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World Telecom Technology Status

Ali Fotowat, Mehrdad Azizi KavoshCom Asia R&D

July 17, 2006

Management and Planning Organization

Seminar


Where do we come from?What do we need in future?Mobility, now and in futureNetworks, now and in futureThe home phone!Korean CaseConclusions

OutlineOutline



OutlineOutline


In 1970 Telecom was POTS and Central office switches Microwave links Satellites

In 1990 … 2000 Telecom was Mobile phone Blue Tooth/WiFi 802.11 a/b/g Satellite mobile phone DECT/PHS WLL ADSL/Cable Fiber links Point to Multi-point Microwaves


In 2001 the melt-down! Too many competing technologies! People were not ready to embrace the new

technologies! Semiconductor technology reaching the

investment and design cost limit! Big promises without technology base (wireless

phone with video, e-Believers!)


Nasdaq 1975 till Fri Jul 14, 2006Nasdaq 1975 till Fri Jul 14, 2006



OutlineOutline


Value Chain for Information Technology and Semiconductors



OutlineOutline


What people spend on Telecom!What people spend on Telecom!


And on mobile phones!And on mobile phones!


Wireless TechnologiesWireless Technologies(source: Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access Forum)


IssuesIssues


802.16 Backhaul for Business

Point to Point BACKHAUL

INTERNETBACKBONE

Telco Core Network or

Private (Fiber) Network

Non Line of SightPoint to Multi-

point

FRACTIONAL E1/T1 for SMALL

BUSINESS

802.11

E1/T1+ LEVELSERVICE ENTERPRISE


802.16e Nomadic / Portable

INTERNETINTERNETBACKBONEBACKBONE

Telco Core Telco Core Network or Network or

Private (Fiber) Private (Fiber) NetworkNetwork

Non Line of SightNon Line of SightPoint to Multi-pointPoint to Multi-point

802.16e802.16e

802.16e802.16e

SEEKS BESTSEEKS BESTCONNECTIONCONNECTION

Laptop ConnectedThrough 802.16e

2 to 3 Kilometers Away

Line of Sight Line of Sight BACKHAULBACKHAUL

802.16 PC 802.16 PC CardCard


WiBro in South Korea• Perhaps the most telling deployments for WiMAX will be for the WiBro

mobile derivative: WiBro has South Korean government support with the requirement for each carrier to spend over $1 billion US for deployments.

• The Koreans sought to develop WiBro as a regional and potentially international alternative to 3.5-4G systems.

• WiBro has joined WiMAX and agreed to harmonize with the similar OFDMA 802.16e version of the standard.

• What makes WiBro roll outs, which will start in April of 2006, a good 'test case' for the overall WiMAX effort is that it is mobile, well thought out for delivery of wireless broadband services

• Telecom Italia, the dominant telephony and internet service provider in Italy has announced it will test, together with Korean Samsung Electronics, a WiBro network service, starting from Winter Olympic Games 2006, held in Turin.

• Starting with Seoul and the metropolitan district, KT plans to extend the service area into 38 large cities across the nation. SK Telecom will expand the coverage to encompass 84 cities including the metropolitan area.


From 1G to 3GFrom 1G to 3G


IssuesIssues


The new Telecom IndustryThe new Telecom Industry


IssuesIssues



OutlineOutline


Change of Revenue Structure

Diverse contents & services and their short lifecycle makes time-to-market

critical.

Voice （ Including mobile ）

IT services for business users

Content services for consumers

1980 Voice operation　　　　　　　　　

2002 Transformation 2010 Non-voice operation

$


Value Chain Transformation

Forepassed telecom value chain distributing

Terminal

Carrier

Equipment supplierService provider

Future telecom value chain distributing

Terminal

Carrier

Equipment supplier

Service providerValue

Value distribution is shifting toward terminal and business service. The

“carrier + equipment supplier”- focused value chain is meeting serious

challenges.



OutlineOutline


وزیر کره ای ICT.موتور رشداقتصادی کره است تعیین محورهای توسعه تکنولوژی به

محور(8عنوان موتور رشد ) میلیون دالر فقط در $400 سالیانه ETRI

تعریف استانداردهای کره ای برای حفظ بازار

وزیر کره ای در تخصصی ترین کنفرانس جهانی درمورد روند تکنولوژی سخنرانی داشت.ICطراحی

(ISSCC, Feb. 2005)


Moving onMoving on to Ubiquitous Intelligence Societyto Ubiquitous Intelligence Society


WiBro SystemWiBro System

AAA

HA

Public Internet

AP DM Function

AP

Base Station

MT TE

AP DM Function

Access Terminal

PAR-net Management

PAR

RoutingCenter

ServiceCenter


Radio

B&W TV

Color TV CATV

Interactive DTV

HDTV

DAB Internet Audio

DTV

DMB Internet TV

Realistic Broadcasting

TV

Mobility / Interactivity

2000

2010

3DTV

IntelligentBroadcasting

Quality

HDTVUDTV

DTV

DMB

Evolution of Digital BroadcastingEvolution of Digital Broadcasting


LNA&IRM

PLL

BPF

VGA

BGR

RF Receiver

DMB Chipset & Embedded SoftwareDMB Chipset & Embedded Software

Java Virtual Machine

DMB Hardware

Middleware ComponentsApplication

Manager

Downloadable Applications

Operating System

SIParser

MOTDecoder

UI ...

Embedded Software

MUSICAMMUSICAMDecoderDecoder

ForwardForwardErrorError

CorrectionCorrection

DigitalDigitalFront-endFront-end

OFDMOFDMDemodulatorDemodulator

SynchronizerSynchronizer ADCADC

Baseband Processor

ResidentApplications


RFID/USN ServiceRFID/USN Service

Pilot Projects to accelerate technology development.Pilot Projects to accelerate technology development.Interoperability is the key for the international trading. Interoperability is the key for the international trading.

Ammunition Control System

Air Luggage Tracking System

Logistics ManagementSystem

Public Procurement

Service

Imported BeefTracking System


Technologies Related to RFID / USNTechnologies Related to RFID / USN

USNUSNUSNUSNShopping center location

service

Back-end systems

Soft ware

SW SolutionsSW Solutions

RF, Antenna, PassivesRF, Antenna, Passives SoC, SensorsSoC, Sensors

Reader chip

SystemsSystems

RF, Antenna, PassivesRF, Antenna, Passives

Shopping center

location service

Back-end systems

Software

SW SolutionsSW Solutions

SoC, SensorsSoC, Sensors

Reader chip

SystemsSystems


RFID/USN Market EstimationRFID/USN Market Estimation[B

illi

on

$]

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015

ControllableNetworkSensor ActivePassive

0

10

20

30

40

US

N W

orl

d-w

ide

Mar

ket N

um

ber o

f Ch

ips [B

illion

]


IT839 StrategyIT839 Strategy

InfrastructurInfrastructuree

ServiceService8 Services8 Services

WiBro Service

DMB Service

Home N/W Service

Telematics Service

RFID-based Service

W-CDMA Service

Terrestrial DTV

Internet Telephony Broadband Convergence NetworkBroadband Convergence Network

Ubiquitous Sensor NetworkUbiquitous Sensor Network

Next Generation Internet ProtocolNext Generation Internet Protocol [IPv6][IPv6]

3 Infrastructure3 Infrastructure

ProductProduct

Mobile Telecomm Handset & Equipment

Digital TV & peripherals

Home Network HW/SW

System-on Chip

Next Generation PC

Embedded SW

Digital Contents & SW Solutions

Telematics

Intelligent Service Robot

9 Products9 Products

KAVOSHCO

M 65

Components of the IT 839 StrategyComponents of the IT 839 Strategy

WiBro: Wireless Broadband DMB: Digital Multimedia Broadcasting RFID: Radio Frequency Identification W-CDMA: Wideband Code Division Multiple

Access DTV: Digital Television VoIP: Voice over Internet Protocol )VoIP( IPv6: Internet Protocol Version 6 USN: Ubiquitous Sensor Network


7 years 5 years 4 years 3 years

Av. Growth Rate 19% 9% 4% 5%

Worldwide Semiconductor Market TrendWorldwide Semiconductor Market Trend

-17%

38%

4%

42%

-9%

4%

-8%

37%

-32%

28%

1.2%

11%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07-48%

-32%

-16%

0%

16%

32%

48%($B)

(YoY)

(WSTS 04.10)


Shorten the Development CycleShorten the Development Cycle! ! IP - Based Design SchemeIP - Based Design Scheme

IP DB &IP Reuse

HW IP

SW IP

MobileProcessor

GameProcessor

RF & Modem

CMOSImage Sensor

DisplayDriver IC

Video Codec

Device Driver

RTOS Middleware

HW

IP

SW

IP

RF &

Modem

MPGP

Dis

playIm

age

sensor

V-CodecRTOS

Device Driver

Middleware

Reusable IP’s

Consumer Platform

USNPlatform

AutomobilePlatform L

ego

Blo

cks

InterfaceStandard

IP block

Platform-Based DesignPlatform-Based Design


Respondent companies offer a variety

of products & services…

6%

8%

8%

8%

12%

44%

46%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Full system design

IP

Foundry services

Technical training

EDA tool rental

Packaging services

Testing services


…they employ an average 41 personnel...

Fewer than 2044%

21 to 4030%

41 to 7012%

71 to 1008%

101 to 2004%

201 to 5002%


…including an average 13 IC design engineers

Fewer than 1055%

11 to 2026%

21 to 3011%

31 to 406%

41 to 602%


…and US$4.85 million in 2004Less than $250,000

16% $250,000 to $499,999

13%

$500,000 to $999,999

13%

$1 million to $2.9 million

19%


10%

$7 million to 10.9 million

13%


3%

$15 million or more13%


Respondents use wide-ranging channels

to promote their products/services

8%

10%

16%

20%

26%

26%

38%

50%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Direct Sales

Own Website

Trade shows

Customer referral

Conferences

Ad in trade magazine

Industry website

Distributor website


Respondent companies generate wide-ranging IC designs…

14%

6%

8%

14%

17%

34%

58%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

ASIC design

System-on-Chip design

ASSP design

PLD/FPGA-based design

Multi-chip module

Standard IC design

Other


…for wide-ranging applicationsincluding computers &

peripherals...

16%

6%

10%

10%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Laptop/Mobile computers

Desktop computers

Printers/Plotters

Other office/business machines

Other computer systems


…consumer electronics...

14%

6%

8%

14%

14%

18%

18%

24%

28%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Multimedia products

Set-top boxes

Digital cameras

Wireless devices

Cameras

DVD players

Handheld devices/PDAs

Television sets

Toys/Games

Other consumer electronics


…telecommunications...

32%

4%

10%

34%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Cellular/Wirelessequipment

LAN/WANequipment

PSTN equipment

Other telecomequipment


…and other key applications

4%

4%

6%

8%

14%

0% 5% 10% 15%

Industrialelectronics

Test & measurementinstruments

Automotiveelectronics

Medical electronics

Military electronics



OutlineOutline


Future Technologies Research

Establishing laboratories to research FMC, IMS, WiMAX, IPTV, and other

innovative technologies, riding the future trend of network convergence and

service transformation.

Mobile Access

Fixed BB Access

IMS core

(CSCF/HSS/…)

Personal App Platform

ICTPlatform

Media AppPlatform

Business Operation Support System

GSM/UMTS/CDMA/WiMAX

Single billing, multi services and tariff package

Operator’s Organization SupportNetwork oriented to customer oriented

xDSL /FTTx/Cable/WLAN

Metro IP over WDM MPLS IPV4/IPV6

FMC solution

Bearer Layer Service POPService ControlBRAS

GSNWSNMG


Increasing Investment in Service Application and Terminal

Providing abundant service applications and terminals to help operators

expand to the two ends of the value chain.

Terminals

Interactive

Get involved

Specially Designed

Impression

IMPS

Game

Mobile E-mail

Web/WAP Surfing

LBS

Streaming

M-RBTMMS

Service & Applications


Licencse

Carriers

Policy Strategy Standardization

Support Prevent Piracy Support Support Overseas EntryOverseas Entry

Determine Service

Method

Lead Standardization

Technical Support

Build Demo

Room

Public Pilot ProjectFundamental

Tech

Create Initial Market

Financial Support

Overhaul Legal FW

Pilot Project

Allocate Spectrum

Maintain

Competition

Invest in Tech Development

Prepare for Service

Launch

Trial

Commercialization

Strengthen Cost

Competitiveness

Build Production

Base

Expand Local &

Foreign Market

Package SW

Solution Project

Application

SW

Embedded

SW

Reinvestment

Create Jobs

Industry-wide

Synergy Effect

Strengthen

Exports

Promote Marketing

E E FF

F E E

E

E

B

E

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

C

F F

F

F

C

F

C E

F


What do we do?What do we do?

We need to be on top of all the technical issues instead of passive consumers believing all the marketing hype and even cheering up for them!The roadmaps tell us TODAY where the world will be in 5-6 years.ITRC has again hired 21st century “Monsieur Nose” to tell us what to do! We can do a better job ourselves.The Semiconductor Technology is the back-bone of all this.

کاوش کام آسیا - تحقیقاتی کاوش کام آسیا - تحقیقاتی 26 تیر...

Documents

pc card slide

future networks

microwave access forum

home phone

business point

line of sight point

korean case conclusions

multipoint microwaves