

    19911.45694.3623

    19922.02744.6295

    19932.00883.6828

    19943.37499.1599

    19953.29369.4409

    19963.72577.1149

    19974.028910.257

    19982.53014.6065

    19993.53365.785

    20004.671312.1693

    20012.22160.268

    20022.80943.5396

    20033.59815.3769

    20044.940910.6893

    20054.42877.6252

    20065.01879.1817

    20074.93996.7754

    20083.7345.5719

    20093.7665.8133

    111

    NGDP_RPCHTMG_RPCHTXG_RPCH

    WorldWorldWorld

    Gross domestic product, constant pricesImport volume of goodsExport volume of goods

    Annual percent changeAnnual percent changeAnnual percent change

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19802.016n/an/a2.3951

    19812.2191.5913.4472.519

    19820.883-0.919-2.046-1.4825

    19832.8032.2632.6532.458

    19844.5949.538.669.095

    19853.6443.8553.0043.4295

    19863.4844.9144.034.472

    19873.6926.7315.7666.2485

    19884.4879.2078.8849.0455

    19893.7247.2156.4636.839

    19902.9416.0465.8465.946

    19911.4733.5445.14.322

    19922.0265.555.2065.378

    19932.0143.9184.6954.3065

    19943.38110.339.8510.09

    19953.27610.1519.96810.0595

    19963.7377.1096.3176.713

    19974.03810.28211.16110.7215

    19982.5395.0644.7814.9225

    19993.5236.4944.9395.7165

    20004.70912.99413.00412.999

    20012.196-0.336-0.437-0.3865

    20022.8373.8163.5413.6785

    20033.626.5686.0116.2895

    20044.9311.45810.4510.954

    20054.457.9257.1667.5455

    20065.1019.1999.3699.284

    20075.16.8126.4516.6315

    20083.13.3163.0923.204

    2009-1.4-11.403-11.69-12.2

    20102.50.8260.671

    Growth&Trade

    (%)

    GDP

    Growth&Trade (china)

    (%)

    GDP

    export by market

    World GDP GrowthWorld Trade Volume Growth

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19801.99182.3951

    19812.17152.686

    19820.8855-0.9336

    19832.81212.0257

    19844.62188.3863

    19853.64323.1281

    19863.47333.8299

    19873.69366.3261

    19884.50357.9748

    19893.71568.0803

    19902.94376.2952

    19911.45694.3623

    19922.02744.6295

    19932.00883.6828

    19943.37499.1599

    19953.29369.4409

    19963.72577.1149

    19974.028910.257

    19982.53014.6065

    19993.53365.785

    20004.671312.1693

    20012.22160.268

    20022.80943.5396

    20033.59815.3769

    20044.940910.6893

    20054.42877.6252

    20065.01879.1817

    20074.93996.7754

    20083.7345.5719

    20093.7665.8133

    export by market

    (%)

    World GDP Growth

    World Trade Volume Growth

    difficulties

    200520062007Jan-Oct 2008

    TOTAL2,824,151100.0782,9801006.2798,5271002874,9001009.6907,5781007.4

    386,36513.7201,36925.711.2206,42425.92.5230,47926.311.7241,39426.68.1WORLD907,578100

    359,25512.7255,14532.62253,24931.7-0.7258,91429.62.2246,04927.1-3USA246,04927.1

    *1,370,44548.594,64212.15.9105,20513.211.2126,18814.419.9133,06414.712.4CHINA133,06414.7

    120,9524.365,1768.35.159,9767.5-858,4826.7-2.557,1276.3-2.7JAPAN57,1276.3

    179,1886.330,8363.91.332,0494.03.936,6734.214.438,8524.310.3E.U.241,39426.6

    186,9186.641,2875.314.240,9095.1-0.952,8426.029.268,9867.642.0ASEAN38,8524.3

    221,0287.894,52512.17.0100,71512.66.5111,32212.710.5122,10613.512.5REST OF ASIA68,9867.6

    REST OF WORLD122,10613.5

    WORLD2,824,151

    CHINA1,370,445

    USA359,255

    JAPAN120,952

    E.U.386,365

    ASEAN179,188

    REST OF ASIA186,918

    REST OF WORLD221,028

    difficulties

    (%)

    *

    US consumer confidence

    EU consumer confidence

    Jan-Oct 2008

    japan consumer confidence

    Q2

    FrequencyQ2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    1223166926528189134

    2128111106112159110101141

    3254268246169223275138160

    49270812744865417

    Subtotal - with difficulty level496480499400491499482452

    94201100911848

    Total500500500500500500500500

    Mean (W.A.)2.8392.7852.6852.3282.5012.8402.1182.133

    PercentageQ2gQ2dQ2hQ2eQ2cQ2bQ2fQ2a

    Description()

    137.818.426.81313.26.25.64.4

    220.222.428.231.821.222.22225.6

    327.633.83244.649.253.65550.8

    410.85.43.48.816.21417.218.4

    Subtotal - with difficulty level96.48090.498.299.89699.899.2

    Subtotal - 58.661.663.685.286.689.894.294.8

    93.6209.61.80.240.20.8

    Total100100100100100100100100

    Percentage (with difficulty level)Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    14.46.513.223.013.25.639.229.6

    225.823.121.228.032.422.021.031.2

    351.255.849.342.345.455.128.635.4

    418.514.616.26.89.017.211.23.8

    Total100100100100100100100100

    n496480499400491499482452

    Percentage ()Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    227.024.724.536.437.323.434.544.3

    353.659.756.854.952.358.447.150.3

    419.415.618.78.810.318.318.45.3

    Total100100100100100100100100

    474449433308426471293318

    Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    ()

    4.46.213.218.4135.637.826.8

    25.622.221.222.431.82220.228.2

    50.853.649.233.844.65527.632

    18.41416.25.48.817.210.83.4

    99.29699.88098.299.896.490.4

    94.889.886.661.685.294.258.663.6

    0.840.2201.80.23.69.6

    japan consumer confidence

    n=500

    (%)

    Retail Sales

    (%)

    exports GDP

    CA

    2005-01103.00

    2005-02104.00

    2005-03102.00

    2005-0498.00

    2005-05103.10

    2005-06106.00

    2005-07103.60

    2005-08105.50

    2005-0987.50

    2005-1085.00

    2005-1199.00

    2005-12103.00

    2006-01106.00

    2006-02102.00

    2006-03107.00

    2006-04109.80

    2006-05104.70

    2006-06105.00

    2006-07106.00

    2006-0899.60

    2006-09105.00

    2006-10105.00

    2006-11102.00

    2006-12109.00

    2007-01110.00

    2007-02112.00

    2007-03107.00

    2007-04106.00

    2007-05108.00

    2007-06105.30

    2007-07112.00

    2007-08105.60

    2007-0999.50

    2007-1095.20

    2007-1187.80

    2007-1290.60

    2008-0187.90

    2008-0275.00

    2008-0364.50

    2008-0462.30

    2008-0558.10

    2008-0651.00

    2008-0751.90

    2008-0858.50

    2008-0959.80

    2008-1038.00

    2008-1144.90

    2008-1238.60

    2009-0137.40

    2009-0225.00

    2009-0326.90

    2009-0440.80

    2009-0554.80

    2009-0649.30

    2009-07

    CA

    (1985=100)

    GDP

    EU.TOT.99.BS.M

    Jan-85-16.0

    Feb-85-18

    Mar-85-17

    Apr-85-16

    May-85-16

    Jun-85-16

    Jul-85-16

    Aug-85-16

    Sep-85-15

    Oct-85-13

    Nov-85-13

    Dec-85-12

    Jan-86-11

    Feb-86-11

    Mar-86-9

    Apr-86-8

    May-86-8

    Jun-86-9

    Jul-86-9

    Aug-86-10

    Sep-86-9

    Oct-86-9

    Nov-86-8

    Dec-86-9

    Jan-87-10

    Feb-87-10

    Mar-87-10

    Apr-87-9

    May-87-10

    Jun-87-9

    Jul-87-9

    Aug-87-10

    Sep-87-9

    Oct-87-10

    Nov-87-11

    Dec-87-11

    Jan-88-11

    Feb-88-11

    Mar-88-10

    Apr-88-9

    May-88-8

    Jun-88-8

    Jul-88-8

    Aug-88-8

    Sep-88-8

    Oct-88-7

    Nov-88-6

    Dec-88-7

    Jan-89-6

    Feb-89-7

    Mar-89-8

    Apr-89-7

    May-89-6

    Jun-89-6

    Jul-89-5

    Aug-89-6

    Sep-89-6

    Oct-89-8

    Nov-89-9

    Dec-89-7

    Jan-90-7

    Feb-90-9

    Mar-90-10

    Apr-90-8

    May-90-8

    Jun-90-8

    Jul-90-7

    Aug-90-9

    Sep-90-15

    Oct-90-14

    Nov-90-15

    Dec-90-13

    Jan-91-18

    Feb-91-19

    Mar-91-13

    Apr-91-14

    May-91-14

    Jun-91-15

    Jul-91-17

    Aug-91-17

    Sep-91-14

    Oct-91-14

    Nov-91-15

    Dec-91-16

    Jan-92-16

    Feb-92-15

    Mar-92-15

    Apr-92-15

    May-92-15

    Jun-92-17

    Jul-92-18

    Aug-92-20

    Sep-92-22

    Oct-92-25

    Nov-92-26

    Dec-92-27

    Jan-93-26

    Feb-93-27

    Mar-93-28

    Apr-93-25

    May-93-23

    Jun-93-25

    Jul-93-26

    Aug-93-25

    Sep-93-24

    Oct-93-25

    Nov-93-26

    Dec-93-25

    Jan-94-22

    Feb-94-21

    Mar-94-20

    Apr-94-18

    May-94-14

    Jun-94-11

    Jul-94-11

    Aug-94-10

    Sep-94-8

    Oct-94-8

    Nov-94-8

    Dec-94-10

    Jan-95-8

    Feb-95-9

    Mar-95-9

    Apr-95-9

    May-95-8

    Jun-95-6

    Jul-95-7

    Aug-95-7

    Sep-95-10

    Oct-95-10

    Nov-95-11

    Dec-95-12

    Jan-96-13

    Feb-96-14

    Mar-96-14

    Apr-96-15

    May-96-14

    Jun-96-14

    Jul-96-15

    Aug-96-14

    Sep-96-14

    Oct-96-14

    Nov-96-14

    Dec-96-14

    Jan-97-12

    Feb-97-13

    Mar-97-13

    Apr-97-12

    May-97-10

    Jun-97-9

    Jul-97-8

    Aug-97-8

    Sep-97-6

    Oct-97-6

    Nov-97-7

    Dec-97-6

    Jan-98-6

    Feb-98-6

    Mar-98-4

    Apr-98-3

    May-98-2

    Jun-98-3

    Jul-98-2

    Aug-98-5

    Sep-98-4

    Oct-98-5

    Nov-98-3

    Dec-98-4

    Jan-99-3

    Feb-99-2

    Mar-99-3

    Apr-99-5

    May-99-4

    Jun-99-4

    Jul-99-4

    Aug-99-3

    Sep-99-3

    Oct-99-2

    Nov-99-2

    Dec-99-0

    Jan-001

    Feb-000

    Mar-000

    Apr-001

    May-001

    Jun-001

    Jul-001

    Aug-002

    Sep-00-2

    Oct-00-0

    Nov-000

    Dec-001

    Jan-011

    Feb-01-1

    Mar-010

    Apr-01-1

    May-01-3

    Jun-01-3

    Jul-01-5

    Aug-01-9

    Sep-01-9

    Oct-01-12

    Nov-01-12

    Dec-01-11

    Jan-02-10

    Feb-02-9

    Mar-02-8

    Apr-02-8

    May-02-6

    Jun-02-7

    Jul-02-8

    Aug-02-9

    Sep-02-8

    Oct-02-10

    Nov-02-12

    Dec-02-15

    Jan-03-16

    Feb-03-17

    Mar-03-18

    Apr-03-16

    May-03-16

    Jun-03-15

    Jul-03-15

    Aug-03-14

    Sep-03-14

    Oct-03-14

    Nov-03-14

    Dec-03-14

    Jan-04-12

    Feb-04-12

    Mar-04-12

    Apr-04-11

    May-04-12

    Jun-04-11

    Jul-04-11

    Aug-04-11

    Sep-04-11

    Oct-04-11

    Nov-04-11

    Dec-04-11

    Jan-05-10

    Feb-05-10

    Mar-05-10

    Apr-05-10

    May-05-11

    Jun-05-11

    Jul-05-12

    Aug-05-11

    Sep-05-11

    Oct-05-11

    Nov-05-11

    Dec-05-9

    Jan-06-8

    Feb-06-8

    Mar-06-9

    Apr-06-8

    May-06-7

    Jun-06-7

    Jul-06-7

    Aug-06-8

    Sep-06-7

    Oct-06-7

    Nov-06-7

    Dec-06-6

    Jan-07-6

    Feb-07-5

    Mar-07-4

    Apr-07-4

    May-07-1

    Jun-07-1

    Jul-07-1

    Aug-07-3

    Sep-07-5

    Oct-07-5

    Nov-07-7

    Dec-07-8

    index

    Jan-08-10

    Feb-08-11

    Mar-08-11

    Apr-08-12

    May-08-13

    Jun-08-16

    Jul-08-20

    Aug-08-19

    Sep-08-19

    Oct-08-24

    Nov-08-26

    Dec-08-29

    Jan-09-31

    Feb-09-32

    Mar-09-32

    Apr-09-28

    May-09-26

    Jun-09-23

    GDP

    index

    china gdp

    The Development of the Consumer Confidence Index

    (excluding one-person households,original series)

    ConsumerOverallIncome growthEmploymentWillingness

    Confidencelivelihoodto buy

    Indexdurable goods

    1982.Jun43.744.048.338.044.6

    Sep42.544.247.933.744.3

    Dec41.542.546.532.944.2

    1983.Mar42.943.447.734.945.7

    Jun45.045.447.939.946.7

    Sep46.146.149.041.947.4

    Dec46.246.249.142.047.3

    1984.Mar46.646.449.743.047.3

    Jun47.147.249.343.948.0

    Sep48.447.950.047.248.3

    Dec47.847.250.045.348.8

    1985.Mar48.047.750.245.648.6

    Jun47.847.849.345.149.0

    Sep48.948.550.247.749.3

    Dec47.347.549.743.148.7

    1986.Mar46.346.348.841.248.9

    Jun45.546.048.239.148.8

    Sep44.645.347.636.948.6

    Dec42.043.046.132.047.0

    1987.Mar40.541.945.828.645.6

    Jun44.245.747.634.848.8

    Sep47.847.949.843.250.2

    Dec48.248.149.644.550.5

    1988.Mar49.448.250.347.651.4

    Jun49.848.850.249.450.6

    Sep50.648.850.552.650.6

    Dec50.549.051.051.250.8

    1989.Mar48.245.151.051.145.6

    Jun47.745.049.950.545.5

    Sep49.847.250.653.847.6

    Dec50.448.150.753.649.0

    1990.Mar49.547.551.851.946.9

    Jun50.348.651.552.948.1

    Sep49.247.051.452.445.8

    Dec48.446.851.149.546.2

    1991.Mar49.448.151.850.447.4

    Jun49.448.851.448.848.4

    Sep48.548.050.147.248.7

    Dec45.445.749.241.245.4

    1992.Mar44.744.849.439.145.6

    Jun44.646.348.736.846.4

    Sep41.945.046.730.844.9

    Dec39.342.344.827.143.1

    1993.Mar38.542.345.223.542.8

    Jun43.245.746.733.147.1

    Sep39.943.044.527.045.2

    Dec35.739.041.919.742.0

    1994.Mar40.441.644.730.644.7

    Jun43.745.546.234.348.7

    Sep45.746.947.237.950.9

    Dec46.247.247.638.851.0

    1995.Mar44.245.947.234.049.5

    Jun42.845.446.030.749.0

    Sep42.144.845.130.248.1

    Dec43.344.945.433.649.1

    1996.Mar44.545.746.736.649.1

    Jun46.946.847.043.450.3

    Sep45.645.746.442.747.7

    Dec43.044.145.839.542.7

    1997.Mar38.039.344.636.831.4

    Jun42.742.845.039.543.3

    Sep42.843.045.138.045.1

    Dec35.938.441.223.240.6

    1998.Mar37.139.842.124.741.6

    Jun36.339.841.023.341.2

    Sep34.839.139.620.839.7

    Dec35.638.338.223.542.2

    1999.Mar38.941.540.628.145.5

    Jun39.542.341.029.045.8

    Sep40.342.941.630.945.9

    Dec40.242.240.931.846.0

    2000.Mar42.143.342.534.947.5

    Jun43.844.142.540.148.4

    Sep43.844.342.840.247.9

    Dec42.142.741.136.747.8

    2001.Mar38.840.940.730.343.1

    Jun40.041.941.232.044.9

    Sep34.438.137.720.041.6

    Dec33.036.735.319.040.9

    2002.Mar36.238.537.425.443.5

    Jun39.040.538.831.744.9

    Sep37.539.737.828.444.1

    Dec35.337.435.425.442.8

    2003.Mar34.736.635.824.841.6

    Jun36.938.436.429.543.2

    Sep39.940.838.435.844.7

    Dec39.236.635.944.9

    Mar-0442.742.440.141.347.1

    Apr-0445.444.442.146.448.5

    May-0448.347.145.949.650.7

    Jun-0444.943.641.945.648.3

    Jul-0448.747.146.050.251.6

    Aug-0449.247.546.650.751.9

    Sep-0446.145.143.346.949.2

    Oct-0447.746.646.148.250.0

    Nov-0448.046.446.249.150.1

    Dec-0444.043.041.844.047.3

    Jan-0547.446.245.747.949.7

    Feb-0547.646.445.748.649.7

    Mar-0545.243.642.146.548.4

    Apr-0547.446.045.648.849.2

    May-0548.347.046.549.650.0

    Jun-0546.645.243.348.349.7

    Jul-0548.146.945.749.750.2

    Aug-0548.446.945.950.450.4

    Sep-0545.544.243.047.447.5

    Oct-0547.946.345.949.949.4

    Nov-0548.246.345.750.849.8

    Dec-0546.544.242.849.349.8

    Jan-0649.546.946.053.551.4

    Feb-0649.846.746.254.951.4

    Mar-0647.945.143.552.950.0

    Apr-0650.047.046.255.251.6

    May-0649.846.746.354.951.2

    Jun-0647.244.843.351.748.8

    Jul-0648.645.845.352.750.4

    Aug-0647.644.944.852.148.7

    Sep-0646.343.742.950.947.7

    Oct-0648.245.644.952.449.8

    Nov-0648.746.045.253.050.5

    Dec-0645.943.542.149.048.9

    Jan-0748.145.844.751.850.2

    Feb-0748.445.744.952.750.1

    Mar-0746.843.942.951.448.9

    Apr-0747.444.943.651.749.4

    May-0747.345.043.951.249.0

    Jun-0745.042.442.249.046.4

    Jul-0744.442.341.947.546.0

    Aug-0744.041.942.447.044.7

    Sep-0744.142.242.446.445.5

    Oct-0742.841.042.245.342.8

    Nov-0739.837.040.743.138.4

    Dec-0738.034.939.640.637.0

    Jan-0837.535.139.438.636.7

    Feb-0836.133.738.937.034.8

    Mar-0836.734.438.737.636.2

    Apr-0835.233.037.536.034.2

    May-0833.931.536.634.932.7

    Jun-0832.630.336.532.830.9

    Jul-0831.429.336.330.729.2

    Aug-0830.128.535.028.428.3

    Sep-0831.430.635.828.930.3

    Oct-0829.429.634.524.828.8

    Nov-0828.429.433.421.129.6

    Dec-0826.228.531.515.429.4

    Jan-0926.429.231.414.230.6

    Feb-0926.729.431.114.931.4

    Mar-0928.931.132.018.334.2

    Apr-0932.433.833.423.339.0

    May-0935.736.335.328.043.1

    china gdp

    Dec

    china

    china pmi

    Furniture and home furnishingElectronics and appliancesBuilding materials, garden equip. and supplies dealersClothing and clothing access. storesGeneral merchandise storesTotal(%, y-y)()Total

    Jan-92427633841087997461984843857

    Feb-92434433901092896962021344227

    Mar-92432834411101697262023044413

    Apr-92437135111076998432018044303

    May-92433635371081397952027744422

    Jun-92440835761081299712030544664

    Jul-92438636371082499462012644533

    Aug-924365355610928101402059445218

    Sep-924350360111026102062073945572

    Oct-924331364811000101712084545664

    Nov-924382363710885100352111945676

    Dec-924448368011000103592180246841

    Jan-9346273768113771065221389471869.64.69.37.87.6

    Feb-9345283785114431013721397467627.54.74.55.95.7

    Mar-934454384311193995621343463356.81.62.45.54.3

    Apr-9345843912114571027321651472937.86.44.47.36.7

    May-9346423933117201038921940479828.98.46.18.28.0

    Jun-9346164030117181046021949481578.38.44.98.17.8

    Jul-93465741841182210595222944889510.29.26.510.89.8

    Aug-93465141731191310445223234885411.49.03.08.48.0

    Sep-93465642251180610536224434901011.77.13.28.27.5

    Oct-93467441901195010482226624928411.18.63.18.77.9

    Nov-93471542411231810500228414990011.713.24.68.29.2

    Dec-93470742881247910463229305016010.713.41.05.27.1

    Jan-9445614323123111044322785498625.88.2-2.06.55.7

    Feb-94482744241226610586230765035211.37.24.47.87.7

    Mar-94491144981282210750234595152913.414.68.09.911.2

    Apr-94491845331310010672234335173811.214.33.98.29.4

    May-94499046001307610479232085136311.811.60.95.87.0

    Jun-94503447581304110587235985198413.311.31.27.57.9

    Jul-94505347361318410713236275226010.711.51.16.06.9

    Aug-94516748341323610855239065283113.311.13.97.18.1

    Sep-94519449001342110695240155303113.713.71.57.08.2

    Oct-94524850481354911002243215392016.213.45.07.39.4

    Nov-94522451581344211038243935403115.99.15.16.88.3

    Dec-94525652031385910985246165466316.311.15.07.49.0

    Jan-95525452461377410928249275487518.211.94.69.410.1

    Feb-95515652401364810593241265360712.411.30.14.66.5

    Mar-95514152591360910874245835432510.56.11.24.85.4

    Apr-9551875159134591080524732541559.52.71.25.54.7

    May-95522253741338210996248625461410.52.34.97.16.3

    Jun-9552435455136121095725184552089.34.43.56.76.2

    Jul-9553185324136451083725380551868.73.51.27.45.6

    Aug-9553265475137371081825146551768.03.8-0.35.24.4

    Sep-9553915504138601126125526561517.93.35.36.35.9

    Oct-9554295560139671088225154555636.73.1-1.13.43.0

    Nov-9555515594141271128425375563807.35.12.24.04.3

    Dec-9554425683145931116725548569916.45.31.73.84.3

    Jan-9652905581140321110225207559223.51.91.61.11.9

    Feb-9654335562140881135525620566255.83.27.26.25.6

    Mar-9655605677142021142525606569108.04.45.14.24.8

    Apr-9655995751143531145226161577179.76.66.05.86.6

    May-9656085756144971150626177579367.28.34.65.36.1

    Jun-9656665720149731140826081581826.410.04.13.65.4

    Jul-9656975639148371133226262580706.58.74.63.55.2

    Aug-9656725729150041140226531586665.69.25.45.56.3

    Sep-9657665873149891152426520589066.88.12.33.94.9

    Oct-9657915827150981158426908594175.78.16.57.06.9

    Nov-9657845682152891137026833591742.98.20.85.75.0

    Dec-9657695640149211144627039590462.62.22.55.83.6

    Jan-9758265532152101151727170594294.58.43.77.86.3

    Feb-9759095732155881149827233600515.910.61.36.36.1

    Mar-9759195723158761159227345605363.611.81.56.86.4

    Apr-9759725850157641128127149600444.29.8-1.53.84.0

    May-9760185766158451145627362604293.79.3-0.44.54.3

    Jun-9760365836159581164227401608374.36.62.15.14.6

    Jul-9760465934160471175227972617055.78.23.76.56.3

    Aug-9761545937160761186928017618996.17.14.15.65.5

    Sep-9761855944162761187227857619494.28.63.05.05.2

    Oct-9761855926162501188728150622134.27.62.64.64.7

    Nov-9762656003161871195028152622927.05.95.14.95.3

    Dec-9763066037162651213928010624518.29.06.13.65.8

    Jan-9863596100163981219728490631859.77.85.94.96.3

    Feb-9863696130164781222628733635677.45.76.35.55.9

    Mar-9863526106165571222528736636247.04.35.55.15.1

    Apr-9863836054167341244529099643325.26.210.37.27.1

    May-9863656065168001234529093643035.56.07.86.36.4

    Jun-9864326235167081249229243646786.74.77.36.76.3

    Jul-9864556299168551256929092648156.55.07.04.05.0

    Aug-9864456407168151248229209649136.34.65.24.34.9

    Sep-9864646278170161220129616651115.14.52.86.35.1

    Oct-9865256275172291259429759658575.76.05.95.75.9

    Nov-9866806344173641272330066664976.27.36.56.86.8

    Dec-9867336334177281273530096668935.99.04.97.47.1

    Jan-9965916333177011293630725676953.77.96.17.87.1

    Feb-9967816340179941292431017682755.09.25.77.97.4

    Mar-9968376440178241308831405687576.67.77.19.38.1

    Apr-9968136448178551319331015685116.66.76.06.66.5

    May-9968906542179741340531223691448.17.08.67.37.5

    Jun-9969976592180781341131624697057.38.27.48.17.8

    Jul-9969326688182351333831607698686.88.26.18.67.8

    Aug-9971706636183541340731795701927.49.27.48.98.1

    Sep-99735067281817513359321167037810.56.89.58.48.1

    Oct-9973086694185921345532066708079.47.96.87.87.5

    Nov-9972986591189161347132240712186.68.95.97.27.1

    Dec-9973066809190601355233049724708.07.56.49.88.3

    Jan-00744769271939013295323027191411.29.52.85.16.2

    Feb-00755369651916713579325807229110.66.55.15.05.9

    Mar-0076206937201911388133025740349.613.36.15.27.7

    Apr-00771170151893713810328647262611.06.14.76.06.0

    May-0076876903189521405133435733418.65.44.87.16.1

    Jun-0076376751188981387133400729205.94.53.45.64.6

    Jul-0077056751189471376133590730496.13.93.26.34.6

    Aug-0077086825189811408333821737105.33.45.06.45.0

    Sep-0077026929189741444934191745433.94.48.26.55.9

    Oct-0077346784190461424534266743413.72.45.96.95.0

    Nov-0076136698189001429334385742763.0-0.16.16.74.3

    Dec-007185666819613141113475675148-1.92.94.15.23.7

    Jan-0177596675194671412135679759420.40.46.210.55.6

    Feb-017615661219894142043460375313-2.03.84.66.24.2

    Mar-017571657719689138933419374352-2.8-2.50.13.50.4

    Apr-017565650120338141783530776324-4.57.42.77.45.1

    May-017574648820384140043522376099-3.67.6-0.35.33.8

    Jun-017629658220162138513512775722-1.26.7-0.15.23.8

    Jul-017672665320051140093573176444-0.95.81.86.44.6

    Aug-017650666519920141663585176602-1.54.90.66.03.9

    Sep-017452651919562133073582575213-4.53.1-7.94.80.9

    Oct-017551670019936139533621276801-1.84.7-2.05.73.3

    Nov-0177206944198921397836681774952.55.2-2.26.74.3

    Dec-0178647069197531416237098780827.80.70.46.73.9

    Jan-0278546940203071423436838783192.54.30.83.23.1

    Feb-0279427017205521437536997789415.13.31.26.94.8

    Mar-0279367007203181446737140789325.63.24.18.66.2

    Apr-0278916999210841444237457799825.93.71.96.14.8

    May-0279667040208021424637082791706.72.11.75.34.0

    Jun-0278327057207781437637424796354.83.13.86.55.2

    Jul-0277456956207451423737139790772.63.51.63.93.4

    Aug-0278496903208151436737224793093.14.51.43.83.5

    Sep-0278396960208881397537086789095.96.85.03.54.9

    Oct-0278166989207431464437823801993.94.05.04.44.4

    Nov-0279856925210491449137732801971.75.83.72.93.5

    Dec-0279687051204711475437732800080.63.64.21.72.5

    Jan-037854687021350145833772380526-0.55.12.52.42.8

    Feb-037544677320189141513806179174-4.3-1.8-1.62.90.3

    Mar-037905679921337144703838980995-1.65.00.03.42.6

    Apr-037946688521137144363824080698-0.40.3-0.02.10.9

    May-0381107093213421466338530816281.32.62.93.93.1

    Jun-0381497159221051489938839830022.86.43.63.84.2

    Jul-0381767287224981512739420843325.28.56.36.16.6

    Aug-0382127436226831509140001852116.19.05.07.57.4

    Sep-0383077444227931519439975854066.49.18.77.88.2

    Oct-0383447515231261507639629853467.111.53.04.86.4

    Nov-0384497577231241530739903859117.59.95.65.87.1

    Dec-0384287708230081547040096862827.412.44.96.37.8

    Jan-0484137579228271550840509864238.66.96.37.47.3

    Feb-04847676252298215651405348679212.513.810.66.59.6

    Mar-04871076832534215982411169012311.518.810.47.111.3

    Apr-04864077652493715556406688892610.618.07.86.310.2

    May-0484807834248001569841321896537.316.27.17.29.8

    Jun-0486907912249471553340767891598.512.94.35.07.4

    Jul-0489827914247941562441229895619.310.23.34.66.2

    Aug-0487997923249351563241270897606.99.93.63.25.3

    Sep-0487568010252931577141468905426.411.03.83.76.0

    Oct-0489398012250981605441998911626.98.56.56.06.8

    Nov-0488818042252961604142130915095.69.44.85.66.5

    Dec-0490868078260071616342535927836.413.04.56.17.5

    Jan-0589948152262801618242448930627.215.14.34.87.7

    Feb-0590988378261121669442984941688.513.66.76.08.5

    Mar-0590548358264991631142823939916.24.62.14.24.3

    Apr-0591748353272681676543480958666.89.37.86.97.8

    May-0591278325269741654943268951167.08.85.44.76.1

    Jun-0593068431271961682243948963976.89.08.37.88.1

    Jul-0592598434270181648343734956694.79.05.56.16.8

    Aug-0593718502270921676043943962976.98.77.26.57.3

    Sep-0595518607276451645944073967848.39.34.46.36.9

    Oct-0595478737281921721245011991527.912.37.27.28.8

    Nov-0595878613284271714444890990747.512.46.96.68.3

    Dec-0595608530281411724144686985985.48.26.75.16.3

    Jan-069833913330227173954552210227710.615.07.57.29.9

    Feb-06975488313028717389456451021526.316.04.26.28.5

    Mar-06974189013036517427453801020737.114.66.86.08.6

    Apr-06967488882975317619461111023715.99.15.16.16.8

    May-06962088452862717485455931005505.86.15.75.45.7

    Jun-06979289002818817605456261003195.43.64.73.84.1

    Jul-06966489342804717682456531003165.13.87.34.44.9

    Aug-06969889842813217608458931006174.53.85.14.44.5

    Sep-06990290612768018330466191016904.40.111.45.85.1

    Oct-06968289792791618207466241017262.1-1.05.83.62.6

    Nov-06966592042783517872464861013973.7-2.14.23.62.3

    Dec-06967494622836518433473701036305.80.86.96.05.1

    Jan-07992193462838518538479701042391.6-6.16.65.41.9

    Feb-07975492562829718266473441031632.3-6.65.03.71.0

    Mar-07979791732889218760483411051661.8-4.97.66.53.0

    Apr-07974191462772518227475501026481.8-6.83.53.10.3

    May-07966491642860518559475931039212.0-0.16.14.43.4

    Jun-0795329056278801829547628102859-0.6-1.13.94.42.5

    Jul-07960091682783618439479721034150.9-0.84.35.13.1

    Aug-07961593222763518330481891034761.4-1.84.15.02.8

    Sep-07957093992756418522482211037060.0-0.41.03.42.0

    Oct-07949794452717918545484731036421.5-2.61.94.01.9

    Nov-07949898072812418735488411055072.31.04.85.14.1

    Dec-0793899492272941844149289104516-1.3-3.80.04.10.9

    Jan-0893369464272891865349090104496-2.4-3.90.62.30.2

    Feb-0891369375273631834649227104311-2.6-3.30.44.01.1

    Mar-0891879388270381866049442104528-2.1-6.4-0.52.3-0.6

    Apr-0891479471274731863849746105328-1.4-0.92.34.62.6

    May-0891109641274511860050368106060-0.4-4.00.25.82.1

    Jun-0889189510276371852750250105924-0.9-0.91.35.53.0

    Jul-0889009492276091851250262105875-2.0-0.80.44.82.4

    Aug-0886839309269631851049971104753-5.0-2.41.03.71.2

    Sep-0884659180267391777649596103291-7.0-3.0-4.02.9-0.4

    Oct-0883688987263441744949392102172-8.4-3.1-5.91.9-1.4

    Nov-0882519170255591743850048102215-9.8-9.1-6.92.5-3.1

    Dec-088138851824972166544903099174-11.8-8.5-9.7-0.5-5.1

    Jan-0980569195247541742749683101059-8.2-9.3-6.61.2-3.3

    Feb-0980669287245861794050122101935-6.3-10.1-2.21.8-2.3

    Mar-0978858502244351735949722100018-11.8-9.6-7.00.6-4.3

    Apr-097799842524299172344962099578-12.9-11.6-7.5-0.3

    May-0977678383246121730649515-13.9-10.3-7.0-1.7

    china pmi

    (%)

    ()

    Country NameCountry CodeSeries NameSeries CodeYR2005YR2006YR2007YR2008

    AREExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS92.6466217041....

    SingaporeSGPExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS238.4965057373246.1521453857..

    Hong Kong, ChinaHKGExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS198.6950531006205.460357666..

    MalaysiaMYSExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS117.4658432007116.739654541..

    United Arab Emirates

    HungaryHUNExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS65.966964721777.0634460449..

    Czech RepublicCZEExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS72.209938049376.5617904663..

    VietnamVNMExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS69.359077453673.5581436157..

    ThailandTHAExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS73.442924499573.4526596069..

    Saudi ArabiaSAUExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS60.878807067962.5287437439..

    ChinaCHNExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS37.429336547939.9446372986..

    PolandPOLExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS37.084995269840.2910995483..

    Russian FederationRUSExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS35.177616119433.7774085999..

    MexicoMEXExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS27.164072036728.081363678..

    IndiaINDExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS19.853303909322.1757183075..

    BrazilBRAExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS15.128357887314.5934562683..

    2007

    230.9051361084

    207.3155517578

    110.1722946167

    91.3991012573

    80.2579727173

    79.5922317505

    76.7885894775

    73.3281936646

    65.4862060547

    41.871887207

    40.8713645935

    30.4880046844

    28.3098640442

    21.278421402

    13.8713436127

    2007

    2.1.1 World current account balance

    (% of world GDP)

    United StatesJapanChina, People's Rep. ofRussiaMiddle EastRest of developing AsiaOther industrial countriesRest of world

    19800.02-0.100.000.000.76-0.16-0.35-0.64(0.42)(0.03)

    19810.050.040.020.000.59-0.19-0.25-0.84(0.16)(0.42)

    1982-0.050.060.050.000.26-0.20-0.11-0.79(0.10)(0.68)

    1983-0.350.190.040.00-0.07-0.170.00-0.29(0.16)(0.49)

    1984-0.820.300.020.00-0.05-0.040.01-0.09(0.50)(0.17)

    1985-0.990.43-0.100.00-0.000.020.04-0.10(0.52)(0.17)

    1986-1.050.61-0.050.00-0.080.110.19-0.30(0.24)(0.33)

    1987-0.990.520.000.00-0.030.160.07-0.18(0.40)(0.05)

    1988-0.670.44-0.020.00-0.030.11-0.07-0.18(0.30)(0.12)

    1989-0.520.33-0.020.000.000.06-0.15-0.21(0.34)(0.17)

    1990-0.370.210.060.000.03-0.03-0.21-0.19(0.38)(0.14)

    19910.010.310.060.00-0.29-0.04-0.45-0.21(0.14)(0.48)

    1992-0.210.460.03-0.00-0.10-0.01-0.40-0.24(0.14)(0.33)

    1993-0.340.53-0.050.01-0.08-0.01-0.15-0.170.04(0.30)

    1994-0.460.490.030.03-0.02-0.05-0.12-0.14(0.09)(0.15)

    1995-0.380.380.010.020.02-0.13-0.06-0.05(0.07)(0.14)

    1996-0.410.220.020.040.06-0.160.13-0.05(0.07)(0.09)

    1997-0.460.320.12-0.000.04-0.080.17-0.110.03(0.03)

    1998-0.710.400.110.00-0.080.260.10-0.36(0.22)(0.07)

    1999-0.960.370.050.080.050.25-0.02-0.21(0.62)0.22

    2000-1.310.370.060.150.220.19-0.11-0.13(1.04)0.49

    2001-1.210.280.050.110.130.210.04-0.11(0.89)0.39

    2002-1.400.340.110.090.090.260.11-0.01(0.95)0.53

    2003-1.410.370.120.100.160.320.070.10(0.98)0.80

    2004-1.500.410.160.140.230.250.240.07(0.84)0.86

    2005-1.620.370.360.190.450.180.140.04(1.11)1.22

    2006-1.620.350.510.190.520.260.100.02(1.17)1.50

    2007-1.340.390.680.140.470.280.14-0.28(0.81)1.29

    2008-1.050.250.710.160.710.250.07-0.45(0.73)1.37

    2009-0.720.170.66-0.050.580.170.04-0.56(0.51)0.80

    2010-0.850.120.650.050.570.210.07-0.57(0.66)0.90

    Asian Development Outlook 2009

    (%)

    2002200320042005200620072008

    2.8373.624.934.455.1015.1533.203-1.42.5

    1.631.9173.1842.583.0112.7060.8-3.80.6

    4.7846.2597.5237.1257.9578.33561.54.7

    International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2009

    Real Output Growth of Developing Economies vs Advanced Economies

    Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Update, July 2009

    (%)

    19800.9767.9110.21-1.4889.7097.364

    19811.785.2599.246.1639.7346.243

    19820.149.0152.797.3257.1253.475

    19832.89410.8955.79810.7758.5158.32

    19844.65915.1710.9648.1028.33510.714

    19853.69113.4720.7156.802-1.4435.024

    19863.3068.86111.03610.6192.12211.49

    19873.56511.57213.40611.1049.82912.659

    19884.67111.2678.44510.64111.4738.043

    19893.974.0722.2226.74410.0128.453

    19902.9973.8323.8999.1559.2185.696

    19911.3289.25.6959.3936.5557.582

    19922.14214.1996.0935.8766.3397.846

    19931.40614.0046.0436.13411.7336.897

    19943.42913.0976.0138.53711.5677.391

    19952.86110.9292.2939.1698.1556.488

    19962.9719.9974.1936.9997.796.296

    19973.4539.2995.0564.6518.3416.592

    19982.5457.798-6.026-6.854-1.3774.548

    19993.57.62.5569.4867.2025.748

    20003.9668.4037.9518.48610.065.767

    20011.2458.3080.4973.973-2.374-2.171

    20021.639.1041.8417.154.1074.637

    20031.91710.0033.0062.8033.7713.5

    20043.18410.1058.4674.6199.2996.153

    20052.5810.4037.0823.9577.3074.161

    20063.01111.6067.025.1798.3524.799

    20072.7136.355.1067.7665.703

    20080.892.4772.2241.1490.123

    2009-3.87.5-4.474-3-9.994-7.463

    20100.68.50.5162.5-0.1140.013

    (%)

    (3)(3)GDP()()

    Jan-039.432.29

    Feb-039.231.79

    Mar-039.333.4410.827.8GDP, Exports, Retail Sales and Investment Growth in China

    Apr-038.532.17

    May-037.034.92

    Jun-036.734.227.932.6

    Jul-037.433.21

    Aug-039.329.96

    Sep-039.729.689.629.7

    Oct-039.931.69

    Nov-039.833.83

    Dec-0310.340.499.920.6

    Jan-0410.835.18

    Feb-0410.736.85

    Mar-0410.733.9710.443.0

    Apr-0411.137.86

    May-0414.035.82

    Jun-0415.037.219.622.2

    Jul-0415.037.6Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

    Aug-0413.438.99

    Sep-0413.434.629.126.5

    Oct-0413.832.78

    Nov-0414.035.81

    Dec-0414.235.589.522.5

    Jan-0513.339.76

    Feb-0513.934.78

    Mar-0513.734.8110.522.8

    Apr-0514.031.66

    May-0513.031.61

    Jun-0512.630.8610.126.8

    Jul-0512.829.78

    Aug-0512.730.77

    Sep-0512.629.19.827.1

    Oct-0512.729.41

    Nov-059.724.36

    Dec-0511.921.689.925.0

    Jan-0612.821.26

    Feb-0614.722.57

    Mar-0612.826.5711.427.7

    Apr-0612.124.97

    May-0613.825.68

    Jun-0613.92411.530.9

    Jul-0613.923.58

    Aug-0613.826.26

    Sep-0613.828.6910.623.9

    Oct-0614.030.92

    Nov-0614.130.95

    Dec-0614.428.8910.418.0

    Jan-0713.829.94

    Feb-0714.734.99

    Mar-0714.927.911.723.7

    Apr-0715.925.94

    May-0715.620.7

    Jun-0715.827.5612.627.0

    Jul-0716.130.04

    Aug-0716.527.8

    Sep-0716.826.211.525.4

    Oct-0717.422.5507490782

    Nov-0718.022.5159721214

    Dec-0719.122.17960158911.323.0

    Jan-0820.123.527049468

    Feb-0820.218.451472441

    Mar-0820.621.204193669910.624.6

    Apr-0820.919.6677331834

    May-0821.726.56

    Jun-0822.222.2110.127.1

    Jul-0822.623.96

    Aug-0823.221.74

    Sep-0823.223.07928.1

    Oct-0822.775078097920.58

    Nov-0812.51

    (%)

    (%)

    (3)

    (3)

    GDP()

    ()

    (%)

    13.0

    14.0

    13.0

    12.0

    10.6

    10.1

    9.0

    6.8

    6.1

    2.5

    2.2

    2.6

    3.1

    4.2

    3.1

    2.1

    2.4

    2.4

    2.7

    1.3

    0.4

    1.5

    25.323.0

    26.723.8

    26.423.1

    25.821.9

    25.917.3

    26.816.9

    27.617.3

    26.117.2

    28.629.8

    3 200814.8

    414.7

    514.9

    614.1

    714.6

    814.3

    914.5

    1014.6

    1116

    1218.8

    1 200921.3

    224.2

    329.8

    429.7

    Apr-0859.2

    May-0853.3

    Jun-0852.0

    Jul-0848.4

    Aug-0848.4

    Sep-0851.2

    Oct-0844.6

    Nov-0838.8

    Dec-0841.2

    Jan-0945.3

    Feb-0949.0

    Mar-0952.4

    Apr-0953.5

    May-0953.1

    Jun-0953.2

    13

    14

    13

    12

    10.6

    10.1

    9

    6.8

    6.1

    %

    2.5

    2.2

    2.6

    3.1

    4.2

    3.1

    2.1

    2.4

    2.4

    2.7

    1.3

    0.4

    1.5

    %

    25.323

    26.723.8

    26.423.1

    25.821.9

    25.917.3

    26.816.9

    27.617.3

    26.117.2

    28.629.8

    %

    14.8

    14.7

    14.9

    14.1

    14.6

    14.3

    14.5

    14.6

    16

    18.8

    21.3

    24.2

    29.8

    29.7

    %

  • 20092010*

    Chart15

    10.721521.4408791025

    4.92254.2634896965

    5.71650.4736622429

    12.99922.5536625552

    -0.386517.6054989213

    3.678518.7269051576

    6.289527.2928572019

    10.95436.7778250245

    7.545534.5218909597

    9.28428.2215104934

    6.631523.2015413916

    3.20413.3094642263

    -12.22009

    12010

    (%)

    ()

    Growth&Trade

    GDP

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19801.99182.3951

    19812.17152.686

    19820.8855-0.9336

    19832.81212.0257

    19844.62188.3863

    19853.64323.1281

    19863.47333.8299

    19873.69366.3261

    19884.50357.9748

    19893.71568.0803

    19902.94376.2952

    19911.45694.3623

    19922.02744.6295

    19932.00883.6828

    19943.37499.1599

    19953.29369.4409

    19963.72577.1149

    19974.028910.257

    19982.53014.6065

    19993.53365.785

    20004.671312.1693

    20012.22160.268

    20022.80943.5396

    20033.59815.3769

    20044.940910.6893

    20054.42877.6252

    20065.01879.1817

    20074.93996.7754

    20083.7345.5719

    20093.7665.8133

    111

    NGDP_RPCHTMG_RPCHTXG_RPCH

    WorldWorldWorld

    Gross domestic product, constant pricesImport volume of goodsExport volume of goods

    Annual percent changeAnnual percent changeAnnual percent change

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19802.016n/an/a2.3951

    19812.2191.5913.4472.519

    19820.883-0.919-2.046-1.4825

    19832.8032.2632.6532.458

    19844.5949.538.669.095

    19853.6443.8553.0043.4295

    19863.4844.9144.034.472

    19873.6926.7315.7666.2485

    19884.4879.2078.8849.0455

    19893.7247.2156.4636.839

    19902.9416.0465.8465.946

    19911.4733.5445.14.322

    19922.0265.555.2065.378

    19932.0143.9184.6954.3065

    19943.38110.339.8510.09

    19953.27610.1519.96810.0595

    19963.7377.1096.3176.713

    19974.03810.28211.16110.7215

    19982.5395.0644.7814.9225

    19993.5236.4944.9395.7165

    20004.70912.99413.00412.999

    20012.196-0.336-0.437-0.3865

    20022.8373.8163.5413.6785

    20033.626.5686.0116.2895

    20044.9311.45810.4510.954

    20054.457.9257.1667.5455

    20065.1019.1999.3699.284

    20075.16.8126.4516.6315

    20083.13.3163.0923.204

    2009-1.4-11.403-11.69-12.2

    20102.50.8260.671

    Growth&Trade

    (%)

    GDP

    Growth&Trade (china)

    (%)

    GDP

    export by market

    ()

    19709.8033

    19715.5443

    19727.808

    197311.798

    19746.0987

    1975-2.6571

    19769.8806

    19775.5349

    19785.3803

    19796.9774

    19802.3951

    19812.519

    1982-1.4825

    19832.458

    19849.095

    19853.4295

    19864.472

    19876.2485

    19889.0455

    19896.839

    19905.946

    19914.322

    19925.378

    19934.3065

    199410.09

    199510.0595

    19966.713

    199710.721521.4408791025

    19984.92254.2634896965

    19995.71650.4736622429

    200012.99922.5536625552

    2001-0.386517.6054989213

    20023.678518.7269051576

    20036.289527.2928572019

    200410.95436.7778250245

    20057.545534.5218909597

    20069.28428.2215104934

    20076.631523.2015413916

    20083.20413.3094642263

    2009-12.2

    20101

    20117.1304

    20127.3387

    20137.4157

    export by market

    (%)

    ()

    difficulties

    200520062007Jan-Oct 2008

    TOTAL2,824,151100.0782,9801006.2798,5271002874,9001009.6907,5781007.4

    386,36513.7201,36925.711.2206,42425.92.5230,47926.311.7241,39426.68.1WORLD907,578100

    359,25512.7255,14532.62253,24931.7-0.7258,91429.62.2246,04927.1-3USA246,04927.1

    *1,370,44548.594,64212.15.9105,20513.211.2126,18814.419.9133,06414.712.4CHINA133,06414.7

    120,9524.365,1768.35.159,9767.5-858,4826.7-2.557,1276.3-2.7JAPAN57,1276.3

    179,1886.330,8363.91.332,0494.03.936,6734.214.438,8524.310.3E.U.241,39426.6

    186,9186.641,2875.314.240,9095.1-0.952,8426.029.268,9867.642.0ASEAN38,8524.3

    221,0287.894,52512.17.0100,71512.66.5111,32212.710.5122,10613.512.5REST OF ASIA68,9867.6

    REST OF WORLD122,10613.5

    WORLD2,824,151

    CHINA1,370,445

    USA359,255

    JAPAN120,952

    E.U.386,365

    ASEAN179,188

    REST OF ASIA186,918

    REST OF WORLD221,028

    difficulties

    (%)

    *

    US consumer confidence

    EU consumer confidence

    Jan-Oct 2008

    japan consumer confidence

    Q2

    FrequencyQ2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    1223166926528189134

    2128111106112159110101141

    3254268246169223275138160

    49270812744865417

    Subtotal - with difficulty level496480499400491499482452

    94201100911848

    Total500500500500500500500500

    Mean (W.A.)2.8392.7852.6852.3282.5012.8402.1182.133

    PercentageQ2gQ2dQ2hQ2eQ2cQ2bQ2fQ2a

    Description()

    137.818.426.81313.26.25.64.4

    220.222.428.231.821.222.22225.6

    327.633.83244.649.253.65550.8

    410.85.43.48.816.21417.218.4

    Subtotal - with difficulty level96.48090.498.299.89699.899.2

    Subtotal - 58.661.663.685.286.689.894.294.8

    93.6209.61.80.240.20.8

    Total100100100100100100100100

    Percentage (with difficulty level)Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    14.46.513.223.013.25.639.229.6

    225.823.121.228.032.422.021.031.2

    351.255.849.342.345.455.128.635.4

    418.514.616.26.89.017.211.23.8

    Total100100100100100100100100

    n496480499400491499482452

    Percentage ()Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    227.024.724.536.437.323.434.544.3

    353.659.756.854.952.358.447.150.3

    419.415.618.78.810.318.318.45.3

    Total100100100100100100100100

    474449433308426471293318

    Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    ()

    4.46.213.218.4135.637.826.8

    25.622.221.222.431.82220.228.2

    50.853.649.233.844.65527.632

    18.41416.25.48.817.210.83.4

    99.29699.88098.299.896.490.4

    94.889.886.661.685.294.258.663.6

    0.840.2201.80.23.69.6

    japan consumer confidence

    n=500

    (%)

    Retail Sales

    (%)

    exports GDP

    CA

    2005-01103.00

    2005-02104.00

    2005-03102.00

    2005-0498.00

    2005-05103.10

    2005-06106.00

    2005-07103.60

    2005-08105.50

    2005-0987.50

    2005-1085.00

    2005-1199.00

    2005-12103.00

    2006-01106.00

    2006-02102.00

    2006-03107.00

    2006-04109.80

    2006-05104.70

    2006-06105.00

    2006-07106.00

    2006-0899.60

    2006-09105.00

    2006-10105.00

    2006-11102.00

    2006-12109.00

    2007-01110.00

    2007-02112.00

    2007-03107.00

    2007-04106.00

    2007-05108.00

    2007-06105.30

    2007-07112.00

    2007-08105.60

    2007-0999.50

    2007-1095.20

    2007-1187.80

    2007-1290.60

    2008-0187.90

    2008-0275.00

    2008-0364.50

    2008-0462.30

    2008-0558.10

    2008-0651.00

    2008-0751.90

    2008-0858.50

    2008-0959.80

    2008-1038.00

    2008-1144.90

    2008-1238.60

    2009-0137.40

    2009-0225.00

    2009-0326.90

    2009-0440.80

    2009-0554.80

    2009-0649.30

    2009-07

    CA

    (1985=100)

    GDP

    EU.TOT.99.BS.M

    Jan-85-16.0

    Feb-85-18

    Mar-85-17

    Apr-85-16

    May-85-16

    Jun-85-16

    Jul-85-16

    Aug-85-16

    Sep-85-15

    Oct-85-13

    Nov-85-13

    Dec-85-12

    Jan-86-11

    Feb-86-11

    Mar-86-9

    Apr-86-8

    May-86-8

    Jun-86-9

    Jul-86-9

    Aug-86-10

    Sep-86-9

    Oct-86-9

    Nov-86-8

    Dec-86-9

    Jan-87-10

    Feb-87-10

    Mar-87-10

    Apr-87-9

    May-87-10

    Jun-87-9

    Jul-87-9

    Aug-87-10

    Sep-87-9

    Oct-87-10

    Nov-87-11

    Dec-87-11

    Jan-88-11

    Feb-88-11

    Mar-88-10

    Apr-88-9

    May-88-8

    Jun-88-8

    Jul-88-8

    Aug-88-8

    Sep-88-8

    Oct-88-7

    Nov-88-6

    Dec-88-7

    Jan-89-6

    Feb-89-7

    Mar-89-8

    Apr-89-7

    May-89-6

    Jun-89-6

    Jul-89-5

    Aug-89-6

    Sep-89-6

    Oct-89-8

    Nov-89-9

    Dec-89-7

    Jan-90-7

    Feb-90-9

    Mar-90-10

    Apr-90-8

    May-90-8

    Jun-90-8

    Jul-90-7

    Aug-90-9

    Sep-90-15

    Oct-90-14

    Nov-90-15

    Dec-90-13

    Jan-91-18

    Feb-91-19

    Mar-91-13

    Apr-91-14

    May-91-14

    Jun-91-15

    Jul-91-17

    Aug-91-17

    Sep-91-14

    Oct-91-14

    Nov-91-15

    Dec-91-16

    Jan-92-16

    Feb-92-15

    Mar-92-15

    Apr-92-15

    May-92-15

    Jun-92-17

    Jul-92-18

    Aug-92-20

    Sep-92-22

    Oct-92-25

    Nov-92-26

    Dec-92-27

    Jan-93-26

    Feb-93-27

    Mar-93-28

    Apr-93-25

    May-93-23

    Jun-93-25

    Jul-93-26

    Aug-93-25

    Sep-93-24

    Oct-93-25

    Nov-93-26

    Dec-93-25

    Jan-94-22

    Feb-94-21

    Mar-94-20

    Apr-94-18

    May-94-14

    Jun-94-11

    Jul-94-11

    Aug-94-10

    Sep-94-8

    Oct-94-8

    Nov-94-8

    Dec-94-10

    Jan-95-8

    Feb-95-9

    Mar-95-9

    Apr-95-9

    May-95-8

    Jun-95-6

    Jul-95-7

    Aug-95-7

    Sep-95-10

    Oct-95-10

    Nov-95-11

    Dec-95-12

    Jan-96-13

    Feb-96-14

    Mar-96-14

    Apr-96-15

    May-96-14

    Jun-96-14

    Jul-96-15

    Aug-96-14

    Sep-96-14

    Oct-96-14

    Nov-96-14

    Dec-96-14

    Jan-97-12

    Feb-97-13

    Mar-97-13

    Apr-97-12

    May-97-10

    Jun-97-9

    Jul-97-8

    Aug-97-8

    Sep-97-6

    Oct-97-6

    Nov-97-7

    Dec-97-6

    Jan-98-6

    Feb-98-6

    Mar-98-4

    Apr-98-3

    May-98-2

    Jun-98-3

    Jul-98-2

    Aug-98-5

    Sep-98-4

    Oct-98-5

    Nov-98-3

    Dec-98-4

    Jan-99-3

    Feb-99-2

    Mar-99-3

    Apr-99-5

    May-99-4

    Jun-99-4

    Jul-99-4

    Aug-99-3

    Sep-99-3

    Oct-99-2

    Nov-99-2

    Dec-99-0

    Jan-001

    Feb-000

    Mar-000

    Apr-001

    May-001

    Jun-001

    Jul-001

    Aug-002

    Sep-00-2

    Oct-00-0

    Nov-000

    Dec-001

    Jan-011

    Feb-01-1

    Mar-010

    Apr-01-1

    May-01-3

    Jun-01-3

    Jul-01-5

    Aug-01-9

    Sep-01-9

    Oct-01-12

    Nov-01-12

    Dec-01-11

    Jan-02-10

    Feb-02-9

    Mar-02-8

    Apr-02-8

    May-02-6

    Jun-02-7

    Jul-02-8

    Aug-02-9

    Sep-02-8

    Oct-02-10

    Nov-02-12

    Dec-02-15

    Jan-03-16

    Feb-03-17

    Mar-03-18

    Apr-03-16

    May-03-16

    Jun-03-15

    Jul-03-15

    Aug-03-14

    Sep-03-14

    Oct-03-14

    Nov-03-14

    Dec-03-14

    Jan-04-12

    Feb-04-12

    Mar-04-12

    Apr-04-11

    May-04-12

    Jun-04-11

    Jul-04-11

    Aug-04-11

    Sep-04-11

    Oct-04-11

    Nov-04-11

    Dec-04-11

    Jan-05-10

    Feb-05-10

    Mar-05-10

    Apr-05-10

    May-05-11

    Jun-05-11

    Jul-05-12

    Aug-05-11

    Sep-05-11

    Oct-05-11

    Nov-05-11

    Dec-05-9

    Jan-06-8

    Feb-06-8

    Mar-06-9

    Apr-06-8

    May-06-7

    Jun-06-7

    Jul-06-7

    Aug-06-8

    Sep-06-7

    Oct-06-7

    Nov-06-7

    Dec-06-6

    Jan-07-6

    Feb-07-5

    Mar-07-4

    Apr-07-4

    May-07-1

    Jun-07-1

    Jul-07-1

    Aug-07-3

    Sep-07-5

    Oct-07-5

    Nov-07-7

    Dec-07-8

    index

    Jan-08-10

    Feb-08-11

    Mar-08-11

    Apr-08-12

    May-08-13

    Jun-08-16

    Jul-08-20

    Aug-08-19

    Sep-08-19

    Oct-08-24

    Nov-08-26

    Dec-08-29

    Jan-09-31

    Feb-09-32

    Mar-09-32

    Apr-09-28

    May-09-26

    Jun-09-23

    GDP

    index

    china gdp

    The Development of the Consumer Confidence Index

    (excluding one-person households,original series)

    ConsumerOverallIncome growthEmploymentWillingness

    Confidencelivelihoodto buy

    Indexdurable goods

    1982.Jun43.744.048.338.044.6

    Sep42.544.247.933.744.3

    Dec41.542.546.532.944.2

    1983.Mar42.943.447.734.945.7

    Jun45.045.447.939.946.7

    Sep46.146.149.041.947.4

    Dec46.246.249.142.047.3

    1984.Mar46.646.449.743.047.3

    Jun47.147.249.343.948.0

    Sep48.447.950.047.248.3

    Dec47.847.250.045.348.8

    1985.Mar48.047.750.245.648.6

    Jun47.847.849.345.149.0

    Sep48.948.550.247.749.3

    Dec47.347.549.743.148.7

    1986.Mar46.346.348.841.248.9

    Jun45.546.048.239.148.8

    Sep44.645.347.636.948.6

    Dec42.043.046.132.047.0

    1987.Mar40.541.945.828.645.6

    Jun44.245.747.634.848.8

    Sep47.847.949.843.250.2

    Dec48.248.149.644.550.5

    1988.Mar49.448.250.347.651.4

    Jun49.848.850.249.450.6

    Sep50.648.850.552.650.6

    Dec50.549.051.051.250.8

    1989.Mar48.245.151.051.145.6

    Jun47.745.049.950.545.5

    Sep49.847.250.653.847.6

    Dec50.448.150.753.649.0

    1990.Mar49.547.551.851.946.9

    Jun50.348.651.552.948.1

    Sep49.247.051.452.445.8

    Dec48.446.851.149.546.2

    1991.Mar49.448.151.850.447.4

    Jun49.448.851.448.848.4

    Sep48.548.050.147.248.7

    Dec45.445.749.241.245.4

    1992.Mar44.744.849.439.145.6

    Jun44.646.348.736.846.4

    Sep41.945.046.730.844.9

    Dec39.342.344.827.143.1

    1993.Mar38.542.345.223.542.8

    Jun43.245.746.733.147.1

    Sep39.943.044.527.045.2

    Dec35.739.041.919.742.0

    1994.Mar40.441.644.730.644.7

    Jun43.745.546.234.348.7

    Sep45.746.947.237.950.9

    Dec46.247.247.638.851.0

    1995.Mar44.245.947.234.049.5

    Jun42.845.446.030.749.0

    Sep42.144.845.130.248.1

    Dec43.344.945.433.649.1

    1996.Mar44.545.746.736.649.1

    Jun46.946.847.043.450.3

    Sep45.645.746.442.747.7

    Dec43.044.145.839.542.7

    1997.Mar38.039.344.636.831.4

    Jun42.742.845.039.543.3

    Sep42.843.045.138.045.1

    Dec35.938.441.223.240.6

    1998.Mar37.139.842.124.741.6

    Jun36.339.841.023.341.2

    Sep34.839.139.620.839.7

    Dec35.638.338.223.542.2

    1999.Mar38.941.540.628.145.5

    Jun39.542.341.029.045.8

    Sep40.342.941.630.945.9

    Dec40.242.240.931.846.0

    2000.Mar42.143.342.534.947.5

    Jun43.844.142.540.148.4

    Sep43.844.342.840.247.9

    Dec42.142.741.136.747.8

    2001.Mar38.840.940.730.343.1

    Jun40.041.941.232.044.9

    Sep34.438.137.720.041.6

    Dec33.036.735.319.040.9

    2002.Mar36.238.537.425.443.5

    Jun39.040.538.831.744.9

    Sep37.539.737.828.444.1

    Dec35.337.435.425.442.8

    2003.Mar34.736.635.824.841.6

    Jun36.938.436.429.543.2

    Sep39.940.838.435.844.7

    Dec39.236.635.944.9

    Mar-0442.742.440.141.347.1

    Apr-0445.444.442.146.448.5

    May-0448.347.145.949.650.7

    Jun-0444.943.641.945.648.3

    Jul-0448.747.146.050.251.6

    Aug-0449.247.546.650.751.9

    Sep-0446.145.143.346.949.2

    Oct-0447.746.646.148.250.0

    Nov-0448.046.446.249.150.1

    Dec-0444.043.041.844.047.3

    Jan-0547.446.245.747.949.7

    Feb-0547.646.445.748.649.7

    Mar-0545.243.642.146.548.4

    Apr-0547.446.045.648.849.2

    May-0548.347.046.549.650.0

    Jun-0546.645.243.348.349.7

    Jul-0548.146.945.749.750.2

    Aug-0548.446.945.950.450.4

    Sep-0545.544.243.047.447.5

    Oct-0547.946.345.949.949.4

    Nov-0548.246.345.750.849.8

    Dec-0546.544.242.849.349.8

    Jan-0649.546.946.053.551.4

    Feb-0649.846.746.254.951.4

    Mar-0647.945.143.552.950.0

    Apr-0650.047.046.255.251.6

    May-0649.846.746.354.951.2

    Jun-0647.244.843.351.748.8

    Jul-0648.645.845.352.750.4

    Aug-0647.644.944.852.148.7

    Sep-0646.343.742.950.947.7

    Oct-0648.245.644.952.449.8

    Nov-0648.746.045.253.050.5

    Dec-0645.943.542.149.048.9

    Jan-0748.145.844.751.850.2

    Feb-0748.445.744.952.750.1

    Mar-0746.843.942.951.448.9

    Apr-0747.444.943.651.749.4

    May-0747.345.043.951.249.0

    Jun-0745.042.442.249.046.4

    Jul-0744.442.341.947.546.0

    Aug-0744.041.942.447.044.7

    Sep-0744.142.242.446.445.5

    Oct-0742.841.042.245.342.8

    Nov-0739.837.040.743.138.4

    Dec-0738.034.939.640.637.0

    Jan-0837.535.139.438.636.7

    Feb-0836.133.738.937.034.8

    Mar-0836.734.438.737.636.2

    Apr-0835.233.037.536.034.2

    May-0833.931.536.634.932.7

    Jun-0832.630.336.532.830.9

    Jul-0831.429.336.330.729.2

    Aug-0830.128.535.028.428.3

    Sep-0831.430.635.828.930.3

    Oct-0829.429.634.524.828.8

    Nov-0828.429.433.421.129.6

    Dec-0826.228.531.515.429.4

    Jan-0926.429.231.414.230.6

    Feb-0926.729.431.114.931.4

    Mar-0928.931.132.018.334.2

    Apr-0932.433.833.423.339.0

    May-0935.736.335.328.043.1

    china gdp

    Dec

    china

    china pmi

    Furniture and home furnishingElectronics and appliancesBuilding materials, garden equip. and supplies dealersClothing and clothing access. storesGeneral merchandise storesTotal(%, y-y)()Total

    Jan-92427633841087997461984843857

    Feb-92434433901092896962021344227

    Mar-92432834411101697262023044413

    Apr-92437135111076998432018044303

    May-92433635371081397952027744422

    Jun-92440835761081299712030544664

    Jul-92438636371082499462012644533

    Aug-924365355610928101402059445218

    Sep-924350360111026102062073945572

    Oct-924331364811000101712084545664

    Nov-924382363710885100352111945676

    Dec-924448368011000103592180246841

    Jan-9346273768113771065221389471869.64.69.37.87.6

    Feb-9345283785114431013721397467627.54.74.55.95.7

    Mar-934454384311193995621343463356.81.62.45.54.3

    Apr-9345843912114571027321651472937.86.44.47.36.7

    May-9346423933117201038921940479828.98.46.18.28.0

    Jun-9346164030117181046021949481578.38.44.98.17.8

    Jul-93465741841182210595222944889510.29.26.510.89.8

    Aug-93465141731191310445223234885411.49.03.08.48.0

    Sep-93465642251180610536224434901011.77.13.28.27.5

    Oct-93467441901195010482226624928411.18.63.18.77.9

    Nov-93471542411231810500228414990011.713.24.68.29.2

    Dec-93470742881247910463229305016010.713.41.05.27.1

    Jan-9445614323123111044322785498625.88.2-2.06.55.7

    Feb-94482744241226610586230765035211.37.24.47.87.7

    Mar-94491144981282210750234595152913.414.68.09.911.2

    Apr-94491845331310010672234335173811.214.33.98.29.4

    May-94499046001307610479232085136311.811.60.95.87.0

    Jun-94503447581304110587235985198413.311.31.27.57.9

    Jul-94505347361318410713236275226010.711.51.16.06.9

    Aug-94516748341323610855239065283113.311.13.97.18.1

    Sep-94519449001342110695240155303113.713.71.57.08.2

    Oct-94524850481354911002243215392016.213.45.07.39.4

    Nov-94522451581344211038243935403115.99.15.16.88.3

    Dec-94525652031385910985246165466316.311.15.07.49.0

    Jan-95525452461377410928249275487518.211.94.69.410.1

    Feb-95515652401364810593241265360712.411.30.14.66.5

    Mar-95514152591360910874245835432510.56.11.24.85.4

    Apr-9551875159134591080524732541559.52.71.25.54.7

    May-95522253741338210996248625461410.52.34.97.16.3

    Jun-9552435455136121095725184552089.34.43.56.76.2

    Jul-9553185324136451083725380551868.73.51.27.45.6

    Aug-9553265475137371081825146551768.03.8-0.35.24.4

    Sep-9553915504138601126125526561517.93.35.36.35.9

    Oct-9554295560139671088225154555636.73.1-1.13.43.0

    Nov-9555515594141271128425375563807.35.12.24.04.3

    Dec-9554425683145931116725548569916.45.31.73.84.3

    Jan-9652905581140321110225207559223.51.91.61.11.9

    Feb-9654335562140881135525620566255.83.27.26.25.6

    Mar-9655605677142021142525606569108.04.45.14.24.8

    Apr-9655995751143531145226161577179.76.66.05.86.6

    May-9656085756144971150626177579367.28.34.65.36.1

    Jun-9656665720149731140826081581826.410.04.13.65.4

    Jul-9656975639148371133226262580706.58.74.63.55.2

    Aug-9656725729150041140226531586665.69.25.45.56.3

    Sep-9657665873149891152426520589066.88.12.33.94.9

    Oct-9657915827150981158426908594175.78.16.57.06.9

    Nov-9657845682152891137026833591742.98.20.85.75.0

    Dec-9657695640149211144627039590462.62.22.55.83.6

    Jan-9758265532152101151727170594294.58.43.77.86.3

    Feb-9759095732155881149827233600515.910.61.36.36.1

    Mar-9759195723158761159227345605363.611.81.56.86.4

    Apr-9759725850157641128127149600444.29.8-1.53.84.0

    May-9760185766158451145627362604293.79.3-0.44.54.3

    Jun-9760365836159581164227401608374.36.62.15.14.6

    Jul-9760465934160471175227972617055.78.23.76.56.3

    Aug-9761545937160761186928017618996.17.14.15.65.5

    Sep-9761855944162761187227857619494.28.63.05.05.2

    Oct-9761855926162501188728150622134.27.62.64.64.7

    Nov-9762656003161871195028152622927.05.95.14.95.3

    Dec-9763066037162651213928010624518.29.06.13.65.8

    Jan-9863596100163981219728490631859.77.85.94.96.3

    Feb-9863696130164781222628733635677.45.76.35.55.9

    Mar-9863526106165571222528736636247.04.35.55.15.1

    Apr-9863836054167341244529099643325.26.210.37.27.1

    May-9863656065168001234529093643035.56.07.86.36.4

    Jun-9864326235167081249229243646786.74.77.36.76.3

    Jul-9864556299168551256929092648156.55.07.04.05.0

    Aug-9864456407168151248229209649136.34.65.24.34.9

    Sep-9864646278170161220129616651115.14.52.86.35.1

    Oct-9865256275172291259429759658575.76.05.95.75.9

    Nov-9866806344173641272330066664976.27.36.56.86.8

    Dec-9867336334177281273530096668935.99.04.97.47.1

    Jan-9965916333177011293630725676953.77.96.17.87.1

    Feb-9967816340179941292431017682755.09.25.77.97.4

    Mar-9968376440178241308831405687576.67.77.19.38.1

    Apr-9968136448178551319331015685116.66.76.06.66.5

    May-9968906542179741340531223691448.17.08.67.37.5

    Jun-9969976592180781341131624697057.38.27.48.17.8

    Jul-9969326688182351333831607698686.88.26.18.67.8

    Aug-9971706636183541340731795701927.49.27.48.98.1

    Sep-99735067281817513359321167037810.56.89.58.48.1

    Oct-9973086694185921345532066708079.47.96.87.87.5

    Nov-9972986591189161347132240712186.68.95.97.27.1

    Dec-9973066809190601355233049724708.07.56.49.88.3

    Jan-00744769271939013295323027191411.29.52.85.16.2

    Feb-00755369651916713579325807229110.66.55.15.05.9

    Mar-0076206937201911388133025740349.613.36.15.27.7

    Apr-00771170151893713810328647262611.06.14.76.06.0

    May-0076876903189521405133435733418.65.44.87.16.1

    Jun-0076376751188981387133400729205.94.53.45.64.6

    Jul-0077056751189471376133590730496.13.93.26.34.6

    Aug-0077086825189811408333821737105.33.45.06.45.0

    Sep-0077026929189741444934191745433.94.48.26.55.9

    Oct-0077346784190461424534266743413.72.45.96.95.0

    Nov-0076136698189001429334385742763.0-0.16.16.74.3

    Dec-007185666819613141113475675148-1.92.94.15.23.7

    Jan-0177596675194671412135679759420.40.46.210.55.6

    Feb-017615661219894142043460375313-2.03.84.66.24.2

    Mar-017571657719689138933419374352-2.8-2.50.13.50.4

    Apr-017565650120338141783530776324-4.57.42.77.45.1

    May-017574648820384140043522376099-3.67.6-0.35.33.8

    Jun-017629658220162138513512775722-1.26.7-0.15.23.8

    Jul-017672665320051140093573176444-0.95.81.86.44.6

    Aug-017650666519920141663585176602-1.54.90.66.03.9

    Sep-017452651919562133073582575213-4.53.1-7.94.80.9

    Oct-017551670019936139533621276801-1.84.7-2.05.73.3

    Nov-0177206944198921397836681774952.55.2-2.26.74.3

    Dec-0178647069197531416237098780827.80.70.46.73.9

    Jan-0278546940203071423436838783192.54.30.83.23.1

    Feb-0279427017205521437536997789415.13.31.26.94.8

    Mar-0279367007203181446737140789325.63.24.18.66.2

    Apr-0278916999210841444237457799825.93.71.96.14.8

    May-0279667040208021424637082791706.72.11.75.34.0

    Jun-0278327057207781437637424796354.83.13.86.55.2

    Jul-0277456956207451423737139790772.63.51.63.93.4

    Aug-0278496903208151436737224793093.14.51.43.83.5

    Sep-0278396960208881397537086789095.96.85.03.54.9

    Oct-0278166989207431464437823801993.94.05.04.44.4

    Nov-0279856925210491449137732801971.75.83.72.93.5

    Dec-0279687051204711475437732800080.63.64.21.72.5

    Jan-037854687021350145833772380526-0.55.12.52.42.8

    Feb-037544677320189141513806179174-4.3-1.8-1.62.90.3

    Mar-037905679921337144703838980995-1.65.00.03.42.6

    Apr-037946688521137144363824080698-0.40.3-0.02.10.9

    May-0381107093213421466338530816281.32.62.93.93.1

    Jun-0381497159221051489938839830022.86.43.63.84.2

    Jul-0381767287224981512739420843325.28.56.36.16.6

    Aug-0382127436226831509140001852116.19.05.07.57.4

    Sep-0383077444227931519439975854066.49.18.77.88.2

    Oct-0383447515231261507639629853467.111.53.04.86.4

    Nov-0384497577231241530739903859117.59.95.65.87.1

    Dec-0384287708230081547040096862827.412.44.96.37.8

    Jan-0484137579228271550840509864238.66.96.37.47.3

    Feb-04847676252298215651405348679212.513.810.66.59.6

    Mar-04871076832534215982411169012311.518.810.47.111.3

    Apr-04864077652493715556406688892610.618.07.86.310.2

    May-0484807834248001569841321896537.316.27.17.29.8

    Jun-0486907912249471553340767891598.512.94.35.07.4

    Jul-0489827914247941562441229895619.310.23.34.66.2

    Aug-0487997923249351563241270897606.99.93.63.25.3

    Sep-0487568010252931577141468905426.411.03.83.76.0

    Oct-0489398012250981605441998911626.98.56.56.06.8

    Nov-0488818042252961604142130915095.69.44.85.66.5

    Dec-0490868078260071616342535927836.413.04.56.17.5

    Jan-0589948152262801618242448930627.215.14.34.87.7

    Feb-0590988378261121669442984941688.513.66.76.08.5

    Mar-0590548358264991631142823939916.24.62.14.24.3

    Apr-0591748353272681676543480958666.89.37.86.97.8

    May-0591278325269741654943268951167.08.85.44.76.1

    Jun-0593068431271961682243948963976.89.08.37.88.1

    Jul-0592598434270181648343734956694.79.05.56.16.8

    Aug-0593718502270921676043943962976.98.77.26.57.3

    Sep-0595518607276451645944073967848.39.34.46.36.9

    Oct-0595478737281921721245011991527.912.37.27.28.8

    Nov-0595878613284271714444890990747.512.46.96.68.3

    Dec-0595608530281411724144686985985.48.26.75.16.3

    Jan-069833913330227173954552210227710.615.07.57.29.9

    Feb-06975488313028717389456451021526.316.04.26.28.5

    Mar-06974189013036517427453801020737.114.66.86.08.6

    Apr-06967488882975317619461111023715.99.15.16.16.8

    May-06962088452862717485455931005505.86.15.75.45.7

    Jun-06979289002818817605456261003195.43.64.73.84.1

    Jul-06966489342804717682456531003165.13.87.34.44.9

    Aug-06969889842813217608458931006174.53.85.14.44.5

    Sep-06990290612768018330466191016904.40.111.45.85.1

    Oct-06968289792791618207466241017262.1-1.05.83.62.6

    Nov-06966592042783517872464861013973.7-2.14.23.62.3

    Dec-06967494622836518433473701036305.80.86.96.05.1

    Jan-07992193462838518538479701042391.6-6.16.65.41.9

    Feb-07975492562829718266473441031632.3-6.65.03.71.0

    Mar-07979791732889218760483411051661.8-4.97.66.53.0

    Apr-07974191462772518227475501026481.8-6.83.53.10.3

    May-07966491642860518559475931039212.0-0.16.14.43.4

    Jun-0795329056278801829547628102859-0.6-1.13.94.42.5

    Jul-07960091682783618439479721034150.9-0.84.35.13.1

    Aug-07961593222763518330481891034761.4-1.84.15.02.8

    Sep-07957093992756418522482211037060.0-0.41.03.42.0

    Oct-07949794452717918545484731036421.5-2.61.94.01.9

    Nov-07949898072812418735488411055072.31.04.85.14.1

    Dec-0793899492272941844149289104516-1.3-3.80.04.10.9

    Jan-0893369464272891865349090104496-2.4-3.90.62.30.2

    Feb-0891369375273631834649227104311-2.6-3.30.44.01.1

    Mar-0891879388270381866049442104528-2.1-6.4-0.52.3-0.6

    Apr-0891479471274731863849746105328-1.4-0.92.34.62.6

    May-0891109641274511860050368106060-0.4-4.00.25.82.1

    Jun-0889189510276371852750250105924-0.9-0.91.35.53.0

    Jul-0889009492276091851250262105875-2.0-0.80.44.82.4

    Aug-0886839309269631851049971104753-5.0-2.41.03.71.2

    Sep-0884659180267391777649596103291-7.0-3.0-4.02.9-0.4

    Oct-0883688987263441744949392102172-8.4-3.1-5.91.9-1.4

    Nov-0882519170255591743850048102215-9.8-9.1-6.92.5-3.1

    Dec-088138851824972166544903099174-11.8-8.5-9.7-0.5-5.1

    Jan-0980569195247541742749683101059-8.2-9.3-6.61.2-3.3

    Feb-0980669287245861794050122101935-6.3-10.1-2.21.8-2.3

    Mar-0978858502244351735949722100018-11.8-9.6-7.00.6-4.3

    Apr-097799842524299172344962099578-12.9-11.6-7.5-0.3

    May-0977678383246121730649515-13.9-10.3-7.0-1.7

    china pmi

    (%)

    ()

    Country NameCountry CodeSeries NameSeries CodeYR2005YR2006YR2007YR2008

    AREExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS92.6466217041....

    SingaporeSGPExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS238.4965057373246.1521453857..

    Hong Kong, ChinaHKGExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS198.6950531006205.460357666..

    MalaysiaMYSExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS117.4658432007116.739654541..

    United Arab Emirates

    HungaryHUNExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS65.966964721777.0634460449..

    Czech RepublicCZEExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS72.209938049376.5617904663..

    VietnamVNMExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS69.359077453673.5581436157..

    ThailandTHAExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS73.442924499573.4526596069..

    Saudi ArabiaSAUExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS60.878807067962.5287437439..

    ChinaCHNExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS37.429336547939.9446372986..

    PolandPOLExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS37.084995269840.2910995483..

    Russian FederationRUSExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS35.177616119433.7774085999..

    MexicoMEXExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS27.164072036728.081363678..

    IndiaINDExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS19.853303909322.1757183075..

    BrazilBRAExports of goods and services (% of GDP)NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS15.128357887314.5934562683..

    2007

    230.9051361084

    207.3155517578

    110.1722946167

    91.3991012573

    80.2579727173

    79.5922317505

    76.7885894775

    73.3281936646

    65.4862060547

    41.871887207

    40.8713645935

    30.4880046844

    28.3098640442

    21.278421402

    13.8713436127

    2007

    2.1.1 World current account balance

    (% of world GDP)

    United StatesJapanChina, People's Rep. ofRussiaMiddle EastRest of developing AsiaOther industrial countriesRest of world

    19800.02-0.100.000.000.76-0.16-0.35-0.64(0.42)(0.03)

    19810.050.040.020.000.59-0.19-0.25-0.84(0.16)(0.42)

    1982-0.050.060.050.000.26-0.20-0.11-0.79(0.10)(0.68)

    1983-0.350.190.040.00-0.07-0.170.00-0.29(0.16)(0.49)

    1984-0.820.300.020.00-0.05-0.040.01-0.09(0.50)(0.17)

    1985-0.990.43-0.100.00-0.000.020.04-0.10(0.52)(0.17)

    1986-1.050.61-0.050.00-0.080.110.19-0.30(0.24)(0.33)

    1987-0.990.520.000.00-0.030.160.07-0.18(0.40)(0.05)

    1988-0.670.44-0.020.00-0.030.11-0.07-0.18(0.30)(0.12)

    1989-0.520.33-0.020.000.000.06-0.15-0.21(0.34)(0.17)

    1990-0.370.210.060.000.03-0.03-0.21-0.19(0.38)(0.14)

    19910.010.310.060.00-0.29-0.04-0.45-0.21(0.14)(0.48)

    1992-0.210.460.03-0.00-0.10-0.01-0.40-0.24(0.14)(0.33)

    1993-0.340.53-0.050.01-0.08-0.01-0.15-0.170.04(0.30)

    1994-0.460.490.030.03-0.02-0.05-0.12-0.14(0.09)(0.15)

    1995-0.380.380.010.020.02-0.13-0.06-0.05(0.07)(0.14)

    1996-0.410.220.020.040.06-0.160.13-0.05(0.07)(0.09)

    1997-0.460.320.12-0.000.04-0.080.17-0.110.03(0.03)

    1998-0.710.400.110.00-0.080.260.10-0.36(0.22)(0.07)

    1999-0.960.370.050.080.050.25-0.02-0.21(0.62)0.22

    2000-1.310.370.060.150.220.19-0.11-0.13(1.04)0.49

    2001-1.210.280.050.110.130.210.04-0.11(0.89)0.39

    2002-1.400.340.110.090.090.260.11-0.01(0.95)0.53

    2003-1.410.370.120.100.160.320.070.10(0.98)0.80

    2004-1.500.410.160.140.230.250.240.07(0.84)0.86

    2005-1.620.370.360.190.450.180.140.04(1.11)1.22

    2006-1.620.350.510.190.520.260.100.02(1.17)1.50

    2007-1.340.390.680.140.470.280.14-0.28(0.81)1.29

    2008-1.050.250.710.160.710.250.07-0.45(0.73)1.37

    2009-0.720.170.66-0.050.580.170.04-0.56(0.51)0.80

    2010-0.850.120.650.050.570.210.07-0.57(0.66)0.90

    Asian Development Outlook 2009

    (%)

    2002200320042005200620072008

    2.8373.624.934.455.1015.1533.203-1.42.5

    1.631.9173.1842.583.0112.7060.8-3.80.6

    4.7846.2597.5237.1257.9578.33561.54.7

    International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2009

    Real Output Growth of Developing Economies vs Advanced Economies

    Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Update, July 2009

    (%)

    19800.9767.9110.21-1.4889.7097.364

    19811.785.2599.246.1639.7346.243

    19820.149.0152.797.3257.1253.475

    19832.89410.8955.79810.7758.5158.32

    19844.65915.1710.9648.1028.33510.714

    19853.69113.4720.7156.802-1.4435.024

    19863.3068.86111.03610.6192.12211.49

    19873.56511.57213.40611.1049.82912.659

    19884.67111.2678.44510.64111.4738.043

    19893.974.0722.2226.74410.0128.453

    19902.9973.8323.8999.1559.2185.696

    19911.3289.25.6959.3936.5557.582

    19922.14214.1996.0935.8766.3397.846

    19931.40614.0046.0436.13411.7336.897

    19943.42913.0976.0138.53711.5677.391

    19952.86110.9292.2939.1698.1556.488

    19962.9719.9974.1936.9997.796.296

    19973.4539.2995.0564.6518.3416.592

    19982.5457.798-6.026-6.854-1.3774.548

    19993.57.62.5569.4867.2025.748

    20003.9668.4037.9518.48610.065.767

    20011.2458.3080.4973.973-2.374-2.171

    20021.639.1041.8417.154.1074.637

    20031.91710.0033.0062.8033.7713.5

    20043.18410.1058.4674.6199.2996.153

    20052.5810.4037.0823.9577.3074.161

    20063.01111.6067.025.1798.3524.799

    20072.7136.355.1067.7665.703

    20080.892.4772.2241.1490.123

    2009-3.87.5-4.474-3-9.994-7.463

    20100.68.50.5162.5-0.1140.013

    (%)

    (3)(3)GDP()()

    Jan-039.432.29

    Feb-039.231.79

    Mar-039.333.4410.827.8GDP, Exports, Retail Sales and Investment Growth in China

    Apr-038.532.17

    May-037.034.92

    Jun-036.734.227.932.6

    Jul-037.433.21

    Aug-039.329.96

    Sep-039.729.689.629.7

    Oct-039.931.69

    Nov-039.833.83

    Dec-0310.340.499.920.6

    Jan-0410.835.18

    Feb-0410.736.85

    Mar-0410.733.9710.443.0

    Apr-0411.137.86

    May-0414.035.82

    Jun-0415.037.219.622.2

    Jul-0415.037.6Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

    Aug-0413.438.99

    Sep-0413.434.629.126.5

    Oct-0413.832.78

    Nov-0414.035.81

    Dec-0414.235.589.522.5

    Jan-0513.339.76

    Feb-0513.934.78

    Mar-0513.734.8110.522.8

    Apr-0514.031.66

    May-0513.031.61

    Jun-0512.630.8610.126.8

    Jul-0512.829.78

    Aug-0512.730.77

    Sep-0512.629.19.827.1

    Oct-0512.729.41

    Nov-059.724.36

    Dec-0511.921.689.925.0

    Jan-0612.821.26

    Feb-0614.722.57

    Mar-0612.826.5711.427.7

    Apr-0612.124.97

    May-0613.825.68

    Jun-0613.92411.530.9

    Jul-0613.923.58

    Aug-0613.826.26

    Sep-0613.828.6910.623.9

    Oct-0614.030.92

    Nov-0614.130.95

    Dec-0614.428.8910.418.0

    Jan-0713.829.94

    Feb-0714.734.99

    Mar-0714.927.911.723.7

    Apr-0715.925.94

    May-0715.620.7

    Jun-0715.827.5612.627.0

    Jul-0716.130.04

    Aug-0716.527.8

    Sep-0716.826.211.525.4

    Oct-0717.422.5507490782

    Nov-0718.022.5159721214

    Dec-0719.122.17960158911.323.0

    Jan-0820.123.527049468

    Feb-0820.218.451472441

    Mar-0820.621.204193669910.624.6

    Apr-0820.919.6677331834

    May-0821.726.56

    Jun-0822.222.2110.127.1

    Jul-0822.623.96

    Aug-0823.221.74

    Sep-0823.223.07928.1

    Oct-0822.775078097920.58

    Nov-0812.51

    (%)

    (%)

    (3)

    (3)

    GDP()

    ()

    (%)

    13.0

    14.0

    13.0

    12.0

    10.6

    10.1

    9.0

    6.8

    6.1

    2.5

    2.2

    2.6

    3.1

    4.2

    3.1

    2.1

    2.4

    2.4

    2.7

    1.3

    0.4

    1.5

    25.323.0

    26.723.8

    26.423.1

    25.821.9

    25.917.3

    26.816.9

    27.617.3

    26.117.2

    28.629.8

    3 200814.8

    414.7

    514.9

    614.1

    714.6

    814.3

    914.5

    1014.6

    1116

    1218.8

    1 200921.3

    224.2

    329.8

    429.7

    Apr-0859.2

    May-0853.3

    Jun-0852.0

    Jul-0848.4

    Aug-0848.4

    Sep-0851.2

    Oct-0844.6

    Nov-0838.8

    Dec-0841.2

    Jan-0945.3

    Feb-0949.0

    Mar-0952.4

    Apr-0953.5

    May-0953.1

    Jun-0953.2

    13

    14

    13

    12

    10.6

    10.1

    9

    6.8

    6.1

    %

    2.5

    2.2

    2.6

    3.1

    4.2

    3.1

    2.1

    2.4

    2.4

    2.7

    1.3

    0.4

    1.5

    %

    25.323

    26.723.8

    26.423.1

    25.821.9

    25.917.3

    26.816.9

    27.617.3

    26.117.2

    28.629.8

    %

    14.8

    14.7

    14.9

    14.1

    14.6

    14.3

    14.5

    14.6

    16

    18.8

    21.3

    24.2

    29.8

    29.7

    %

  • 20091-5*

  • 2009*

    Chart1

    20.227.610.8

    22.433.85.4

    28.2323.4

    31.844.68.8

    21.249.216.2

    22.253.614

    225517.2

    25.650.818.4

    n=500

    (%)

    Growth&Trade

    World GDP GrowthWorld Trade Volume Growth

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19801.99182.3951

    19812.17152.686

    19820.8855-0.9336

    19832.81212.0257

    19844.62188.3863

    19853.64323.1281

    19863.47333.8299

    19873.69366.3261

    19884.50357.9748

    19893.71568.0803

    19902.94376.2952

    19911.45694.3623

    19922.02744.6295

    19932.00883.6828

    19943.37499.1599

    19953.29369.4409

    19963.72577.1149

    19974.028910.257

    19982.53014.6065

    19993.53365.785

    20004.671312.1693

    20012.22160.268

    20022.80943.5396

    20033.59815.3769

    20044.940910.6893

    20054.42877.6252

    20065.01879.1817

    20074.93996.7754

    20083.7345.5719

    20093.7665.8133

    Growth&Trade

    (%)

    World GDP Growth

    World Trade Volume Growth

    Growth&Trade (china)

    World GDP GrowthWorld Trade Volume Growth

    19705.02099.8033

    19714.56695.5443

    19725.54757.808

    19736.861511.798

    19742.71896.0987

    19751.7316-2.6571

    19765.36039.8806

    19774.31885.5349

    19784.48525.3803

    19793.74546.9774

    19801.99182.3951

    19812.17152.686

    19820.8855-0.9336

    19832.81212.0257

    19844.62188.3863

    19853.64323.1281

    19863.47333.8299

    19873.69366.3261

    19884.50357.9748

    19893.71568.0803

    19902.94376.2952

    19911.45694.3623

    19922.02744.6295

    19932.00883.6828

    19943.37499.1599

    19953.29369.4409

    19963.72577.1149

    19974.028910.257

    19982.53014.6065

    19993.53365.785

    20004.671312.1693

    20012.22160.268

    20022.80943.5396

    20033.59815.3769

    20044.940910.6893

    20054.42877.6252

    20065.01879.1817

    20074.93996.7754

    20083.7345.5719

    20093.7665.8133

    Growth&Trade (china)

    (%)

    World GDP Growth

    World Trade Volume Growth

    export by market

    200520062007Jan-Oct 2008

    TOTAL2,824,151100.0782,9801006.2798,5271002874,9001009.6907,5781007.4

    386,36513.7201,36925.711.2206,42425.92.5230,47926.311.7241,39426.68.1WORLD907,578100

    359,25512.7255,14532.62253,24931.7-0.7258,91429.62.2246,04927.1-3USA246,04927.1

    *1,370,44548.594,64212.15.9105,20513.211.2126,18814.419.9133,06414.712.4CHINA133,06414.7

    120,9524.365,1768.35.159,9767.5-858,4826.7-2.557,1276.3-2.7JAPAN57,1276.3

    179,1886.330,8363.91.332,0494.03.936,6734.214.438,8524.310.3E.U.241,39426.6

    186,9186.641,2875.314.240,9095.1-0.952,8426.029.268,9867.642.0ASEAN38,8524.3

    221,0287.894,52512.17.0100,71512.66.5111,32212.710.5122,10613.512.5REST OF ASIA68,9867.6

    REST OF WORLD122,10613.5

    WORLD2,824,151

    CHINA1,370,445

    USA359,255

    JAPAN120,952

    E.U.386,365

    ASEAN179,188

    REST OF ASIA186,918

    REST OF WORLD221,028

    export by market

    (%)

    *

    difficulties

    US consumer confidence

    Jan-Oct 2008

    EU consumer confidence

    Q2

    FrequencyQ2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    1223166926528189134

    2128111106112159110101141

    3254268246169223275138160

    49270812744865417

    Subtotal - with difficulty level496480499400491499482452

    94201100911848

    Total500500500500500500500500

    Mean (W.A.)2.8392.7852.6852.3282.5012.8402.1182.133

    PercentageQ2gQ2dQ2hQ2eQ2cQ2bQ2fQ2a

    Description()

    137.818.426.81313.26.25.64.4

    220.222.428.231.821.222.22225.6

    327.633.83244.649.253.65550.8

    410.85.43.48.816.21417.218.4

    Subtotal - with difficulty level96.48090.498.299.89699.899.2

    Subtotal - 58.661.663.685.286.689.894.294.8

    93.6209.61.80.240.20.8

    Total100100100100100100100100

    Percentage (with difficulty level)Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    14.46.513.223.013.25.639.229.6

    225.823.121.228.032.422.021.031.2

    351.255.849.342.345.455.128.635.4

    418.514.616.26.89.017.211.23.8

    Total100100100100100100100100

    n496480499400491499482452

    Percentage ()Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    Description()

    227.024.724.536.437.323.434.544.3

    353.659.756.854.952.358.447.150.3

    419.415.618.78.810.318.318.45.3

    Total100100100100100100100100

    474449433308426471293318

    Q2aQ2bQ2cQ2dQ2eQ2fQ2gQ2h

    ()

    4.46.213.218.4135.637.826.8

    25.622.221.222.431.82220.228.2

    50.853.649.233.844.65527.632

    18.41416.25.48.817.210.83.4

    99.29699.88098.299.896.490.4

    94.889.886.661.685.294.258.663.6

    0.840.2201.80.23.69.6

    EU consumer confidence

    n=500

    (%)

    japan consumer confidence

    (%)

    Retail Sales

    exports GDP

    2005-01103.00

    2005-02104.00

    2005-03102.00

    2005-0498.00

    2005-05103.10

    2005-06106.00

    2005-07103.60

    2005-08105.50

    2005-0987.50

    2005-1085.00

    2005-1199.00

    2005-12103.00

    2006-01106.00

    2006-02102.00

    2006-03107.00

    2006-04109.80

    2006-05104.70

    2006-06105.00

    2006-07106.00

    2006-0899.60

    2006-09105.00

    2006-10105.00

    2006-11102.00

    2006-12109.00

    2007-01110.00

    2007-02112.00

    2007-03107.00

    2007-04106.00

    2007-05108.00

    2007-06105.30

    2007-07112.00

    2007-08105.60

    2007-0999.50

    2007-1095.20

    2007-1187.80

    2007-1290.60

    2008-0187.90

    2008-0275.00

    2008-0364.50

    2008-0462.30

    2008-0558.10

    2008-0651.00

    2008-0751.90

    2008-0858.50

    2008-0959.80

    2008-1038.00

    2008-1144.90

    2008-1238.60

    2009-0137.40

    2009-0225.00

    2009-0326.90

    2009-0440.80

    2009-0554.80

    2009-0649.30

    :Wind

    exports GDP

    (1985=100)

    GDP

    EU.TOT.99.BS.M

    Jan-85-16

    Feb-85-17

    Mar-85-17

    Apr-85-16

    May-85-16

    Jun-85-16

    Jul-85-15

    Aug-85-15

    Sep-85-15

    Oct-85-13

    Nov-85-13

    Dec-85-12

    Jan-86-11

    Feb-86-11

    Mar-86-9

    Apr-86-9

    May-86-8

    Jun-86-9

    Jul-86-9

    Aug-86-9

    Sep-86-9

    Oct-86-9

    Nov-86-8

    Dec-86-9

    Jan-87-10

    Feb-87-9

    Mar-87-10

    Apr-87-10

    May-87-10

    Jun-87-9

    Jul-87-9

    Aug-87-9

    Sep-87-8

    Oct-87-10

    Nov-87-11

    Dec-87-10

    Jan-88-11

    Feb-88-11

    Mar-88-10

    Apr-88-10

    May-88-9

    Jun-88-8

    Jul-88-8

    Aug-88-8

    Sep-88-8

    Oct-88-7

    Nov-88-6

    Dec-88-7

    Jan-89-7

    Feb-89-7

    Mar-89-8

    Apr-89-8

    May-89-7

    Jun-89-6

    Jul-89-5

    Aug-89-5

    Sep-89-5

    Oct-89-8

    Nov-89-8

    Dec-89-7

    Jan-90-7

    Feb-90-8

    Mar-90-9

    Apr-90-8

    May-90-9

    Jun-90-9

    Jul-90-8

    Aug-90-9

    Sep-90-15

    Oct-90-14

    Nov-90-15

    Dec-90-12

    Jan-91-18

    Feb-91-18

    Mar-91-14

    Apr-91-15

    May-91-15

    Jun-91-16

    Jul-91-18

    Aug-91-18

    Sep-91-14

    Oct-91-14

    Nov-91-15

    Dec-91-16

    Jan-92-16

    Feb-92-15

    Mar-92-15

    Apr-92-15

    May-92-16

    Jun-92-17

    Jul-92-18

    Aug-92-20

    Sep-92-21

    Oct-92-24

    Nov-92-25

    Dec-92-26

    Jan-93-25

    Feb-93-26

    Mar-93-27

    Apr-93-25

    May-93-24

    Jun-93-27

    Jul-93-27

    Aug-93-26

    Sep-93-24

    Oct-93-25

    Nov-93-26

    Dec-93-24

    Jan-94-22

    Feb-94-20

    Mar-94-20

    Apr-94-19

    May-94-16

    Jun-94-12

    Jul-94-12

    Aug-94-11

    Sep-94-8

    Oct-94-8

    Nov-94-7

    Dec-94-9

    Jan-95-7

    Feb-95-7

    Mar-95-8

    Apr-95-9

    May-95-8

    Jun-95-7

    Jul-95-7

    Aug-95-7

    Sep-95-10

    Oct-95-10

    Nov-95-10

    Dec-95-11

    Jan-96-12

    Feb-96-13

    Mar-96-14

    Apr-96-15

    May-96-16

    Jun-96-16

    Jul-96-16

    Aug-96-15

    Sep-96-15

    Oct-96-14

    Nov-96-13

    Dec-96-13

    Jan-97-12

    Feb-97-12

    Mar-97-12

    Apr-97-12

    May-97-12

    Jun-97-10

    Jul-97-9

    Aug-97-8

    Sep-97-7

    Oct-97-6

    Nov-97-6

    Dec-97-5

    Jan-98-6

    Feb-98-5

    Mar-98-4

    Apr-98-3

    May-98-3

    Jun-98-4

    Jul-98-3

    Aug-98-5

    Sep-98-5

    Oct-98-4

    Nov-98-2

    Dec-98-3

    Jan-99-2

    Feb-99-2

    Mar-99-3

    Apr-99-5

    May-99-5

    Jun-99-5

    Jul-99-5

    Aug-99-4

    Sep-99-4

    Oct-99-2

    Nov-99-2

    Dec-99-0

    Jan-001

    Feb-000

    Mar-000

    Apr-001

    May-001

    Jun-000

    Jul-001

    Aug-002

    Sep-00-2

    Oct-00-0

    Nov-000

    Dec-002

    Jan-011

    Feb-010

    Mar-010

    Apr-01-1

    May-01-3

    Jun-01-3

    Jul-01-5

    Aug-01-9

    Sep-01-8

    Oct-01-11

    Nov-01-12

    Dec-01-10

    Jan-02-10

    Feb-02-9

    Mar-02-9

    Apr-02-8

    May-02-8

    Jun-02-8

    Jul-02-9

    Aug-02-9

    Sep-02-8

    Oct-02-10

    Nov-02-11

    Dec-02-14

    Jan-03-16

    Feb-03-17

    Mar-03-19

    Apr-03-17

    May-03-16

    Jun-03-16

    Jul-03-16

    Aug-03-15

    Sep-03-14

    Oct-03-14

    Nov-03-13

    Dec-03-13

    Jan-04-12

    Feb-04-12

    Mar-04-12

    Apr-04-11

    May-04-13

    Jun-04-12

    Jul-04-12

    Aug-04-11

    Sep-04-11

    Oct-04-11

    Nov-04-10

    Dec-04-10

    Jan-05-10

    Feb-05-10

    Mar-05-10

    Apr-05-10

    May-05-12

    Jun-05-12

    Jul-05-12

    Aug-05-12

    Sep-05-11

    Oct-05-11

    Nov-05-11

    Dec-05-9

    Jan-06-9

    Feb-06-8

    Mar-06-9

    Apr-06-8

    May-06-8

    Jun-06-8

    Jul-06-7

    Aug-06-8

    Sep-06-7

    Oct-06-6

    Nov-06-6

    Dec-06-6

    Jan-07-6

    Feb-07-5

    Mar-07-4

    Apr-07-4

    May-07-2

    Jun-07-2

    Jul-07-2

    Aug-07-3

    Sep-07-5

    Oct-07-5

    Nov-07-7

    Dec-07-7

    Jan-08-10

    Feb-08-11

    Mar-08-11

    Apr-08-12

    May-08-14

    Jun-08-17

    Jul-08-20

    Aug-08-19

    Sep-08-19

    Oct-08-23

    Nov-08-24

    Dec-08-28

    Jan-09-31

    china

    The Development of the Consumer Confidence Index

    (excluding one-person households,original series)

    ConsumerOverallIncome growthEmploymentWillingness

    Confidencelivelihoodto buy

    Indexdurable goods

    1982.Jun43.744.048.338.044.6

    Sep42.544.247.933.744.3

    Dec41.542.546.532.944.2

    1983.Mar42.943.447.734.945.7

    Jun45.045.447.939.946.7

    Sep46.146.149.041.947.4

    Dec46.246.249.142.047.3

    1984.Mar46.646.449.743.047.3

    Jun47.147.249.343.948.0

    Sep48.447.950.047.248.3

    Dec47.847.250.045.348.8

    1985.Mar48.047.750.245.648.6

    Jun47.847.849.345.149.0

    Sep48.948.550.247.749.3

    Dec47.347.549.743.148.7

    1986.Mar46.346.348.841.248.9

    Jun45.546.048.239.148.8

    Sep44.645.347.636.948.6

    Dec42.043.046.132.047.0

    1987.Mar40.541.945.828.645.6

    Jun44.245.747.634.848.8

    Sep47.847.949.843.250.2

    Dec48.248.149.644.550.5

    1988.Mar49.448.250.347.651.4

    Jun49.848.850.249.450.6

    Sep50.648.850.552.650.6

    Dec50.549.051.051.250.8

    1989.Mar48.245.151.051.145.6

    Jun47.745.049.950.545.5

    Sep49.847.250.653.847.6

    Dec50.448.150.753.649.0

    1990.Mar49.547.551.851.946.9

    Jun50.348.651.552.948.1

    Sep49.247.051.452.445.8

    Dec48.446.851.149.546.2

    1991.Mar49.448.151.850.447.4

    Jun49.448.851.448.848.4

    Sep48.548.050.147.248.7

    Dec45.445.749.241.245.4

    1992.Mar44.744.849.439.145.6

    Jun44.646.348.736.846.4

    Sep41.945.046.730.844.9

    Dec39.342.344.827.143.1

    1993.Mar38.542.345.223.542.8

    Jun43.245.746.733.147.1

    Sep39.943.044.527.045.2

    Dec35.739.041.919.742.0

    1994.Mar40.441.644.730.644.7

    Jun43.745.546.234.348.7

    Sep45.746.947.237.950.9

    Dec46.247.247.638.851.0

    1995.Mar44.245.947.234.049.5

    Jun42.845.446.030.749.0

    Sep42.144.845.130.248.1

    Dec43.344.945.433.649.1

    1996.Mar44.545.746.736.649.1

    Jun46.946.847.043.450.3

    Sep45.645.746.442.747.7

    Dec43.044.145.839.542.7

    199