제주특별자치도 관광개발계획_제발연_2013.11

451
제주특별자치도 관광개발계획 2013.11 제주특별자치도

Upload: giru-jang

Post on 13-Jul-2015

2.642 views

Category:

Documents


12 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 2013.11

  • " "

    .

    2013 11

  • -i-

    1 11 11. 1

    2. 2

    2 2

    1. 2

    2. 3

    3 3

    1. 32. 5

    2 61 61. 6

    2. 12

    3.15

    2 17

    1. 172. 23

    3. 25

    4.30

  • -ii-

    3 321. 32

    2. 36

    3. 444., 63

    5. 64

    6. 717. 76

    8. 82

    9.8610. 86

    11. 88

    12. 8813.90

    4 951.95

    2. 102

    5 106

    1.106

    2.110

    6 126

    1. 1262. 129

    3 SWOT 132

  • -iii-

    1 1321. 132

    2. 149

    3. 1574. 172

    2 :SWOT1731. 173

    2. 174

    3.175

    4 1781 , 178

    1. 178

    2.179

    2 180

    5 1841 184

    1. 1842. 186

    3. 188

    2 198

    1. 198

    2. 204

  • -iv-

    3 2181. 218

    2. 223

    3. 2284. 239

    5. 242

    6. 2457. 254

    8. 268

    4 273

    1. 273

    2. 2743. 288

    358

    362

    368

    374

    380

    412

    420

  • -v-

    6 8 8 17 19 20 23 24 24 25 26 28 29 30 33 37 38 39 40 (2013 6 )41 (2013 7 )42 (13.3 )43 44 1 47 47 48

  • -vi-

    49 49 50 /// 50 / 50 ()52 52 53 53 54 55 (2012 12 )56 57 59 60 61 62 62 63 , 64 65 65 (02~13)66 67 67 68 69() (05~13)69 70

  • -vii-

    71 72 73 74 74 75 75 77 77 79 80 80 () 81 82 83 84 85 85 86 (2012 )87 (2013 4 )87 88 89 (2012 12 )893 964 991 (2013 7 17) 1012 1032025 105

  • -viii-

    AStrategicFrameworkforTourism' 111 AStrategicDestinationFrance(2010-2020)112 118 130 133 135 138 140 142 143 ,,144 ,,145 146 147() 150() 151 151 152 153 154 155 ()156 () 162 170 SWOT 177 179 ()186 ()186 187

  • -ix-

    188 195 196 206 208 209 212 218 (2012.12.31.)220 223 224 224 227 230 ( )231 232 234, 242 243 ()245 248 252 265 266 268 269 270 271 271

  • -x-

    272 276 277 278 279 281 282 283 284 285 286 289 ()292 294 ()297 301 304 ()307()309 315 319 ()325 330() 338 342 351

  • -xi-

    [ -1] 5

    [ -1] 18

    [ -2] 19[ -3] 20

    [ -4] 21

    [ -5] 22[ -6] 26

    [ -7] 46

    [ -8] 46[ -9] 51

    [ -10] 72

    [ -11] 78[ -12] 96

    [ -13]3 97

    [ -14](2011),4 (2011-2020)98[ -15] ,102

    [ -16] 107

    [ -17] 109[ -18] 114

    [ -19] TOMM 123

    [ -20] (1960-2012)127[ -21] (1990-2012)128

    [ -22] (1990-2012)129

    [ -1] 134[ -2] 136

  • -xii-

    [ -3] 139[ -4] 141

    [ -5] 143

    [ -6] 152[ -7], 158

    [ -8] 158

    [ -9] 159[ -10] 160

    [ -11] 163

    [ -12] 163[ -13] 164

    [ -14] 165

    [ -15] 165[ -16] 166

    [ -17] 167

    [ -18] 167[ -19] 168

    [ -20] 169

    [ -1] ,,,183[ -1] 188

    [ -2] 192

    [ -3] ()203[ -4] 226

    [ -5] (2001~2012)237

    [ -6]1 : 239[ -7]1 : 240

    [ -8] 274

    [ -9] 287

  • -xiii-

    [ -10] ()293[ -11] 293

    [ -12] 295

    [ -13] 298[ -14] U-Street 303

    [ -15] 308

    [ -16] ()312[ -17] ()314

    [ -18] ()315

    [ -19] , 318[ -20], ()322

    [ -21]()328

    [ -22] 334[ -23]MICE ()335

    [ -24]MICE 336

    [ -25] ()346[ -26] 347

    [ -27] 349

    [ -28] ()350[ -29] 352

    [ -30] 352

    [ -31] 352[ -32] 352

    [ -33] 354

  • 1

    -1-

    1

    1

    1.

    ,1970 , (1985) .

    -3 20 (2008), (2002) , (,,, ) .

    -, 2007 9 , .

    2006 7 ,2010 .

    - .

    , 2017 240, 1,600 .

    2013 1,000 .

  • 1

    -2-

    2.

    1 ,2 , , .

    -, 1 , .

    -,2 .2 12 , , .

    -, , ( ) .

    -, .

    2

    1.

    - , ,.

    2

    - 222

  • 3

    -3-

    (1714 ) .

    - .

    2.

    , 2 , .

    .

    3

    1.

    .

    2012. 20142021,2 .

    .

    ,,, .

    - .

  • 1

    -4-

    .

    , , , , , .

    2 ,, , .

  • 3

    -5-

    2.

    [ -1]

  • 2

    -6-

    2

    1

    1.

    .

    1)

    2020 , , 2050 65 16.2%,80 4.3% .1)

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    6.36 6.78 7.19 7.67 8.29 8.73 9.17 9.72 10.19 10.84

    7.27 7.8 8.32 8.92 9.63 10.2 10.78 11.26 11.77 12.5

    6.92 7.38 7.78 8.26 8.86 9.33 9.73 10.04 10.37 10.94

    6.25 6.57 6.87 7.24 7.69 8.02 8.33 8.62 8.94 9.39

    6.41 6.75 7.09 7.52 8.05 8.33 8.66 8.97 9.32 9.85

    6.26 6.59 6.86 7.21 7.72 8.05 8.39 8.66 8.96 9.38

    4.71 5.03 5.31 5.62 6.02 6.29 6.57 6.82 7.09 7.47

    15.22

    6.48 6.79 7.06 7.4 7.84 8.14 8.42 8.67 8.98 9.39

    10.91 11.52 12.13 12.75 13.45 13.92 14.36 14.81 15.18 15.71

    10.41 10.93 11.33 11.77 12.36 12.67 12.97 13.2 13.4 13.7

    12.75 13.06 13.34 13.74 14.31 14.55 14.78 14.87 14.99 15.27

    11.76 12.46 12.93 13.49 14.32 14.67 14.97 15.22 15.58 16.21

    14.11 14.88 15.58 16.31 17.23 17.63 17.97 18.29 18.61 19.19

    12.3 12.94 13.39 13.85 14.57 15.05 15.44 15.57 15.72 16.21

    9.49 9.89 10.25 10.65 11.09 11.36 11.63 11.81 12.07 12.5

    9.15 9.6 10.01 10.51 11.04 11.45 11.86 12.19 12.6 13.0

    ) = (65/)*100 : .

    1)(2011),3 (),p.260.

  • 1

    -7-

    2)

    .

    . ,, ,,, .2)

    , , .

    3)

    , (downshift) (LOHAS,) .3)

    .4)

    - 1997 2000 .

    - ,, .

    - . , .

    2) (2006), ,,p.36.3)(2012), ,,p.153.4) 3(2013), - -,,CEOInformation897.

  • 2

    -8-

    /

    , ,

    , , ,

    , , ,

    , ,

    : 3(2013), - -, , CEO Information 897, p.3.

    : 3(2013), , , CEO Information 888, p.10.

    .

    1)

    .2010 G2 (China+America)5) .6)

    , .

    (PPP), 6~22.0 (0.9~3.4 ) 2012 68% 2022 76% .7)

    5) (China) (America) ,(NiallFerguson) (Theascentofmoney)' .

    6)(2010), (),pp.13-14.7)Barton,D.etal.(2013).China'snextchapter.McKinseyQuarterly,No.3.

  • 1

    -9-

    2)(ASEAN,) 8)

    9) .2000 , .

    , .

    - :4.6%(2011) 5.3%(2012 ) 5.5%(2013 ,ADB)

    2015 2060% ,20201 ,2020 3 .

    3)

    2020 .

    20122020 0.25% , 2020 .10)

    -, ,,, .

    .

    1)

    8), ,CEOInformation,883,2013.2.13.9)1967 5 , 10 . ,,,, (1984),(1995),,(1997),(1999) 5

    10) 3(2013), ,,CEOInformation888.

  • 2

    -10-

    .

    100 (19062005)0.75 , 1961 1.8 2100 59 .11)

    , , . .

    2)

    , .12)

    -, ,, , .

    -, , .

    .

    1) (NewDigitalWave)

    IT IT (New DigitalWave) .13)

    11)(2012). - -.12)(2012). (),p.73.13)LG(2012), .

  • 1

    -11-

    (DirectService) GPS .14)

    (DigitalNative) , (SNS), .,, .15)

    2) M2M(MachinetoMachine)

    ( ),( ) M2M(MachinetoMachine)16) .17)

    -M2M .

    - M2M . (),U-(),(),() . , .

    3) 18)

    , , .

    ,, . .

    14)(2011), 2012.15)(2012), (),p.77.16) M2M (InternetofThings) , M2M

    17), ,M2M,,SERI 190,2013.8.22.18)(2009), (),p.138.

  • 2

    -12-

    .

    1)

    1990 , , .

    , . .19)

    2) 20)

    , .

    ,, , .

    , .

    2.

    .

    1)

    5 , .21)

    19)(2012), (),p.66.20)(2012),5 (2012-2016),p.18.21)(2012), .

  • 1

    -13-

    2020 1 4 2 , .

    2)

    2020 4 , 34 .

    , , . .22)

    .

    1)

    ,, , .23)

    , . .

    , ,, .

    2) 24)

    , 2000

    22)(2011),3 (),p.101.23)(2011),3 (),p.260.24)(2011),3 (),p.130.

  • 2

    -14-

    .

    MICE,,,, , .

    .

    1)

    , (newtourism) .25)

    - .

    2)

    26) , .27)

    , (fairtravel) .

    .

    1)

    ,SNS( ),

    25)(2012), ,p.153.26)(UNWTO) , 5% , GDP 6% . 2012 25%

    27)(2012), ,p.154.

  • 1

    -15-

    .28)

    - , .

    -SNS .

    IT .

    2)

    , .

    (VMS) .29) .

    .30)

    3.

    .

    , .

    , .

    28), - 7 -,CEOInformation,2011.9.14.,pp.8-9.

    29)(2009),3 5 ,p.50.30)(2011),3 ,p.104.

  • 2

    -16-

    .

    , .

    .

    , , .

    .

    () (), .

  • 2

    -17-

    2

    1.

    .

    1)

    2012 / 7.0% 2 3,360 .

    / (9.4%) (6.0%) 7.0% .

    ()

    2000 2005 2010 2011 2012* 2012* 10/09 11/10 12*/11 678 809 950 996 1,035 100 6.4 4.8 4.0

    47.8 62.4 63.8 64.8 65.1 6.3 1.8 1.6 0.5 139.7 141.7 154.3 161.1 166.5 16.1 3.9 4.4 3.3

    / 69.3 90.4 95.0 103.9 111.6 10.8 3.1 9.4 7.4 132.6 156.4 173.5 187.0 191.2 18.5 2.5 7.8 2.2 389.4 450.9 486.6 516.9 534.4 51.6 3.0 6.2 3.4

    /

    58.3 85.9 111.5 115.8 122.8 11.9 13.8 3.8 6.0 36.1 48.5 70.0 77.3 84.6 8.2 12.5 10.4 9.4 9.6 11.0 11.6 11.7 12.1 1.2 6.1 0.9 4.1 6.1 8.1 12.0 13.5 14.1 1.4 19.5 12.6 4.2 110.1 153.6 205.1 218.2 233.6 22.6 13.2 6.4 7.0

    91.5 89.9 99.3 102.1 105.9 10.2 6.7 2.8 3.7 17.1 18.8 19.5 20.1 21.0 2.0 1.6 3.0 4.4 4.3 6.3 7.9 8.3 8.9 0.9 4.0 4.4 7.5 15.3 18.3 23.6 26.0 2.2 2.6 10.2 10.0 4.7 128.2 133.3 150.4 156.5 163.0 15.7 6.4 4.1 4.1

    10.2 13.9 18.8 17.1 18.5 1.8 6.7 -9.1 8.7 16.0 20.9 31.1 32.4 34.0 3.3 10.1 3.9 5.2 26.2 34.8 49.9 49.4 52.6 5.1 8.8 -1.0 6.4

    24.1 36.3 58.2 54.9 52.0 5.0 11.6 -5.6 -5.4

    * :UNWTO,WorldTourismBarometer,April2013.

  • 2

    -18-

    -0.4

    2.9

    -1.7

    10.1

    4.85.5

    6.7

    2.1

    -3.8

    6.4

    4.84

    687 707 695

    765798

    842896 917 881

    950996

    1,035

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    :

    [ -1]

    2)

    (WTO) 4.1%, 1995 5.6 2010 10 ,2020 15.6 , 2010 7,600 ,2020 2 .

    2010 14.4%,2020 25.4% .

    2020 , , 31).

    -,,, 4% .

    - () .

    31) (2012), , p.141.

  • 2

    -19-

    1995 2010 2020 1995 2020 1995-2020

    565 1006 1561 100 100 4.1 20 47 77 3.6 5.0 5.5 110 190 282 19.3 18.1 3.8

    81 195 397 14.4 25.4 6.5 336 527 717 59.8 45.9 3.1 14 36 69 2.2 4.4 6.7 4 11 19 0.7 1.2 6.2

    :WTO,Tourism2020Vision,2000.

    .

    1)

    2005 2009 .

    - 68% , .

    2012 18.4% 8,318 .

    -2012 42% ,25% .

    12,134

    16,602 20,222

    28,853 31,026

    34,324

    40,950 45,844

    47,660

    57,390

    70,250

    83,183

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    :

    ()

    15.9

    36.8

    21.8

    42.7

    7.5

    11.3

    18.6

    11.9

    4

    20.422.4

    18.4

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    : %

    (%)

    [ -2]

    )2012

  • 2

    -20-

    139 154 152 191 218

    243 298

    362 437

    549

    726

    1,020

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    : US$

    (US$)

    10.8

    -1.3

    25.7

    14.111.5

    22.6 21.4 20.9

    25.6

    32.3

    40.5

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    : %

    (%)

    2)

    2001 US139 2012 US 1,020 12 19% 8 .

    -2012 .

    [ -3]

    ,,,,, .

    3)

    ,, , .

    2012* 2011 201012*/11

    11/10

    34,911,395 28,100,129 22,684,388 24.2 23.9

    2,836,892 2,220,196 1,875,157 27.8 18.4

    2,586,428 1,784,185 1,080153 45.0 19.9

    - 1,577,420 1,171,337 - 24.1

    1,558,785 1,250,536 1,130,261 24.6 10.6

    1,430,000 1,043,500 1,413,100 37.1 -26.1

    )* ) () . : , .

  • 2

    -21-

    .

    1)

    2007 3 2010 3

    2012 8.8% 1,849 .

    - , 2012 2000 1,781 1,849 .

    (JTBF) 2013 2012 2.7% 1,900 .

    :UNWTO,JNTO

    [ -4]

    2)

    2012 US$279 .

  • 2

    -22-

    ,2012 2.5%.

    2013 .

    0.5

    8.6

    22.1

    -28.6

    -1.5 -1.5

    5.3

    -10

    11.2

    -2.5

    2.5265 266 290

    383

    272 269 265279

    251

    279 272 279

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    : %: US$

    :UNWTO,JNTO[ -5]

    3)

    2012 3,518,792, 3,518,200() .

    -2011 1 2012 1 (JNTO,2013).

    2012 ---- .

    - 2 .

  • 2

    -23-

    -2012 - .

    2012* 2011 2010

    12*/11

    11/10

    3,518,200 3,658,200 3,731,200 -3.8 -2

    3,518,792 3,289,051 3,023,009 7 8.8

    1,432,315 1,294,758 1,080,153 10.6 19.9

    1,371,253 1,127,893 993,674 21.6 13.5

    1,254,602 1,283,687 1,316,618 -2.3 -2.5

    - 656,360 528,817 - 24.1

    470,008 386,974 415,881 21.5 -7

    *

    ** ()

    : ,, (JNTO)

    2.

    .

    1)

    1978 100 ,1988 200 ,2010 800 ,2011 900 ,2012 1,000 .

    -SARS 2003 10 . 2009 4 .

    2012 14% 142

    1 2012 US1,273 2011 US1,266 .

  • 2

    -24-

    ( :,%,US)

    1

    2001 5,147 -3.3 6,373 -6.4 1,241 -3.0

    2002 5,347 3.9 5,919 -7.1 1,110 -10.6

    2003 4,753 -11.1 5,343 -9.7 1,129 1.7

    2004 5,818 22.4 6,053 13.3 1,045 -7.4

    2005 6,022 3.5 5,793 -4.3 968 -7.4

    2006 6,155 2.2 5,760 -0.6 936 -3.3

    2007 6,448 4.8 6,094 5.8 945 1.0

    2008 6,890 6.9 9,719 59.5 1,410 49.2

    2009 7,818 13.4 9,782 0.7 1,251 -11.3

    2010 8,798 12.5 10,321 5.5 1,106 -11.6

    2011 9,795 11.3 12,397 20.1 1,266 14.5

    2012 11,140 13.7 14,176 14.4 1,273 0.6

    : (), .

    .

    1)

    2001 ,2011 .

    1 2010,2011 2012 . 2012 .

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    (%)

    94.3 95.3 91.1 92.3 75.1 72.8 81.6 85.2

    79.9 80.5. 78.1 77.4 63.6 61.3 64.4 69.0

    76.7 80.9 76.2 75.2 54.8 47.1 61.1 68.1

    1

    ()

    6.59 7.20 7.57 6.07 5.29 3.96 3.65 4.93

    2.79 2.94 3.00 2.58 2.72 2.17 1.67 2.13

    3.80 4.26 4.58 3.48 2.57 1.79 1.98 2.80

    ()

    36,889 37,667 36,443 37,391 31,201 30,917 35,013 36,914

    31,256 31,817 31,226 31,351 26,409 26,048 27,651 30,227

    30,004 31.975 30,472 30,462 22,740 20,012 26,234 28,649

    388,837 416,982 477,372 408,026 375,341 339,608 286,948 365,282

    240,187 248,608 294,339 267,009 268,648 263,633 201,976 244,102

    148,650 168,374 183,033 141,017 106,693 75,974 84,972 121,180

    * 2009

    : /()

  • 2

    -25-

    2)

    , / .

    ( ) , .

    ,/, .

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012

    1/

    (37.2)

    /

    (36.7)

    (30.1)

    (29.6)

    /

    (33.6)

    /

    (31.9)

    (31.9)

    (31.5)

    2

    (28.2)

    (30.8)

    /(19.0)

    /(19.3)

    (27.7)

    (29.5)

    ( )

    (20.8)

    ( )

    (19.1)

    3

    (8.1)

    (9.6)

    ( )

    (15.6)

    ( )

    (15.2)

    (9.9)

    (12.7)

    /(12.0)

    /(13.5)

    4

    (5.5)

    /

    (4.8)

    (7.9)

    (9.5)

    (5.5)

    //

    (5.4)

    (8.5)

    (9.3)

    5/

    (5.4)

    (4.8)

    , ,

    (5.4)

    /

    , , (4.7)

    //

    (5.1)

    /

    (4.3)

    , ,

    (5.7)

    , ,

    (4.9)

    : /()

    3.

    .

    1)

    , 2008 10 2009 50 2012 . 2010 2011

  • 2

    -26-

    .

    , .

    3(10~12) 8.5%. , 14.2%, 7.4%, 6.9%, -11%.

    582 584 677

    3,071 2,950 2,9493,221

    3,3693,537

    4,145

    4,955

    6,238

    6,601

    627 698 722

    1,6221,653 1,692 1,632 1,519 1,744 1,737 1,846

    1,457 1,410

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    :

    [ -6]

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    276,189 264,827 303,908 589,839 786,769 1,179,251 1,386,454 1,359,390

    360,155 345,786 609,239 770,222 819,208 890,721 918,860 911,611

    3,298,970 3,508,968 3,191,860 2,982,252 3,458,777 3,715,142 4,445,336 4,844,425

    113,901 102,335 157,850 198,663 225,913 233,036 248,226 247,018

    527,809 558,962 591,843 656,990 504,605 704,629 603,094 558,125

    64,528 71,760 33,249 83,535 96,312 78,522 93,369 89,735

    4,641,552 4,852,638 4,887,949 5,281,501 5,891,584 6,801,301 7,695,339 8,010,304

    :

  • 2

    -27-

    2)

    2007 50 ,2011 100 .

    2008 ,2009 2 .

    - 2009 ,2012 64.5% , 4(09~12) 61.3%.

    -2001 2012 1.21% .

    , .

  • 2

    -28-

    ( : )

    2001290,050 158,026 71,650 2,414 20,329 9,506 10,935 17,190

    (100%) (54.5%) (24.7%) (0.8%) (7.0%) (3.3%) (3.8%) (5.9%)

    2002289,496 140,779 92,805 940 7,838 11,363 12,005 23,766

    (100%) (48.6%) (32.1%) (0.3%) (2.7%) (3.9%) (4.1%) (8.2%)

    2003221,017 101,808 69,671 9,893 5,173 8,762 10,753 14,957

    (100%) (46.1%) (31.5%) (4.5%) (2.3%) (4.0%) (4.9%) (6.8%)

    2004329,215 140,351 101,236 21,435 7,609 13,472 17,518 27,594

    (100%) (42.6%) (30.8%) (6.5%) (2.3%) (4.1%) (5.3%) (8.4%)

    2005378,723 151,419 115,199 39,552 8,582 13,841 18,528 28,602

    (100%) (40.0%) (30.4%) (10.4%) (2.3%) (3.7%) (4.9%) (7.6%)

    2006460,360 183,168 142,912 57,358 8,376 18,167 19,329 31,050

    (100%) (39.8%) (31.0%) (12.5%) (1.8%) (3.9%) (4.2%) (6.7%)

    2007541,274 183,240 176,878 93,169 8,683 21,699 10,270 20,478 26,857

    (100%) (33.9%) (32.7%) (17.2%) (1.6%) (4.0%) (1.9%) (3.8%) (4.9%)

    2008540,516 177,459 174,902 67,993 11,365 28,580 13,220 23,349 43,648

    (100%) (32.8%) (32.4%) (12.6%) (2.1%) (5.3%) (2.4%) (4.3%) (8.1%)

    2009632,354 183,168 258,414 41,480 15,079 32,727 14,806 23,712 62,968

    (100%) (29.0%) (40.9%) (6.6%) (2.4%) (5.2%) (2.3%) (3.7%) (9.9%)

    2010 777,000 187,790 406,164 40,867 11,793 31,405 23,550 19,895 55,536

    (100%) (24.2%) (52.3%) (5.3%) (1.5%) (4.0%) (3.0%) (2.6%) (7.1%)

    2011 1,045,637 173,700 570,247 31,661 26,601 55,927 53,045 26,648 107,808

    (100%) (16.6%) (54.5%) (3.0%) (2.5%) (5.4%) (5.1%) (2.6%) (10.3%)

    2012 1,681,399 180,5371,084,09

    451,012 38,980 63,818 76,192 25,143 161,803

    (100%) (10.3%) (64.5%) (3.0%) (2.3%) (3.8%) (4.5%) (1.5%) (9.6%)

    2013 895,416 68,722 642,600 21,549 19,599 26,118 36,944 10,422 26,651

    (100%) (9.0%) (73.0%) (2.4%) (2.2%) (3.1%) (5.1%) (1.2%) (4.0%)

    ) 2013 6 .

    : , .

    6 ,2009 20 .

    ,2007 16.5%,2008 15.0%,2009 19.3%,2010 21.7%,2011 25.7%,2012 38.2% .

  • 2

    -29-

    2007 1,068,925 176,878 16.5

    2008 1,167,891 174,902 15.0

    2009 1,342,317 258,414 19.3

    2010 1,875,157 406,164 21.7

    2011 2,220,196 570,247 25.7

    2012 2,836,892 1,084,094 38.2

    2013 1,735,371 642,600 37.0

    ) 2013 6 : .

    .

    6 ,20 .

    ,2007 8.2%,2008 7.5%,2009 6.0%,2010 6.2%,2011 5.3%,2012 5.1% .

    2005 2012 ( ) 1.95%.

    ,2006 ,2007 .

    ,20052008 5160 ,2009 6170 .

    - 4160 6170 .

  • 2

    -30-

    2007 2,235,963 183,240 8.2

    2008 2,378,102 177,459 7.5

    2009 3,053,311 183,168 6.0

    2010 3,023,009 187,790 6.2

    2011 3,289,051 173,700 5.3

    2012 3,518,792 180,537 5.1

    ) 2006 . 2007 . . : . .

    4.

    .

    - 2020 , .

    , (TwoTrack) .

    , .

    -2013 4 (2013 10 1 ) .

    - , , .

  • 2

    -31-

    - .

    .2012 .

    - , .

  • 2

    -32-

    3

    1.

    1963 ,1971 .

    1976 .

    1985 1 3 27 .

    1994 3 27 ,3 10 ,1997 10 .

    2000 2003 23 .

    2008 11 3 20 .

    - , , .

  • 3

    -33-

    1963

    , ,

    1964

    12

    5

    (, , , , )

    1967

    60

    1970

    10

    ,

    ,

    , SOC

    1

    1973

    -

    1975

    ,

    , ,

    -

    1976

    1996 300

    3

    -

    1980

    -

    1985

    , ,

    3

    3 14

    -

    (

    )

    1985

    13 -

    1989

    -

    -

  • 2

    -34-

    1990

    -

    (

    )

    1992

    -

    1994

    , ,

    , ,

    3 27

    (3 10 )

    -

    1997

    (10 )

    1999

    (

    )

    -

    1999

    5

    3 20

    ()

    -

    2000

    :

    11

    - ,

    - /

    -

    -

    -

    -

  • 3

    -35-

    2001

    :

    3

    :

    - : ,

    ,

    - : , ,

    - : ,

    7

    (, ,

    , ,

    )

    2003

    :

    (23

    )

    : ,

    , ,

    2004

    1

    5

    :

    4

    :

    , 111

    2006

    :

    :

    : (

    +)

    3 20 7

    6 , 5

    2008

    3 , 20

    ,

    -

    2009

    :

    (MICE )

    2009

    :

    :

    ,

    ,

    2011

    2

    :

    (Tourpia Jeju)

    : , ,

    , ,

    ,

    MICE MICE

    :

    , , Edu-MICE

    : (2000), . (2004), 1 5 .

    (2006), . (2008),

    . (2009), .

    (2009), . (2011), 2

    . .

  • 2

    -36-

    2.

    .

    1)

    2013 7 () 20 6 4,187, .

    - 9 ,,,,,,,,

    - 11 ,,(),12 ,,,,,,()

    7 32,845 .

    - 2 ,

    - 4 (,,, ), 1( )

    2 1,887 .

    - 1 (), 1 ()

    4 13,748 .

    - 2 ,( )

    - 2 ,

  • 3

    -37-

    (2013.7/ :,)

    ()

    29 20 2 5 2

    14 9 - 4 1

    15 11 2 1 1

    108,351

    (42,712)

    73,619

    (38,283)

    18,377

    (2,657)

    14,468

    (1,683)

    1,887

    (89)

    32,325

    (13,298)

    25,865

    (11,849)

    - 5,693

    (1,360)

    767

    (89)

    76,026

    (29,414)

    47,754

    (26,434)

    18,377

    (2,657)

    8,775

    (323)

    1,120

    (0)

    : (2013), .

    2)

    , ,,,,, 6 .

    -, , .

    , 12, 4, 4 .

    , 7, 1, 1 .

    , 3,1 .

  • 2

    -38-

    ()

    ()

    (%)

    ()20 19,813 73,619 38,283 52.0

    1,346 1,749 1,094 62.6

    ,

    381 1,087 835 69.7

    4,296 11,402 2,489 21.8

    202 233 247 100

    213 593 348 58.7

    3,349 3,678 1,056 28.7

    R&G1,050 2,800 1,722 61.5

    103 273 273 100

    , 782 4,050 3,785 93.5

    , ,

    3,562

    29,111

    1

    8,985

    2

    20,126

    13,965 47.9

    ( ,

    )

    377 3,306 2,850 86.2

    ()

    654 3,870 2,017 52.1

    1 ,

    100 283 303 107.1

    2 100 1,769 1,304 73.7

    156 2,225 1,639 73.7

    97 242 130 53.7

    CC 2,406 3,060 1,160 37.9

    132 584 200 34.3

    413 2,078 1,409 67.8

    ()

    94 1,226 1,457 118.8

    : (2013), .

  • 3

    -39-

    ()

    ()

    (%)

    2 4,535 18,377 2,657 14.4

    35-7 JDC 3,986 15,945 2,472 15.5

    69 () 549 2,432 185 7.6

    5 6,494 14,468 1,683 11.6

    2 91

    (),

    2,683 3,909 864 22

    (

    )

    55 1() 100 321 49 15

    4159

    ()

    581 863 270 31

    3196-2 () 3,001 8,775 323 4

    13

    () 129 600 177 30

    2 245 1,887 89 11

    215

    () 100 767 89 11

    400

    SK

    ()145 1,120 - -

    : (2013), .

  • 2

    -40-

    ()

    ()

    (%)

    4 3,583 13,748 830 6.0

    90

    () 1,670 1,882 394 21

    622 () 523 2,756 166 6

    30

    ()

    897 7,410 270 4

    (

    )

    2156

    ()493 1,700 - -

    : (2013), .

    3)

    2013 6 20 , 16,284, 5,653 34.7% .

    13,540, 4,548 33.6% .

    .

  • 3

    -41-

    (2013 6 )

    (B/A,%)

    (A)

    (B)

    20 16,284 13,540 5,653 4,548 34.7

    1996 400 360 195 191 49

    1996 100 90 182 178 184

    2006 1,100 1,007 259 255 24

    2007 40 32 73 73 183

    2008 43 35 18 10 42

    2006 690 557 134 128 19

    2004 275 235 108 105 39

    2009 107 85 17 17 16

    2005 287 230 196 164 68

    1978 10,259 8,637 3,141 2,360 31

    2001 574 449 423 323 74

    () 2006 882 573 174 128 20

    (1) 1988 100 85 24 21 24

    (2) 1996 160 130 86 71 54

    1997 279 242 192 134 69

    1998 75 48 33 33 44

    2000 482 386 152 150 32

    2009 42 36 14 12 33

    2005 247 209 81 70 33

    () 2009 142 114 151 125 106

    : (2013), .

    .

    1)

    2013 7 36, 19,330, 112,936 .

    32, 1.

    3 778, 2,206 1,594(72.2%) .

  • 2

    -42-

    (2013 7 ) ()

    ()

    ()

    36 19,330,163.8 112,935

    1 581,050 560 () 05.07.13

    (06.10.11)

    2 1,989,201 3,322 () 06.11.27

    3 26,303 1,749 () 07.06.20

    4 27,466 167 07.06.20

    5 744,205 22,849 07.12.31

    (09.12.30)

    6 () 631,782 3,870 () 08.04.02

    7 () 2,575,903 6,664 () 08.04.23

    8 49,587 310 08.12.31

    (12.12.3)

    9 202,142 233 () 09.03.18

    10 1 276,218 4,212 09.07.01

    (11,.3.21)

    11 213,277 593 09.07.01

    12 20,900 1,207 ()09.07.01

    (12.12.31)

    13 4,001,613 15,945 JDC 09.12.30

    14 102,609 273 09.12.30

    (11.5.17)

    15 9,467 74 09.12.30

    (12.10.16)

    16 49,100 93 10.03.10

    17 131,935 584 () 10.03.10

    18

    1,539,013 7,845 JDC

    10.11.03

    (12.12.4)

    19 29,904 114 () 10.12.29

    20

    95,240 1,730 () 11.4.11

    21

    782,617 4,050 ()

    11.4.11

    (12.10.2)

    22

    29,850 105 () 11.7.22

    23

    413,612 1,978 () 11.11.9

    24 93,685 1,226 () 12.02.20

    25 58,950 228 12.07.04

    26

    3,792,049 17,806 JDC 12.07.04

    27 295,192 2,493 12.07.11

    28 2 29,222 517 12.10.31

    29 9,994 129 () 12.10.31

    30 32,454 1,203 () 12.12.31

    31 9,296 88 12.12.31

    32 2,3,4,5 293,897 9,179 () 13.2.22

    33 167,840 966 () 13.2.22

    34 19,956 123 () 13.2.22

    35 766.8 110 () 13.7.17

    36 3,868 340 () 13.7.17

    : .

  • 3

    -43-

    2)

    2006 .2013 3 14 , 11 .

    , 2010 .

    (13.3 )( :1US =1,100)

    ()

    (/ )

    ()

    14 5 6,726/

    (51.75)FDI 3,520

    06

    (, )

    ()( / 213,277)

    593

    (,)

    ()

    60

    EMLSI()

    ( )

    141

    08

    (, , )()

    ( 744,207)

    (80%)2 3,992

    10

    (, , )

    ( 276,218) 4,500

    11

    ( , )

    ( 553,114)

    2,200

    (, , , )

    ()( 897,000)

    (70%)

    7,410

    12

    ( )

    ()( 451,146)

    3,300

    ()

    ()( 37,829)

    1,100

    (, )

    ( 778,019)

    11,000

    (, , )

    ()( 31,647)

    137

    ( )

    ()( 390,000)

    1,700

    13

    (, )

    KP( 9,296)

    88

    ()CSC

    ( 9,839)

    505(0.46)

    1) ,

    2) 1,636

    : .

  • 2

    -44-

    3.

    .

    1)

    2012 2,098, 34,388.

    - 1,257,23,180, 841,11,208.

    , 40.6% , 38.0%, 20.0%, 1.5%.

    2001

    29 5 68 277 123 468

    3,488 250 2,850 4,885 1,344 9,079

    14 1 1 4 5 105 24 134

    2,231 30 113 562 190 2,120 192 2,502

    2001 43 1 1 9 73 382 147 602

    5,679 30 113 812 3,040 7,005 1,536 11,581

    2002

    30, 7 69 295 104 468

    3,542 372 2,820 5,202 1,137 9,159

    15 1 6 5 109 23 137

    2,215 30 972 190 2,164 182 2,536

    2002 45 1 13 74 404 127 605

    5,757 30 1,344 3,010 7,366 1,319 11,695

    2003

    33 1 9 7 73 311 100 484 433

    4,030 30 851 69 3,058 5,410 1,102 9,570 1,753

    14 1 7 8 5 116 22 143 345

    2,150 30 1 1,187 71 190 2,242 173 2,605 1,396

    2003 47 1 30 16 15 78 427 122 627 778

    6,180 30 2,038 140 3,248 7,652 1,275 12,175 3,149

    2004

    33 1 13 11 76 327 100 503 470

    4,030 30 1,284 108 3,173 5,710 1,106 9,989 2,004

    14 1 7 12 5 119 21 145 329

    2,150 30 1,187 116 190 2,328 166 2,684 1,487

    2004 47 1 1 20 23 81 446 121 648 799

    6,180 30 30 2,471 224 3,363 8,038 1,272 12,673 3,491

  • 3

    -45-

    2005

    32 1 17 16 77 332 99 508 424

    4,000 30 1,615 154 3,216 6,018 1,037 10,271 2,078

    14 1 7 16 5 118 22 145 357

    2,150 26 1,187 148 190 2,335 177 2,702 1,807

    2005 46 1 1 24 32 82 450 121 653 781

    6,150 26 30 2,802 302 3,406 8,353 1,214 12,973 3,879

    2006

    33 1 21 19 75 327 92 494 453

    4,036 30 2,261 183 3,144 5,971 965 10,080 3,316

    14 1 1 9 17 5 122 21 148 371

    2,160 26 32 1,288 156 190 2,328 167 2,685 1,192

    2006 47 1 2 30 36 80 449 113 642 824

    6,196 26 62 3,549 339 3,334 8,299 1,132 12,765 4,508

    2007

    36 1 24 21 72 324 89 485 459

    4,147 30 2,414 216 2,988 5,926 934 9,848 3,352

    16 1 3 12 20 5 125 21 151 390

    2,537 26 104 1,656 183 190 2,336 167 2,693 1,329

    2007 52 1 4 36 41 77 449 110 636 849

    6,684 26 134 4,070 399 3,178 8,262 1,101 12,541 4,681

    2008

    35 5 24 21 73 326 85 484 442

    4,135 472 2,099 196 3,005 5,988 879 9,872 3,411

    15 1 7 13 20 6 122 19 147 394

    2,481 26 229 2,039 181 230 2,281 152 2,663 1,366

    2008 50 1 12 37 41 79 448 104 631 836

    6,616 26 701 4,138 377 3,235 8,269 1,031 12,535 4,777

    2009

    35 6 24 24 72 318 77 467 343

    4,116 520 2,099 218 2,924 5,863 805 9,592 3,480

    16 1 9 13 22 6 125 17 148 394

    2,564 26 319 2,039 196 230 2,281 137 2,648 1,478

    2009 51 1 15 37 46 78 443 94 615 828

    6,680 26 839 4,138 414 3,154 8,144 942 12,240 4,958

    2010

    35 6 25 24 72 321 76 469 490

    4,030 520 2,149 224 3,206 5,911 801 9,918 3,855

    16 1 9 1 15 25 6 124 17 147 423

    2,149 26 319 36 2,232 213 230 2,238 137 2,605 1,626

    2010 51 1 15 1 40 49 78 445 93 616 913

    6,179 26 839 36 4,381 437 3,436 8,149 938 12,523 5,481

    2011

    35 7 1 27 23 73 341 72 486 538

    4,105 565 20 3,099 213 3,229 6,047 752 10,028 4,200

    16 1 10 4 15 26 7 131 17 155 461

    2,564 26 349 97 2,232 217 268 2,326 131 2,725 1,881

    2011 51 1 17 5 42 49 80 472 89 641 999

    6,669 26 914 117 5,331 430 3,497 8,373 883 12,753 6,081

    2012

    37 11 6 27 26 85 341 70 496 654

    4,191 715 138 3,113 231 3,522 6,058 727 10,307 4,948

    17 1 15 12 17 33 6 137 18 161 585

    2,619 26 530 276 2,348 273 228 2399 140 2,767 2,369

    2012 54 1 26 18 44 59 91 478 88 657 1,239

    6,810 26 1,245 414 5,461 504 3,750 8,457 867 13,074 7,317

    1) 2001-2005

    2) 2003 2003.10 . 2004 2004.10 . 2005 2006.5

    3) .

    : .

  • 2

    -46-

    [ -7]

    5,679 5,757 6,180 6,180 6,150 6,196

    6,684 6,616 6,680

    6,179 6,669 6,810

    113

    30 30 30 62 134

    701 839 839 914 1,245

    36 117 414

    812

    1,344

    2,038 2,471

    2,802

    3,549 4,070 4,138

    4,138 4,381

    5,331

    5,461

    140 224 302 339 399 377 414 437

    430 504

    11,581 11,695 12,175

    12,673 12,973 12,765

    12,541 12,535 12,240

    12,523 12,753

    13,074

    3,149 3,491

    3,879

    4,508 4,681 4,777 4,958

    5,481

    6,081

    7,317

    -

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    [ -8]

  • 3

    -47-

    2)

    1 , . 1 80% ,2-3, .

    1 ( :)

    2008 702,601 405,604 1,108,205 7.2%

    2009 805,265 444,856 1,250,121 12.8%

    2010 756,035 458,781 1,214,816 -2.8%

    2011 827,947 426,491 1,254,438 3.3%

    2012 759,654 422,694 1,182,348 -5.7%

    : .

    ( :)

    1 2 1 2 3

    2008 69.7 69.9 62.9 47.4 40.2 32.6 42.7 69.7

    2009 77.8 66.5 67.1 44.2 24.7 38.3 53.2 72.5

    2010 81.2 72.8 73.4 56.4 37.6 44.5 59.9 70.1

    2011 80.9 72.2 78.9 63.1 56.6 40.5 55.9 78.5

    2012 82.1 76.8 82.2 63.7 51 49.4 59.5 78.5

    : .

    3)

    2012 , 1,126 , 332, 755

    343 ,(261),(95),(91) . ,, ,, , / . 21, 1~2%

  • 2

    -48-

    ,KAL, , , .

    (,)

    7,000~10,000

    2,000~10,000

    1

    1 2,000 O

    1 5,000 O

    1 2,000~2,400 / O

    , O

    3,000~6,000 O

    1 2,000 O

    6,000 , O

    70,000~80,000

    //

    2~4 120,000~200,000 30,000 O

    4~6 20,000~250,000 / O

    2~6 70,000~120,00020,000~30,000

    20,000~50,000

    5 50,000 O

    ()

    2~4 10,000~120,000

    (/)O

    4 150,000~290,000 O

    1 2 18,000~39,000 / O

    ( )

    4~6 150,000~250,000 15,000 O

    4 300,000~400,000 O

    4 30,000~180,000 / O

    4~8 150,000~250,000 O

    2 120,000~180,000

    1( )

    2 50,000 4()

    4~5 10,000~20,000

    50,000~90,000

    2 39,000~196,000( )

    O

    KAL 2 33,000~80,000 O

    2 70,000~330,000 O

    )

    : ,

  • 3

    -49-

    4)

    ,2012 2011 4.4 .

    ( :/)

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013. 1

    8/439 6/285 12/571 28/1,425 91/6,235 20/1,221

    - - 2/95 3/409 28/3,511 4/507

    5/233 5/217 7/289 8/356 19/1,192 7/371

    - - 2/56 15/342 41/982 6/202

    3/206 1/68 1/131 2/318 3/550 3/141

    ,2012 .

    -2013 1 2( 290, 202).

    ( :/)

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013()

    7/566 4/203 4/99 7/348 29/1,871 60/2,800

    .

    2012 31, 13 . .

    - .

  • 2

    -50-

    00

    00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    1 1

    1 1

    2 2

    1 1 2

    2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 13

    1 1

    1 1 2

    1 1 2

    1 1

    1 1 1 3

    1 1

    1 1 2

    ) 2007 ()

    .

    ,, ,2001 20 .

    - 14 .

    /// 00 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    1 1 3 2 1 2 2 2 14

    4 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 14

    3 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 20

    3 1 2 1 1 8

    1 1

    ) 1992 . 2004 .

    , ,2000 2012 9, 6.

    / 00 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    3 1 1 2 1 1 9

    1 1 1 1 1 1 6

  • 3

    -51-

    .

    1)

    1982 1987 2013 2 187 .

    2000 5 ,2012 40.2010 20 2009 .

    2013 7 17 1 () , .

    - .

    - .

    - () .

    5

    2

    1

    3

    2

    1

    4

    2 2

    5

    13

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    00 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    [ -9]

  • 2

    -52-

    (:)

    03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

    1,000 1,169 1,535 1,815 1,954 2,327 2,715 3,034 3,383 3,428

    ()

    5 8 7 2 4 7 2 1 2 1 1

    : , 2013 .

    2)

    .

    - ( 27)

    4 ,JDC ,JDC1,JDC2,JTO .

    (JDC) 2010 3,034,20113,383,2012 3,428 .

    (JTO) 2009 3 30 ,2009 214,2010 355,2011 422 2012 410 .

  • 3

    -53-

    ( : , ,%)

    2005 1,672 97 45 3 1,717

    2006 1,859 97 53 3 1,912

    2007 1,907 98 44 2 1,951

    2008 2,006 98 33 2 2,039

    2009 2,324 98 37 2 2,361

    2010 2,567 99 38 1 2,605

    2011 2,828 98 46 2 2,874

    2012 2,779 98 71 2 2,850

    2005 147,039 98 2,775 2 149,814

    2006 168,762 98 3,489 2 190,251

    2007 206,871 98 3,381 2 210,252

    2008 214,241 99 2,532 1 216,773

    2009 228,631 99 2,898 1 231,529

    2010 289,454 99 3,327 1 292,781

    2011 340,500 99 4,173 1 344,673

    2012 332,895 98 6,763 2 339,658

    :

    (,)

    , , 2, 1.

    2010 12042000,2011 18843500,2012 2899 . 2010 1,534,2011 2,133,2012 3,300.

    , , 5 .

    2

    )

    : (2012),2011 .

  • 2

    -54-

    3)

    2010 12 1stPremium Shopping( ) .

    - (1stPremiumShopping) , .

    - , .

    2012 765 , 18 .

    - , 2013 .

    () 1 2011 2 2011 3 2011 4 2011 5 2011 26 2011 7 2011 8 2011 19 2011 110 2011 111 2011 112 2011 FILA 113 2012 () 14 2012 () 15 2012 16 2012 () 217 2012 18 2012 () 2

    : .

  • 3

    -55-

    .

    1)

    , .

    ,(,) , 2005 .

    - , .

    - 8(2005~2012) 9.1%, -5.6%.

    - 3(10~12) 7.4%, 3.3% 20092012 3.8%.

    (:)

    2012 29 691,642 1,066,069 37,649 1,795,360

    2011 29 680,211 1,103,132 35,464 1,818,807

    2010 28 610,701 911,163 35,271 1,557,135

    2009 27 603,804 963,826 37,361 1,604,991

    2008 26 531,751 879,613 32,001 1,443,365

    2007 23 468,214 685,396 35,108 1,188,718

    2006 19 369,534 606,187 41,726 1,017,447

    2005 16 319,388 601,227 56,471 977,086

    2)

    2012 32, 80% .

    - 1,100,308, 296,032.

  • 2

    -56-

    32 31 ,2 1,3 33 1 .

    ATV, .

    (2012 12 )

    3 3 3 5 2 1 1 5 1 7 1

    : (2013)

    3)

    (1994~2011) 411.4km, 272.1km 683.5km.

    36 , , 55.6%20 , .

  • 3

    -57-

    ()

    30

    20

    3 1029-3 ,

    2 1261-6 ,

    2 14-4 ,

    2 16-7 ,

    2 14-4 ,

    1308 ,

    2 673-2 ,

    2 2680-5 ,

    1 2815-3 ,

    1 2440-5 ,

    2 1987-12 ,

    2 1058-9 ,

    2 70-5 ,

    2 73-3 ,

    2 1022-2 ,

    292-64 ,

    903 ,

    315-14 ,

    754-4 ,

    1 2051-4 ,

    4

    2185 ,

    (1) 257-7 ,

    279-11 ,

    (2) 117 ,

    4

    (1) 1413-2 ,

    () 2395-3 ,

    237-1 ,

    1021-7 ,

    2

    937-5 ,

    848 ,

    : (2013), , p.21.

    . ( )

    1)

    3(10~12) 75.7% , (32.2%),(29.5%), (23.5%),(9.9%),(8.9%), (6.3%),(6%),(4.8%),(2.7%),

  • 2

    -58-

    (1.8%),(-5,1%) .

    2012 , . , 2005 2010 .

    2)

    3(10~12) 38.5%, 22.6%, 21.3%, 8.8%, 6.6%, 5.2%, 4.8%, 3.2%, 2.8%, -0.3%, -6.2%, -18.8%, -30.6% .

    3)

    3(10~12) -5.6%, -7.6%, -11.5%, -12.5%, -14.4%, -14.6%, -21.3%,-38.8%, -56.5% .

    25 2008 2006 .

    4)

    .

  • 3

    -59-

    2010~2012 3 2.4%, -10%, -10.4%, -18.9% .

    2012 , , .

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    300,548 299,704 212,021 56,562 265,822 378,495 449,958 407,345

    1,565 2,026 2,737 466 4,185 6,875 11,350 16,135

    302,113 301,730 214,758 57,028 270,007 385,370 461,308 423,480

    781,958 848,032 833,399 894,349 834,665 868,889 942,402 722,635

    55,691 80,203 128,541 104,560 106,266 123,903 113,781 171,320

    837,649 928,235 961,940 998,909 940,931 992,792 1,056,183 893,955

    10,933 23,389 36,243 46,911 49,098 19,738 31,659 33,112

    190 254 102 103 217 90 101 138

    11,123 23,643 36,345 47,014 49,315 19,828 31,760 33,250

    24,695 61,524 85,328 105,914 109,096 115,286 116,003 135,861

    5,596 10,598 10,912 5,694 5,411 4,290 6,331 5,978

    30,291 72,122 96,240 111,608 114,507 119,576 122,334 141,839

    113,934 129,806 91,506 15,505 67,394 50,893 69,568 88,334

    323 322 254 532 6,000 220 5,556 979

    114,257 130,128 91,760 16,037 73,394 51,113 75,124 89,313

    15,309 77,573 67,556 73,448 76,236 76,622 82,051 88,007

    116 754 - 247 829 2,671 2,620 1,069

    15,425 78,327 67,556 73,695 77,065 79,293 84,671 89,076

    125,329 123,241 115,027 108,875 108,754 115,467 118,623 121,901

    269 966 1,414 211 449 331 285 196

    125,598 124,207 116,441 109,086 109,203 115,798 118,908 122,097

    6,961 8,034 4,963 6,034 6,470 8,468 9,905 10,150

    71 72 39 49 39 16 31 105

    7,032 8,106 5,002 6,083 6,509 8,484 9,936 10,255

    22,531 31,568 32,381 30,206 18,517 22,431 115,559 75,176

    796 619 714 7,018 6,214 9,028 17,562 21,946

    23,327 32,187 33,095 37,224 24,731 31,459 133,121 97,122

    53,007 116,510 60,157 69,313 89,069 111,413 114,971 124,479

    958 4,254 480 579 1,020 1,193 1,050 2,847

    53,965 120,764 60,637 69,892 90,089 112,606 116,021 127,326

    - - 165,747 199,917 190,156 192,293 189,735 185,631

    - - 1,122 7,409 20,170 18,961 25,066 33,251

    - - 166,869 207,326 210,326 211,254 214,801 218,882

    104,455 96,790 70,937 9,390 38,573 69,338 59,031

    266 652 4 - 213 122 132

    104,721 97,442 70,941 9,390 - 38,786 69,460 59,163

    - - - - - 33,456 50,957 61,644

    - - - - - 53 148 2,070

    - - - - - 33,509 51,105 63,714

    : ,.

  • 2

    -60-

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    730,371 747,721 804,887 925,686 988,382 1,141,632 1,089,383 1,134,286

    3,867 4,587 - - - - - -

    734,238 752,308 804,887 925,686 988,382 1,141,632 1,089,383 1,134,286

    108,520 102,767 116,581 110,791 124,877 170,209 207,369 325,466

    317 423 776 423 229 496 978 2,039

    108,837 103,190 117,357 111,214 125,106 170,705 208,347 327,505

    203,088 366,037 396,381 415,274 461,630 526,356 594,036 558,379

    173 40 125 984 1,354 1,569 - -

    203,261 366,177 396,506 416,258 462,984 527,925 594,036 558,379

    290,362 267,328 195,635 223,247 391,252 461,555 410,690 304,351

    - - - - - - - -

    290,362 267,328 195,635 223,247 391,252 461,555 410,690 304,351

    234,944 295,209 202,277 314,722 353,442 342,998 246,872 165,171

    - - - 18,475 - - - -

    234,944 295,209 202,277 333,197 353,442 342,998 246,872 165,171

    48,581 54,455 57,404 76,742 100,042 115,736 106,523 127,082

    289 23 - - - - 182 03

    48,870 54,478 57,404 76,742 100,042 115,736 106,705 127,185

    1,015,567 882,127 948,560 1,112,128 1,256,181 1,495,779 1,716,917 1,813,015

    194,396 209,970 234,886 281,755 350,266 490,395 738,103 1,111,386

    1,209,963 1,092,097 1,183,446 1,393,883 1,606,447 1,986,174 2,455,020 2,924,401

    386,575 389,596 441,638 400,946 480,517 588,855 667,348 644,004

    16,968 13,205 11,734 13,205 92,337 97,841 118,251 115,632

    403,543 402,801 453,372 414,151 572,854 686,696 785,599 759,636

    456,286 443,028 387,458 428,578 425,722 512,693 764,548 793,855

    30,754 26,470 30,863 43,127 82,700 43,391 32,874 41,317

    487,040 469,498 418,321 471,705 508,422 556,084 797,422 835,172

    453,870 1,146,647 1,095,382 1,207,855 1,290,319 1,354,077 1,418,502 1,411,341

    31,214 78,599 63,147 78,015 115,686 102,097 154,016 242,879

    485,084 1,225,246 1,158,529 1,285,870 1,406,005 1,456,174 1,572,518 1,654,220

    457,228 460,454 433,775 436,961 548,709 497,072 689,559 587,278

    60,624 85,802 83,889 116,762 144,594 103,792 91,753 124,642

    517,852 546,256 517,664 553,723 693,303 600,864 781,312 711,920

    1,399,723 1,433,518 1,298,476 1,340,270 1,298,298 1,471,558 1,546,399 1,437,537

    135,121 137,581 124,970 137,505 209,216 167,062 202,068 307,859

    1,534,844 1,571,099 1,423,446 1,477,775 1,507,514 1,638,620 1,748,467 1,745,396

    798,351 3,344,384 708,591 751,660 730,718 743,001 814,477 654,409

    37,153 38,295 32,531 31,385 37,836 26,094 34,471 21,607

    835,504 3,382,679 741,122 783,045 768,554 769,095 848,948 676,016

    : ,.

  • 3

    -61-

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    448,307 397,859 339,685 328,179 273,278 289,965 256,889 207,247

    11,254 7,207 6,945 6,692 5,561 6,834 9,430 10,270

    459,561 405,066 346,630 334,871 278,839 296,799 266,319 217,517

    104,780 104,033 81,457 103,911 75,565 79,363 75,488 67,910

    66,759 70,429 73,455 81,829 86,032 73,084 66,236 62,331

    171,539 174,462 154,912 185,740 161,597 152,447 141,724 130,241

    166,895 277,700 356,199 468,679 526,737 622,645 586,945 524,553

    13,007 40,272 45,841 59,776 86,770 107,921 89,512 126,397

    179,902 317,972 402,040 528,455 613,507 730,566 676,457 650,950

    663,877 743,679 633,129 714,227 700,410 773,008 729,794 137,589

    - - - - - - - 8,743

    663,877 743,679 633,129 714,227 700,410 773,008 729,794 146,332

    156,694 148,389 119,178 113,497 100,592 89,095 54,553 -

    - - - - - - - -

    156,694 148,389 119,178 113,497 100,592 89,095 54,553 -

    28,412 137,377 128,484 123,278 115,099 113,509 95,199 82,862

    - - - - - - - -

    28,412 137,377 128,484 123,278 115,099 113,509 95,199 82,862

    81,563 57,995 39,300 39,972 29,802 27,137 23,986 16,777

    366 25 - 258 677 506 305 332

    81,929 58,020 39,300 40,230 30,479 27,643 24,291 17,109

    392,621 548,547 498,460 517,598 554,744 564,182 509,585 416,450

    44,494 70,463 122,159 100,912 159,472 158,745 130,397 149,651

    437,115 619,010 620,619 618,510 714,216 722,927 639,982 566,101

    225,083 175,847 113,081 91,098 34,735 - - -

    69,724 63,211 51,219 42,042 11,918 - - -

    294,807 239,058 164,300 133,140 46,653 - - -

    391,616 424,581 426,939 430,999 454,809 495,186 426,298 369,741

    34,292 41,591 50,997 44,909 46,952 48,723 69,425 46,798

    425,908 466,172 477,936 475,908 501,761 543,909 495,723 416,539

    ) 2008

    : ,.

  • 2

    -62-

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    746,137 686,563 620,345 652,774 555,342 697,145 601,781 468,677

    18,715 24,882 26,513 25,060 35,897 33,834 29,028 12,491

    764,852 711,445 646,858 677,834 591,239 730,979 630,809 481,168

    998,728 914,232 849,011 917,795 909,687 961,147 939,640 767,381

    30,170 29,230 33,180 32,443 22,588 26,820 19,311 26,626

    1,028,898 943,462 882,191 950,238 932,275 987,967 958,951 794,007

    327,856 320,984 287,509 137,956 165,903 178,956 216,071 183,396

    21,284 22,863 22,947 12,806 20,232 13,964 12,907 18,817

    349,140 343,847 310,456 150,762 186,135 192,920 228,978 202,213

    944,052 969,903 900,680 860,453 729,021 686,419 656,463 555,427

    1,415 - - - - - - -

    945,467 969,903 900,680 860,453 729,021 686,419 656,463 555,427

    : ,.

    5)

    2005~2012 19.5% , (8.1%),(0.5%) .

    3(10~12) 32%, -7.8%, -8.4% .

    2006 6 2008 .

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    515,756 617,874 580,372 615,747 596,956 646,782 638,376 508,231

    10,799 11,132 7,943 6,489 7,310 4,979 4,763 38,659

    526,555 629,006 588,315 622,236 604,266 651,761 643,139 546,890

    273,218 427,369 415,679 384,456 449,744 556,351 525,456 472,496

    149 148 285 18,312 - - - -

    273,367 427,517 415,964 402,768 449,744 556,351 525,456 472,496

    - - 147,957 76,893 150,394 206,201 299,120 358,056

    - - 1,604 1,085 3,153 2,698 2,131 5,875

    - - 149,561 77,978 153,547 208,899 301,251 363,931

    : ,.

  • 3

    -63-

    .

    2012 8 . 8 1 7 .

    3(10~12) 18.7%, 18.9%.

    2001 67,211 -20.2 89,303 38.4

    2002 106,088 57.8 98,239 10.0

    2003 106,785 0.7 101,811 3.6

    2004 134,279 25.7 115,789 13.7

    2005 123,385 -8.1 91,777 -20.7

    2006 127,154 3.0 70,239 -23.5

    2007 108,552 -14.6 62,640 -10.8

    2008 106,412 -2.0 85,338 36.2

    2009 121,615 14.3 88,469 3.7

    2010 161,073 32.5 101,771 15.0

    2011 181,430 12.6 101,757 -0.01

    2012 226,938 25.1 143,897 41.4

    :

    4.,

    (2002), (2007) 2010 3' .

    , , .

    3(10~12) 38.5%, 21.9%, 18.6%, 6.6%, 5.2%, 3.2%,-0.3%, -6.2%.

  • 2

    -64-

    , ( :)

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    988,382 1,141,632 1,089,383 1,134,316

    957,456 1,100,970 1,039,620 1,040,119

    30,926 40,662 49,763 94,197

    1,624,447 1,970,020 2,455,020 2,928,001

    1,273,201 1,463,961 1,716,917 1,816,615

    351,246 506,059 738,103 1,111,386

    572,854 686,696 785,599 759,636

    480,517 583,306 667,348 644,004

    92,337 103,390 118,251 115,632

    42,988 57,307 70,760 80,607

    42,403 56,460 69,783 79,483

    585 847 977 1,124

    125,106 170,705 208,347 327,505

    124,877 170,209 207,369 325,466

    229 496 978 2,039

    1,460,153 1,638,620 1,748,467 1,745,396

    1,250,632 1,470,391 1,546,399 1,437,537

    209,521 168,229 202,068 307,859

    1,315,056 1,456,174 1,572,518 1,654,220

    1,185,922 1,353,198 1,418,502 1,411,341

    129,134 102,976 154,016 242,879

    772,429 769,051 851,948 676,016

    734,593 742,845 817,477 654,409

    37,836 26,206 34,471 21,607

    : (2013), .

    5.

    1)

    2012 12 , 14, 4, 7.

    - (), (

  • 3

    -65-

    , ), 6 ( ) .

    2012 .

    00

    00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 16

    1 1 1 1

    1 1 1 1 3 7

    11 1 1 1 2 2 1 5 2 26

    1 1 1 1 1 5

    )

    (), (), (), (), (), (), ()

    , , 2, 2, , 2, 1, 2, ()

    ,

    ,

    (), ()

    1, , , , ()

    (), (), (), (),

    (), (), (), (),

    (), (), ()

    (), (), (), (),

    (), (), (),

    (), (), (), (),

    (), (), (), ()

    ()

    (), (), (),

    ()

    2)

    2012 14 ,2013 2 .16 3,276 .

  • 2

    -66-

    4(08~11) 10.2%, 287.4%, 88.3%, 81.7%, 17.8%,14.5%.

    2 -3.1%, -6.1%, -10.4%, -21.4%,2 -38.7%.

    (02~13)

    ()

    16 3,276

    2002

    200 , ,

    (), ,

    200 , ,

    , ,

    2003 200 , ,

    (, ), (, )

    2004 200 ,

    (), (, ) ,

    2005

    2 200 ,

    , , ,

    2 200 , ,

    (, ), (, ,

    )

    2006

    200 , ,

    , (, ), ,

    200 , ,

    (, ), ,

    2007 200 , ,

    , , ,

    2008 200 , ,

    , , .

    2009

    2 200 , ,

    , (), ,

    1 200 , ,

    , , (,

    )

    2010 2 200 , ,

    ,

    , , ,

    2011 200 , ,

    (,), , (,

    )

    2013

    216 ,

    260

    : .

  • 3

    -67-

    ()

    4 800

    2002 200, ,

    , , ,

    ,

    2003 200 ,

    , ,

    ,

    2005 200 , , , ,

    ,

    2007 200 ,

    ( :,)

    2011 2010 2009 2008

    120,304 2,418 116,276 2,048 167,833 2,094.1 113,065 1,806

    16,840 368 23,653 507 17,550 420.1 31,727 759

    22,630 286 20,655 330 45,980 469.1 28,140 175

    3,377 291 5,038 305 7,921 368.8 6,740 352

    17,500 139 33,900 211 69,000 509.9 37,012 193

    2 4,145 30 14,086 100 12,055 27.5 2,748 33

    2 1,805 53 2,396 98 2,921 161.6 1,670 230

    5,290 207 3,430 143 3,270 71.7 1,900 31

    4,482 27 6,824 64 2,676 8.5 1,250 18

    27,063 872 5,280 261 5,820 46.6 1,878 15

    13,192 33 1,014 29 640 10.3

    2 1,110 34 - - - - - -

    1 1,350 48 - - - - - -

    2 1,520 30 - - - - - -

    ) .

    : (2012), .

    3)

    .

    5 , .

    2013 5 22 .

  • 2

    -68-

    ()

    ()

    ()

    198,426 52,700

    00-05

    (2000.9. )

    (2005.2.25)

    5956,845 10,000

    09.3-12.12

    (2009.3.12)

    15

    2635-3102,609 27,340 ()

    09.4-12.3

    (2011.12.28)

    (2011.6.2)

    7

    2869 31,647 15,490

    ()

    12.5-15.12

    (2012.6.20)

    (2012.9.26)

    44

    ,

    , ,

    ,

    ,

    1134 88,696 56,300 ()

    13.1-15.12

    (2013.5.22)

    76

    ,

    ,,

    , ,

    ,

    : (2013), .

    4)

    7, 2, 5 .

    3(10~12) 101.9%, 466.7%, 292.6%, 234.2%, 125.2%,38.3%, 12%, 0.9%.

    3(10~12) 12.4%, 183.6%, 41.4%, 35.1%, 12.2%,4.1%, -8.4%, -37.2%.

  • 3

    -69-

    ( :/)

    2010 2011 2012

    56,460 6,156 771,684 77,767 15,597 1,063,297 106,399 25,094 974,861

    19,587 787 115,309 21,043 860 155,673 19,934 988 145,133

    9,101 4,334 165,867 10,370 5,969 170,587 10,812 8,293 179,869

    2,137 132 69,560 3,060 1,450 110,021 3,388 1,474 126,903

    1,427 229 29,200 5,200 570 29,800 5,716 1,161 58,420

    21,146 355 340,795 27,712 425 263,957 31,601 11,399 134,368

    1,990 101 39,900 3,500 160 200,300 34,149 1,557 320,900

    1,072 218 11,053 6,882 6,163 132,959 799 222 9,268

    : .

    5)()

    () ,10,25 61,321 .

    () (05~13)

    ()

    12 13

    10 25 61,321 27,226 9,648 9,758 14,689

    3 10 19,661 19,661 - - -

    (3)

    , 05~09 6,891 6,891 - - -,

    ,,

    ,06~10 6,870 6,870 - - -

    ,

    ,,

    ,08~12 5,900 4,951 949 - -

    ,

    5 10 33,560 8,514 8,699 8,653 7,694

    (5)

    11~15 7,120 620 1,476 2,251 2,773,

    ,,

    10~14 6,800 2,482 1,615 1,382 1,321

    ,

    2,

    12311~15 6,120 834 1,377 1,432 2,477

    ,

    11~13 7,120 2,120 2,289 2,711 -,

    10~14 6,400 2,458 1,942 877 1,123,

    2 5 8,100 1,105 6,995

    (3)

    12 13~17 3,800 - - 518 3,282

    ,,

    13~17 4,300 - - 587 3,713

    : .

  • 2

    -70-

    6) 15 ( 8 , 7 ) .

    2010

    (5)

    -

    - 10.1.1-12.12.31 2004

    - 10.1.1-12.12.31 2007

    2

    - 10.1.1-12.12.31 2007

    2

    - ,

    - 10.1.1-12.12.31 2010

    1

    -

    - , 10.1.1-12.12.31 2010

    2011

    (7)

    -

    - 11.1.1-13.12.31 2005

    - ,

    - 11.1.1-13.12.31 2008

    1 -

    - 11.1.1-13.12.31 2008

    -

    - 11.1.1-13.12.31 2008

    1

    - ,

    - ,

    -

    11.1.1-13.12.31 2008

    -

    - ()

    11.1.1-13.12.31 2011

    -

    - 30011.1.1-13.12.31 2011

    2012

    (3)

    -

    -

    - ,

    12.1.1-14.12.312003

    ()

    -

    - 12.1.1-14.12.31 2009

    2

    -

    - 12.1.1-14.12.31 2009

    : (2013), .

    3 ( 1 , 2 ).

  • 3

    -71-

    2010

    10.1.1-

    12.12.312004

    2011

    803

    ,

    11.1.1~

    13.12.312005

    2012

    (~)

    12.1.1~

    14.12.312003

    : (2013), .

    6.

    .

    .

    2007 9 2012 12 26424 .

    2011 3 31 () .

    09 269 10 787 11 1,090 12 1,108 .

    -2012 7 529,155,6 75,064,1 67,245,1050,017 .

    -2010 2012 3 18.6%.

  • 2

    -72-

    [ -10]

    ( :)

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    1 2007.09 48,008 83,014 89,754 67,245

    1-1 2009.05 19,501 26,900

    2 2007.10 8,972 11,753 16,641 19,520

    3 2007.12 12,365 18,493 24,184 30,663

    4 2008.03 6,284 20,048 31,242 29,213

    5 2008.04 15,584 19,948 34,828 28,168

    6 2008.05 23,375 26,900 94,156 75,064

    7 2008.05 66,607 412,497 403,837 529,155

    7-1 2008.06 1,508 4,939 9,271 9,451

    8 2008.12 25,889 30,390 63,951 47,883

    9 2008.08 7,540 16,461 24,060 30,234

    10 2008.10 14,650 44,058 101,058 50,017

    10-1 2010.03 11,341 44,846 20,125

    11 2008.11 11,043 26,147 27,099 16,149

    12 2009.03 9,524 16,357 24,832 21,270

    13 2009.06 7,223 7,915 7,705 9,980

    14 2009.09 4,145 8,162 7,913 8,040

    14-1 2010.04 5,078 7,365 13,495

    15 2009.12 1,642 7,006 6,895 7,520

    16 2010.03 7,956 9,428 9,120

    17 2010.09 3,193 9,380 10,840

    18 2011.04 7,640 12,400

    18-1 2010.06 6,052 21,641 15,330

    19 2011.09 3,650 9,040

    20 2012.05 7,800

    21 2012.11 3,900

    264,359 787,708 1,090,877 1,108,522

    31,010 40,284 93,753 120,870

    251,349 747,424 997,123 987,652

    ) .

    :

  • 3

    -73-

    .

    52 .

    21 9 , 9 .

    (km)

    () ()

    44 (9) 15.0 420

    45 (90.9) 4.8 90

    46 1 10.6 240

    47 8 16.3 290

    48 10.3 240

    49 17.0 300

    50 () 1.8 30

    51 5.5 120

    52 1 3 9.6 240

    :,( ),2010.7.20.

    .

    4 69.9km 2013 ,2015 6 67.9km . 6 126.4km .

  • 2

    -74-

    1

    ( )

    12.6km

    - 1,7km - - 1.8km - -

    0.5km - - 1.0km - -2.6km-

    - 0.2km - - 4.8km -

    12.9.15

    2

    ( )

    7km - 2.3km - - 0.2km -

    - 3.0km - 1 - 1.5km -

    3

    ( )

    8.7km

    - 3.4km - -

    1.0km - - 1.0km - - 1.8km -

    - 1.3km -

    4

    ( )

    10.8km

    - 4.5km - - 0.7km -

    - 1.4km - -1.2km--1.7km - -

    1.0km - - 0.3km -

    2

    5

    ( )

    9.6km

    - 1.1km - () - 1.4km - -

    0.2km - - 1.8km - - -

    0.4km - - 0.8km - - 0.3km -

    - 0.3km - - 0.9km - -

    1.2km - - 1.2km -

    13.4.20

    6

    ( )

    18.2km

    - 1.6km - - 3.2km -

    - 3.7km - , - 4.0km -

    - 5.7km -

    : , ( ) , 2013.4.18 .

    1

    14.2km

    1 ( )

    12.6.18

    2

    23km

    13

    14-1 11

    13.4.22

    3

    () 21.4km

    13

    12

    13.4.22

    4

    () 11.3km

    11()

    13.4.22

    : , 2 ~ 4 , 2013.4.21 .

  • 3

    -75-

    1

    ( )

    33km

    (, )

    , (, ,

    ) (, , )

    ,

    2

    ( )

    14.2km

    12.10.6

    3

    ( )

    21km

    4

    ( )

    18.6km

    ,

    5

    ( )

    39.6km, 7

    6

    ( )

    (, , )

    .

    487 75 2010.5 .

    , .

    2011 5 2012 7 ,2013.4 2 .

    1

    8.6km

    11.5.14

    2

    8km

    ()

    11.5.14

    3

    10.1km

    /

    11.5.14

    : (NEWSis 2013.4.11)

  • 2

    -76-

    .

    (2012.4.6) .

    .

    2012 .

    .

    2012 9 9 '' .

    4.4 .

    ,, .

    .

    7.

    .

    2()2 ( ) .

  • 3

    -77-

    , .

    3(10~12) -2.3%, 11.8%. 4.8%,8.9%.

    4

    78-1

    1-1 3

    119

    158

    ()

    ()

    (ha) 975ha 300ha 255ha 230ha 190ha

    95.5.26 91.5.10 02.8.25 05.4.15

    93~96 91~96 02~11 07~12

    1

    591 223 134 160 74

    97.7.23 95.3.5 11.5.29 12.11.1

    32/78 828 620 10/16 8/14

    : (2013),2013 , p.18.

    2002 254,167 486,888 125,424 284,464

    2003 62,730 161,560 26,796 103,576

    2004 287,077 238,443 30,798 140,690

    2005 256,471 255,898 32,802 192,476

    2006 366,916 343,902 57,402 226,449

    2007 396,506 376,011 59,115 194,478

    2008 416,258 413,086 80,191 228,330

    2009 462,984 56,233 100,042 274,711

    2010 638,726 861,088 115,736 358,436

    2011 594,026 1,024,134 120,208 400,228 76,772 130,089

    2012 609,148 1,075,978 127,193 425,024 143,321 263,146 9,384 37,269

    : (2013),2013 , p.18.

  • 2

    -78-

    0

    200,000

    400,000

    600,000

    800,000

    1,000,000

    1,200,000

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    700,000

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    ()

    [ -11]

    .

    2010 2016 7 80km 20km , 60km (30) .

    2012 14km, 5km 19km .

    2013 1100 ~ 5km,1100 ~5.16 20km,~ 9km, ~ 15km 49km .

    .

    1966 ( 182),1970 .

  • 3

    -79-

    2002 ,2007 ( ).2010 .

    3(10~12) -0.3%.

    - 7.3%, -0.4%, -1.1%, -3.6%, -48.1%.

    2000 545,423 231,896 160,023 129,010 24,494

    2001 450,061 233,588 159,849 45,979 10,645

    2002 425,475 165,624 163,748 75,576 20,527

    2003 557,656 195,202 196,550 141,393 24,511

    2004 668,794 224,946 223,381 189,145 31,322

    2005 734,238 238,775 221,675 234,976 38,812

    2006 745,308 248,908 206,788 251,401 38,211

    2007 804,887 269,706 249,143 246,103 39,935

    2008 925,686 346,889 247,896 278,263 52,638

    2009 988,382 357,701 262,216 307,488 57,106 3,871

    2010 1,141,632 367,411 276,091 363,494 68,024 66,612

    2011 1,089,383 345,803 265,408 393,896 63,339 20,937

    2012 1,134,316 364,501 269,878 418,791 63,169 17,977

    : .

    .

    .

    1( ), 174ha( ). 2012 2014 3, 5,000 .

    , , .

  • 2

    -80-

    .

    () 2009 7 3392 ,2010 161,975,2011 278,188,2012 331,029 .

    ( :)

    2010 2011 2012

    161,975 278,188 331,029 771,192

    1 3,892 5,020 2,565 11,477

    2 2,621 6,702 9,535 18,858

    3 3,666 10,370 10,276 24,312

    4 4,325 16,006 24,269 44,600

    5 7,952 27,588 43,122 78,662

    6 16,240 30,288 52,839 99,367

    7 19,287 50,041 42,486 111,814

    8 29,792 49,453 42,729 121,974

    9 20,925 37,040 32,974 90,939

    10 25,537 45,680 53,675 124,892

    11 21,911 16,559 38,470

    12 5,827 5,827

    ) .

    :

    .

    , , 1986 1994 9 1000 183,279 32 .

    3(10~12) 2.4%, -1.4%.

    () () ()

    2007 1,777 401 1,376

    2008 1,906 460 1,446

    2009 1,895 443 1,452

    2010 1,926 445 1,481

    2011 1,919 493 1,426

    2012 2,021 581 1,440

    : .

  • 3

    -81-

    .

    2000 2009 14-1 2(5.16)196ha(588; ) 122 13 333 285 4.5km,, 4,500, .32)

    2009 9 15 2009 28 .201080,2011 97,2012 11 5 2011 20%.

    .

    4(, ,1100 , ), 1.635(495).

    - .

    ( ), ( ) .

    ()

    ()

    ()

    0.309

    ,

    00. 12. 05

    (06. 10. 18)

    0.610

    ,

    09. 10. 01

    (08. 10. 13)

    1100

    ~

    0.126

    09. 10. 01

    (09. 10. 12)

    0.590

    10. 11. 12

    (11. 03. 14)

    : .

    32) ,,2010.1.11.

  • 2

    -82-

    8.

    .

    ,'07 1,064 '08 1,839 '09 2,123 '10 2,384 11 2,466 12 3,049 .

    - 3(10~12) 13.1%.

    2013 ,,,,,,,,,,, .

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    13 756,979 811,200 837,141 1,064,344 1,839,000 2,123,215 2,384,210 2,466,450 3,048,798

    401,847 421,843 503,521 653,670 854,000 1,082,365 1,523,150 1,762,400 1,997,170

    86,635 91,500 89,670 145,130 168,000 261,080 275,800 333,750 341,570

    28,310 55,360 63,400 82,600 88,000 87,379 90,400 98,050 104,490

    192,550 156,833 156,680 200,100 224,000 314,940 372,950 506,470 571,694

    128,800 115,690 120,025

    19,092 21,675 29,590 33,890 50,000 53,317 118,800 125,200 138,198

    20,230 13,515 22,831 25,090 33,000 52,229 58,600 58,370 62,992

    55,030 82,960 141,350 166,860 291,000 313,420 477,800 524,870 658,201

    355,132 389,357 333,620 410,674 985,000 1,040,850 861,060 704,050 1,051,628

    261,063 264,357 218,670 233,830 578,000 646,200 430,010 366,510 513,950

    20,924 15,000 8,020 7,794 56,000 56,600 33,600 21,500 25,565

    37,405 33,000 10,930 18,100 91,000 115,920 130,730 89,210 175,040

    35,740 77,000 96,000 150,950 260,000 203,250 232,000 203,100 278,670

    - - - - - 18,880 34,720 23,730 46,113

    - - - - - - - - 12,290

    : .

    .

    ,2006 2,650,2007 1,428,20083,901,2009 4,127,2010 4,275,2011 5,440,2012 2,580 2012 . .

  • 3

    -83-

    2012 10 , , 1,507, 1,056 .

    3(10~12) -18.1%, 66.6%,1 35.7%, 6.5%.

    - -4.2%, -26.5%, -29.2%, -34.5%, -69.1%.

    3(10~12) -22.3%,-4.2%, -7%, -20.2%, -34.5%,-52.9%, -73.8%. 204.2%,1 42.9%.

    ( :/)

    1

    2003 136 265 72 473

    4,080 8,530 3,250 15,860

    2004 377 203 215 36 831

    42,620 2,897 4,800 640 50,957

    2005 91 1,671 295 81 2,138

    2,730 23,424 8,230 2,430 36,814

    2006 24 31 2,235 270 90 2,650

    720 850 25,715 7,390 1,500 36,175

    2007 101 120 221 102 230 68 586 1,428

    3,030 3,600 12,820 2,166 6,190 2,010 1,172 30,988

    2008 273 241 53 47 265 70 702 2,250 3,901

    22,650 7,230 1,820 1,395 8,550 1,560 1,523 4,500 49,228

    2009 84 326 57 52 281 60 776 2,491 4,127

    8,400 25,720 1,860 1,410 8,740 1,490 1,720 5,270 54,610

    2010 342 47 55 37 121 1,389 1,393 891 4,275

    23,940 4,700 1,793 1,000 2,356 2,778 2,786 1,782 41,135

    2011 50 220 130 48 157 216 1,324 3,295 5,440

    1,500 6,600 3,400 1,280 4,620 8,545 2,648 6,590 35,183

    2012 76 435 35 32 247 95 1,278 382 2,580

    2,280 13,050 900 540 4,338 3,150 2,556 764 27,578

    : .

  • 2

    -84-

    (4)

    (10)

    (9)

    08

    10

    13

    23 - 109

    (25)

    (25)

    (59)

    ()

    (4)

    (15,10)

    07

    10

    12

    19 10 260

    (25)

    (30)

    (205)

    91

    ~11 15 - 270

    () -

    14 20 10 60

    : ,' ' 6 , 2013. 8. 29 .

    .

    ,33) .

    , ,,. .

    - , .

    34) 6(,,,,,).

    .

    2008 110,563,2009 147,843,2010 152,256,2011 194,200,2012 214,420 .

    33)CIQ(),,, 34) Fish Arena ,

  • 3

    -85-

    - 3(10~12) 18.7%.

    2010 2,989 ,2011 3,827 ,2012 4,114 .

    - 3(10~12) 17.3%.

    ( :,,)

    2010 20,384 152,256 2,989,875 17,467 136,178 2,400,910 2,917 16,078 588,965

    2011 27,241 194,200 3,827,901 24,398 177,844 3,218,231 2,843 16,356 609,670

    2012 30,590 214,420 4,114,709 27,314 195,033 3,506,514 3,276 19,387 608,195

    : .

    .

    , .

    - 45 .

    .

    - 34( 6, 28).

    2 6 2 3 2 1 1 3 1

    1 2 1 1

    1 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 1

    :

    .

    2012 16, 126(40, 86). 12, 83( 39, 44).

  • 2

    -86-

    2012 (+ ) , 36,109, 2,400 .

    9.

    .

    2002 .

    .

    - 3(10~12) 22.4%.

    2013 ,, 3 45( 15) 24 .

    ( :)

    2010 7,200 1,000 5,000 1,200

    2011 9,689 714 7,469 1,506

    2012 10,793 780 8,986 1,027

    2008 2006 2006

    10.

    .

    () 2012 8.

    - 1.2km (2008.10.20).

  • 3

    -87-

    , , , 2013 .

    (2012 )

    ()

    485 332

    13 10 2() 2009 2009

    15 9 9 () 2009 2010

    18 18 () 2008 2004

    ~ 45 32

    (, )2008 2008

    1,

    2 63 63

    (, )2005 2008

    , 180 20

    ( ,

    )

    1996 2011

    /

    7

    ( ~)132 132

    ,

    ()

    2009

    (2011)2010

    () 25 48

    ()2010 2012

    : .

    .

    ( 2009.3.18) 81, .

    (2013 4 )

    15 8 3 6 6 6 3 1 11 1 1 3 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 3

    ) 2, 1

    : .

  • 2

    -88-

    11.

    , , .

    1 2(13:30,15:00) 7 8 2 , .

    1 2

    2

    3 () 2

    4 1

    5 2

    6 2

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12 ()

    13

    : (2013), .

    ) 26 , .

    12.

    .

    10, 7 .

    , , .

  • 3

    -89-

    ()

    kr.koreanair.com

    http://www.jejuenergy.or.kr/

    DAUM DAUM http://jeju.daum.net

    JDC www.jdcenter.com/

    http://krafarm.kra.co.kr/

    http://www.komipo.co.kr/

    www.kospo.co.kr

    http://www.jejuwater.go.kr/

    www.sghall.or.kr

    KEPCO www.kepco.co.kr/sg

    SK/SK/

    SK www.sksmartgrid.com

    KT/GS KT www.ktsmartgrid.co.kr

    LG LG

    http://www.jpdc.co.kr

    http://www.jpdc.co.kr

    http://jejuceramic.com/

    http://www.osullocmall.com/

    ) 2012 12 .

    : (2012). ().

    .

    9, 2.

    (201212 )

    ()

    03.3.25

    07.12.4

    ()

    14,300 2,637

    (, )

    07.6.1 2,835 738()

    2009. 5

    () 2,212 192 ()

    2009. 12

    () 952 163

    ()

    2010. 4

    2,681 275 ()

    2010. 7

    () 1,140 198 ()

    98. 1

    1,012 369

    ()

    11. 4. 6

    ()1950

    1,242 414 (),

    11. 5.27 () 195 49 ()

    : .

  • 2

    -90-

    13.

    .

    ,1970 , 3 20 . () .

    2000 ,, (),() , , , .

    ,, .

    .

    , .

    .

    .

    , 2010 324.3% .

    - 1 80% ,2-3, . .

  • 3

    -91-

    -, , .

    - , .

    -, .

    2012 31 13 .

    ,, ,2001 20, 14 . .

    , 2005 . .

    , . .

    , .

    - , 20102012 (-) .

    .

    , .

    ()

  • 2

    -92-

    , . .

    - , .

    .2013 , .

    .

    .

    . .

    .

    , .

    .

    2002 , .

    , , .

  • 3

    -93-

    1,2,3 6 , .

    .

    , , .

    ,, .

    , .

    .

    . ,,

    , , .

    ,, .

    .

    .

    .

    , .

  • 2

    -94-

    .

    , .

    .

  • 4

    -95-

    4

    1.

    .3

    1)

    10 ,, . .

    2011 3 .

    2)

    MICE , .

    -, ., .,MICE ., .

    , , , .

  • 2

    -96-

    3

    (02), (07), (10)

    , , ,

    ,

    , ,

    ~~

    (JDC) . (ICC)

    MICE

    , ()

    ,

    -

    - , ,

    , ,

    -

    ,

    -

    : ,3 , 2011.

    [ -12]

  • 4

    -97-

    [ -13]3

    .3 5

    5 5 5(2009-2013) .

    - , .

    2009 3 5 .

  • 2

    -98-

    .4 (20112020)

    4 (20062020) .

    -

    -

    -

    FTA - .

    -,,,, , .

    [ -14](2011),4 (2011-2020)

  • 4

    -99-

    : ,

    .

    4

    ,

    ,

    - , R&D ,

    - , ,

    - , ,

    -

    -

    - ,

    MICE

    - 5 (, , , , )

    - ,

    FIT

    - (, , )

    - ,

    - , ,

    - , , ,

    - , , , ,

    - , --

    - 15 ICC

    - , MICE

    - , ,

    - 1

    - ()

    :,4 (2011-2020),2011.

  • 2

    -100-

    . (2013.7.17)

    1)

    2013 7 17 1 .

    .

    54( 25, 29) .

    2017 240, 1,600 . ( ) 12 8517 100 .

    2)

    .

    , , , 1 , , , (NCS) , , , .

  • 4

    -101-

    1 (2013 7 17)

    ,

    ,

    .

    1

    ,

    (MICE),

    ,

    ( )

    , 8

    (PCO)

    ,

    ,

    , ,

    ,

    15 7, 20 12

    ,

    koreatrails.or.kr

    .

    ,

    (NCS)

    : , ,2013.7.17.

  • 2

    -102-

    2.

    . (2009-2013)

    1)

    3 .

    69( ) 5 20092013.

    2)

    ,, .

    , , .

    [ -15] ,

    .2

    1)

    2 222 .

    2012 2021 10 .

  • 4

    -103-

    2)

    (TourpiaJeju), 1,300 , 8 , 300 ( 200 ) . ,,,, 5 .

    12 , , .

    2

    3D (3D Ecopia)

    - , 3D 3D

    ,

    IT

    (Natural Healing Complex)

    - ,

    ,

    ,

    (MICE)

    MICE

    - ICC MICE MICE

    MICE ()

    STAR MICE

    , ,

    ()

    - , (One-Stop) ,

    ,

    - ,

    , , (TSI) ,

    , ,

    ,

    : ,2 , 2011.

  • 2

    -104-

    4

    -

    - , , ,

    ,

    ,

    - TF

    -

    -

    -

    ,

    ()

    , , , 4

    - ,

    , , , , ,

    , ,

    , ,

    2

    (, , , , , ,

    , , , )

    , ,

    : ,2 , 2011.

  • 4

    -105-

    .2025

    1)

    .

    2)

    , , , , , , , .

    2025

    ,

    ,

    ,,

    24 : , , , :24 ,, , , , ( )

    : , 2025 , 2007.6.

  • 2

    -106-

    5

    1.

    .

    , .

    -,,,,,

    -,,,,

    -,,,

    -

    2009~2018(10)

    4,727( 1,462, 2,110, 1,155)

    ( 25 )

    - ,

    -

  • 5

    -107-

    [ -16]

  • 2

    -108-

    .

    , , .

    ,,, 20

    -(4 )

    -(7 ),

    -(4 ),

    -(5 ),

    20082017(10)

    2 547( 2,483, 3,346, 14,718)

    - :4 967( 2,588, 5,418, 32,961)

    - (6), (12) (39)

    -

  • 5

    -109-

    [ -17]

    .

    2009 2012 .

    , 2010 2014 5 .,

  • 2

    -110-

    ,,,, 5 .

    ,, 27 ,2011 , 12 .

    . , .

    - 3 (,,)

    -20102014(5)

    -7,479 ( 2,672, 3,430, 1,377)

    - :2010 - 92 ,2011 - 175

    2.

    .AStrategicFrameworkforTourism(2012-2020)35)

    (VisitEngland) ,, ,2020 5% .

    , , , 4 .

    35)(2011),3 (),pp.60-62.

  • 5

    -111-

    AStrategicFrameworkforTourism'

    2012 ,

    Business

    , , ,

    (Regional Tourism Framework Agreements)

    ( )

    E-Tourism

    (, )

    Welcome to England

    (, )

    , . (sustainabletourism) .

    (Visitors),(Industry),(Community),(Environment), VICE .

    -(Visitor) ,

    -(Industry) ,

    -(Community)

    -(Environment)

    VICE

  • 2

    -112-

    . .

    ,, . Seasideresortactionplan .

    .AStrategicDestinationFrance(2012-2020)36)

    2010 (AtoutFrance) ,

    (1) ,(2) ,(3) , , , ,

    AStrategicDestinationFrance(2010-2020)

    ,

    SME, POS

    TSI(Tourism Social Investment) ,

    ,

    , , ()

    (e-tourism )

    ,

    (Yield Management) /

    , , Web 2.0

    , &

    - , ,

    R&D

    36)(2011),3 (),pp.62-63.

  • 5

    -113-

    .

    - BRICS , .

    - , .

    - ,, .

    .

    1)

    (TTCI) 2013 TheWorldEconomicForum , (Booze& Company,Deloitte,theInternationalAirTransportAssociation,theInternationalUnionforConservationofNature,theWorld Tourism Organization, theWorld Travel&Tourism Council) .

    () .

    .

    - / (subindex):

    - :

  • 2

    -114-

    - , : ,,

    14 .

    - , , , , , , , , ,,(ICT) , , , (), ,

    .

    [ -18]

    140 2013 2011 1 .

  • 5

    -115-

    () , 3 .

    (2) , .

    , , (3), (7) .

    / (2) .

    , (6) .

    , (139) .

    2)

    73 74 .

    74()2 .

    73 ( )

    ,

    .

    74 ()

    .

    .

    .

    , .

  • 2

    -116-

    37)

    .

    , , 38) .

    OECD .

    .

    , .

    -, .

    , .

    .39)

    1)

    2004 2005-2015(HawaiiTourism StrategicPlan:2005-2015) .

    37) , 62,2007.2.38) .

    39), ,2013.

  • 5

    -117-

    (HTA) (Tourism StrategicPlan) 10 .

    - , , .

    (sustainabletourism) .

    - ,, .

    , , , , .

    (access), (communicationsandoutreach), (Hawaiianculture), (marketing), (naturalresources), (researchandplanning), (safetyandsecurity), (tourism productdevelopment), (workforcedevelopment) 9 .

    2)

    ,, .

    , ., ,, .,

  • 2

    -118-

    .,, , ., , .

    : , , (, , )

    : ,

    : (, )

    : , , , , ,

    ( )

    : Hawaii Tourism Authority(2004). Hawaii Tourism Strategic Plan: 2005-2015.

    3) (NaturalResourcesProgram)

    (NRP) 2002 , .

    , ,, 2003 $1million .

    DepartmentofLandandNaturalResources,TheNatureConservancy,HawaiiEcotourismAssociation,HawaiiTourismAuthority,PBRHawaii,andPapahanaumokuakeaMarineNationalMonument (NaturalResourcesAdvisoryGroup,NRAG) .

    .2013 Ecotourism InnovationsatMakauwahiCaveReserve,Eco-Tourism:ProtectingtheJewelsKkee& Alaka'iAccess,ConservationConnections:Unitingourisland

  • 5

    -119-

    communitieswithenvironmentalstewardshipopportunities,HonoluluZooChildren'sDiscoveryForestPhaseII 27 .

    . (TheCanaryIslands))

    1)

    .

    32% , .

    , .

    1990 550 ,2000 1,100 .

    .

    , ,, , .

    (thelaw oflanduseplanning) (theLawonGuidelinesforGeneralPlanningandTourismoftheCanaryIslands) .

    2001 2003 / (theMoratorium) .

  • 2

    -120-

    .

    2)

    .

    , .

    , .

    WTO(1997) , .

    .

    - . , .

    - , , , (TourismObservatories) .

  • 5

    -121-

    - (sun-and-sand) , , . .

    .

    - .

    - .

    - .

    .

    - .

    - .

    - .

    , (process) .

  • 2

    -122-

    . (KangarooIsland)

    1)

    , , , 4,400 , ,( ), , ,,, .

    .

    2003 150,915 , 26% , / .

    (Tourism OptimizationManagementModel:TOMM) .

    (partnershipmodel),, .

    (practicalindicators) , .

    .

    2)

  • 5

    -123-

    .

    [] ,TOMM , , .

    , , , , TOMM , , .

    [ -19] TOMM

    4 TOMM , .

    -

    -

  • 2

    -124-

    -

    -

    -

    - .

    .

    - TOMM

    - TOMM

    -

    -TOMM ,

    -

    -

    -

    3)

    : ,

    :/ ,

    : ,

    : , ,

  • 5

    -125-

    : , , , ,

    4)

    ( , ,, ,, ) .

    .

    .

    -

    - 10%

    -

    -

    -

    -

    .

  • 2

    -126-

    TOMM

    , , .

    - : ,,,,

    - :TOMM /

    - : , , , (,, ) TOMM

    -/: , TOMM

    TOMM

    .

    6

    1.

    1)

    1960 2012 , IMF .

    4 2009 2012 13.6% .

  • 6

    -127-

    - 50 1960 2012 17.2% .

    -1980 1990 (1980 1995 12.9%)

    -1990 2000 (1996 2005 2.9%)

    -2004 ,2008 (2004 2012 8.0%)

    [ -20] (1960-2012)

    2)

    IMF 1998 2003 2007 2008 , 4 2009 2012 11.06% .

    -2008 , .

  • 2

    -128-

    - MICE 2007 (2006 345,786 2007609,239,2008 770,222,2009 819,208,2010 890,721,2011 918,860 ).

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    [ -21] (1990-2012)

    3)

    1990 2000 , 2004 , 4 2009 2012 34.1% .

    -1990 1998 IMF 3

    -2003 SARS 23.7%

    -2006 ( ) (2005 115,199 2012 1,084,094 )

    -2008 ,- 0.14%

  • 6

    -129-

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    [ -22] (1990-2012)

    2.

    1)

    , (Events) .

    ,,,(Brown) ,,(Winters) ,-(Box-Jenkins) ARIMA , .

    - (1 2 ), ARIMA, , .- , 3.7% 4.4% 2013 2021

  • 2

    -130-

    , 2.2%2.8 , .

    2013 2021 ,2013 2013 1 10 (7,140,749) 5% . .

    - 5% 5% .

    - 2013 5.0% 8,414 ,2014 3.4% 8,701 ,2017 9,555 (+3.1%),2019 10,132 (+2.9%),2021 10,715(+2.8%) .- 1-2 ,(3-5) (5 ) . , .

    (:)

    2013 7,993 8,835 8,414 5.0%

    2014 8,266 9,136 8,701 3.4%

    2015 8,535 9,433 8,984 3.3%

    2016 8,805 9,732 9,269 3.2%

    2017 9,077 10,033 9,555 3.1%

    2018 9,351 10,335 9,843 3.0%

    2019 9,625 10,639 10,132 2.9%

    2020 9,901 10,944 10.426 2.9%

    2021 10,179 11,250 10,715 2.8%

    ) .

  • 6

    -131-

    2)

    2013 10 , .

    ( ) .

  • 3 SWOT

    -132-

    3 SWOT

    1

    1.

    .

    .

    , , , , .

    2013 7 17 8 2(17) , ,, 3 , ,, 20

    643 , .

    643 367 , 276 .

    ,,,, , ,,

    643 43.4% 279 ,35.1% 226 ,17.3% 111 ,4.2% 27

  • 1

    -133-

    1

    1

    1

    2

    1

    2

    10

    9

    10

    11

    11

    10

    7

    20

    9

    10

    15

    10

    10

    7

    8

    10

    10

    12

    10

    21

    15

    10

    2

    2

    12

    10

    10

    17

    29

    20

    21

    21

    40

    10

    10

    9

    16

    10

    24

    24

    52

    32

    31

    367 276

    .

    1)

    5 , (3.52), (3.33), (3.23), (3.16), (3.16), (3.08) .

    (2.87) , (3.50), (3.24), (3.22)

  • 3 SWOT

    -134-

    .

    [ -1]

    , 3 , .

    (2